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Winter 2018/2019 - General Discussion

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  • Registered Users Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    Just been out for my early morning walk... windblown rain in my face, all the ocean shrouded in rain-haar.... Bracing is the word and I really enjoyed it... "down for the day" the old ones would say.. accidental rhyming there... ;)

    VERY glad I went out when I did... deluging here now and dark... west mayo offshore ark


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,514 ✭✭✭Billcarson


    KingJeremy wrote: »
    Seriously though...DOES anyone know why the seasons are taught as they are in school here & not as they should be (in line with the meteorological season)?


    Because seasons taught in school are the Celtic seasons. Winter being Nov Dec and Jan. Spring feb March April etc.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,987 ✭✭✭Artane2002


    The muck is back. Go away, nobody missed you.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,880 ✭✭✭✭Rock Lesnar


    Absolutely bucketing down here, yesterday's sunny day already seems so long ago


  • Registered Users Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    Absolutely bucketing down here, yesterday's sunny day already seems so long ago

    " Ah yes, I remember it well!" and the same here,,, a deluge of epic proportions.

    Back to hibernation, me thinks! :D


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  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,782 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Bucketing in Dublin 16 too now.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,749 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    horrendous day here at Dunshaughlin. Pouring rain, dark, heating and lights on.

    If this is how the majority of February is going to play out then just fast forward me to May.

    I'm really not enjoying Winter 2018/2019.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,749 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    this mornings GFS is an incredibly mild outlook into the far reaches of FI.

    The ensembles are showing temperatures of between 0 and 10C at 850 hPA, if high pressure and sunshine combined with winds up from the Canaries or Sahara desert during some of those days, temperatures of 15 or 16C wouldn't be out of the question.

    If it's not going to snow, i'd settle for very mild, dry and sunny, rather than all the muck of the next 7 to 10 days.


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,530 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Gonzo wrote: »
    this mornings GFS is an incredibly mild outlook into the far reaches of FI.

    The ensembles are showing temperatures of between 0 and 10C at 850 hPA, if high pressure and sunshine combined with winds up from the Canaries or Sahara desert during some of those days, temperatures of 15 or 16C wouldn't be out of the question.

    If it's not going to snow, i'd settle for very mild, dry and sunny, rather than all the muck of the next 7 to 10 days.

    Wouldn’t be that sunny though except for England. Would be cloudy crap especially for the west.

    Damp in Dublin 3 as was expected.

    The outlook isn’t too bad for my area.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,678 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    Was an awful morning in cork city. Really heavy rain (heaviest I've seen in quite a while). Been a mix of drizzle and rain since


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  • Registered Users Posts: 497 ✭✭loughside


    been lashing up North all morning, tho` see a clearance in from the West just now...
    .btw is there a problem with Netweather Radar? Don`t have that overlay of precipitation etc, just the bare map??


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,782 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Rain seems to have passed, for now, in Dublin 16. 2.4mm Melting! 11.4c atm.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,749 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    rain stopped here too, hopefully can catch a quick walk in the afternoon.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,505 ✭✭✭✭Xenji


    A dark miserable day in Castlebar with continuous rain since early morning, close to 10mm so far.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,678 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    Lashing in cork city again


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,095 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Drier ,brighter conditions not far off the west coast now.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,749 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    Gav's latest video looking at the ECM models for the rest of February now show a mild theme dominating throughout February. He describes all the long range models over the past 2 months as an 'epic fail'. I couldn't agree more. I get the feeling many people are done with this winter and just want to move onto Spring/Summer at this stage.


  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 24,773 Mod ✭✭✭✭Loughc


    Gonzo wrote: »
    Gav's latest video looking at the ECM models for the rest of February now show a mild theme dominating throughout February. He describes all the long range models over the past 2 months as an 'epic fail'. I couldn't agree more. I get the feeling many people are done with this winter and just want to move onto Spring/Summer at this stage.

    Yep completely agree on both accounts!


  • Registered Users Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    Drier ,brighter conditions not far off the west coast now.

    Indeed yes! Thank you!


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,530 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Gonzo wrote: »
    Gav's latest video looking at the ECM models for the rest of February now show a mild theme dominating throughout February. He describes all the long range models over the past 2 months as an 'epic fail'. I couldn't agree more. I get the feeling many people are done with this winter and just want to move onto Spring/Summer at this stage.

    At this stage in the season, I agree. Even one model that was showing a mild and zonal Winter (German DWD model) was very wrong and there has been a lot of anticyclonic influence, just not in the position to delivering cold weather.

