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Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,513 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Saturday, 19 August, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland


    STATUS YELLOW: Weather Advisory for Ireland
    Warm, humid conditions expected to develop on Sunday and lasting into the early days of next week will bring spells of heavy rain and the risk of local flooding. Details uncertain at this stage but current indications suggest that Northwestern coastal areas will be worst affected.
    Valid:Sunday 20 August 2017 06:00 to Tuesday 22 August 2017 12:00


    TODAY .... Some sunny spells interspersed with cloudy periods. Scattered showers for a time this morning which will die out through the afternoon. Breezy at first in a cool northwesterly wind, later veering to a southwesterly before the arrival of Gert. Very cool day with maximums of 14-18c.

    TONIGHT .... Mostly dry with a mix of clear skies and cloud across the country. Some patches of mist are likely to develop. Rain will push into the southwest by dawn. Minimums of 9-12c.

    SUNDAY .... Rain will linger over Munster until the afternoon and evening when most places should have had a good dose of it. The very high humidity will only intensify the rain making it feel very uncomfortable too. Maximums of 15-20c.

    MONDAY .... Another very humid day with the chance of some sunny spells developing in parts of Leinster and east Munster after the early morning rain clears. Further rain in the west and north which will be heavy and thundery. 20-30mm of rainfall expected on Monday alone for parts. Maximums of 17-21c. Monday night could be very oppressive and uncomfortable to sleep with minimums of 13 or 14c.

    TUESDAY .... Very humid once again with some dry and sunny spells especially towards the east but there will be some showery rain elsewhere at times. Any sunshine you do record will help the temperatures rise easily to the low 20s with maximums of 18-22c.

    WEDNESDAY .... Showers out to the west with some of these heavy but everywhere will record some sunny spells. Cooler day overall with maximums of 16-20c.

    THURSDAY .... Similar to Wednesday in that all places will record some sunny intervals but showers to the west. Maximums of 16-19c.

    OUTLOOK .... The high uncertainty continues for next week and beyond with the most likely scenario today is that the Atlantic will dominate us once again after a brief warm interlude from Sunday-Tuesday. Temperatures will stay around average. There is some signs now that the end of August will bring a washout to places especially to the south on Monday, 28 August. This wouldn't be the first time the UK August Bank Holiday would be a washout :rolleyes:. Anyway, the models keep chopping and changing their thoughts like just two days ago, the GFS was showing the Azores throwing up a ridge to bring fine, Summer weather over Ireland for around that period.


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,513 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    UPDATE _ Sat 19 August 2017 _ 2 p.m.

    STATUS YELLOW alert has been updated for the expected rainfall totals Gert will bring to Ireland from Sunday to Tuesday. Spells of heavy rain will bring totals of 30-50mm during the period with highest totals in the mountains. Gert's rain is expected to affect the southern half of Ireland for much of Sunday, western and northern half for Monday lingering into Tuesday but by then, it will turn into showery rain.

    The following counties/provinces in particular for this alert: Connacht, Cavan, Monaghan, Donegal, Dublin, Kildare, Laois, Longford, Louth, Wicklow, Offaly, Westmeath, Meath, Clare and North Tipperary.


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,513 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Sunday, 20 August, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland

    TODAY .... Humid with heavy rain extending its way northwards through the day. North Ulster should remain dry for much of the day. The rain will get heavier and heavier with a high risk of localised spot flooding in parts. Maximums of 16-20c.

    TONIGHT .... Very humid with outbreaks of heavy rain scattered across the country especially over parts of Connacht and Ulster. Minimums not getting below 12-16c.

    MONDAY .... Warm and humid with heavy rain continuing out to the west and north. Chance of severe surface flooding in these parts. Hazy sunshine and dry to the south and east but with mist and fog at times. If you do get the sunshine, temperatures could reach 23 or 24c. Maximums of 18-21c mostly. Monday night will be even more uncomfortable with minimums not getting below 14-17c.

    TUESDAY .... Some showery rain out to the west but sunny intervals and dry to the east. Continuing humid and warm with maximums of 19-22c but in the sunshine, you could get higher of up to 23-25c. Visibility will be very poor in some areas however. Must fresher and less humid conditions will extend eastwards Tuesday night.

    WEDNESDAY .... A fresher day overall with sunny intervals everywhere but there will also be the chance of some showers especially out to the west. Maximums of 16-20c.

    THURSDAY .... Sunny spells for most parts in the morning but clouding up in the west during the day with some showery rain. Maximums of 16-19c.

    FRIDAY .... Sunshine and showers. Maximums of 15-19c.

    OUTLOOK .... Late August & early September is looking very mixed among the models with some showing a summery kind of pattern whilst others are showing a very autumnal pattern. The high degree of uncertainty continues as a result.


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,710 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Monday, 21 August, 2017

    Forecast for Ireland


    TODAY: Mainly cloudy/overcast and humid today with the odd sunny spell more particularly to the southern half of the country. The rain band, currently affecting midland and northern areas, will progress north during the day with drier conditions to the southern half of the country, following on. Highs of between 18c and 23c (highest temperatures where the sun breaks through).

    TONIGHT: Mild and humid with patches of mist and drizzle in places. Overnight low of 14c or 15c.

    TUESDAY: A mainly cloudy but mild/humid day with limited hazy sunshine in places. Where cloud does break temperatures could reach 22c or 23c. Where it remains cloudy /overcast expect highs of between 18c and 20c. As with today, scattered/sporadic outbreaks of rain and drizzle can be expected country wide. Possibly heavier showers tomorrow afternoon, especially to the west and north, with the possibility of thunder.

    Edit: Forget to finish/add the thunder bit!


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,710 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Tuesday, 22 August, 2017

    Forecast for Ireland


    TODAY: An organized rain band off the west coast will progress further east/north east during the day, giving some persistent rai, at times, to the west and north west (and north later). Elsewhere, starting off generally dry and bright, but showers, with a risk of thunder, will develop during the day. All areas at risk of seeing a heavy shower/downpour which could lead to localized spot flooding. A humid day with highs of between 18c and 23c. Highest temperatures to the east, south and midlands, where there is better chance of sunny spells.

    TONIGHT: The organized rain band should clear the west and north during the night and any heavy downpours elsewhere will fizzle out, giving way to clear spells with just isolated showers (mainly to western coastal counties). Becoming fresher overnight. Overnight low of 10c to 12c.

