Storm Brian : Orange Wind Warning Sat 21 -10-17

Gaoth Laidir · 20-10-2017 7:18am

ASCAT WINDS around midnight showed 60-knot vectors in the south. Waves of 33 ft

ninebeanrows · 20-10-2017 7:19am

ARPEGE usually handles things adequately but can be a little OTT

Showing gusts just exceeding 110kph at the coast along some southwestern coastal fringes...

arpegeuk-52-42-0.png?20-06

lucernarian · 20-10-2017 7:54am

Meteorite58 wrote: »

Interesting.

https://twitter.com/severeweatherEU/status/921113609991749632

These guys (severeweather.eu) need to shut up a bit more often tbh. I saw their so called sting jet tweet dozens of times during Ophelia, there was no instance of one actually recorded though...

I can't see that banded cloud head they're referring to.

decies · 20-10-2017 8:07am

Right it’s easy for non weather people to get lost in charts and the like and boards mobile not great to look at images but just wondering how dangerous for driving is this storm I want to know . Am visiting Waterford today and need to get to south tipp by about noon Saturday, would it be better to bail out later this afternoon or would leaving it till around 11am Saturday cause unnecessary risk ? Thank you .

jumpjack · 20-10-2017 8:09am

Kalyke wrote: »

Spanish Eyes wrote: »

A little bit off topic, sorry mods,

But could those without electricity tell us what they wish they had prepared for, and what they miss most with no power. We know the obvious things, but real time experience might help others in another event.

Candle powered Internet would be sweet..:D

Look for "Portable Thermoelectric Generator for Camping" or "KettleCharge 10 Watt Generator" on Amazon...

Meteorite58 · 20-10-2017 8:09am

Some wet and windy weather today as the first fronts from the filling Storm move in over Ireland. Blustery day in store tomorrow with squally showers. Strongest winds on coastal counties .Winds have been downgrading a tad . Look like getting the strongest winds tomorrow morning into the early afternoon probably topping 100 -110 km/h on the coastal fringes, 80-90 km/h gusts inland possible. Combination of wind and rain giving a rough day I would think.

lLGbE0I.png?1

Gusts

susie05 · 20-10-2017 8:11am

Hi guys
Iv been following u with interest
Looking for advice really
We are due to fly back to dublin airport Saturday evening at 11pm from malaga in order for us too get back the outgoing leg would be due too leave dublin at 6.30pm
How likey is it flights in and out off dublin will be cancelled
I will sh*t myself stuck in spain with 2 kids having panic attacks already
Many thanks

JanuarySnowstor · 20-10-2017 8:12am

I see only upgrades for the southwest
It was always a local event and storm force tomorrow morning is what I see for Kerry/ Cork.
Disruptive again for here

JCX BXC · 20-10-2017 8:14am

susie05 wrote: »

Hi guys
Iv been following u with interest
Looking for advice really
We are due to fly back to dublin airport Saturday evening at 11pm from malaga in order for us too get back the outgoing leg would be due too leave dublin at 6.30pm
How likey is it flights in and out off dublin will be cancelled
I will sh*t myself stuck in spain with 2 kids having panic attacks already
Many thanks

This has been answered more times than I'd like to admit! Maybe we should have a separate thread, or point people to the aviation forum?

I personally don't foresee disruption. A cancellation is very very unlikely in my opinion. We cannot be sure until the TAF comes out this evening, but it's very unlikely in my opinion for any real disruption.

gozunda · 20-10-2017 8:38am

decies wrote: »

Right it’s easy for non weather people to get lost in charts and the like and boards mobile not great to look at images but just wondering how dangerous for driving is this storm I want to know . Am visiting Waterford today and need to get to south tipp by about noon Saturday, would it be better to bail out later this afternoon or would leaving it till around 11am Saturday cause unnecessary risk ? Thank you .

Imo the biggest danger will be localised flooding of roads. The Southwest has already experienced very heavy rainfall in many areas. Keep an ear / eye out for report from the like of AA Roadwatch for reports see: https://www.theaa.ie/roadwatch/newsroom/ (AA tweets are also a good info source imo) and Met Eireann advisories.

Gaoth Laidir · 20-10-2017 9:07am

lucernarian wrote: »

These guys (severeweather.eu) need to shut up a bit more often tbh. I saw their so called sting jet tweet dozens of times during Ophelia, there was no instance of one actually recorded though...

I can't see that banded cloud head they're referring to.

I think they're right, though. It did look like a sting jet with Ophelia and it does look like one is occuring with Brian too.

Asal beag dubh · 20-10-2017 9:16am

The old adages in advance of a storm definitely apply in Galway this morning. Beautiful red sky going to work and dead calm at the moment. I'm incapable of adding any more advanced meteorological observations than that. Adding my thanks to the experts who make this thread so interesting and enjoyably esoteric.

jumpjack · 20-10-2017 9:56am

it's becoming very hard to follow a thread which changes title once or twice a day.

wanderer 22 · 20-10-2017 10:04am

jumpjack wrote: »

it's becoming very hard to follow a thread which changes title once or twice a day.

I'll have a word with Brian and ask him to make up his mind.

MJohnston · 20-10-2017 10:07am

jumpjack wrote: »

it's becoming very hard to follow a thread which changes title once or twice a day.

The thread title is changing less often than the forecasts, so how do you think meteorologists feel?

munsterlegend · 20-10-2017 10:09am

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

I see only upgrades for the southwest
It was always a local event and storm force tomorrow morning is what I see for Kerry/ Cork.
Disruptive again for here

It has moved further north but don't see winds as being too severe save for coastal areas.

I'd be worried about more rain and flooding down here than wind in Cork given yesterday.

Larbre34 · 20-10-2017 10:27am

jumpjack wrote: »

it's becoming very hard to follow a thread which changes title once or twice a day.

Your capability to cope with a seven word title and a simple change of colour makes it more of your problem than ours.

weisses · 20-10-2017 10:31am

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

I think they're right, though. It did look like a sting jet with Ophelia and it does look like one is occuring with Brian too.

Far out into the Atlantic you mean ? ... conditions for it to happen over Ireland are not there

Gaoth Laidir · 20-10-2017 10:36am

weisses wrote: »

Far out into the Atlantic you mean ? ... conditions for it to happen over Ireland are not there

Correct, out in the Atlantic. It will be filling as it arrives here tonight.

Meteorite58 · 20-10-2017 10:47am

Check out @severeweatherEU’;s Tweet: https://twitter.com/severeweatherEU/status/921283653786853377?s=09

Drumpot · 20-10-2017 11:04am

Meteorite58 wrote: »

Check out @severeweatherEU’;s Tweet: https://twitter.com/severeweatherEU/status/921283653786853377?s=09

But wont it weaken significantly before it hits Ireland ?

weisses · 20-10-2017 11:11am

Drumpot wrote: »

But wont it weaken significantly before it hits Ireland ?

yes AFAIK It will have peaked before reaching Our shores

http://www.severe-weather.eu/mcd/update-on-approaching-storm-brian-windy-weather-ahead-for-ireland-and-parts-of-uk/

Meteorite58 · 20-10-2017 11:15am

Yes, as weisses said that is probably peak, weakening as it aproaches our shores.

Latest GFS showing gusts on the coasts up to 100 / 110 km//h .

squarecircles · 20-10-2017 11:42am

When will met eireann downgrade the orange warning I wonder,as they suggest gusts up to 130 kmh,local radio forecast mentions only a coastal gale tomorrow in Mayo,not sure how that merits an orange warning.