    Roll on Summer.


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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,749 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    At this stage in the season, I agree. Even one model that was showing a mild and zonal Winter (German DWD model) was very wrong and there has been a lot of anticyclonic influence, just not in the position to delivering cold weather.

    Roll on Summer.

    I think we're all thinking the same way. At this stage I don't care if there's no more frost or snow in the charts till November 2019. It's time to stick a fork in this winter and focus on looking forward to the Spring and Summer.


  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 24,773 Mod ✭✭✭✭Loughc


    Gonzo wrote: »
    I think we're all thinking the same way. At this stage I don't care if there's no more frost or snow in the charts till November 2019. It's time to stick a fork in this winter and focus on looking forward to the Spring and Summer.

    And roll on Winter 2019/20 ;)


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Now that the long ranges have flipped- surely we can expect the mother of all late Feb cold spell :P


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,136 ✭✭✭Rebelbrowser


    Gonzo wrote: »
    I think we're all thinking the same way. At this stage I don't care if there's no more frost or snow in the charts till November 2019. It's time to stick a fork in this winter and focus on looking forward to the Spring and Summer.

    Ye do remember that one of the greatest winter spells of the last century was in the last year and started on 28 February (i.e. still 23 days away)? Moreover it was sufficiently cold on St. Patrick's day that there was widespread sticking and lasting snow for many? Even forgetting Patrick's day, are you happy that the much maligned long term guidance can now be counted on to be accurate for 23+ day's time, simply because it is showing mild weather as opposed to cold?

    I get the frustration but the stick a fork in it stuff is ridiculously premature.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,749 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    Ye do remember that one of the greatest winter spells of the last century was in the last year and started on 28 February (i.e. still 23 days away)? Moreover it was sufficiently cold on St. Patrick's day that there was widespread sticking and lasting snow for many? Even forgetting Patrick's day, are you happy that the much maligned long term guidance can now be counted on to be accurate for 23+ day's time, simply because it is showing mild weather as opposed to cold?

    I get the frustration but the stick a fork in it stuff is ridiculously premature.

    I'm more annoyed by everything that went wrong this winter than anything else, it's been a very disappointing winter for many of us.

    It's been the winter of constant downgrades and long term models being way off mark. It's also been the overall lack of sun, which has been very poor even by Irish winter standards.

    Far too much cloud and damp muck throughout this winter, I can't even think of one day where the ground has been totally dry since December 1st. There were many dry days second half of December and first week of January, yet the ground remained damp from endless cloud and mist.

    At the moment snow is looking unlikely for the rest of February, but a major model shift could bring some before 28th February, but at this stage i'd be happy to wait till next winter.

    Snow probably will make it's return in March, which could bring a cold start to Spring. I'd be happy to see even a 1 day snow event in March as seeing any sort of snow in Spring is a bonus.


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,530 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Just started lashing in Dublin 13 after a mostly damp day with some peaks of sun in the cloud.

    Slightly off topic but did my first mock exams today. It was English.

    A comprehension on paper 1 referenced the December 2010 big freeze in Ireland and one of the essay choices was:

    "Write a newspaper article on the importance of preparing for all kinds of weather."

    What are the odds? :pac:


  • Registered Users Posts: 280 ✭✭Rodar08


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Just started lashing in Dublin 13 after a mostly damp day with some peaks of sun in the cloud.

    Slightly off topic but did my first mock exams today. It was English.

    A comprehension on paper 1 referenced the December 2010 big freeze in Ireland and one of the essay choices was:

    "Write a newspaper article on the importance of preparing for all kinds of weather."

    What are the odds? :pac:


    Oh wow Sryanbruen I didnt even think of you when I read it (womans heating packed in or smth) but now you mention it it's like it was written especially for you lol. I teach English in Donegal and was supervising in the hall during it so got a look at it. . How much extra paper did you need? 😠good luck in the rest of the exams ;)


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,349 ✭✭✭esposito


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Just started lashing in Dublin 13 after a mostly damp day with some peaks of sun in the cloud.

    Slightly off topic but did my first mock exams today. It was English.

    A comprehension on paper 1 referenced the December 2010 big freeze in Ireland and one of the essay choices was:

    "Write a newspaper article on the importance of preparing for all kinds of weather."


    What are the odds? :pac:

    Just a pity it wasn’t the real thing in June! But still, great to get a topic like that.


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Ouch- Kermit might have to open a thread soon.

    ECM1-72.GIF


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  • Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Ouch #2

    ECU1-72.GIF?05-0


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