    WEDNESDAY: A much fresher (than recent days) and breezy day with sunny spells and showers. Showers mainly to the west and north at first but are likely to become more widespread during the day (but not likely to be as heavy as today’s showers). Showers retreating later in the day/evening to the western and northern coastal counties. Highs of between 18c and 20c.

    OUTLOOK: Thursday and Friday….sunny spells and showers. Heaviest of the showers (with more organized rain from time to time) to west and north. Drier to the east and south. Highs of between 18c and 20c.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 23 August, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland



    Thanks to those who provided forecasts during my week away. We enjoyed almost perfect weather each day while touring scenic parts of NV and UT last week, then during our drive back to get into position in eastern Oregon for the Monday solar eclipse, with a clear sky throughout. Quite an experience which I hope to describe later today in the eclipse thread. The weather has remained sunny and hot both on the road home and here on Tuesday. Now, I hope that I have gotten some idea of what's happening with your weather ...


    TODAY ... Mostly cloudy with a few outbreaks of light rain slowly advancing east, followed by somewhat heavier outbreaks for western and then northern counties by mid-day and afternoon. Highs 16 to 18 C. Rainfalls trace to 3 mm in south, east; amounts 5 to 15 mm west and north.

    TONIGHT ... Cloudy with some light showers dissipating, lows 8 to 11 C.

    THURSDAY ... Intervals of cloud and sunshine, a generally dry and breezy day for many parts of the south and east, more chance of showers developing west and north. Highs 18 to 20 C.

    FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy, breezy, showers developing again across the north, lows about 9 C and highs about 18 C.

    WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Fairly settled for the south, central and eastern counties, more cloud and showers for west and north. Lows both days around 7 to 9 C and highs 16 to 19 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... An unsettled westerly regime will become more breezy as next week progresses, and there could be some widespread heavier rainfalls eventually as August gives way to September.

    My local weather on Tuesday was sunny and hot with a high near 30 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 24 August, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Persistent rain is likely in north Connacht, Ulster and (by mid-day) north Leinster with 10-15 mm possible. Highest temperatures only 14-16 C in this zone. Partly cloudy skies will prevail further south although a few isolated showers could develop there also, with highs 18 to 20 C. Moderate southwest winds at times.

    TONIGHT ... Northern rain should taper off to drizzle, and skies will remain partly cloudy in the south, lows 8 to 11 C.

    FRIDAY ... Another round of showery rain is likely across the north with highs again in the 14 to 16 C range, and the south will have a more mixed regime of cloud, some sunshine and scattered showers with highs 17 to 19 C.

    SATURDAY ... Sunny intervals will begin to dominate in most regions during the morning hours, and most counties will enjoy a fairly good day with lows of 6 to 9 C and highs 18 to 21 C.

    SUNDAY ... Warm and humid with outbreaks of rain at times, but also some hazy sunshine more likely in south and east. Lows of 8 to 12 C and highs 18 to 22 C. Strong south to southwest winds developing by evening.

    MONDAY ... Early morning rain and gusty winds, so a rather mild overnight period followed by steady or in some places falling temperatures as winds veer more to west reaching 50 to 70 km/hr. Lows near 14 C and highs near 19 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Mostly cloudy, breezy to windy at times, and unsettled for several days at end of the month but an improving trend with what some call the inevitable early September warm spell.

    My local weather on Wednesday was mostly sunny after a cloudy start and somewhat cooler with highs only 20-22 C. We have had even less rain this summer than we normally get and unlike most years the early autumn rains have not started up here at all, nor is there much sign of them. My eastern Canadian friends tell me that they are getting almost daily downpours of heavy rain. That is not uncommon in some late summer patterns but seems excessive this year.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 25 August, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Another round of showery rain is likely across the north with highs again in the 14 to 16 C range, and the south will have a more mixed regime of cloud, some sunshine and scattered showers although with one heavier outbreak of rain possible in the southeast late in the day, with highs 17 to 19 C.

    TONIGHT ... Clearing, lows 7 to 11 C.

    SATURDAY ... Sunny intervals will begin to dominate in most regions during the morning hours, and most counties will enjoy a fairly good day with light winds and highs 18 to 21 C.

    SUNDAY ... Warm and humid with a few outbreaks of light rain at times, but also some hazy sunshine. Lows of 8 to 12 C and highs 18 to 22 C. Strong south to southwest winds 50 to 70 km/hr developing by evening.

    MONDAY ... Early morning rain and gusty winds, so a rather mild overnight period followed by steady or in some places falling temperatures as winds veer more to west reaching 50 to 70 km/hr. Lows near 14 C and highs near 17 C north to 21 C southeast.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Mostly cloudy, breezy to windy at times, and unsettled for several days at end of the month but an improving trend by Thursday 31st, leading to the perhaps inevitable early September warm spell with southeast breezes and highs briefly reaching 25 C. More unsettled with heavy rainfalls by about the fifth of September.

    My local weather was partly cloudy and cool with highs near 19 C. The main weather story in North America will be the approach of Hurricane Harvey, possibly reaching major hurricane intensity, to the central Texas coast northeast of Corpus Christi. After an onslaught of damaging winds and storm surges, the primary risk will become widespread torrential rainfalls of 500 to 1,000 mm of rain soaking large and relatively flat regions of southeast TX and southern Louisiana (LA). That rainfall could take up to a week to run its course as Harvey slows to a crawl and meanders around near the Gulf coast.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 26 August, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Sunny intervals will begin to dominate in most regions during the morning hours, and most counties will enjoy a fairly good day with light winds and highs 18 to 21 C.

    TONIGHT ... Becoming mostly cloudy, patchy light rain or drizzle in north, mild with lows 10 to 13 C.

    SUNDAY ... Warm and humid with a few outbreaks of light rain at times, but also some hazy sunshine, and highs 18 to 22 C. Strong south to southwest winds 50 to 70 km/hr developing by evening.

    MONDAY ... Early morning rain and gusty winds, so a rather mild overnight period followed by steady or in some places falling temperatures as winds veer more to west reaching 50 to 70 km/hr. Lows near 14 C and highs near 17 C north to 21 C southeast.

