Winter Charts 2011/2012

Tom Cruises Left Nut

Pure fantasy though :pac:

john mayo 10

for those people on here who need a bit of cheering up

Diamond Dust

john mayo 10 wrote: »

for those people on here who need a bit of cheering up;)

Cant read it but it looks nice

delw

Diamond Dust wrote: »

Cant read it but it looks nice

and chances are it will be gone on next run

Diamond Dust

delw wrote: »

and chances are it will be gone on next run

Still its something though.... Stay positive

Conor30

Don't be fooled by the current mild weather - the temps will fall off a cliff in December & January. I feel it in my bones! It's still only November...the correct synoptics will be working themselves out...:)

Caff Caff

delw wrote: »

and chances are it will be gone on next run

And then it'll be back... and then gone... Sure today the models are showing quite mild weather for the 29th of Nov. 850hpa temps at 4-0degrees (nowhere close enough for snowfall) and North Atlantic temp there would be 6-10 degrees. Lots of rainfall but quite mild overall with humidity at 80-90%. It's still Soooooo early!! Remember the posts this time last year? Remember the weather this time in 2009? All the same. Mild November in 2009 and similar posting this time last year. We do not KNOW!! That's the beauty though isn't it

john mayo 10

nice chart lets hope it stays the same on the next run. its only a week away.

Musicman2000

Nothing great about thoese charts lads, One is very mild the other is average

Tom Cruises Left Nut

Best from the ensembles

Iancar29

t|nt|n wrote: »

Best from the ensembles

Is the an easterly!?.... I hear A TRAIN !!!!! :D:D:D :rolleyes: :pac:

some -8's please ! come onnnnnnnnnnn ya betsy ya! haha

Tom Cruises Left Nut

Iancar29 wrote: »

Is the an easterly!?.... I hear A TRAIN !!!!! :D:D:D :rolleyes: :pac:

some -8's please ! come onnnnnnnnnnn ya betsy ya! haha

hahaha !

Caff Caff

t|nt|n wrote: »

hahaha !

Beautiful!!!! what it does show is a dominance of arctic... oh go...oh god...oh...*spurt*... lovin it

Tom Cruises Left Nut

Would this setup give snow on hills ?

Caff Caff

t|nt|n wrote: »

Would this setup give snow on hills ?

With 850hpa temp between -4 to -8degrees is perfect for snowfall everywhere!! Lovely charts

bb1234567

today seems to be looking a bit better for cold winter, was really looking bad yesterday very depressing:p

Redsunset

The above charts are not being read properly.That would give mostly high ground sleet/snow with any precip.Far too long warm Atlantic sea track.Bring on the beast from the east i say.

Harps

Not really, the above is just polar maritime air which typically gives us cool, wet and windy weather. It'd be more of a typical winters day, maybe a bit of snow on the mountains around here but nothing to get excited about

GFS FI seems to have gone back to its usual pattern of having massive lows that spread from Canada to Russia, wouldn't pay much attention to it

Edit: Redsunset beat me to it!

Tom Cruises Left Nut

redsunset wrote: »

The above charts are not being read properly.That would give mostly high ground sleet/snow with any precip.Far too long warm Atlantic sea track.Bring on the beast from the east i say.

Oh god yeah, its just nice to see the blue

isle of man

redsunset wrote: »

The above charts are not being read properly.That would give mostly high ground sleet/snow with any precip.Far too long warm Atlantic sea track.Bring on the beast from the east i say.

But it gives us a glimmer of hope that its the start of the change :cool:

Trogdor

A nice one from the 06z GFS

Caff Caff

trogdor wrote: »

A nice one from the 06z GFS

Oh Sweetness!!!!...*sigh*

DOCARCH

That's a beauty there Trogdor! Nice cold NE wind/air over a warm Irish Sea. I almost wet my fantasy pants.

Reiketsu

Oh my, that's a nice one

Elmer Blooker

So nice I even checked the date, I thought that chart could have been 30 Nov 2010 and not 2011 !!

Musicman2000

GFS 12Z RUN F1 towards the end of the month

Speak Now

Amazing how poor the operational runs have been for cold weather in F1.
A 48 hour northerly at T348 :eek:

blast06

For the uninitiated, are there as many FI charts from the various sources that predict ridiculously above average temps etc as there are those that predict cold? If not then the modelling that goes on is complete rubbish ... actually, its pretty rubbish either way.

What is 'rubbish' ? From where I work in IT, if a predictive software maturity model does not iteratively refine itself based on historical empirical data then it's rubbish and I would be as well to get a few toddlers, give them a few crayons and get them to draw a few lines.
To me - the uninitiated, the charts here look they were created by toddlers ?!?!

Harps

Yep, most charts so far this month have been showing mild weather, pretty much every one thats showed anything remotely cold have been posted here but there's plenty more that haven't. Here's one from the same run as Musicman posted





Predicting weather is a lot more difficult that most things, its a totally chaotic process so one extremely minor detail in a couple of days time that the models dont get perfect can lead to a totally different outcome in 2 weeks time

TheInquisitor

Some interesting charts still out in FI on the GFS...