Coronavirus Part II - Its arrived - We're Doomed!!! See OP for Mod warnings

tom1ie

darjeeling wrote: »

My thoughts on case numbers in some recent new outbreaks:

Iran - sudden increase in cases starting 9 days ago, high proportion of deaths from the beginning.
Prompted Twitter speculation about locally-evolved hypervirulent strain.

Italy - spike in cases starting 9 days ago, high proportion of deaths and ICU cases from the beginning.

Today, first death in USA (Seattle, Washington) - a woman in her 50s with pre-existing health conditions and no known contact with anyone from affected areas who died in hospital.

Why are first cases looking unusually severe in these outbreaks?

We've seen from China that if people are going to deteriorate to the point of needing ICU treatment, that takes 2-3 weeks or more.
WHO report on China said early treatment gives best outcomes.
People presenting at hospitals with severe / critical symptoms had much higher death rates.

If first cases come with high ICU case and death rates, then it's likely infection was already spreading for weeks while authorities were oblivious.
That means that there will be many more infected with less severe symptoms.

S Korea has begun mass testing (200K members of cult church are to be tested!), and so confirmed cases are running well ahead of fatalities there, and ICU cases & deaths may be reduced due to early detection.

Can we deduce that first cases were ALWAYS this bad, but this wasn’t disclosed by China? I’m just wondering this not preaching it.

fr336

J. Marston wrote: »

This probably gets a lot of people giddy with excitement.

****.

Yes I'm so giddy about all the older relatives I have in Ireland, yes jumping with excitement here.

melonstar

Fr_Dougal wrote: »

What will happen if some of the Brennans bread bakery workers catch the virus? :eek:

Pat the Baker 😇

BanditLuke

Jinglejangle69 wrote: »

Actually once you get into the system, the HSE is world class.

Eh that's a no.

Snow Garden

Jinglejangle69 wrote: »

Actually once you get into the system, the HSE is world class.

Utter utter utter nonsense.

BanditLuke

J. Marston wrote: »

This probably gets a lot of people giddy with excitement.

****.

Come on that's just nasty.

No need for it and it only winds people up and derails the thread.

igCorcaigh

And, it's here.
On page 666 lol

Sawduck

We probably have way more than just the one case here, the HSE are incompetent. We will still be letting planes from places like Italy or other countries with major outbreaks into Ireland, get your brennans while you can

Fr_Dougal

melonstar wrote: »

Pat the Baker ��

What good will frisking them do?

8-10

Cody montana wrote: »

Dubs again?

What was the last time?

billybonkers

Probably someone who was in Italy

ceadaoin.

tom1ie wrote: »

Can we deduce that first cases were ALWAYS this bad, but this wasn’t disclosed by China? I’m just wondering this not preaching it.

I'd say it's because these arent really the first cases, just the ones that got severe enough to be noticed

Ludo

BanditLuke wrote: »

Eh that's a no.

It really is, but some people willnever accept that.

freshpopcorn

Now we have a Corona party!

DrumSteve

igCorcaigh wrote: »

And, it's here.
On page 666 lol

Come on, up the post count per page ffs. Only on 200 here.

Jinglejangle69

Snow Garden wrote: »

Utter utter utter nonsense.

What is?

ChikiChiki

odyssey06 wrote: »

There is a confirmed case of COVID-19 (coronavirus) in the Republic of Ireland. They are receiving treatment in hospital. Infection prevention measures are in place. Public Health Specialists are working to identify contacts who need advice and follow-up

Thank God. I was getting worried. This person will get the best treatment I'd say and all will be looking great at the HSE.

OneEightSeven

super_furry wrote: »

We're fcuked, the wind will blow it all over the island now.

The westerly wind will blow a virus on the east all over the island?

Kermit.de.frog

At least it puts to bed notions the HSE are asleep at the wheel.

fr336

Did they wait for the 9pm news lol I thought that was just a Brits thing

DrumSteve

OneEightSeven wrote: »

The westerly wind will blow a virus on the east all over the island?

I don't think it works like that....

splinter65

Jinglejangle69 wrote: »

What is?

Suggesting that the HSE is world class. If you’d ever spent an hour in A&E in Clonmel Hospital you’d know how utterly ludicrous that statement is.

Strazdas

billybonkers wrote: »

Probably someone who was in Italy

Correct, a man who had been in northern Italy

gabeeg

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

At least it puts to bed notions the HSE are asleep at the wheel.

They're just gee-eyed

scotchy

We'll need a bigger thread.

.

tom1ie

ceadaoin. wrote: »

I'd say it's because these arent really the first cases, just the ones that got severe enough to be noticed

Could that be the same here though? Have people been walking around with the “flu” unknowingly spreading c19? We’ll never know I suppose but the main thing is this isn’t as bad as a lot of people think when you get it. I. Think the stats show this.
In saying that i did start this question off with disputing the stats from china:eek:

saabsaab

Surprised.


That we didn't have a confirmed case here weeks ago. Flights should have been stopped from affected areas. Maybe they will now?

Snow Garden

Jinglejangle69 wrote: »

What is?

Your statement. Keep up.

Actually once you get into the system, the HSE is world class.

Read this thread especially the posts of Pseudonym121.

https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?p=112650720

el Fenomeno

Strazdas wrote: »

Correct, a man who had been in northern Italy

Hopefully it's not the lad I sit beside at work (in Dublin), who just got back from Northern Italy last weekend

tillyfilly

Jorge the fecker must have been carrying it