Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

M.T. Cranium · 08-07-2011 06:38AM

Friday, 8 July, 2011
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Today, the rain will be aligned in rather narrow but possibly intense bands running from northwest to southeast. These will tend to shift east slowly so the weather will appear to be coming out of the west to northwest for most. In between some places could remain dry for fairly long intervals. Then this slow-moving "stacked" low will drift away to the northeast and leave Ireland in a gradually improving northwest flow with only a few isolated showers at most. A fairly disturbed ridge of high pressure will follow with some extensive cloudy intervals although mostly dry weather for several days. Eventually another Atlantic depression will arrive but this one looks rather weak and could track southeast, a good direction for longer term prospects since the following high pressure will have to build northeast while that low fills up over France. This is what the models are suggesting and it could lead to a much warmer spell of weather after the weekend of the 16th-17th

TODAY ... Intervals of cloud and sunshine or at least dry, overcast and bright spells, and some locally heavy showers with some thunder and hail, rainfall potential 10-15 mms in those showers but about half the country likely to remain dry. A band from about Roscommon southeast to Carlow and inland Wicklow might see the heavier rainfalls. Other bands will affect Ulster and the southwest. Highs 15-18 C and winds becoming rather brisk at times especially in western and southwestern coastal regions, W-NW 20-40 mph. More like 15-20 mph inland and for a while light and variable in Leinster and Ulster while the surface low drifts past.

TONIGHT ... Cloudy intervals but becoming mostly dry except for remnant showers in Ulster. Lows 6-8 C. Breezy at times, NW 10-25 mph.

SATURDAY ... Partly cloudy, better sunshine prospects in the south and east, isolated showers most likely in Connacht and west Ulster. Highs 15-18 C. Winds moderate W to NW 15-30 mph with some higher gusts near west coast.

SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy, extensive cloudy spells developing in some areas, but mostly dry, winds becoming light northerly, lows near 7 C and highs in the range 16-19 C.

MONDAY ... Partly cloudy to sunny, highs near 20 C.

TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY ... Largely dry but cloud increasing slowly in west, rain edging towards west coast Tuesday night and becoming showery there on Wednesday. Highs generally 17-20 C. Rather cool at night, lows 6-8 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Cloudy with some sunny breaks, showers and moderate winds later in the week, potential for about 5-10 mms of rain but not as wet (on average) as this past few days. Highs about 18 C. A warmer spell could follow.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Showers fairly widespread in the southeast states and thunderstorms may disrupt the shuttle launch timetable. Warm and dry further north and into the north central states except heavy showers and storms near the Canadian border and across much of western Canada except for sunshine on the coast. Severe storms with possible hail, tornadoes in parts of Alberta and Saskatchewan.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy most of Thursday, cooler, showers some of them rather heavy, clearing by evening. Highs near 18 C.

M.T. Cranium · 08-07-2011 07:35AM

Heavy rainfall alert with thunderstorms and hail possible for coastal Wicklow and Dublin ... main forecast in previous post ... add developing risk of torrential downpours this morning in coastal Wicklow and Dublin spreading north towards Drogheda and Louth. Local rainfalls of 20-30 mms could be recorded.

M.T. Cranium · 09-07-2011 06:18AM

Saturday, 9 July, 2011
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TODAY ... Partly cloudy with decent sunny intervals and just the isolated risk of a shower in the north mostly, amounts very light compared to recent days and 1-3 mms at most. Highs 17-19 C with moderate NW breezes 15-25 mph, somewhat higher gusts near west coast at times.

TONIGHT ... Clear intervals, fog patches, cool especially in central counties inland, lows 6 to 9 C. Winds light or calm.

SUNDAY ... Variable cloud developing with a few showers mainly in Connacht but once again, amounts rather light 2-4 mms at most. Highs 18-20 C.

MONDAY ... Sunny intervals, very isolated showers in north. Lows near 7 C and highs 18 to 20 C.

TUESDAY ... Mostly sunny, pleasantly warm afternoon, lows near 7 C and highs 19-21 C.

OUTLOOK ... The previous model trend towards a "diving low" has been replaced by suggestions of a fairly dry warming trend followed by a showery cold front next weekend. As I think the models are wavering and the outlook is somewhat uncertain, the best compromise is to say partly cloudy with showers and moderate winds, temperatures near normal later in the week with some chance of a warmer day or two around Friday and Saturday. Also the model trend beyond that weekend continues to be promising for warmth or even a touch of heat eventually in late July.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Heavy showers and thunderstorms developed in the larger cities of the east keeping highs down to about 27 C in rather humid conditions, and a slightly cooler high is pressing south from Ontario but most of the southeast remains hot and humid with widespread thunderstorms, fortunately none right around the space centre in Florida earlier on Friday. Meanwhile, scattered storms in the northern plains and Canadian west, the most severe in North Dakota. Persistent heavy rain in parts of central Alberta and north-central B.C. but dry on the coast since Friday morning at least. A gradual clearing trend is underway now.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy with afternoon sunny breaks, cool, highs about 18 C on Friday. Looking for more sunshine on Saturday.

For those who had excessive rains, drying conditions should be moderate to good the next five days. In fact some places may not see much rain at all for an entire week now (gasp).

M.T. Cranium · 10-07-2011 06:55AM

Sunday, 10 July, 2011
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TODAY ... Rather cloudy for the northern and central regions, partly cloudy to sunny further south. Morning showers will move through eastern Ulster and there may be a few light patches of drizzle further south at times, then by afternoon, isolated but possibly heavy showers could develop in a few places, but rainfalls of 1-3 mms will only be measured in perhaps a quarter to a third of the country at most. Sunshine meanwhile should last 7 to 10 hours in parts of the south. Highs of 17 to 20 C higher in southeast. Winds light northerly or variable.

TONIGHT ... Mostly cloudy with some clear spells in the south, lows 8-11 C.

MONDAY ... Partly cloudy on average although more cloud in Ulster and north Connacht than elsewhere, and just one or two isolated showers, good spells of sunshine across the south. Highs 18-20 C. Light northeast winds may occasionally rise to 10-15 mph near east coast.

TUESDAY ... Partly cloudy, mostly dry and warm, lows 8-10 C and highs 19 to 21 C. Winds light and variable tending to east or southeast.

WEDNESDAY ... Partly cloudy, warm, slight chance of showers, lows near 10 C and highs generally 17-19 C but near 21 C in the inland south.

THURSDAY ... Sunny intervals, more cloud to west and north with onshore drizzle or fog in coastal northwest, lows near 10 C and highs near 22 C south, 18 C north.

FRIDAY ... Sunny intervals, warm, showers developing late in the day in Connacht, becoming windy at times from southwest, lows near 12 C and highs near 23 C.

SATURDAY ... Partly cloudy, windy, showers or early thunderstorms then cooler in west to northwest winds, lows near 14 C and highs near 18 C.

SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers, breezy or windy, cool. Lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The weekend cool spell now showing up on the charts seems likely to give way to warmer weather after one or two more days and there are still signs of a significant warm spell in late July.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Showers and thunderstorms in western Great Lakes and southeast states on Saturday, with seasonably warm dry weather in between covering most of the eastern U.S. Cool and windy in most of western Canada with rain continuing in northern parts of the prairie provinces (mostly north of the wheat regions in the boreal forest though).

