Golf Betting MegaThread *** See Mod warning in post #2 & 214***

eagle eye

I completely forgot I did this.

carq

Bad result for me Dustin winning like that.

Had a good few of the top ten backed to win at fancy prices but wasnt really close in the end.
DJ overturned a few trends (World No 1 winning, already has a major winning) - take note for march.

Hopefully he will be nice and short in March and can take him on again with some more value outsiders.

callaway92

carq wrote: »

Bad result for me Dustin winning like that.

Had a good few of the top ten backed to win at fancy prices but wasnt really close in the end.
DJ overturned a few trends (World No 1 winning, already has a major winning) - take note for march.

Hopefully he will be nice and short in March and can take him on again with some more value outsiders.

Honestly, the course will be playing completely different in April. Different ball game - More emphasis on short-game/putting etc.

DJIMI TRARORE

Sepp Straka 66-1 this week

eagle eye

DJIMI TRARORE wrote:

Sepp Straka 66-1 this week

So is Andy Sullivan.

eagle eye

https://ibb.co/301Myt2

I put that up as even though it's before the Masters it's after timing in a way.

So on to the rest of my picks and I've a fair few done.
Obviously above I have Spieth and sorry I didn't put more on him.

Anyways every way I look.at this the two that stand out to me are Justin Thomas and Jordan Spieth.
I did up a stats excel sheet and Justin Thomas was a long way ahead of DeChambeau and Spieth.
I don't like DeChambeau's chances because of his wild drives, you pay big for them in Augusta.
Cam Smith has the look of a guy who could go well and I've added him. He was fifth on my stats projection just behind Max Homa who I've also backed and Brooks Koepka who I'm also backing. Brian Harman is on form and statistically has a great chance so I've a small bet on him too although his Master's history isn't great.
My last two picks are Molinari and Bezuidenhout.
Molinari went well at the Genesis which is the most similar course on the PGA tour As you'll remember he went well for three rounds here in 2019. I was off and watched the whole of a wonderful Alfred Dunhill Championship in South Africa. The greens were very Masters like and Bezuidenhout won it, he also won the Andalusia Masters back in 2019 so he's shown he likes a tough test.
I've also added Ryan Palmer who just seems to be rounding into form.
Finally I've added CT Pan who went well here last year and then did nothing up until his last tournament the Honda.
My bets
5 pts ew Justin Thomas 12/1
3 pts ew Brooks Koepka 25/1
2 pts ew Jordan Spieth 28/1
2 pts ew Cameron Smith 33/1
1 pt ew Max Homa 90/1
1 pt ew Brian Harman 100/1
1/2 pt ew Francesco Molinari 140/1
1/2 pt ew Christian Bezuidenhout 140/1
1/2 pt ew Ryan Palmer 150/1
1/2 pt ew CT Pan 250/1

Based off of stats I've done 4 folds and a 5 fold on the following to miss the cut.
Lanto Griffin
Shane Lowry
Charl Schwartzel
Matthew Wolff
Brendon Todd

paulie21

Justin Thomas 12/1
Sergio Garcia 45/1
Victor Perez 100/1

Frisbee

Oosthuizen T10
Hovland T10

Reed T20
Im T20
Rose T20
Leishman T20
Conners T20

Koepka to Miss Cut
Zalatoris to Miss Cut

Ancer Win Group F

Cantlay e/w

CMcsporty

3 pts win Spieth 11/1
1 pt frl Spieth 18/1
1 pt w2w win Spieth 60/1
1 pt frl Palmer 66/1
1 pt frl Homa 70/1
2 pts e/w Berger 30/1
1 pt ew Kokrak 90/1
1 pt ew Homa 90/1
1/2 pt ew Palmer 125/1
1/2 pt ew Willett 150/1

10 pts lay McIlroy 20/1

Deeper Blue

Win only:
Spieth 11/1

EW:
Garcia 40/1
Bubba 60/1
Kuchar 70/1
Leishman 100/1
Munoz 150/1

LuckyGent88

Main bet is JT to win @ 12/1 15 euro

Then scattered the board on a few e/w
Patrick Reed @ 33/1
Paul Casey @ 40/1
Sergio Garcia @ 50/1
Corey connors @ 80/1
Marc Leishman @ 100/1

Can’t believe the odds on Leishman. Plays well around Augusta, loves firm and fast conditions and is a big tournament player.