    TUESDAY ... Sunny intervals, breezy, isolated showers mostly confined to northwest, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Morning sunshine, increasing cloud, rain by late in the day, lows 5 to 9 C and highs 17 to 21 C.

    THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, breezy, showers ending, highs near 18 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Warm and dry for several days in early September (highs 21 to 24 C) before a return to unsettled weather by about the 4th or 5th.

    My local weather on Friday was sunny with a high near 23 C. Meanwhile, hurricane Harvey has edged across the Gulf coast northeast of Corpus Christi and severe wind damage has occurred in a few towns such as Rockport and Port Aransas. The prolonged heavy rainfalls are now expected to bring more widespread flooding.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 27 August, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Warm and humid with some hazy sunshine at times, also some widely scattered outbreaks of light rain most likely in central counties, but small accumulations (1-2 mm). Highs 19 to 23 C.

    TONIGHT ... Outbreaks of showery rain will spread gradually into west Ulster and north Connacht with moderate southwest winds, lows near 15 C. The rest of the country will remain in the hazy, very muggy air mass with lows 13 to 16 C.

    MONDAY ... Rain will continue to make slow progress southeast and will have reached Munster, most central counties and east Ulster by early afternoon. Further east it will stay rather warm (highs near 21) while temperatures with the rain band will stall near 17 or 18 C followed by a slight cooling trend as winds freshen and veer to westerly 40 to 60 km/hr. Later afternoon will see clearing in Connacht.

    TUESDAY ... Partly cloudy and breezy with isolated showers, lows near 9 C and highs near 16 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Variable cloud, scattered showers, lows near 6 C and highs near 17.

    THURSDAY and FRIDAY could see slightly warmer weather developing although guidance has begun to look rather disorganized with some chance of rain especially near both east and west coasts, the central counties may remain dry between these converging bands of light rain. Highs 18 to 22 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK calls for generally seasonable conditions through the weekend of the 2nd and 3rd of September, and then gradually becoming more unsettled with some outbreaks of heavy rain possible into the following week with some intervals of strong westerly winds.

    My local weather on Saturday was sunny and very warm with highs near 27 C. Humidity levels were very low. Meanwhile, Harvey has come to an almost complete halt while weakening in terms of wind speeds southeast of Austin TX, but the main problem now is widespread heavy rainfall that has become extremely severe in parts of the Houston region where 250 mm of rain has been reported recently over just a two hour interval. Total rainfalls in many parts of southeast TX are already well over 400 mm with no let up in sight. Harvey makes it difficult for the global models but it seems likely that remnants will continue to drift around in very slow loops for many days to come. A new storm could develop near South Carolina; if that happens, it will become Tropical Storm Irma. That one is expected to move northeast towards Newfoundland.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 28 August, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Rain will continue to make slow progress southeast from Connacht and west Ulster, and will have reached Munster, most central counties and east Ulster by early afternoon. Further east it will stay rather warm (highs near 21) while temperatures with the rain band will stall near 17 or 18 C followed by a slight cooling trend as winds freshen and veer to westerly 40 to 60 km/hr. Later afternoon will see gradual clearing in western Connacht.

    TONIGHT ... Showers continuing to edge further southeast then ending after midnight, moderate westerly breezes developing, cooler with lows 8 to 10 C.

    TUESDAY ... Partly cloudy and breezy with isolated showers, and highs near 16 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Variable cloud, scattered showers, lows 6 to 8 C and highs 17 to 19.

    THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers and risk of a thunderstorm, lows 7 to 9 C and highs 17 to 19 C.

    FRIDAY and SATURDAY currently look a bit warmer again with partly cloudy skies and highs near 20 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK calls for unsettled weather to develop with more frequent and heavier rainfalls starting around Sunday 3rd.

    My local weather on Sunday was sunny and hot with a high near 31 C. Southeast Texas continues to get a severe flooding rainfall that is heaviest in the Houston region where over 600 mm has fallen (about half a year's worth of rain in three days in some cases). Little change is expected for several more days as Harvey edges back out to the coast and then loops around in eastern Texas until at least Friday. Meanwhile, the next named storm is currently at the numbered tropical depression stage (T.D. 10, will become Irma, as one earlier numbered system failed to reach named status). The circulation is just off the coast of South Carolina and is expected to be named later today then transform to a powerful extratropical low near Newfoundland by Friday.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 29 August, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Partly cloudy, somewhat more cloud in north where passing light showers may add up to 1-3 mm eventually, dry in parts of the south, and cooler with moderate westerly breezes. Highs near 15 C north, 17 C south.

    TONIGHT ... Clear intervals, cool, lows 4 to 8 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Variable cloud, outbreaks of showery rain developing around mid-day lasting into the late afternoon, 3-5 mm expected. Highs 15 to 17 C.

    THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, lows near 7 C and highs near 16 C.

    FRIDAY ... Sunny intervals, warmer after a cold start to the day (lows 2 to 5 C inland rural districts and 7 to 10 C coastal, urban centres). Highs near 21 C. Light winds.

    SATURDAY ... Increasing cloud, warm in the south and east with highs near 21 C. Rain at times west and north, highs near 18 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Showery on Sunday and somewhat cooler (18 C), then a few fairly settled days before a gradual turn to quite unsettled and windy weather.

    My local weather on Monday remained sunny and hot with highs near 31 C. Tropical storm Harvey is making one last push along the Texas coast and will gradually move past Houston after dumping almost a year's worth of rain in the region. "Potential tropical depression ten" continues to swirl off the Carolina coast and could be declared Tropical Storm Irma soon although there's another tropical system off the west African coast that could potentially grab that name first (also could be actual depression ten, this potential stuff is getting a bit complicated). Meanwhile, whatever the southeast U.S. storm does, the models want to make a cat-1 hurricane intensity low out of it, but the NHC are holding off on discussing that as an actual hurricane claiming it will be extratropical (if it ever becomes tropical). It seems almost inevitable that this will turn into a tropical system further north than expected as we seem to see almost every year once or twice; but remnants of this storm will blow past Iceland rather than Ireland, peak winds for Ireland are likely to stay well below gale force at any point as this passes far to the north (next week).


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 30 August, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Variable cloud with a few sunny breaks this morning, outbreaks of showery rain spreading from west coast this morning to central and then eastern counties through the day, 3-5 mm expected. Slight risk of thunder.
    Highs 15 to 17 C.

    TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy with a few showers at first, partial clearing and cool. Lows about 6 to 9 C.

    THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, and highs near 16 C.

    FRIDAY ... Sunny intervals, warmer after a cold start to the day (lows 2 to 5 C inland rural districts and 7 to 10 C coastal, urban centres). Highs near 21 C. Light winds.

    SATURDAY ... Increasing cloud, warm in the south and east with highs near 21 C. Rain at times west and north (some guidance holds this off until Sunday), highs near 18 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Showery on Sunday and somewhat cooler (18 C), then a few fairly settled days before a gradual turn to quite unsettled and windy weather with a cooling trend later in the week of 4-8 September.

    My local weather on Tuesday remained sunny and hot with highs near 33 C. We are seeing some return of smoke from the east, this time sourced in Montana and Idaho, but clearer skies are expected to return as the flow returns to a westerly drift, still quite hot here for the foreseeable future. Harvey seems to be done with Houston finally and has moved on to drench Louisiana and then Arkansas, probably not nearly as catastrophic in general for those states. The east coast system never got a name but is turning into a hurricane-like storm off New England anyway, while a new tropical system is forming over the far eastern Atlantic.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 31 August, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Partly cloudy, showers developing over western counties this morning spreading to other parts of Ireland by mid-day, somewhat hit or miss with 2-5 mm amounts for most, and highs near 16 C. Light to moderate northwest to northerly breezes dying out by evening.

    TONIGHT ... Clear and chilly with lows 2 to 5 C inland, 7 to 10 C coastal/urban.

    FRIDAY ... Sunny intervals, warmer after a cold start to the day (lows 2 to 5 C inland rural districts and 7 to 10 C coastal, urban centres). Highs 18 to 21 C warmest in Munster. Light winds. Friday night will be clear and cool in the east, cloudy and mild in the west, with a large range of overnight lows likely.

    SATURDAY ... Increasing cloud, just some brief sunny intervals before mid-day in Leinster, warm in the south and east with highs near 21 C. Rain at times west and north, highs near 18 C. Strong south to southwest winds developing 50-80 km/hr.

    SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, cooler, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.

    MONDAY ... Sunny intervals, highs near 20 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Unsettled with frequent intervals of rain and moderate westerly winds, temperatures near average for early September.

    My local weather cooled off slightly thanks to a "marine incursion" (not a military operation) that brought considerable cloud followed by sunny spells and highs around 24 C. It stayed hot further inland, near 32 C. Meanwhile, Harvey is plodding along towards Tennessee and Kentucky as just a tropical depression now, and a deep low south of Newfoundland was never given tropical status, but Irma in the eastern Atlantic looks like it may become a classic Cape Verde hurricane eventually as it slowly approaches the islands southeast of Puerto Rico next week and then enters the Caribbean perhaps attaining major hurricane status in a week or so.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 1 September, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Mostly sunny with light winds and some patchy cloud by afternoon in parts of the north, highs 16 to 20 C.

    TONIGHT ... Clear in most regions, increasing cloud in western coastal counties. Lows about 3 to 7 C under clear skies, rising to 10 C where cloud develops.

    SATURDAY ... Cloudy and windy especially near south and west coasts, gusts to about 80 km/hr by afternoon, with rain spreading in gradually, after a few brighter intervals in the morning for eastern counties. Highs 17 to 20 C. Rainfalls 10-20 mm.

    SUNDAY ... Rain ending across east coast by early morning then partial clearing, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, lows 12 to 15 C and highs near 19 C.

    MONDAY ... Sunny intervals, rain by evening in west. Highs near 20 C.

    TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, highs near 17 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Rather unsettled and windy at times, temperatures often near normal but sometimes a little warmer than average.

    My local weather on Thursday was sunny and warm with highs near 25 C. Harvey is now just a regular low pressure area in TN and KY, and will slowly die out in that region. Irma, meanwhile, became a cat-3 hurricane and has potential to become even stronger when it reaches the vicinity of the Virgin Islands around Wednesday of next week. Its track after that remains uncertain and all parts of the U.S. east coast will be on alert as various models show the track impacting different regions (including the northeast U.S. in about ten days to two weeks).


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 2 September, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Some morning sunny intervals for eastern counties, as cloud increases over the west, to be followed there by rain and strong south to southwest winds 50 to 80 km/hr by afternoon and evening. Highs 18 to 21 C, temperatures near 16 C during the steady rainfall.

    TONIGHT ... Rain will spread across all regions, eventually dropping 10 to 20 mm in most places, and the gusty winds will make further progress although subsiding after midnight. Mild and becoming foggy with lows 12 to 16 C.

    SUNDAY ... Intervals of cloud and sunshine with a few showers developing, risk of a thunderstorm. Continued rather warm and humid with highs 18 to 22 C.

    MONDAY ... Sunny intervals, increasing cloud in Munster by afternoon, some heavy showers developing by evening there. Lows 10 to 12 C and highs 18 to 21 C.

    TUESDAY ... Morning showers heavier in the south, followed by partial clearing and somewhat fresher in moderate westerly breezes, lows 11 to 14 C and highs 17 to 19 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Partly cloudy, highs near 20 C. Windy at times in Ulster and north Connacht. Rain by evening or overnight into Thursday.

    THURSDAY and FRIDAY will be dominated by a rather strong frontal system that will bring heavy rainfalls and gusty winds veering southwest to west 40 to 70 km/hr, and temperatures 16 to 18 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Generally rather warm and sometimes unsettled, windy, with the storm track quite active just to the northwest of Donegal Bay.

    My local weather was sunny and very warm on Friday with highs near 28 C. We are expecting highs into the mid-30s inland all weekend and for much of next week as a strong upper level ridge develops. The remnants of Harvey are now very weak and located near West Virginia, but the remnant low has linked up with a more active frontal system near the Virginia coast and this will continue to plod northeast bringing heavy rains in places this weekend (Monday is Labor Day in the U.S. and Labour Day in Canada). The big story is major hurricane Irma which is taking aim on the Virgin Islands for mid-week then threatens to make a landfall on the U.S. east coast about a week from now.

    (note: I hope to continue forecasts this weekend but may need some assistance on Monday, will see how my internet connection is looking on the road and arrange for a forecast to be posted if it looks necessary).