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunny with a high near 20 C, breezy at times.

M.T. Cranium · 11-07-2011 07:24AM

Monday, 11 July, 2011
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TODAY ... Rather cloudy with some sunny intervals, and a few showers possible although some may see just the odd raindrop and "virga" (rain that evaporates above the ground) ... virga makes for interesting photos too ... rather warm despite the cloud, highs 18-21 C.

TONIGHT ... Cloudy intervals, spots of rain but nothing very dramatic, lows of 8-11 C.

TUESDAY ... Mixture of cloud and sun, this time sun more likely in parts of the north, light winds, highs 18-21 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Variable cloud, some sunny intervals, slight chance of showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 21 C.

THURSDAY ... Sunny intervals, rather warm, lows near 10 C and highs near 22 inland, 18-20 C coasts.

FRIDAY ... Breezy and possibly windy later, SW 20-40 mph, showers or thunderstorms developing. Rather warm for most. Lows near 13 C and highs near 23 C away from the onshore winds on the Atlantic coast where highs will probably stay around 17 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... As of this model run, some spread in outcomes, likely to turn cooler and rather fresh west to northwest winds, and some showers, but there is also an indication on at least one model of only a slight temperature drop. That model (GFS) is showing a more rapid return to warmer weather in the following week. This is what I've been thinking could be the outcome for theoretical reasons, but I have to say, confidence is moderate rather than high, so we'll just have to see ... the encouraging feature is that the Azores high gets stronger on most models later this week and so it's all about the position of the jet stream, whether it might allow that source of warmth to send a ridge directly towards Ireland or whether it holds off for a few more days. Meanwhile, this coming week will actually be fairly warm compared to the past week in any case.

If you're interested in the outlook for a week to ten days from now, check back around 0800h, I had not seen the later part of the ECM output when I posted this. Will post my thoughts on model disparity after this section when I edit this post at 0800h.

This will in fact be a very significant test of models (and theories) because most of the "major" models are showing a major pattern shift to cool/windy around Saturday 16th but the GFS is showing a very bland westerly flow pattern that could easily warm up rapidly. I don't have a crystal ball (really) but despite being the odd man out, the GFS looks more realistic for mid-July so we shall have to see who's right.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... An active cold front from the western Great Lakes to the central plains states is likely to produce a lot of severe storms later today especially near Lake Michigan and later Lake Huron. Further south it will be hot and humid with highs near 32 C. To the north of this front a sprawling high near southern Manitoba is bringing pleasant warm but not hot weather to the northern states and most of western Canada, but rain is widespread over the Rockies and inland B.C., while the coast is also warm and dry. The eastern Gulf of Mexico features a weak, un-designated tropical system drifting inland around Mobile Bay. Winds are only 20-30 mph but rainfalls are heavy in places with this.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunday was a pleasant sunny day with a lot of higher cloud around during the afternoon, and a high about 20 C.

Fulton Crown · 11-07-2011 07:45AM

Well done MT....Top man !

M.T. Cranium · 12-07-2011 07:19AM

Tuesday, 12 July, 2011
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TODAY ... Hazy sunshine may break through the rather dense high cloud at times, which could boost temperatures to 21 C inland, but sea breezes will probably keep coastal temperatures closer to 16-18 C. There's a slight chance of a shower most likely in the southeast or perhaps east Ulster. Winds today will be very light and mainly from a north through east quadrant at perhaps 5-10 mph. If the sun does break through the cloud, it could be a very warm day in places.

(Anyone heading for London might keep in mind that heavy rain is moving through France towards southeast England.)

TONIGHT ... Hazy moon-lit skies with the waxing full moon, calm. Lows around 10 to 12 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Intervals of cloud and sunshine, rather warm, except for any onshore low cloud and fog near south or west facing outer coasts. Slight risk of a shower mainly in Connacht and west Munster. Highs 19-22 C.

THURSDAY ... Variable cloud, increasing south to southwest winds at 15-25 mph by late afternoon but staying rather calm further east, warm, with showers more likely in west as afternoon turns to evening, lows near 10 C and highs near 21 C.

FRIDAY ... Cloudy after some morning sunny breaks (these mainly in the eastern counties) and becoming breezy or even windy with risk of thunderstorms developing. Winds rising to SW 20-40 mph. Lows near 13 C and highs near 20 C (range 18 to 22 from west to east).

SATURDAY ... Overnight heavy showers or thunderstorms, gusty winds veering more westerly, then variable cloud, passing squally showers, some sunny intervals, hail or thunder likely, winds W 30-45 mph (could be force 7-9 in marine areas). Lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C.

Good luck if you're in the Open because it will be worse there.

SUNDAY ... Continuing very windy and unsettled with squally showers, rather cool except for some sheltered locations when the sun comes out briefly, and lows near 10 C, highs near 16 C.

OUTLOOK ... Hopes are rising that a warmer, settled period may be just beyond this blast of Atlantic mayhem, but Monday will continue rather breezy and in places showery, highs near 16 C, as winds turn more northerly. Beyond that, a slow building of the Azores high northward will place Ireland in more of a light northeast flow and that could even turn into an anticyclonic spell if the high swells up towards the southwest coast. It is something to watch with fingers (and toes) crossed if you'd like a spell of warm, dry weather.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Monday was hot and humid in the eastern states with a cold front now slicing into that heat likely to set off heavy storms in OH, PA and NY similar to what happened earlier in IL-IN. This front will eventually sag south of DC and clear the air by tomorrow in the northeast and New England. This cooler, pleasant air mass is already well entrenched over Ontario, Michigan and Wisconsin as well as much of the northern plains states and eastern prairies. Further west, it remains unsettled and rather cool until you break out of the cloud near the west coast. The southwest states remain hot and dry. A major heat wave is likely to build up in the next 5-10 days over the central U.S. and we may be talking about temperatures above 40 C in places like Iowa and Chicago, IL. But that won't begin until perhaps Thursday.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Mostly cloudy with some sun getting through the rather high-based cloud deck, and a high near 19 C.

M.T. Cranium · 13-07-2011 07:22AM

Wednesday, 13 July, 2011
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I remain cautiously optimistic that a warm, dry spell will develop towards the end of next week and into late July. Of course, this present spell of fine weather is nice enough, but it wouldn't qualify as a "heat wave" -- some of the maps in the 10-15 day period look warmer by 3-5 degrees and that sort of pattern can progress towards real heat which requires a continental source for the air flow rather than just the effects of the sun under nearby high pressure. Otherwise, the forecast hasn't changed much from yesterday as far as a rather unsettled and windy weekend is concerned. This may be a case of short term pain for long term gain.

TODAY ... Sunny intervals, warm. Light winds. Highs 21-23 C except closer to 16-18 C in outer coastal locations. Just a slight chance of cloud and isolated showers brushing past the southwest and northwest fringes later. Winds will continue very light but become more southerly today.

TONIGHT ... Variable cloud, chance of an isolated very light shower, but dry for most, lows 10-12 C.

THURSDAY ... Hazy sunshine, warm in the east, increasing cloud, eventually some light rain or drizzle west, highs 20-22 C east and 17-19 C west. Winds picking up late in the day to SSW 15-25 mph west but remaining rather light across Leinster and Ulster.

FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, showers developing, possibly some thundershowers, winds becoming SW to W 20-40 mph, highs near 17 C west and 20 C east. Windy by evening off the west and south coasts, force 8 wind gusts likely. Rainfalls of 10-15 mms likely but mostly later in the day.

SATURDAY ... Windy and rather squally at times with passing showers of rain or hail, some thunder, but also some sunshine in the mix. (At the Open golf site in southeast England, more rain than sun, quite windy). Morning lows of about 12-14 C, then highs 15-18 C, winds W 20-40 mph with gusts to near 50 mph in exposed areas, marine regions will see force 9 gusts at times.

SUNDAY ... Continued rather windy and unsettled, cool, showery, winds NW 20-40 mph, lows near 9 C and highs 14-17 C. Total weekend rainfalls in the range of 10 to 20 mms for most.

MONDAY ... Variable cloud, cool, breezy to windy, showers, lows near 7 C and highs near 15 C.

OUTLOOK ... Gradual improvement, leading to a warmer, dry spell late in the week and possibly lasting some time with high pressure building up near Ireland. In a light north to northeast flow, the highest temperatures now looking to be in the low 20s around the weekend would be near the south and southwest coasts. A pattern like this often leads to even warmer east or southeast breezes and that would fit the research model for the last week of July ... if the high in fact does build up as the GFS depicts (other models don't go that far out yet). Here's one encouraging concept ... 1995, 2003, 2011. Hmm.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Stormy at times in eastern states but with a cooling trend, hot and dry air masses pushing north in the central plains region, thunderstorms with warm fronts into Nebraska and South Dakota, also further north near the boundary between warm Pacific air and cooler arctic air over northern Canada. The higher arctic has been in a warm spell too with readings as high as 18-20 C in some parts of Canada's arctic islands recently. The heat wave is still "on" for later in the week in the central U.S. and it could prove record-breaking on the daily scale (not monthly, 1936 took care of that in most places, such as 49 C in South Dakota ! ... but that was earlier in the month in that year). It's interesting that most hot years in North America are hot in Europe as well, except for 1936 and one or two others. For example, 1911 and 1955 were hot summers in North America, so was 1995 and 2003, 2006. One example of a hot summer in western Europe without big heat waves in North America would be 1976, a rather average summer over here. This applies mostly to central and eastern regions. The western third of North America tends to be out of phase with other regions and has the opposite type of summer in most years.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunny with cloudy periods most of the day, light rain has just started this evening. The high was about 20 C. We haven't had much "heat" yet this summer, but at least we shook off the persistent overcast of June, so things are improving a bit. Here, we won't get into the predicted major heat wave further east, it will begin around Wyoming and eastern Montana and cover most points east.

:cool::eek:

M.T. Cranium · 14-07-2011 07:23AM

Thursday, 14 July, 2011
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TODAY ... Cloudy with some morning sunny intervals in the east, light rain or showers at times in the west, then variable cloud, warm mid-day and afternoon, showers becoming more widely distributed but generally light, amounts 1-3 mms, highs about 21 C on average, with winds increasing slowly to SSW 10-20 mph. Some sea fog or mist forming off the west coast may drift inland in a few spots.

TONIGHT ... Variable cloud, isolated showers, mild. Lows near 12 C.

FRIDAY ... A dry start in some parts of the east, with rain moving inland from west coast, becoming rather showery with one or two thunderstorms possible, winds rising to SW 15-30 mph, highs 15-18 C but southeast could reach near 20 C. Heavy showers or thunderstorms and blustery by late afternoon and evening. Rainfalls generally 10-15 mms.

SATURDAY ... After a windy, showery overnight with lows about 12 C, the day will bring strong westerly winds 20-40 mph, heavy showers and a few with hail and thunder, and cool temperatures peaking around 15 or 16 C. Rainfalls generally 5-10 mms.

SUNDAY ... Windy and cool, winds becoming NW 20-40 mph, force 7-9 over marine regions, showers or periods of rain, blustery, lows near 9 C and highs near 15 C.

MONDAY ... Further showers, winds backing to westerly again, lows near 8 C and highs near 15 C. Rainfall potential about 5-10 mms.

TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, possibly thunder or hail and a bit warmer again with southwest winds, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.

OUTLOOK ... Unsettled for a day or two then becoming settled, some question about temperature trend but expect a slow increase there and less windy in general too.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Widespread showers and thunderstorms in central regions, hot and dry in Texas. Seasonably warm and dry in the Great Lakes and northeast U.S., hot and humid further south. Turning rather cool across most of the west with showers over most of the mountain ranges.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy and rather cool most of the day, light rain from about 6 p.m. to 9 p.m., only about 1 mm fell, and a high near 16 C.

M.T. Cranium · 15-07-2011 07:18AM

Friday, 15 July, 2011
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TODAY ... Mostly cloudy, a few sunny breaks mainly in eastern counties this morning, showers moving into the west and becoming widely scattered later, with some heavier and possibly thundery showers by afternoon and evening. Winds picking up gradually from SSW 10-20 mph to WSW 20-40 mph. Highs around 17 or 18 C for most but could reach 20 C in southeast.

TONIGHT ... Showers, gusty winds from west at about 15-25 mph, lows around 10 C. By morning, rainfalls in total will average 5-15 mms.

SATURDAY ... Variable cloud, frequent showers, gusty westerly winds 20-40 mph (force 7-9 over marine regions). Some of the showers could be squally with hail or thunder, but there will be some brighter intervals too. Highs 15 to 17 C. Rainfalls of 10-15 mms on average.

SUNDAY ... Windy and cool with showers or periods of light rain, lows near 8 and highs near 15 or 16 C, winds west to northwest 20-40 mph, rainfalls of about 5-10 mms.

MONDAY ... Cloudy, rain at times becoming briefly heavy in the south, winds not as strong until picking up again late in the day. Lows near 7 C and highs near 15 C.

TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, lows near 7 C and highs near 17 C. Winds may back to southwest ahead of a front dropping south.

OUTLOOK ... Several more days of cloudy or partly cloudy weather with northerly winds, but eventually improving to warmer and dry conditions as high pressure builds up to the immediate west. The models have continued to waver on the details, but there still seems to be a good chance of a decent warm spell late in July.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Seasonably warm and dry in Great Lakes and northeast, hot and humid most of central U.S. and west-central Canada with a few heavy storms along a cold front now in Montana and Wyoming. Cool and showery further west to the coast. Hot and dry in TX, OK and s KS on Thursday, and this heat wave is building further north.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy, cool with showers all day Thursday, highs only near 16 C. Little change likely today.

Watch for updates on the storm potential later today, either in this thread or elsewhere on the weather forum.

M.T. Cranium · 16-07-2011 07:14AM

Saturday, 16 July, 2011
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TODAY ... Mostly cloudy, rather windy and cool with showers or longer periods of rain, heavier in Connacht, Ulster and nearby parts of Munster and Leinster ... winds westerly 20-40 mph veering northwest 25-45 mph by afternoon ... force 7-9 off west and south coasts ... rainfalls 5-15 mms and highs 15-17 C. Slight risk of thunder or hail with some of the heavier showers.

TONIGHT ... Breezy and cool with further rain, 5-10 mms possible, winds northwest 20-40 mph and lows around 10 C.