CMcsporty

Just added Leishman thanks!
im a donkey for a triple digit price

ForeRight

Paddy powers offering evens on Westwood to make the cut

callaway92

Lack of love for Rahm is startling here.

I'm very happy with him going into it. Justin Thomas with him them.

tigerwood1

ForeRight wrote: »

Paddy powers offering evens on Westwood to make the cut

I seen that myself out from 2/7
They did the same on mc elroy for the players.
Makes you wonder did see practice rounds

castletownman

Have Corey Connors at 66/1 and Louis Oosthuizen at 55/1. Both each-way.

Like a child at Christmas now

eagle eye

Among others I did Fitzpatrick for frl. His last four first rounds have seen him first, second, third and seventh. Not in that order but it's pretty consistent.

Deeper Blue

eagle eye wrote: »

Among others I did Fitzpatrick for frl. His last four first rounds have seen him first, second, third and seventh. Not in that order but it's pretty consistent.

Good shout, I strongly considered him as an EW option. Didn't look much at the frl market as I never seen to have any luck with it

ForeRight

tigerwood1 wrote: »

I seen that myself out from 2/7
They did the same on mc elroy for the players.
Makes you wonder did see practice rounds

Thank god max bet was €20

Mantis Toboggan

ForeRight wrote: »

Paddy powers offering evens on Westwood to make the cut

Bookies rarely wrong

rossyd2005

Someone in here mentioned Zalatoris a couple of weeks ago. Something along the lines of he is in the top 10 or 20 most weeks and since then i noticed he had been. He was 80/1 for the masters and pp were paying 10 places. Fingers crossed he keeps it up for the weekend. Oh and nice spot by the person who posted about him!:)

Degag

Anyone know what price Hideki was start of week?

Kilboor

Degag wrote: »

Anyone know what price Hideki was start of week?

80/1

Schauffele was my bet e/w.

What a disaster. Still make a nice bit if he finishes 2-8

Keano

Kilboor wrote: »

80/1

Schauffele was my bet e/w.

What a disaster. Still make a nice bit if he finishes 2-8

Nobody likes After-timing around these parts. Be warned!

PARlance

Degag wrote: »

Anyone know what price Hideki was start of week?

40/1 with PP

ForeRight

Mantis Toboggan wrote: »

Bookies rarely wrong

Correct. That’s why Paddy isn’t cycling to work every Monday morning.

Deeper Blue

Frisbee wrote: »

Oosthuizen T10
Hovland T10

Reed T20
Im T20
Rose T20
Leishman T20
Conners T20

Koepka to Miss Cut
Zalatoris to Miss Cut

Ancer Win Group F

Cantlay e/w

You did well with the T20 bets, fair dues

eagle eye

Keano wrote:

Nobody likes After-timing around these parts. Be warned!

And lying about his price as well.

Frisbee

rossyd2005 wrote: »

Someone in here mentioned Zalatoris a couple of weeks ago. Something along the lines of he is in the top 10 or 20 most weeks and since then i noticed he had been. He was 80/1 for the masters and pp were paying 10 places. Fingers crossed he keeps it up for the weekend. Oh and nice spot by the person who posted about him!:)

That was me, have bet him T20 every event since the US Open last year and he's only finished outside the Top 20 4 times I think. And his odds have nearly always been good, think 10/11 was the worst price I got him at.

Of course this week I then decide to stab him in the back and bet on him to miss the cut :pac:

Deeper Blue wrote: »

You did well with the T20 bets, fair dues

Yeah good run, Koepka to miss the cut was my big one so everything after that was just gravy.

The_Kew_Tour

Already looking at PGA in Kiawah Island in end of May. Anyone any thoughts?

I say I will find it hard to ignore Rahm at around 14s at minute.

Rose was T3 here in 2012 when Rory won it. If a good price I think this may be his best chance to double his major count.

I be keeping eye out for Mcdowell(finished t11 here last time) and Brandon Grace too at bigger odds.