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 3 September, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland.


    TODAY ... Rain ending this morning in Leinster and east Ulster, then partly cloudy with showers and risk of a thunderstorm. Warm and humid with highs 18 to 22 C.

    TONIGHT ... Clearing, lows 10 to 12 C.

    MONDAY ... Increasing cloud, a few showers mainly confined to the north, then outbreaks of heavier rain by evening across much of the south. Highs near 20 C,

    |TUESDAY ...Breezy, fresher with showers clearing east, lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Wednesday and the first part of Thursday will be mainly dry and partly cloudy with near normal temperatures, highs 18 to 21 C, Late Thursday to the end of the following weekend are looking unsettled, breezy and cool with highs 15 to 18 C.\An improving trend will likely follow by mid-month.

    My weather on the road through southern B.C. was hot and sunny with a torrid high of 37 C, probably the warmest day of a hot summer in this region. This is expected to continue for several more days. The east coast of the U.S. is preparing for the possible arrival of Irma around Thursday of next week.


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,710 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    MTC is or may be offline today, so, doing the needful/infill forecast....

    Monday, 4 September, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland.

    TODAY ... A humid and mostly cloudy day. The odd sunny spell but also patchy drizzle or light rain in places (more especially to the west). Later in the day, a more organised band of rain will spread from the south west, countrywide. Highs of between 18c and 20c generally. Could reach 22c in any sunny spells.

    TONIGHT ... Rain widespread but heaviest across Munster and Leinster with the possibility of some heavy falls/spot flooding. Rain will start to clear from the west during the night. Overnight lows of 12 to 14c.

    TUESDAY ... Rain should clear the east coast early in the morning to give way to a fresher/breezy but mainly dry day. Highs between 16c and 18c.

    OUTLOOK ... Wednesday will be mainly dry, with the exception of the west coast, where there may be patchy drizzle or light rain.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 5 September, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland


    Thanks to DOCARCH for providing cover on short notice, and for removing my multiple posting of a request for help as I realized that I was leaving the zone of internet coverage Sunday evening ... I am back home now.


    TODAY ... Rain ending, becoming partly cloudy and breezy with a few isolated showers developing in the westerly flow this afternoon, winds occasionally gusting to 70 km/hr. Highs 16 to 18 C.

    TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy, some places with longer clear intervals could see lows of 5 to 8 C, otherwise 8 to 11 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... A mixture of cloud and sun, isolated showers, fresh and rather cool westerly breezes, highs 16 to 18 C.

    THURSDAY ... Breezy, partly cloudy across the south with highs 15 to 17 C, overcast with rain developing in the north, highs only 13 to 16 C.

    FRIDAY ... Partly to mostly cloudy, passing showers or longer intervals of light rain, cool. Highs 13 to 16 C. Winds west-northwest 50-70 km/hr at times.

    SATURDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers more isolated, highs 15 to 18 C.

    SUNDAY and MONDAY are also looking very cool and breezy with passing showers with highs only 13 to 16 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK calls for slow improvements through next week but only by the end of the week is there much chance of temperatures reaching normal values again.

    My local weather on a holiday Monday (on the road back from central B.C.) was mostly sunny and very hot, highs in the mid 30s. There was a dense cloud of forest fire smoke at one point (from rather distant fires) and this turned the sky almost a dark brown colour, and the Sun when you could see it at all was a dark red. That lasted for about 50 kms (probably many hours in that location) before we broke back into hazy sunshine.

    Hurricane Irma is about to hit the northern Virgin Islands hard with cat-4 or even cat-5 winds possible, although the strongest part of the eye will likely pass north of most if not all of these islands. The strong hurricane is now expected to remain further south than last week's guidance, and may hit some part of Florida eventually about five days from now. This outlook remains rather uncertain with a 300 to 400 mile uncertainty applying to the day five position in the forecast.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 6 September, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Cloudy with some brighter intervals, fairly dry overall but some outbreaks of rain will develop in north and later near west coast, showers very isolated for east, central and southern counties. Highs 16 to 19 C. Moderate westerly winds at times.

    TONIGHT ... Overcast, outbreaks of light rain in west and north, lows near 10 C.

    THURSDAY ... Breezy and rather cool with rain at times, heavier in west and north where 10-20 mm possible. Highs 15 to 18 C. Moderate southwest winds.

    FRIDAY ... Breezy to windy and cool, showers or longer intervals of rain, moderate to strong west-northwest winds 50-80 km/hr. Morning lows 8-10 C and afternoon highs 14 to 16 C.

    SATURDAY ... Strong winds at first then moderate northwest later, partly cloudy, showers more isolated than Friday but heavy in a few places, lows 7-9 C and highs 15 to 18 C.

    SUNDAY ... Breezy to windy, rain at times, 5-15 mm likely. Lows 8-10 C and highs about 15 or 16 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Breezy, unsettled and cool most days, one or two more settled days in the mix but generally the trend looks very autumnal and temperatures will average 1-2 deg below normal while rain will be 25 to 50% above normal, heavier in north.

    My local weather on Tuesday turned out rather cloudy as marine cloud mixed with the smoke layers, it was still quite warm and muggy at 24 C, and near 30 C over most of the inland regions. Meanwhile, cat-5 hurricane Irma is passing over the small island of Barbuda at this hour and will be heading towards Anguilla (an overseas territory of the U.K.) and Sint Maarten which is shared by France and the Netherlands. The island of Antigua was spared a direct hit and is in perhaps cat-2 wind conditions overnight (westerly). The track after today is expected to run mainly to the north of the larger Caribbean islands sparing them from the worst case scenario but parts of the southern Bahamas may be more directly affected, then the models diverge with tracks near or east of Florida (this weekend) and in some cases making landfalls as far north as the Carolinas (early next week).


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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 7 September, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Breezy and rather cool with rain at times, amounts heavier in west and north where 10-20 mm possible, and a later onset of rain in the south but eventually 5-10 mm there also. Highs 15 to 18 C. Moderate southwest winds 40-60 km/hr.

    TONIGHT ... Overcast with occasional light rain, moderate southwest to west winds and lows 8-10 C.

    FRIDAY ... Breezy to windy and cool, showers or longer intervals of rain, moderate to strong west-northwest winds 50-80 km/hr. Morning lows 8-10 C and afternoon highs 14 to 16 C.