SUNDAY ... Little change in most regions, although somewhat more sunshine breaking through at times in the southwest by afternoon. Winds NW 25-45 mph and highs near 15 C, rainfalls 5-10 mms.

MONDAY ... Variable cloud, intervals of heavy showers or periods of rain in strong NW winds 25-45 mph, lows near 9 C and highs near 15 C.

TUESDAY ... Showers, some brighter intervals, less windy, lows near 8 C and highs near 16 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, lows near 7 C and highs near 17 C.

OUTLOOK ... Very gradual improvements to the weekend and more settled, closer to 20 C for highs by weekend. Models are still changing their details quite often but the following week continues to look warmer than this coming week by about 5-7 degrees.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Extreme heat moved north into parts of Kansas, Nebraska and Iowa, with heavy storms breaking out in southern Minnesota and Wisconsin. Further east, the Great Lakes and northeast states had sunshine, low humidity and warm highs near 28 C. Western Canada and the northern plains had warm, humid weather but not the severe heat, except in the far west where it was cloudy and rather cool with scattered outbreaks of rain. Hot and dry across the southwest and back into Texas and Oklahoma.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy, sprinkles of rain at times, not much accumulation, rather close with a high near 19 C.

M.T. Cranium · 17-07-2011 06:59AM

Sunday, 17 July, 2011
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TODAY ... The weather will resemble a late autumn gale with strong northwest winds 30-50 mph (force 8 to 10 over marine areas), and intervals of rain that may be quite heavy at times in Ulster and nearby parts of Connacht and Leinster. Some sunny intervals may develop by afternoon in west Munster but still with strong winds and scattered showers there. Highs only 14-16 C. Rainfalls 5-15 mms.

TONIGHT ... Remaining windy and unsettled for most with winds NW 20-40 mph, showers and lows near 8 C. A further 3-7 mms of rain.

MONDAY ... Windy and cool, NW 25-45 mph, outbreaks of rain, highs 14-16 C.

TUESDAY ... Partly cloudy, less windy and showers less widespread, average rainfalls 2-5 mms, lows near 7 C and highs near 17 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Cloudy, showers, gusty winds at times, lows near 7 C and highs near 16 C.

THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, somewhat warmer, isolated showers, lows near 7 and highs near 18 C.

FRIDAY to SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy to sunny (sunshine likely more frequent in south) and somewhat warmer with highs near 20 C.

OUTLOOK ... The following week may have some warmer days still, with the improving trend likely to peak around mid-week. Models continue to "chop and change" on this period and the main question seems to be how strong the high will be once it drifts closer to Ireland. The range of possible outcomes is still something like a brief warmup to a long warm spell.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Very hot and humid in many central and eastern states, spreading into southern Ontario, with a somewhat less extreme heat across the prairies and nearby parts of the northern states. Highs of 42-44 C were recorded in parts of Kansas. It was also hot but less humid from southern California east to Texas. Cloudy and cool with outbreaks of rain in the northwest states and British Columbia.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy, periods of rain, highs near 17 C.

M.T. Cranium · 18-07-2011 06:40AM

Monday, 18 July, 2011
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TODAY ... Rain will sweep across the southwest this morning on its way southeast, and 5-10 mms is likely to fall in Kerry, Limerick and Cork. Other parts of Ireland will be in a generally cloudy northwest flow with scattered light showers giving 1-3 mms on average. That will allow for brief glimpses of the sun, but strong northwest winds 25-40 mph will keep it feeling rather cool with highs near 15 C. By evening the skies may be more partly cloudy than overcast.

TONIGHT ... Cloudy intervals, cool, showers in a few places, winds NNW 15 to 25 mph (higher gusts near west coast) ... lows near 8 C.

TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, not as windy, isolated showers, but with an interval of steady rain by evening across parts of the south. Highs about 16 and winds generally NNW 10-20 mph.

WEDNESDAY ... Morning showers but gradual clearing from the north, to partly cloudy skies with more isolated showers. Lows 9-10 C and highs around 15-16 C.

THURSDAY ... Variable cloud, isolated showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.

FRIDAY ... Sunny with cloudy intervals, possibly quite a cool start with lows 5-7 C then highs around 17 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Models are now showing a more definite warming trend and the weekend should benefit with at least some sunshine each day, small chances for cloud or rain and highs 18-22 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... A warmer pattern should evolve with potential for highs into the low or even mid 20s in the last week of July. Whether it lasts or reverts to the unsettled westerly remains to be seen. Perhaps the most likely outcome would be a more frequent tendency to warm and dry in a mixed pattern (this would apply to late July and early August).

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Another day of record heat in the central and parts of the eastern U.S., with 40-42 C in South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas and Iowa. Very high humidex values to 50 C over the corn belt (caused in part by corn releasing moisture into the air), further southwest a lower humidity kept humidex values near the actual air temperatures. Heavy storms developed in Wisconsin and are spreading into Michigan now, and will hit Ontario later today. It was also warm and rather humid across western Canada trending to cloudy and near normal on the west coast. Tropical storm Bret has formed off the northwest islands of the Bahamas but does not look like it will become very strong on an erratic northeastward path following the Gulf Stream.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunday was cloudy, mainly dry and had a rather warm, humid feel with a high of 18 C. However, the summer so far has been pretty dismal by our normal standards, especially with regard to sunshine which seems to have sunk to 30% of normal values. :eek:

M.T. Cranium · 19-07-2011 07:07AM

Tuesday, 19 July, 2011
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TODAY ... Mostly cloudy but not as windy, with just a few brief and isolated showers, northwest to northerly breezes 10-20 mph, highs 15-17 C.

TONIGHT ... Rain may develop across the south towards morning, otherwise, partly cloudy with isolated showers, cool, lows 7-9 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Morning showers across the south, variable cloud with isolated showers further north, rainfalls 1-3 mms generally but 3-7 mms possible in south, highs 15-17 C.

THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, cool. Lows 6-9 C and highs 15 to 18 C.

FRIDAY ... A rather cool start with lows 5-8 C due to clearing skies, then intervals of cloud and sunshine, slight chance of showers, highs 15 to 18 C.

SATURDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers may return to parts of the north, a bit warmer, lows 7-9 C and highs 16 to 19 C.

SUNDAY ... Some hazy sunshine except for cloud and drizzle near northwest coasts, warmer, highs 17-21 C.

OUTLOOK ... Very warm next week, will subtropical humidity spoil the warm spell for some, or will it be generally sunny? This depends mainly on the fine tuning, but it looks increasingly likely that temperatures will easily get into the low to mid 20s and possibly as high as 27-29 C in the pattern now showing up with regularity on the various models. There will be the risk of low cloud, fog and drizzle near west and north coasts, but the air mass looks so warm that it could become hot in the east and inland south.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Extreme heat continued on Monday across many of the central and eastern states, and temperatures also crept up a bit higher in central Canada. A strong cold front has now developed in Saskatchewan and Montana, with severe storms breaking out overnight. The western states and provinces were closer to normal but also warming up in many cases. Temperatures hit 42 C again in Kansas, but the most brutal conditions were in Iowa due to the higher humidity making for a "humidex" of about 54 C in some places (38 C with 28 C dew points over the corn fields).

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy most of the day but some sunshine by late afternoon, warmer, highs near 22 C.

