Cold Spell - Feb 7th to 13th 2021 - Chat

aisling86

Danno wrote: »

Very optimistic by Michelle!!!

Music to my ears wasn't expecting so optimistic!

bb1234567

Is much precipitation expected overnight in eastern counties? Presume it will fall as snow if so given the temps

Gizit

Light snow flurry in East Clare

pad199207

Did Michelle say how long the cold would win out to?

TheMilkyPirate

Anyone have a brief summary of what Michelle said. I missed it thanks to two minutes of ads on the atrocity that is rte player

guil

Can't wait to see what it's like going to work for 5

Davaeo09

Less vague than the 9 o clock

Thanks for the heads up

typhoony

some low temps over in the UK this evening, that air should be over us later on.

Danno

pad199207 wrote: »

Did Michelle say how long the cold would win out to?

Possibly into next week :eek:

munsterlegend

aisling86 wrote: »

Music to my ears wasn't expecting so optimistic!

I’d be waiting until Wednesday before getting any hopes up especially for Cork!

pad199207

Danno wrote: »

Possibly into next week :eek:

Ah stop the lights

Slashermcguirk

She said on Thursday and Friday likely to remain as snow in east and north and I think midlands. She said there is a battleground over the weekend with a separate weather system approaching but that current indications suggest the cold may win out in north and east. Very interesting and one to keep an eye on

pad199207 wrote: »

Did Michelle say how long the cold would win out to?

Irish Steve

Michelle strongly suggesting that the cold in the east of the country may not get displaced, and that further weather off the Atlantic could continue to fall as snow in eastern and northern parts of the country. Not a guaranteed scenario, but the clear hint was given that a breakdown over significant parts of the country is not the way they see this working at the moment.

Not sure, and given we've seen very little today in Ashbourne, despite all around us seeing more, I'm not going to get too excited just yet.

konman

light flakes blowing around here, no clouds, all i see is the stars in the sky.
5k south of Tuam.

Technophobe

Technophobe wrote: »

Any experts care to give a short explanation of why some apps are now showing decent snow forecasts for Sunday and Monday?
Thks

The apps mainly run off the latest gfs runs,so vary 4 times a day
If the run they usually update on shows snow,so will the app
But its not accurate
Forecasters use a blend of different models and their opinions to generate a much more accurate forecast
That too is limited by uncertainty as its easier to forecast if all the different models agree on outcomes
A lot of them often do within 4 to 5 days
Currently they're not which is where you'll hear a forecaster talk about uncertainty

Back to your app,it can't do any of that,it can only parrot one model

Cloudio9

TheMilkyPirate wrote: »

Anyone have a brief summary of what Michelle said. I missed it thanks to two minutes of ads on the atrocity that is rte player

Thursday is pretty much nailed on for widespread snow (not her exact words). Warmer air getting as far as West Munster, parts of Connacht.

Warnings should be issued by Wednesday morning.

Reload over the weekend potentially extends the snow in to next week but main focus on Thursday-Friday now.

Dazler97

Showers sadly breaking up before they reach me here's hoping, also I'm confidence is building for Thursday for 2/3 nationwide snowfall

piplip87

AuntySnow wrote: »

The apps mainly run off the latest gfs runs,so vary 4 times a day
If the run they usually update on shows snow,so will the app
But its not accurate
Forecasters use a blend of different models and their opinions to generate a much more accurate forecast
That too is limited by uncertainty as its easier to forecast if all the different models agree on outcomes
A lot of them often do within 4 to 5 days
Currently they're not which is where you'll hear a forecaster talk about uncertainty

Back to your app,it can't do any of that,it can only parrot one model

I like the windy app let's you compare 4 or 5 different models..

Oneiric 3

Snow in Edinburgh tonight.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMXn-uV5vw4

Love the Scottish accent. Those who speak it always sound like they are just about going to nut you one.

mickger844posts

Just watched back Michelle on CBLive and a very positive outlook it was. The only certainty really is Thursday is nailed on for hours of snow for many and beyond that all outcomes still possible.

John.Icy

That's a great update for Thursday and onwards.

I can see it already now here in Dublin...watching the front for hours on it's journey...will it make it? will it weaken? will the Wicklow Mts make mince meat of it?

Bring on the torture!

TheMilkyPirate

mickger844posts wrote: »

Just watched back Michelle on CBLive and a very positive outlook it was. The only certainty really is Thursday is nailed on for hours of snow for many and beyond that all outcomes still possible.

Where did you watch it back Mick?

gerrybhoy

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

Snow in Edinburgh tonight.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMXn-uV5vw4

Love the Scottish accent. Those who speak it always sound like they are just about going to nut you one.

Not all of us....been here 20 years told I sound like a snob when I go back

Technophobe

AuntySnow wrote: »

The apps mainly run off the latest gfs runs,so vary 4 times a day
If the run they usually update on shows snow,so will the app
But its not accurate
Forecasters use a blend of different models and their opinions to generate a much more accurate forecast
That too is limited by uncertainty as its easier to forecast if all the different models agree on outcomes
A lot of them often do within 4 to 5 days
Currently they're not which is where you'll hear a forecaster talk about uncertainty

Back to your app,it can't do any of that,it can only parrot one model

Thanks for that..its showing next Sunday as very windy and cold and snowy..fingers crossed

Larbre34

Really coming down with dry powder on the Dublin, Meath and Kildare border.

Davaeo09

TTLF wrote: »

was this news 9pm weather yes?

Claire Burne show had some one from met eireann

gerrybhoy

TTLF wrote: »

was this news 9pm weather yes?

Claire Byrne live

redsteveireland

Frost on the cars in Galway, all we need is some snow now

Dazler97

Larbre34 wrote: »

Really coming down with dry powder on the Dublin, Meath and Kildare border.

Looks like your getting blasted out of it

Brendan offaly

Is that train of streamers along the M6 starting to drop south a little. Wishful thinking maybe.
Looks like decent snow.