    SATURDAY ... Strong winds at first then moderate northwest later, partly cloudy, showers more isolated than Friday but heavy in a few places, lows 7-9 C and highs 15 to 18 C. Steady rain and strong winds likely by evening and overnight with temperatures steady 14 to 16 C.

    SUNDAY ... Breezy to windy (WSW veering WNW 50-70 km/hr), rain at times, 5-15 mm likely, with a mild start near 14C but little upward movement of temperatures during the day, highs about 15 or 16 C.

    MONDAY ... Breezy to windy, cool, showers. Winds northwest 50 to 70 km/hr. Lows about 7 C and highs 14 to 16 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Breezy, unsettled and cool most days, one or two more settled days in the mix but generally the trend looks very autumnal and temperatures will average 1-2 deg below normal while rain will be 25 to 50% above normal, heavier in north.

    My local weather on Wednesday was cloudy with smoke haze mixed in with some cloud, but warm with highs near 23 C. Hurricane Irma has largely bypassed Puerto Rico and will probably spare Hispaniola and Cuba from major impacts, but eventually will run into parts of the southern Bahamas, then turn north near the east coast of Florida. I think the chances are probably greater for an eventual landfall further north with moderate impacts to eastern Florida but there is some chance of a more damaging track near or slightly inland from the coast. This will likely be on Sunday, with any landfall in the Carolinas on Monday.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 8 September, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Breezy to windy and cool, showers or longer intervals of rain, mostly across the south this morning, more widespread by afternoon, moderate to strong west-northwest winds increasing to 50-80 km/hr by afternoon. Highs only 14 to 16 C.

    TONIGHT ... Windy with passing showers, winds northwest 40-60 km/hr, lows about 8 to 10 C.

    SATURDAY ... Strong winds at first then moderate northwest later, partly cloudy, some heavy showers during the morning, then showers more isolated by later in the afternoon and evening, with highs 15 to 18 C. Steady rain and strong winds likely by about midnight north and west, later overnight in Leinster, with temperatures steady 13 to 15 C in gusty westerly winds.

    SUNDAY ... Breezy to windy (WSW veering WNW 50-70 km/hr), rain at times, 5-15 mm likely, with a mild start near 14C but little upward movement of temperatures during the day, highs about 15 or 16 C.

    MONDAY ... Breezy to windy, cool, showers. Winds northwest 50 to 70 km/hr. Lows about 7 C and highs 14 to 16 C.

    TUESDAY ... A few sunny intervals developing, with rain near or just off the south coast at times, followed by more widespread rain late afternoon and evening into the overnight hours. Highs near 16 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Windy with showers, highs near 16 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Very slow improvement seems likely mid-month and there could be a few better days eventually with somewhat higher temperatures.

    My local weather was once again overcast with smoke haze, dim hazy sunshine at times, and warm with highs near 24 C. Irma has been ravaging the Turks and Caicos most of the night and is gearing up for a run into southeast Florida Saturday night or early Sunday, with potential for severe damage in Miami and up the coast.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 9 September, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland


    ADVANCE ALERT for very strong winds on Sunday afternoon and evening, with gusts to 110 km/hr possible on the Atlantic coasts and exposed locations inland.

    TODAY ... Rather windy at times, frequent showers with risk of a thunderstorm this morning, partial clearing by afternoon. Winds WNW 40-60 km/hr with some higher gusts this morning. Highs 16 to 18 C.

    TONIGHT ... Windy, temperatures steady 13 to 15 C, a few passing showers or intervals of light rain more frequent in Ulster and north Leinster.

    SUNDAY ... Blustery with very strong west to northwest winds developing by afternoon (70-110 km/hr in exposed locations and most west or north coast locations), temperatures steady near 16 C then falling gradually in the afternoon to around 12 C. Mostly cloudy although some brighter intervals in the south and east.

    MONDAY ... Very windy to mid-morning hours then somewhat less blustery in a continued cool northwest flow, winds 70-110 km/hr at first then 40-70 km/hr later. Temperatures steady 11 to 14 C. Occasional rain will be more frequent and persistent in west and eventually may extend across all regions.

    TUESDAY ... A few dry intervals with sunny breaks, less windy, followed by an interval of heavy rain, morning lows 8-10 C and afternoon highs 14-17 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Windy, rain tapering to showers, winds W-NW 50-80 km/hr. Temperatures steady near 12 C.

    THURSDAY and FRIDAY will see gradual improvement with winds settling into a more moderate 30-50 km/hr range, partly cloudy skies with less frequent showers, and highs of 15 to 17 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK calls for a settled spell with highs 18-20 C around the following weekend (16th-17th) before renewed windy and unsettled conditions return.

    My local weather on Friday started out with some rain then gradually cleared to hazy sunshine, and highs were somewhat cooler at 20 C.

    Hurricane Irma has been tangling with Cuba overnight and is expected to weaken slightly as a result, then regain strength crossing the Florida Strait later today, hitting with full force somewhere in south Florida on Sunday morning. The most likely track is across the Keys and up the west coast but moving inland before Tampa-St Petersburg. The landfall point favoured at this point is near Fort Myers. This will reduce the threat to Miami and the southeast somewhat, but it will still be an impactful event there on this track. Hurricane gusts are possible inland as far north as Orlando.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 10 September, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland



    ALERT for very strong winds this afternoon and evening into the overnight hours, with gusts to 110 km/hr possible on the Atlantic coasts and exposed locations inland. Also some locally heavy rainfalls 30-50 mm in north Connacht, Ulster and parts of north Leinster with the risk of spot flooding, 20-30 mm further south.

    TODAY and TONIGHT ... Blustery with very strong west to northwest winds developing by afternoon (70-110 km/hr in exposed locations and most west or north coast locations), these strong winds lasting well into the overnight hours, with temperatures today steady 14 to 16 C then falling gradually in the afternoon to around 12 C and overnight to 9 or 10 C, starting to feel quite cold due to the winds mainly. Mostly cloudy although some brighter intervals in the south and east. Intervals of heavy rain will develop by afternoon and evening especially over north Connacht, Ulster and north Leinster where a total of 30-50 mm may fall by morning, leading to spot flooding. More showery rain further south in that time period, and amounts 15 to 25 mm.