M.T. Cranium · 20-07-2011 06:30AM

Wednesday, 20 July, 2011
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TODAY ... Morning showers or periods of rain in the south will clear away to the south by mid-day, and otherwise most regions will be in partly to mostly cloudy skies all day with isolated showers that may die out before reaching the south coast later ... light to moderate north winds and highs of about 16 or 17 C, rainfalls 3-7 mms mostly in the southern coastal counties and slightly further inland this morning.

TONIGHT ... Variable cloud, still a few showers around especially in Leinster and east Ulster, lows 7-9 C.

THURSDAY ... Cloudy with some sunny intervals, showers at times, 1-3 mms on average, winds northerly 10-20 mph, highs 15-18 C.

FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy with longer sunny intervals developing, morning lows rather chilly 5-8 C, afternoon highs 15-18 C.

SATURDAY ... Sunny intervals, warmer (after another rather cool night), lows near 7 C and highs near 19 C.

SUNDAY ... Increasing cloud, some light rain, drizzle or fog developing in west, warm and humid, lows near 10 C and highs 18-21 C.

OUTLOOK ... Models continue to promise a warmer week with the emphasis on peak warmth later in the week, but generally speaking highs should be mainly in the 20s with some chance of reaching 27 C or higher at times later in the week, at least for east and south ... the flow will be coming in from the west and this could spoil things for the western coastal districts at times, with low cloud, fog and drizzle ... but as the models are always changing the details, there could be improvements in that outlook if the high proves stronger and especially further north allowing the winds to back around to a more favourable easterly direction.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Hot and humid for the central and eastern states, most of southern Ontario and Manitoba, highs of 35-40 C in many places and humidex values even higher, 45-50 C. A strong cold front and secondary front are cutting through western Canada tonight with widespread severe storms that also cover parts of Montana and western North Dakota. These will subside a bit in a few hours, then re-intensify over eastern Manitoba and central North Dakota on Wednesday. Further east, scattered clusters of storms near Chicago and a few other places although the heat wave is mainly dry. T.S. Bret has weakened and looks to be clinging to its tropical identity.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy morning, sunny intervals in the afternoon, warm, highs near 21 C.

M.T. Cranium · 21-07-2011 07:18AM

Thursday, 21 July, 2011
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TODAY ... Showers or periods of light rain will brush parts of eastern Ireland this morning, with variable cloud further west. By afternoon and evening, most places should be seeing a few sunny intervals but it will stay rather cool, highs 14-17 C milder in the west today. Winds light northerly except moderate N-NE in the Dublni region.

TONIGHT ... Clear intervals, chilly especially in central counties where lows could fall to near 5 C, otherwise 7-10 C.

FRIDAY ... Intervals of cloud and sun, highs near 17 C.

SATURDAY ... Partly cloudy to sunny, lows near 7 C and highs near 18 C.

SUNDAY ... Hazy sunshine east and south, cloudy with onshore fog or drizzle west and north, milder or warmer, lows near 10 C and highs near 21 C (18 C west).

OUTLOOK ... Models still promise a warm week ahead with potential for highs in the range of 22-25 C eastern and central counties, 18-22 C western counties, with the main issue being marine cloud and elevated fog drifting some distance inland on some days.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Continued very hot and humid central and eastern states, most of Ontario and Quebec. Severe storms moved through parts of Manitoba and the western Great Lakes on Wednesday. A second tropical storm, Cindy, has formed northeast of Bret and both of them look rather weak, but are drifting along to the northeast.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy with a few showers in Vancouver on Wednesday, 20 C ... but I flew to Ontario for a 2-day visit and in Toronto the heat was intense, felt like about 36 C for the minute or two I was exposed to the outside at the airport, then in Ottawa it was sunny and 28 C, a bit more tolerable.

TheInquisitor · 21-07-2011 12:43PM

Mt, just wondering, does it not look like we could get some downpours From Sunday to Tuesday with the remnants of Bret and Cindy coming close to us? Cindy is now on the cusp of becoming a Hurricane with 60mph winds althogh obviously if it does it will be short lived with it going into cooler waters

I hope im wrong!

M.T. Cranium · 22-07-2011 07:17AM

Friday, 22 July, 2011
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So far, not much indication of sustained moisture with Cindy's remnants next week, and the track seems likely to "split" that moisture as it approaches Ireland. Meanwhile, I am still looking on the map to find "Dublni" (whoops) the rainfall capital of Ireland yesterday. I am on the last night of a quick trip east to Ottawa, where they set up an outdoor blast furnace to welcome me. If this air mass manages to cross the Atlantic it may cool down to about 25 C but it's starting off pretty close to 40. :eek:

TODAY ... Intervals of cloud and sunshine, isolated showers mainly in north. Highs near 17 C.

TONIGHT ... Clear intervals, mist patches, lows 6-8 C.

SATURDAY ... Sunshine except for some patchy low cloud, fog or drizzle near outer west and north coasts. Becoming partly cloudy later, highs 16-18 C. Light northwest winds becoming variable.

SUNDAY ... Cloudy with some hazy sunshine at times in east and inland south. Highs near 20 C.

OUTLOOK ... Next week should get a little warmer each day to about Wednesday or Thursday which look to be the "peak" warming at the moment. Potentially, it could be in the low 20s early in the week and mid 20s later on, at least in the east, central and inland southern counties. West and north will have the marine cloud effects at times holding temperatures closer to 18-21.

The very hazy indications for early August possibly including the end of July weekend would be a return to more seasonable but relatively dry weather.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Blast furnace hot in many parts of central and eastern U.S., Ontario and Quebec. Records fell in many places (for the date, not all time) for example it was 38 C at Toronto airport and it felt about that in downtown Ottawa where I was (luckily not outside for much of the daylight ... just went outside here at 0200 local and it felt very warm, about 25 to 27 C, but there is a strong west wind helping a bit). Back home in Vancouver it was sunny with cloudy periods and about 22 C.

Back to home base for MTC later today.

M.T. Cranium · 23-07-2011 07:19AM

Saturday, 23 July, 2011
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Forecast has been updated at 0800h after I had a chance to assess the new run of the ECM and UKMO ... the GFS guidance goes very warm during the week, the GEM and these other two models are not quite as warm. The forecast that I put up tentatively at 0700 has been revised slightly to give a better consensus (changes only begin in that after Tuesday).

TODAY ... Partly cloudy to sunny for most, some more persistent cloud in parts of west and north, with isolated drizzle or light rain. Highs 16-18 C west and 18-21 C elsewhere.

TONIGHT ... Cloudy and mild, fog in some western counties at times, lows near 11 C.

SUNDAY ... Hazy sun at first, increasing cloud, some light rain in west by afternoon and evening. Highs 17-21 C.

MONDAY ... Showers developing but tending to be rather light and dying out as they move further east. Lows near 12 C and highs near 20 C.

TUESDAY ... Cloudy at first, hazy sunshine developing, warm. Lows near 12 C and highs 19-23 C.

