The Big Freeze ( Sunday 10th January )

jambofc

well what can i say....big disappointment for me,my grand total of all shower's reached a total of 2.5cm for the entire cold spell,to say im gutted is putting it mildly(couldn't resist).the cold of dec09-jan10 will remain with me for ever,as will some of the most extreme temp's ive seen in this country,the picture's from around the country were spectacular to say the least.
as a keen weather watcher ive been on here for a while,dont post much,the odd post,but i have been glued to this whole period of weather on board's,ive tried to give my input where i felt strongly on an "event" right or wrong,but i would really like to thank all of you regulars for excellent chart's,forecasts,chat and observation's,it has been a great ride and i will certainly be purchasing a ticket for the next ride

WolfeIRE

nacho libre wrote: »

if the ecm continues to predict a return of the cold the gfs will do what it usually does and follow suit. over the past two years i've found ecm to be the more reliable model long term. of course it could be the gfs is correct this time.

the ecmwf is it nacho? that keeps cold uppers over most of ireland for Tuesday's front, which would be interesting. It is very much out of kilter with the others on that though.

ninebeanrows

If the NAE was correct for Tuesday, there could be humongous amounts of snow in Wicklow, but i doubt it will happen.

http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/nae/2010/01/10/basis18/ukuk/prty/10011218_1018.gif

WolfeIRE

Weathercheck wrote: »

If the NAE was correct for Tuesday, there could be humongous amounts of snow in Wicklow, but i doubt it will happen.

http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/nae/2010/01/10/basis18/ukuk/prty/10011218_1018.gif

the gfs is not too dissimilar either wc. I am sure Supercell would love another foot:pac:

http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/2010/01/10/basis18/ukuk/prty/10011206_1018.gif

manonmir

in regard to Tuesday and i must say i'm expecting nothing but how often do atlantic systems turn to snow on the east coast? or is it usually a case of snow on the east being thanks to the irish sea or easterly moving fronts?

irish1967

Its amazing looking at the radar .. the precipitation over Clare is more or less exactly the same as it has been since 3.30pm !! Bring it here

quietobserver

according to theyr.com its expected to fall as snow across the country.

je55ie

quietobserver wrote: »

prob still be snow jessie, but it is thawing, i can hear the water dripping into the gullies outside, in saying that its started snowing again here in galway.

would be more worried about underlying ice than fresh snow for tomorrow

Thanks for that, just wondering would it be best leaving it as I can work Tuesday instead of Tommorow,still snowing here!

WolfeIRE

munsterlegend wrote: »

i don't think the atlantic will spare clare hearts either! we're all getting so county parochial here!

he is from cork isn't he? Don't be a rebel all the time. Oops. did it again.

moogester

owenc wrote: »

Where abouts are you in ni? Maybe we will get lucky and get what isle of man got!!!

I'm in Dungannon.

nacho libre

WolfeIRE wrote: »

the ecmwf is it nacho? that keeps cold uppers over most of ireland for Tuesday's front, which would be interesting. It is very much out of kilter with the others on that though.

yes that's the organisation i'm talking about. it certainly will be interesting to see will they prove to be right about Tuesday.

WolfeIRE

irish1967 wrote: »

Its amazing looking at the radar .. the precipitation over Clare is more or less exactly the same as it has been since 3.30pm !! Bring it here

for a very nominal fee irish i can have two truckloads up to you by 7am

WolfeIRE

quietobserver wrote: »

according to theyr.com its expected to fall as snow across the country.

yep. same here in clare.

http://www.yr.no/place/Ireland/Clare/Ennis/

Chicken Run

irish1967 wrote: »

Its amazing looking at the radar .. the precipitation over Clare is more or less exactly the same as it has been since 3.30pm !! Bring it here

no !!!
I've tied a load of baling twine around it and me and WolfeIRE are keeping it for the night

owenc

moogester wrote: »

I'm in Dungannon.

Oh that's surprising everyone on here from ni is from enniskillen or Belfast not too many from Derry or Antrim... What's weather like there now this should be good if it snows here!!!

munsterlegend

WolfeIRE wrote: »

he is from cork isn't he? Don't be a rebel all the time. Oops. did it again.

yeah he is from cork! just find it interesting how our small land is defined by county - a product of the gaa!

Tactical

WolfeIRE wrote: »

for a very nominal fee irish i can have two truckloads up to you by 7am

Need a hand with the driving?

Jessibelle

Does anyone have any idea what the roads might be like near the Sallygap in Wicklow? This morning they were like glass and I ended up turning back.

anoble66

Just seen the BBC forecast, they are saying significant snow for S. Ireland and S. England and Wales on Tuesday

H2UMrsRobinson

all the dubs gone to bed/pub in extreme dissapointment, cept me I'm waitin' for a miracle...lol:o

dartbhoy

Just went for a walk around my neighbourhood here in North West Cork and about 4 inches of snow on the ground here now and the roads in a treacherous condition. Can't see a thaw beginning here until tommorow.

munsterlegend

anoble66 wrote: »

Just seen the BBC forecast, they are saying significant snow for S. Ireland and S. England and Wales on Tuesday

yeah even down south i see! will believe it when i see it though.

munsterlegend

dartbhoy wrote: »

Just went for a walk around my neighbourhood here in North West Cork and about 4 inches of snow on the ground here now and the roads in a treacherous condition. Can't see a thaw beginning here until tommorow.

where abouts are you roughly? just curious which roads.

wicklowgirl

Jessibelle wrote: »

Does anyone have any idea what the roads might be like near the Sallygap in Wicklow? This morning they were like glass and I ended up turning back.

I reckon they are probably the same as they were this morning, I know the Wicklow gap is pretty bad and getting worse as we speak so I presume Sally Gap is no different.

Lumi

Snow here has just changed from a weak snizzly affair to decent sized snowflakes - it won't last of course but still

Pangea

Are we getting snow in Donegal tonight ?

opr

WolfeIRE wrote: »

The ecm indicates that colder weather may reinforce itself from scandanavia on sunday but it's probably too far out at this stage to be very accurate.

People can see the models for themselves here if they want. It's an interesting tool that shows precip levels and type along with charts for the uppers, pressure, wind etc.
http://www.meteociel.com/modeles/gefs_cartes.php

The above also links to other ensembles. The UKMO is highly regarded/

Hope the above links help the rest of you weather freaks enthusiasts

Thanks.

What do the different numbers 1-20 called 'Perturbations' mean. Are they just the number of model iterations that have been run ?

I know its very far out I am only asking to try and understand things better. When you say the ECM model indicates cold weather winning. Does this mean that it will eventually win the battle and we would see a return to last weeks conditions ? If I wanted to look at that for myself I would just click on ECM then temp and scroll to the relevant +Xh

Opr

irish1967

Pangea wrote: »

Are we getting snow in Donegal tonight ?

Its on its way but knowing our luck it will be rain by the time it gets here

moogester

owenc wrote: »

Oh that's surprising everyone on here from ni is from enniskillen or Belfast not too many from Derry or Antrim... What's weather like there now this should be good if it snows here!!!

Still light rain here.....doesnt seem to be damaging the snow cover much though

techie

Anyone know what the roads are like in West Cork. Have to travel from Newcestown to Forge Hill for work in the morning?