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Winter FI Charts

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12357…13

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    #122
    Speak Now
    Registered Users Posts: 8,533 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    :pac:gens-0-1-384.png


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    #123
    TheInquisitor
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,530 ✭✭✭TheInquisitor


    Jerry you don't even need to go that far to get serious snow.

    25110889.png


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    #124
    Speak Now
    Registered Users Posts: 8,533 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    TheInquisitor wrote: »
    Jerry you don't even need to go that far to get serious snow.

    I wanted to be realistic and wait until December ;)


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    #125
    TheInquisitor
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,530 ✭✭✭TheInquisitor


    Looks Cold!

    gens00228.png

    ecm0240.gif


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    #126
    Speak Now
    Registered Users Posts: 8,533 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    index.php?app=core&module=attach&section=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=105461


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    #127
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,668 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »
    index.php?app=core&module=attach&section=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=105461

    very nice to look at and dream about, but we all know it'll be watered down closer to the time:(


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    #128
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    nacho libre wrote: »
    very nice to look at and dream about, but we all know it'll be watered down closer to the time:(

    Also worth mentioning that is not the GFS operational run, it's just one of 20 ensemble runs and its showing the most extreme outcome out of those.


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    #129
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,668 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    maquiladora wrote: »
    Also worth mentioning that not the GFS operational run, it's just one of 20 ensembles runs and its showing the most extreme outcome out of those.

    Yes that's true. No doubt the cracking FI ecm charts will be diluted in future outputs too. We saw this happen a lot last year.
    So with the fairly warm seas temperatures, it's going to be difficult to get snow at lower levels here, unless deeper cold makes its way towards us


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    #130
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    nacho libre wrote: »
    Yes that's true. No doubt the cracking FI ecm charts will be diluted in future outputs too. We saw this happen a lot last year.
    So with the fairly warm seas temperatures, it's going to be difficult to get snow at lower levels here, unless deeper cold makes it way towards us

    The 12Z ECM run is fantastic for this time of year, its very early in the season for a setup like that, thats why its so exciting. No point looking at the exact details of the charts deep in FI because they are going to change one way or the other.


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    #131
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,668 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    maquiladora wrote: »
    The 12Z ECM run is fantastic for this time of year, its very early in the season for a setup like that, thats why its so exciting. No point looking at the exact details of the charts deep in FI because they are going to change one way or the other.

    I agree. Which is why I was sounding a cautionary note for those who maybe don't follow the models that these charts, while exciting for the time of year, are always likely to change to a less favourable outcome. So people won't be needlessly getting their hopes up for widespread snow at lower levels just yet.


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    #132
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    18Z GFS rolling out. Hopefully it will be good. :pac:


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    #133
    Speak Now
    Registered Users Posts: 8,533 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    Cheer up lads this is the FI thread afterall, nothing in the reliable time frame to be posted or discussed here. Just weather porn :pac:


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    #134
    TheInquisitor
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,530 ✭✭✭TheInquisitor


    Serious Upgrade by GFS!!!!!!

    upgrade.png

    upgrade1.png


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    #135
    TheInquisitor
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,530 ✭✭✭TheInquisitor


    SWEET DIVINE!

    sweetg.png

    gens01216.png


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    #136
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Dont think Ive ever seen both the GFS and ECM put out stuff like this for November before. Great fun to watch the models now.


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    #137
    Speak Now
    Registered Users Posts: 8,533 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    My fav yet :D i can dream :o
    index.php?app=core&module=attach&section=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=105490


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    #138
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    gens-0-1-264.png?12


    now that is weather porn . . .


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    #139
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    thetonynator wrote: »
    now that is weather porn . . .

    Have a look at the precip charts on that control run between about 216 and 300. :pac:

    Its pure fiction but nice to look at.


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    #140
    TheInquisitor
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,530 ✭✭✭TheInquisitor


    I'm not even going to bother posting a "best case" run image here because all of the main models this morning are very very juicy!!

    Upgrades AHOY!!!! Forget the snow coming its going to be a Blizzard!!


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    #141
    Redsunset
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,693 ✭✭✭Redsunset


    Of course just for fun!!

    prectypeuktopo.png


    Snow ploughs sent around to Met Eireann to clear the driveway:D


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    #142
    Min
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,550 ✭✭✭Min


    Joe Bastardi in a video he posted on his site yesterday had north western Europe under snow and it included Ireland, he also had inland Ireland not getting above freezing during the day - he said this is what the models were showing him - he talked of serious snow for some parts of continental Europe.


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    #143
    dexter647
    Registered Users Posts: 1,218 ✭✭✭dexter647


    Min wrote: »
    Joe Bastardi in a video he posted on his site yesterday had north western Europe under snow and it included Ireland, he also had inland Ireland not getting above freezing during the day - he said this is what the models were showing him - he talked of serious snow for some parts of continental Europe.

    Nice one joe, maybe he's coming around:D


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    #144
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    Min wrote: »
    Joe Bastardi in a video he posted on his site yesterday had north western Europe under snow and it included Ireland, he also had inland Ireland not getting above freezing during the day - he said this is what the models were showing him - he talked of serious snow for some parts of continental Europe.


    Really changed his tune a bit hasn't he??? So much for his long range forecasts being good . . .:rolleyes:


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    #145
    Redsunset
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,693 ✭✭✭Redsunset


    No he said it will all change once the season kicks in and we will be mild.
    Plus that white on chart was not lying snow just wintry flurries


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    #146
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    redsunset wrote: »
    No he said it will all change once the season kicks in and we will be mild.
    Plus that white on chart was not lying snow just wintry flurries

    Yep, he is sticking to his guns and not changing his forecast.
    Maybe this would be better discussed in the Winter thread btw. :pac:


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    #147
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    uksnowrisk.png


    This makes me happy . . .:P


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    #148
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    As does this:

    prectypeuktopo.png


    and this:

    uksnowdepth.png


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    #149
    Villain
    Registered Users Posts: 15,944 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    Ah the auld pub run, you can't beat it


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    #150
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    [URL="javascript: viewimage(1);"]ukmintemp.png[/URL]

    [URL="javascript: viewimage(1);"]h850t850eu.png[/URL]


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    #151
    arctictree
    Registered Users Posts: 4,293 ✭✭✭arctictree


    t+216, 12z GFS, What a cracker of a chart and into December too:

    Rtavn2161.png


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