OUTLOOK ... Sunny and rather (possibly very) warm in east, central and inland south, cloudy and warm or at least mild in west and north. Highs could reach 24-27 C given some of the guidance this morning, but the best compromise would be 22-25 for the eventual range, in regions not affected by cooler marine air on the west coast mainly. There are maps in this 5-7 day period that have rather odd looking patterns of upper temperatures so I suspect the outcome may be slightly different again as we get closer. The warmest part of this warm spell now appears to be more like the end of the week and the weekend of 30-31 July.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... The heat wave shifted slightly further east and it is gradually turning much cooler in some north central states and the prairie provinces. I flew through some clusters of very turbulent showers there a few hours ago. Cloudy over the Rockies and clear on the west coast.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... It was sunny and hot in Ottawa Friday, 32 C so not as extreme as the previous day, then when I got back to the west coast it was also sunny but a lot cooler (20 C).

M.T. Cranium · 24-07-2011 07:02AM

Sunday, 24 July, 2011
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If you chose this coming week for (part of) your holiday, then you've done better than most.

TODAY ... Extensive cloud to start, breaking to hazy sunshine in various places, quite warm and humid, highs 18-22 C. Although the west coast may have more stubborn low cloud and even some drizzle, it could also break up there as well, almost any place in Ireland could get quite warm today.

TONIGHT ... Rather cloudy again, some patchy drizzle and mist, lows 12-14 C.

MONDAY ... Warm and humid, with some sunny intervals, more frequent cloud in western counties ... highs 19-23 C.

TUESDAY ... Mixture of cloud and hazy sunshine, light winds, warm away from the outer west or south coasts, lows near 12 C and highs near 24 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Sunny intervals, very warm (possibly hot for some in the east) with lows near 12 C and highs 23-27 C (except 18-22 C west).

THURSDAY ... Cloudy to start, perhaps a brief shower, then gradually clearing with a fresh west to northwest breeze. Despite the change in air mass, I suspect it may be quite warm or even hot in the south and east with the land breeze and only a slight cooling of the atmosphere. But the onshore flow will likely mean a more noticeable cooling for the northwest, even so it could be pleasantly warm. So, with that said, lows near 11 C and highs 18-24 C.

FRIDAY ... Sunny intervals, very warm or hot, lows near 9 C in rural areas to 13 C elsewhere, and highs 23-27 C, as winds return to a west then southwest direction. Once again, this could cool the south and west coasts more than other parts but not extremely.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... The warmth or heat could last through Saturday before beginning to break (but now that this warm spell is finally here, perhaps its ending will get delayed in the same fashion as its onset was -- do you think that would be fair?) ... from the models, would suggest Saturday in the range of 24-27 C and Sunday 17-20 C with higher chance of showers than most days in this week.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... There could be a gradual return to the conditions seen Friday and Saturday, in other words, dry and seasonable in a light northerly flow, as the warm high splits and repositions back to the west. Further warmth is possible in mid-August, I think, because there will only be a limited cooling of the upper levels in this reposition phase.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... The extreme heat continued in the eastern states while the weak cold front made progress Saturday towards the lower Great Lakes where it set off some severe storms in a few places, especially in Ohio. Highs reached 40 C (not humidex, actual) for the second day in many of the larger cities. Humidex was about 48-52 C. There is an enormous strain on the electricity networks due to constantly running air conditioning. The extreme heat covers parts of the central and western states too, basically anywhere south of about 42 deg N, then north of that it is quite a bit cooler now with more of an easterly flow out of the Hudson Bay region that generates cloudy skies until it gets well past Minnesota and Manitoba, but the clearing is soon replaced by upslope cloud east of the Rockies (see what a plane flight does for me?) ... the west coast today was perfectly sunny and pleasantly warm. If you can see the Canadian Open golf on TV, it's being held a few miles from my place. (and even if you can't, it is)

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunny on Saturday with a high of about 22 C.

M.T. Cranium · 25-07-2011 06:40AM

Monday, 25 July, 2011
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TODAY ... Some brief light showers may drift through north central counties this morning and then die out in Leinster during the afternoon. Otherwise, rather extensive cloud will tend to break up somewhat to reveal hazy sunshine with warm and humid conditions, tempered somewhat near the Connacht and west Munster coasts by sporadic low cloud or sea fog. Highs will range from 18-20 C in the west to 21-24 C in the east and inland south. Winds generally light northwest becoming moderate westerly near the coasts by afternoon. Can't rule out one or two isolated rumbles of thunder with the showers as described earlier.

TONIGHT ... Clear intervals, rather hazy or misty then some fog developing, light winds, warm and humid. Lows 11-14 C.

TUESDAY ... Hazy sunshine developing with the risk of fog or low cloud mainly confined to south and west coasts, possible local sea breeze effects, but many places could reach 24-25 C if the sun co-operates. Light winds, rather humid, so quite a warm or even hot feel to the day. Tuesday night will be clear in places, misty, quite mild at about 10-13 C although larger cities may stay 13-16 C.

WEDNESDAY ... The eastern and central counties will continue rather sunny and very warm or locally hot with highs 23-27 C, but by contrast the western counties may see a lot of cloud and eventually some showers, possibly becoming thundery in a few places. Highs will be 18-23 C there, still quite warm and with the humidity rather sultry. Overnight, the showers and a few thunderstorms will drift east across the country, rainfalls of about 3-5 mms will be common, but the southeast may escape this rain, while Ulster could see 5-15 mms and also a greater risk of thunder. Lows of about 12-16 C.

THURSDAY ... Gradual clearing in a fresh northwest breeze, but still a rather warm day for some regions especially inland southeast, central and southwest counties, where highs may reach 21 C. The north may be more cloudy and fresher with highs 16-19 C. Thursday night should be clear and a bit cooler, 8-11 C on average.

FRIDAY ... Sunny and rather warm again, light winds, highs 20-24 C.

SATURDAY ... This may be the warmest day of the period, if not Wednesday, with similar conditions, increasing cloud from west to east later in the day, but very warm or even hot sunshine at times in the east. Highs could be into the mid or high 20s in places. Some places may hit 27 or 28 around the southeast.

SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, still fairly warm, scattered showers developing. Highs near 22 C.

OUTLOOK for early August ... The warm spell may continue, as latest guidance tends to keep Ireland in a warm southwest flow and then suggests high pressure could stall over the region, lifting north to permit a warmer continental feed during the week. Maybe the "heat wave summer" is now trying to wake up after sleeping in?

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... The severe heat wave lost a few more states on Sunday, and is now confined to a band from about Oklahoma to North Carolina. The temperature trend is slowly downward further north although it's still a good deal warmer than Ireland until you get north of Lake Superior.

Extensive heavy storms in Kansas-Nebraska moving east, Ohio and PA moving southeast, as the eastern ridge collapses slowly. Also extensive storms across the southeast and Florida. The west is now warm to hot, and dry.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... A perfect day for humans and also flying ants, who woke up en masse and attacked with a vengeance during the lunch hour. This two-hour onslaught ended as suddenly as it began. I've never seen the phenomenon before, and neither had anyone else I met. Anyway, the high was about 25 C with patches of high cloud in an otherwise clear sky. I hope the flying ants have had their fun because I plan on an outdoor lunch again today.

fizzycyst · 25-07-2011 11:07AM

Our ants were flying yesterday too, the little buggers were everywhere!

nacho libre · 25-07-2011 06:03PM

fizzycyst wrote: »

Our ants were flying yesterday too, the little buggers were everywhere!

I had the same problem last week.

