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Storm Eunice - Friday 18th February - Wind & Snow Potential

  • 13-02-2022 8:09pm
    Registered Users Posts: 22,372 ✭✭✭✭

    Hello friends!!! seems like a while since we've had something interesting to focus on! 🤗

    This system which will begin developing and scooting this way overnight Tuesday from the southwest and go in to a period of rapid deepening as it approaches by Thursday requires enthusiastic eyeballs on it.

    Could get very interesting by late Thursday evening/Thursday night/Friday - potential for heavy rain, snowfall and markedly increased winds for a time, stormy conditions potentially. I think there is no harm having a thread on this given we've been struggling for anything remotely interesting to mention really this winter so far.

    Potential hazards and warning levels:

    Strong Winds: ORANGE

    Snow: ORANGE

    Rainfall: YELLOW

    GFS synoptic profile prediction Friday Afternoon, tight gradient and cold air in place both immediately ahead and behind the system:

    As regards the rain risk - that's a given anything between 25 and 50mm in some places Thursday night and through most of Friday. Again dependent on track of the system. Some local flooding would seem a high enough risk.

    The snow risk is certainly there but it's a question of where? Some models have the best chance in the north and west, others further south. It all depends on the track and it's too far out for meaningful forecasts for now but i'd say a snow event of whatever sort is a significant risk at the moment and that could be anywhere right now. This is the UK Met Office but there is a lot of different outcomes.

    That's just one possibility, other models like I say this further south and that's vital for where see's the most snowfall. Some models like the ECM have things a bit too far north really so far.

    We'll have to keep an eye on the track and the evolving projected depth of this system and see the evolution in the next couple of days.

    A significant event is possibly developing here but we'll see. 🙃

    Post edited by DOCARCH on



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,677 ✭✭✭ igCorcaigh

    Finally! Some possibly interesting weather. Thank you Kermit!

  • Registered Users Posts: 17,762 ✭✭✭✭ RobbingBandit

    Will definitely keep a watch on this thank you sir

  • Registered Users Posts: 6,163 ✭✭✭ pauldry

    Thank you for setting up this thread. Even if it goes pear shaped its something of interest. We've had 18mm of rain this weekend and jet definitely picking up umph.

  • Registered Users Posts: 9,655 ✭✭✭ Oscar Bravo

    a thread started the Sunday before a storm on the Friday. boards is sinking

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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,631 ✭✭✭ daheff

    Here's hoping for thunder snow!!!

  • Registered Users Posts: 1,906 ✭✭✭ Artane2002

    The UKMO went very OTT once more this evening, it's still showing snow cover approaching a foot in parts of the west. The GFS is much less enthused, showing 3-5cm across the northern half of the country away from the east coast, still a respectable fall though. The GEM shows 2-10cm across the northern third. It'd be nice to see a southward correction to bring more people in the game. Of course, snow cover charts are not to be taken at face value regardless.

  • Registered Users Posts: 22,372 ✭✭✭✭

    Here is 12z Arpege to first thing Friday morning as that system approaches. And the colder air digging in behind as well as evaporative cooling getting snowfall to low levels under precipitation. Track is going to be key here as always.

    Lot's of twists and turns to come.

    And some really sharp temperature and dp gradients on some of the models as the system moves in

    Post edited by on

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  • Registered Users Posts: 375 ✭✭ Donegal Ken

    Should a thread not be set up for Wednesday night? That system could back a punch.

  • Registered Users Posts: 6,138 ✭✭✭ Cluedo Monopoly

    I just heard about this upcoming storm. It has been a particularly benign winter. Good to see some activity on the way. Snow would be a bonus!

  • Registered Users Posts: 12,844 ✭✭✭✭ sryanbruen

    Friday's low been named Storm Eunice by UK Met and Wednesday's depression Storm Dudley also.

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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,672 ✭✭✭ pad199207

    Status Orange - Wind warning for Donegal

    Met Éireann Weather Warning

    Westerly winds associated with Storm Dudley will reach mean speeds of 65 – 80km/h with damaging gusts of 100 – 130km/h, stronger on exposed coasts and on high ground.

    A combination of high tide and strong winds will lead to some coastal flooding.

    Warning will be updated Tuesday morning.