    MONDAY ... Very windy to mid-morning hours then somewhat less blustery in a continued cool northwest flow, winds 70-110 km/hr at first then 40-70 km/hr later. Very chilly with temperatures steady 11 to 14 C. Occasional rain will continue and could be persistent in west and eventually may extend across all regions after some breaks, further amounts of 5-10 mm after the heavy overnight rainfalls.

    TUESDAY ... A few dry intervals with sunny breaks, less windy, followed by an interval of heavy rain that could amount to 15-25 mm with a notable increase in wind speeds (south veering west 50-80 km/hr), morning lows 8-10 C and afternoon highs 14-17 C. Very windy overnight into Wednesday morning with peak gusts around 90 km/hr.

    WEDNESDAY ... Windy, rain tapering to showers, winds W-NW 50-80 km/hr. Temperatures steady near 12 C.

    THURSDAY and FRIDAY will see gradual improvement with winds settling into a more moderate 30-50 km/hr range, partly cloudy skies with less frequent showers, and highs of 15 to 17 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK calls for a settled spell with highs 18-20 C around the following weekend (16th-17th) that could persist for a few days into the following week, before renewed windy and unsettled conditions return. It will eventually turn colder again too, after this pleasant interlude mid-month.

    My local weather on Saturday was overcast with light rain and late partial clearing, highs only near 18 C.

    Irma is regaining strength overnight after slight weakening due to its day-long trek along the north coast of Cuba. As of 0730h IST (which is 0230 EDT locally) the eye of cat-4 Irma is slowly approaching Key West, I expect it to cross that outermost portion of the Keys within two or three hours doing considerable damage with both wind and storm surge, then the dangerous storm will be accelerating towards the southwest coast of Florida, where a landfall may be very close to the 2004 site of Charley's landfall near Punta Gorda and Port Charlotte. This will bring considerable wind and surge threats to Fort Myers, Venice, the landfall zone and even Tampa Bay because of the shallow angle of inland penetration that may take the eye through parts of Tampa-St Petersburg Sunday night. Eventually a slowly weakening hurricane will die out over Georgia and eastern Alabama by Monday night.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 11 September, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Very windy this morning but some moderation by afternoon, also widespread heavy showers becoming less frequent with a few sunny breaks by afternoon. Winds west to northwest 50-80 km/hr moderating to 30-50 km/hr. Highs 13-15 C and further rainfalls 5-15 mm.

    TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, moderate westerly winds falling off to light inland, lows 7 to 10 C.

    TUESDAY ... Sunny intervals followed by increasing cloud, strengthening winds by afternoon and rain, heavier in south (10-20 mm by early Wednesday). Highs about 15 or 16 C.

    TUESDAY NIGHT ... Windy with heavy showers, winds southerly veering to westerly about 50-80 km/hr, lows near
    9 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Windy with showers, winds westerly 50-80 km/hr, highs 14 or 15 C.

    THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, cold northerly breezes. Morning lows about 5 to 7 C and afternoon highs 13 to 16 C.

    FRIDAY ... Chance of frost inland south, east, then a bright and mainly sunny day, lows 2 to 7 C and highs 13 to
    17 C.

    SATURDAY ... Intervals of cloud and sunshine, a few intervals of drizzly light showers as a weak front passes through northern half of the country but little accumulation expected. Morning lows 4 to 8 C and afternoon highs 14 to 18 C.

    SUNDAY and MONDAY should continue fairly pleasant and mild with chilly nights and reasonably warm days near 18 C. After that, a gradual return to unsettled regime with stronger winds at times, generally a rather cool pattern.

    My local weather on Sunday turned out partly cloudy after a damp start, and highs reached 19 C. Meanwhile, Irma moved inland soon enough to avert a major problem for Tampa Bay although there will be some flooding, the track taken by the hurricane managed to limit damage to widespread "nuisance" and pockets of moderately severe disruption, and the somewhat weakened state of the hurricane after its long entanglement with Cuba probably reduced the overall impacts on Florida, but it will be the last Irma we'll see anyway after all the devastation brought to the Caribbean islands earlier. Irma is still quite a strong system but will soon be downgraded to a tropical storm northwest of Orlando and then a tropical depression by tonight in western Georgia.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 12 September, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Sunny intervals, a few isolated showers this morning, followed by increasing cloud, strengthening winds by afternoon and rain spreading rapidly east across most counties, but heavier in south (10-20 mm by early Wednesday). Highs about 15 or 16 C.

    TONIGHT ... Windy with heavy showers, winds southerly veering to westerly about 60-90 km/hr, lows near 9 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Windy with showers, winds westerly 60-100 km/hr around daybreak, slowly moderating by afternoon, feeling quite cold with highs only 14 or 15 C.

    THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, cold northerly breezes 30-50 km/hr. Morning lows about 5 to 7 C and afternoon highs 13 to 16 C.

    FRIDAY ... Chance of frost inland south, east, then a bright and partly cloudy to sunny day, although still a few isolated showers mainly eastern counties, with lows 2 to 7 C and highs 13 to 16 C.

    SATURDAY ... Intervals of cloud and sunshine, isolated and drizzly light showers as a weak front passes through northern half of the country but little accumulation expected. Morning lows 1 to 5 C and afternoon highs 14 to 18 C.

    SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy to overcast by later afternoon, light rain in some western counties by evening, slight chance of morning frosts with lows 0 to 5 C, highs near 17 C.

    MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers, highs near 18 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Unsettled, and turning cooler again by mid-week; this month may average 1-2 deg below normal with only a few milder days in the mix.

    My local weather on Monday was sunny and a little warmer again with highs reaching 23 C. Tropical Storm Irma has been downgraded again to a tropical depression and will drop the last of its abundant rainfall over the inland southeast for the next two days. Meanwhile, Hurricane Jose is about to make a slow clockwise loop east of the Bahamas and may eventually drift much closer to the east coast of the U.S., forecasts are rather tentative about where or even if it makes a landfall and at what strength (this would be at least ten days from now).


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 13 September, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TODAY ... Windy and quite cold with passing showers, some with thunder and hail, but also some brief sunny intervals. Winds westerly 40-70 km/hr with some higher gusts in exposed locations. Highs only 13 to 15 C.

    TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy with showers more isolated, cold. Lows 3 to 7 C. Frost unlikely as winds will not totally abate, but some patchy ground frost is possible in the inland south.

    THURSDAY ... Intervals of cloud and sunshine, a few showers, some locally heavy, moderate northwest winds 30-50 km/hr. Highs 13 to 16 C.

    FRIDAY ... Morning frosts inland, cool during the day with sunny intervals and isolated showers, lows 2 to 5 C and highs 13 to 16 C.

    SATURDAY ... Sunny intervals, isolated showers in Leinster and east Ulster, winds rather light but northerly for part of the day, morning frosts with lows 1 to 5 C, afternoon highs 14 to 17 C.

    SUNDAY ... Variable cloud with some decent sunny intervals away from the cloudier west coast, mainly dry though, morning frosts again with lows 0 to 4 C, highs about 14 to 18 C.

    MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, a little warmer, lows 2-5 C and highs about 18 or 19 C.

    TUESDAY ... Increasing cloud, becoming rather windy again, showers later, highs about 19 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The latest guidance seems to back off on the earlier advertised return to unsettled and breezy to windy conditions, but confidence in that improvement is low at this point. It seems to be related to changes made in the eventual track of Jose which may now just die out near the east coast of the U.S. rather than becoming a strong extratropical low. I would expect further changes in this difficult long term portion of the forecast.

    Meanwhile, my local weather was mostly overcast on Tuesday with a few brief glimpses of sunshine, and highs near 18 C. As mentioned above, Jose still has the five-day trek from east of the Bahamas to near the east coast of the U.S. but after that guidance has changed somewhat and it turns into a rather meandering system that eventually moves inland although not in a very strong condition (like Sandy for example).


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 14 September, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Intervals of cloud and sunshine, a few showers, some locally heavy, moderate northwest winds 30-50 km/hr. Highs 13 to 16 C.

    TONIGHT ... Showers dying out, clear intervals, cold with patchy ground frost likely inland south, central and east. Lows 2 to 5 C.

    FRIDAY ... Morning frosts inland, cool during the day with sunny intervals and isolated showers, lows 2 to 5 C and highs 13 to 16 C.

    SATURDAY ... Sunny intervals, isolated showers in Leinster and east Ulster, winds rather light but moderate northerly for part of the day in eastern counties, morning frosts with lows 1 to 5 C, afternoon highs 14 to 17 C.

    SUNDAY ... Variable cloud with some decent sunny intervals away from the cloudier west coast, mainly dry though, morning frosts again with lows 0 to 4 C, highs about 14 to 18 C.

    MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers, a little warmer, lows 2-5 C (except 7-10 C north and west coasts) and highs about 18 or 19 C.

    TUESDAY ... Increasing cloud, becoming rather windy again, showers turning to rain later, with southwest winds increasing to 40-60 km/hr, highs about 19 or 20 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Breezy, unsettled by mid-week and turning somewhat colder again. Highs generally in 14 to 17 C range.

    My local weather on Wednesday was sunny and pleasant with highs near 19 C. The latest guidance on slow-moving Hurricane Jose has reverted back to a track off the east coast of the U.S. and past Newfoundland but into the vicinity of Greenland eventually, however this could change as uncertainty remains high. After quite a chilly start to September, the eastern U.S. has warmed up to slightly above normal temperatures with highs near 27 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 15 September, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Cloudy with sunny intervals and isolated showers, highs 13 to 16 C. Moderate northerly winds 30-50 km/hr more apparent in northern coastal counties and other exposed locations.

    TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy, cool. Lows 3 to 7 C. Ground frost is possible but will likely not be widespread because of patchy cloud.

    SATURDAY ... Sunny intervals, isolated showers in Leinster and east Ulster, winds rather light but moderate northerly for part of the day in eastern counties, cool with afternoon highs only 13 to 15 C.

    SUNDAY ... Variable cloud with some decent sunny intervals away from the cloudier west coast, mainly dry though, morning frosts more widespread with lows 0 to 4 C, highs about 14 to 18 C.

    MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, a little warmer, lows 2-5 C (except 7-10 C north and west coasts) and highs about 18 or 19 C.

    TUESDAY ... Increasing cloud, becoming rather windy again, showers turning to rain later, with southwest winds increasing to 40-60 km/hr, highs about 19 or 20 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Early morning rain, blustery, turning colder by afternoon as winds rapidly veer to westerly 40-70 km/hr. Squall line potential for eastern counties.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Gradually warming up later in the week, and it now appears that the last week of September will turn relatively warm in southeast winds, although this outlook seems to be changing almost every day as models try to decipher what's happening over the western Atlantic.

    My local weather on Thursday was sunny with highs near 21 C. It was closer to 25 C further inland. Jose, temporarily downgraded to tropical storm status, will regain hurricane intensity and make a move up the east coast of the U.S., possibly hitting some part of the northeast (as a cat-1 hurricane, so not too big an impact). Another strong tropical system may be generated west of Africa by either of two developing systems, the first of these to get a name may be the trailing member and that will become Tropical Storm Lee.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,336 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 16 September, 2017

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Increasing cloud this morning, followed by an outbreak of showers that will be heavier in eastern and central counties in occasionally moderate northerly winds of 30 to 50 km/hr. Quite chilly with highs only 12 to 15 C.

    TONIGHT ... Clearing, some local frost possible inland south and east, lows 1 to 5 C.

    SUNDAY ... Sunny with cloudy intervals, eventually warming up to 14-17 C.

    MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, milder after another rather frosty start in some eastern inland locations. Lows 2 to 7 C and highs 15 to 18 C.

    TUESDAY ... Increasing cloud, warmer, highs 18-20 C. Outbreaks of rain likely by late in the day.

    WEDNESDAY ... Blustery, showers, turning cooler. Highs 14-16 C. About 15 mm of rain on average, gusty southwest winds during a frontal passage mid-day to late afternoon across the country.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Relatively mild later in the week and on the weekend of 23rd and 24th. Highs back to near 19 or 20 C at times.

    My local weather on Friday was sunny with a high near 18 C. The east coast of the U.S. may get brushed by Jose after the weekend once the relatively weak hurricane starts moving faster to the northwest and north. However, there's about a 50-50 chance it will stay out to sea and miss land or run past Cape Cod into some part of eastern Canada.


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