M.T. Cranium · 26-07-2011 07:33AM

Tuesday, 26 July, 2011
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TODAY ... Extensive cloud this morning, slowly giving way to hazy sunshine at least in southern and eastern counties, but with the risk of fog or low cloud mainly confined to south and west coasts, possible local sea breeze effects, but many places could reach 23-24 C if the sun co-operates. Highs 18-21 C around the southwest, west and north coasts. Light winds, rather humid, so quite a warm or even hot feel to the day where the sun comes through.

TONIGHT ... clear in places this evening, misty, more extensive low cloud later on, quite mild at about 10-13 C although larger cities may stay 13-16 C.

WEDNESDAY ... The eastern and central counties will start cloudy but may turn rather sunny and very warm or locally hot with highs 23-27 C, but by contrast the western counties may see a lot of cloud and eventually some showers, possibly becoming thundery in a few places. Highs will be 18-23 C there, still quite warm and with the humidity rather sultry. Through the afternoon and evening, the showers and a few thunderstorms will drift east across the country, rainfalls of about 3-5 mms will be common, but the southeast may escape this rain, while Ulster could see 5-15 mms and also a greater risk of thunder. Lows of about 12-16 C.

THURSDAY ... Gradual clearing in a fresh northwest breeze, but still a rather warm day for some regions especially inland southeast, central and southwest counties, where highs may reach 21 C. The north may be more cloudy and fresher with highs 16-19 C. Thursday night should be clear and a bit cooler, 8-11 C on average.

FRIDAY ... Sunny and rather warm again, light winds, highs 20-24 C. Sea breezes will be more prevalent on the east coast for a change, so the west may be as warm as inland. Sea breezes could cool the east coast to 17-19 C.

SATURDAY ... This may be the warmest day of the period, if not Wednesday, with similar conditions, increasing cloud from west to east later in the day, but very warm or even hot sunshine at times in the east. Highs could be into the mid or high 20s in places. Some places may hit 27 or 28 around the southeast.

SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, still fairly warm, scattered showers developing. Highs near 23 C except 17-19 C west and north coasts.

OUTLOOK for early August ... The warm spell may continue, as latest guidance tends to keep Ireland in a warm or marginally hot pattern with some tendency to southeast winds for a time, then mid-week showers.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... The long-standing heat wave has been confined to only a few states now from Oklahoma to South Carolina. It has turned quite a bit cooler in the northeast states with scattered outbreaks of rain. Dry and cool in parts of the north central states and inland western Canada. Variable cloud and seasonable near the west coast.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy with sunny breaks, isolated showers on Monday, highs near 19 C with a strong sea breeze cooling temperatures near the coast.

200motels · 26-07-2011 11:26AM

redsunset wrote: »

Now I'm not bashing met eireann here but surely they can do better than this for tomorrow, wednesday.where's the temps and wind.

Tomorrow
Outbreaks of light rain will gradually spread eastwards during tomorrow

Your not supposed to post here as this is for MT'S forecasts, mods could you remove these posts and this one please.

M.T. Cranium · 27-07-2011 06:51AM

Wednesday, 27 July, 2011
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TODAY ... Central and eastern counties should start out dry with sunshine gradually replacing mist or fog, and it will warm up rapidly. Highs inland could reach 22-25 C although sea breezes in a weak south or southeast drift could keep some coasts near 18 C. Meanwhile, a slow-moving and rather ill-defined band of light rain just moving on shore in the west will make slow eastward progress, and could fragment somewhat as daytime heating goes to work. Rainfalls of 2-4 mms are possible with this. The rain will reach eastern Ulster and inland Leinster by afternoon, but may not extend very completely into the south, because trailing this weak front is a second frontal band that could begin to take over the available energy and make its leisurely trip east during the overnight hours. So in the west, you may find that after a rather dreary morning, skies could brighten for a time this afternoon before the second feature arrives. Highs in the west in any case will range from 17 C along the coast to about 20 C well inland. Very light winds in most areas, and some dense sea fog likely offshore west and possibly south later.

TONIGHT ... Sporadic outbreaks of light rain although eastern Ulster could see more moderate showers with a few rumbles of thunder added to give about 5-15 mms locally there. Otherwise, only about 2-4 mms at most. Foggy after midnight for most, with a light northerly wind setting in. Lows near 12 C.

THURSDAY ... Eastern counties will be rather slow to dry out and clear, as the front, while weak, has little to push it further east. Clearing should be more immediate in central counties and the west will clear as long as sea fog doesn't move inland, as it may for a time. With the best of the sunshine in central counties (as seen north-south) the highest daytime temperatures are likely to occur around Cork, Limerick, Tipps and Waterford where 22 C seems possible. Further north, 18-20 C more likely. East coast could be held to about 17-19 C unless the sun breaks through before mid-afternoon, and west coast could be 16-18 C due to more extensive fog and cloud. Winds generally north backing to northwest 10-15 mph.

FRIDAY ... After a rather cool, clear night with local fog (lows 6-9 C) the day should become mainly sunny with some lingering low cloud near the Dublin, Wicklow and Wexford coasts. Even that could remain offshore or break up during the morning. Plenty of sunshine elsewhere with light east winds or local sea breezes. Highs 20-23 C inland, 17-19 C around most coasts.

SATURDAY ... Sunny and warm, possibly even hot for some, after patchy low cloud and fog burns off during the morning. Highs could reach 23-25 C away from sea breezes where 17-19 C more likely.

SUNDAY ... Sunny with cloudy intervals, just a slight risk of showers mainly in Connacht and west Ulster. Continuing warm, highs 22-24 C.

MONDAY ... Variable cloud, isolated showers, warm. Highs 22-24 C.

OUTLOOK ... Somewhat unsettled in the south although rain may stay mainly offshore, in a light easterly flow developing, with cloud spreading across the south and some central counties at times. Remaining rather warm but highs may drop back to 18-21 C especially near east coasts. Somewhat warmer at times inland west. Not much change in this pattern for the rest of the week.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Things have returned more or less to normal in many regions as the severe heat wave has now been pretty much replaced by seasonably warm weather. The heat threatens to return in about five to seven days, but until then, the pattern will consist of weak frontal waves running east near the latitude of the Great Lakes, with heavy showers or storms today in parts of the northern plains and western Great Lakes, and also in northern New England.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Tuesday was cloudy and very cool for late July, I haven't checked the official high but doubt that it was much above 16 C.

:eek: -- will have to come to Ireland for some sunshine and warmth then.

M.T. Cranium · 28-07-2011 07:34AM

Thursday, 28 July, 2011
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TODAY ... Cloud should begin to break up gradually in many parts of Ireland after 0900h but some east coast districts could remain overcast until well into the afternoon. Some light drizzle remains but little measurable rain seems likely. Highs will reach 20-22 C where clouds break (and potentially 22-24 C if sunshine emerges early). Highs will be closer to 18 C near most of the coastal districts due to onshore breezes in a generally N backing to NE flow 10-15 mph.

TONIGHT ... Cloudy in the east at times, low cloud or fog may drift into parts of the northwest coast as well, but otherwise extensive clear skies with mist or fog forming well after midnight. Lows 7-10 C inland and 10-13 C coastal. Very light winds but NE 5-10 mph near east coast.

FRIDAY ... Widespread sunshine but potential for low cloud in southeast at times and drifting around near outer west coast as well although hopefully that cloud will stay over the water and give most coastal towns a very fine day. Highs 19-23 C.