    Valid: 21:00 Wednesday 16/02/2022 to 09:00 Thursday 17/02/2022

    Issued: 11:04 Monday 14/02/2022

    Status Yellow - Wind warning for Clare, Donegal, Galway, Mayo

    • Met Éireann Weather Warning
    • Westerly winds associated with Storm Dudley will reach mean speeds of 50 – 65km/h with damaging gusts of 80 – 110km/h, stronger on exposed coasts and on high ground.

    • A combination of high tide and strong winds will lead to some coastal flooding.

    • Warning will be updated Tuesday morning.
    • Valid: 12:00 Wednesday 16/02/2022 to 12:00 Thursday 17/02/2022
    • Issued: 11:04 Monday 14/02/2022

  • Registered Users Posts: 650 ✭✭✭ Packrat

    Thank you. A sensible response. I'm that soldier but thankfully we don't all have to huddle these days.

    I get the interest in extreme weather patterns.

    Most of us watch footage of hurricanes out of morbid curiosity.

    What we don't do is cheer when they appear or approach a populated place.

    Anyway, I'd better stop replying because I'll destroy the thread on you all if it turns into a back and forth.

  • Registered Users Posts: 1,876 ✭✭✭ squarecircles

    The latest from Met Eireann.

    Headline: A very unsettled week ahead with the weather expected to cause some disruption at times so please keep up to date Met Eireann Warnings.

    Storm Dudley will track to the north of Ireland on Wednesday afternoon and evening. Warnings are in operation for Ulster and parts of Connacht. After a brief respite on Thursday, Storm Eunice looks likely to track up over Ireland later on Thursday night and during Friday, bringing with it the potential for some severe winds countrywide. It also has the potential to bring falls of snow.

    Wednesday will be fair at first, but with rain soon spreading from the west, clearing once again to showers later. Temperatures will be higher than usual for the time of year initially, it will turn cold with the clearing rain. Winds will increase strong to gale southwest to west with stormy conditions likely to develop in western and northern coastal counties and the risk of some coastal flooding due to wave overtopping.

    The severe winds will moderate on Thursday to bring a mainly dry day, though there'll be a few scattered rain or hail showers too, with a more persistent spell of rain later in the day and overnight. There's a chance of sleet and snow on hills and mountains overnight and at times to lower levels in the north. Becoming very windy or stormy again too.

    Friday will be a cold and very windy or stormy day with outbreaks of rain, sleet and hill snow. Some snow at lower levels too especially in the north and west.

  • Registered Users Posts: 1,876 ✭✭✭ squarecircles


    Two low pressure systems named by the UK Met Office will bring spells of very strong and damaging winds to Ireland and the UK later this week.

    On Wednesday Storm Dudley will bring strong winds to northern and western parts of Ireland, then on Friday Storm Eunice is forecast to bring more widespread strong and damaging winds across Ireland, along with heavy rain and potentially snow.

    Met Éireann has issued Yellow wind warnings for Clare, Galway, Donegal and Mayo on Wednesday, where Storm Dudley will bring wind gusts of around 80-110 km/h at times. An Orange wind warning has also been issued for Donegal, where gusts could reach around 130km/h along exposed coasts. On Friday a more widespread spell of windy and disruptive weather is expected as Storm Eunice moves across Ireland, with weather warnings expected to be issued in the coming days. Weather warning are also in place for Northern Ireland from Wednesday to Friday, issued by the Met Office.

    Met Éireann meteorologist, Emer Flood said: “It’s been a fairly quiet year so far but that’s all going to change this week as an active jet stream steers several low-pressure systems across Ireland and the UK.

    “On Wednesday Storm Dudley will bring strong winds to mainly northern and western areas, these strong winds in combination with high tides will lead to large coastal waves and some coastal flooding.”

    Emer continued: “As Storm Dudley clears eastwards on Thursday morning winds will ease for a time, before picking up again on Friday morning as Storm Eunice approaches. We’re keeping a close eye on this Storm as there is the potential for more widespread strong winds across Ireland which may lead to some disruption and damage. Along with strong winds, Eunice is expected to bring spells of heavy rain and potentially some snow. We’re advising the public to keep a close eye on the weather forecast as the week progresses as further weather warnings are likely to be issued.”

    For the most accurate and up to date forecast for your area on the Island of Ireland go to The latest weather advisories and warnings for Ireland are on the Met Éireann Warnings page. These services and more are available on our free app – available from the App store for iPhone, and Play store for Android.

  • Registered Users Posts: 6,163 ✭✭✭ pauldry

    Here's one for the BiNGO card. Why on earth is Sligo not included in a gale warning with Northwesterlys likely?

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