SATURDAY ... Mostly sunny, increasing cloud over far west with slight risk of showers late afternoon or evening outer west coast. Rather warm away from sea breezes in a light to moderate southerly flow. Highs 19-24 C.

SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, increasing chance of showers in west, longer sunny intervals in east, highs 17-19 C west and 20-24 C east.

MONDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, possibly some heavier rain at times in the southwest, but some eastern and northern counties may stay dry ... highs 17-19 C southwest and west central, 20-23 C elsewhere.

OUTLOOK FOR NEXT WEEK ... Unsettled at times in a light to moderate easterly flow, becoming west to northwest later in the week, some heavy showers or thunderstorms developing in places. Highs generally 17-20 C.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Severe heat developed again in Kansas and Oklahoma as well as north Texas, where some places hit 45 C (113 F). Otherwise, most other central and eastern states were more seasonably hot with widely scattered storms. Tropical storm Don is heading slowly northwest through the central Gulf of Mexico towards the Houston region. The west remains rather cloudy and near normal.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy with afternoon and evening sunny breaks, a bit warmer with highs 18-20 C.

M.T. Cranium · 29-07-2011 06:39AM

Friday, 29 July, 2011
_________________________

Basically, it's a case of extensive cloud cover with little wind to assist in breaking it up, but where it does break, temperatures should respond quickly to 20 degrees or a little higher. Some isolated showers may develop this morning near Dublin and Wicklow, but otherwise, the main threat of wet weather during the weekend will come Saturday night and Sunday morning with a weak frontal system pushing east. Most places will see some rain from that, but with any luck it will occur mostly overnight or at least before lunch time Sunday.

TODAY ... Extensive cloud to start the day, slowly brightening in parts of the west this morning, slight risk of showers (2-4 mms at most) in parts of coastal Dublin and Wicklow, Wexford. The afternoon may remain cloudy in some places but sunshine could begin to break through here and there. Winds very light and trending to easterly. Highs will depend on cloud cover, staying about 16-17 C where cloudy, and rising to 20-22 C where sunny.

TONIGHT ... Cloudy with some clear breaks, misty at times. Lows 9-13 C.

SATURDAY ... Variable cloud, some warm sunny periods developing, late afternoon or evening showers edging onto the southwest coast but becoming heavier by the overnight hours. Humid. Highs 19-23 C.

SUNDAY ... Overnight and morning showers pushing northeast, giving 5-10 mms of rain on average, possibly a rumble of thunder with the rain, but some chance of sunshine redeveloping by afternoon or evening in parts of the south and central counties. Lows 12-15 C, highs 18-21 C.

MONDAY ... Variable cloud, chance of isolated showers, warm and humid. Lows near 13 C and highs near 20 C.

OUTLOOK ... Rather cloudy with frequent showers developing mid-week, somewhat breezier (from west to northwest) later in week, temperatures generally rather warm at first (18-22 C) then falling off slightly.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Heavy showers and thunderstorms moving through the lower Great Lakes region overnight will head across southern Ontario this morning, bringing further drought relief (Toronto has had only 30 mms of rain so far in July). Hot and humid air returning to the northeast states during the day with the storms confined mainly to upstate NY and later northern New England. Southeast states unsettled, widespread thunderstorms. Severe heat continues today in south central states but weak tropical storm Don will move into coastal TX about midnight and bring heavy rains and local drought relief.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Thursday was sunny with a high near 23 C.

M.T. Cranium · 30-07-2011 07:37AM

Saturday, 30 July, 2011
____________________________

TODAY ... Warm and humid for most. Cloudy with some morning sunny breaks (most likely in north Leinster and east Ulster), showers and a few thunderstorms developing across western counties later this morning and into the afternoon, with isolated showers possible further east, although many places there remaining dry until evening. Rainfalls 5-10 mms in west. Highs 18-22 C higher in northeast due to sunny intervals. Winds picking up from light southeast to moderate southerly 15-25 mph.

TONIGHT ... Further showers or thundershowers spreading gradually east but heavier in Connacht and west Ulster, 8-15 mms locally there, 3-8 mms elsewhere, warm and humid with fog developing, lows 12-14 C. Winds moderate S-SW 15-25 mph.

SUNDAY ... Morning showers continuing but brighter intervals spreading inland from southwest with a general drying trend working its way further east through the afternoon. Rainfalls of 3-7 mms heavier in northeast. Some sunny intervals returning by afternoon and evening at least in west and south. Rather warm and very humid, highs 17-21 C.

MONDAY ... Intervals of cloud and sun, warm and humid, a few isolated showers developing, locally heavy, although quite a few places could remain dry for the day. Lows near 13 C and highs near 20 C.

TUESDAY ... Partly cloudy, warm, isolated showers, lows near 12 C and highs near 20 C.

WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY ... Heavy rain appears likely with 20-30 mms possible during the two day period, heavier in Connacht and west Munster than elsewhere. Lows near 14 C and highs near 18 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... In general, the pattern looks warm and humid for most of early August with occasional showers, but the possibility of a few very warm days at times.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Severe heat eased only slightly in south central states, while weak tropical storm Don moved inland in south Texas with very little rain left, so not a lot of widespread drought relief yet. Sporadic thunderstorms along very weak fronts in the central and eastern states but air mass contrasts are slight and in fact it is very warm well into southern Canada. The west remains closer to normal or a touch below, with widespread cloud over the mountains, and severe storms developed along a cold front in Alberta.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunny, 23 C on Friday.

M.T. Cranium · 31-07-2011 06:48AM

Sunday, 31 July, 2011
____________________________

TODAY ... Rather warm and humid, despite intervals of light rain this morning, with a gradual drying trend mid-day west, afternoon east. Some sunshine may develop especially in the southwest. Rainfall amounts rather slight, 2-5 mms on average. Winds continuing to veer slowly becoming SW 15-25 mph. Highs 18-21 C.

TONIGHT ... Variable cloud, some clear intervals, mild, lows 10-12 C.

MONDAY ... Some sunny intervals, then cloudy with outbreaks of rain later in the day or from evening onward, warm and humid again, highs 18-22 C.

TUESDAY ... Morning showers ending, 5-10 mms of rain in some parts of the southeast, clearing, sunny intervals and warm for the afternoon, lows near 13 and highs near 21 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Increasing cloud, rain developing, foggy by evening, warm and humid, lows near 12 C and highs near 20 C, 5-15 mms rain, heavier west.

THURSDAY ... Rain tapering to showers, gradual drying with brighter intervals developing, winds rather gusty SW to W 20-30 mph, lows near 14 C and highs around 18 C.

OUTLOOK ... Not quite as warm later in the week and through the following weekend, showery, winds westerly, highs around 18 C. Some warmer days may follow in the second week of August.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... The severe heat wave continues with some interruptions from thunderstorms here and there, but extreme drought persists in TX and OK into s KS. Further west, the heat is more seasonable and temperatures are near normal. The most active weather is across the Canadian prairies, with one front dying out but another cold front developing slowly tonight and Sunday across inland B.C., heading for Alberta as a low pulls desert heat north into Montana.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Saturday was a sunny and rather warm day with a high near 25 C. Cloudy at present, light showers may develop although the front is mainly dry. Expecting sunshine to return Sunday morning or mid-day.

Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

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