Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

M.T. Cranium · 12-06-2011 06:35AM

Sunday, 12 June, 2011
_____________________________

TODAY ... Rain and strong, gusty E-SE winds spreading gradually north, reaching a Dublin to Galway line about 0900h and finally Ulster around mid-day to afternoon. Some sunny breaks in the north before this wet weather arrives. The rain may become heavy with thundery showers embedded especially in the southeast and east. 20-30 mms of rain likely. Some brighter intervals late afternoon and evening in Munster as winds veer to southwest.

During the rain temperatures will edge up to 12-14 C, and could top off near 16 C in the southwest quite late in the day. Extensive hill fog and low cloud with the rain.

TONIGHT ... Becoming windy again from the west, rain tapering off to showers, further amounts 5-10 mms except 15 mms in Ulster. Clearing across the south and spreading to central counties before dawn, low cloud and drizzle across the north. Winds strongest in Mayo and Donegal at about 20-40 mph, lows generally 6-8 C.

MONDAY ... Partly cloudy to sunny for most, cloudy with sunny breaks further north, just a few brief showers in far north. Winds west to northwest at about 15-25 mph, highs 12-17 C warmest in southeast.

TUESDAY ... After a clear and chilly start with lows 2-7 C, this should be a generally sunny day with the slight risk of showers in the north, and highs of about 14 to 17 C. Rain will edge towards the west coast in the evening.

WEDNESDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, becoming heavy late in the day in western counties, lows near 7 C and highs near 15 C.

THURSDAY ... Cloudy, showers, lows near 7 C and highs near 15 C.

FRIDAY ... Periods of rain, lows near 7 C and highs near 14 C.

OUTLOOK ... Gradually improving temperatures from about next weekend into the following week, and at this stage the models are showing a few warm to hot days possible (around 23-25 June, so just a preliminary indication at this point).

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... The cooling trend continued on Saturday across the northeast U.S. with the fronts stalled near PHL west into the Ohio valley. Some scattered heavy storms developed. The front sagged well south of Memphis and Wichita KS into the high plains with severe storms most concentrated between Oklahoma City and Denver. Rather cool across most of the northern states.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Yet another cloudy, dry day with temperatures near 16 C.

M.T. Cranium · 13-06-2011 06:49AM

Monday, 13 June, 2011
______________________________

TODAY ... Cloudy this morning with scattered drizzle mostly north and west, then gradually turning brighter with partly cloudy skies, light to moderate westerly breezes (stronger near Connacht and Ulster coasts). Highs 13 to 16 milder in the south.

TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy with clear intervals leading to some rather cold readings in the central and inland counties, slight risk of ground frost, lows generally 3-7 C but milder northwest coast.

TUESDAY ... Sunny with cloudy intervals, pleasantly warm for most areas (by recent standards), highs 14-18 C (could touch 19-20 C in warmer inland southeast). Clouding over in west late afternoon.

TUESDAY NIGHT ... Showers or periods of rain, mild, lows 8-12 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Variable cloud, early showers clearing east then more developing west, becoming heavy at times. Highs 16-18 C.

THURSDAY ... Showers, lows near 7 C and highs near 16 C.

FRIDAY ... Showers or periods of light rain, lows near 8 C and highs near 15 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Slightly cooler again, not as grim as last week hopefully, but with showers at times. Highs around 15 C. This spell should ease during the following week which could turn quite warm eventually.

Following a potentially significant weather event, as there appears to have been a large volcanic eruption in Eritrea, with the ash cloud heading west towards Sudan. This appears to have happened in Nabro, a stratovolcano that has not erupted in historic times. (some early reports mention Dubbi or Dubbo to the north but satellite imagery confirms the source as Nabro) ... potentially, there could be impacts on visibility and optics over at least parts of southern Europe and west Africa, the Middle East ... but there would be no direct impacts on Ireland from present information.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Scattered heavy storms in the inland southeast, hot over Texas and the southwest, cool and dry most areas in the plains states but rain or showers in the Dakotas moving through the southern parts of the Canadian prairies also. Bland near normal conditions on the west coast.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Hazy sunshine managed to burn through a fairly extensive layer of marine cloud most of the day, 18-19 C.

M.T. Cranium · 14-06-2011 07:05AM

Tuesday, 14 June, 2011
_____________________________

TODAY ... Sunshine for the first part of the day, gradually yielding to cloud but staying fair except late afternoon on the west coast when some light rain may develop. Moderate southerly winds near coasts, and warm inland. Highs 15-19 C.

TONIGHT ... Showers or light rain, mild, 3-7 mms rain on average, lows 8-11 C and moderate S to SW winds.

WEDNESDAY ... Variable cloud, rather warm and humid, showers ending for most, then isolated showers redeveloping late in the day, possibly heavy in the southwest. Highs 15-18 C.

THURSDAY ... Increasing cloud, mild, showers, and stronger SW winds by afternoon (20-30 mph), lows near 7 C and highs near 16 C.

FRIDAY ... Cloudy, a bit cooler with frequent showers merging into periods of rain especially in Munster and south Leinster, 5-15 mms rain potential, lows of about 7 C and highs of about 14 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Showery and cool on Saturday, highs near 14 C, then variable cloud with isolated showers Sunday, highs near 16 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... A few more rather cool, cloudy days with isolated showers in a weak northerly flow, highs 15-17 C. Warmer towards the end of next week.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Somewhat cooler air has pushed well south on Monday, to reach Georgia and the inland southeast. The hot, dry air continues to bake Texas and much of the southwest. Highs reached 110 F or 43 C west of Dallas today. Further north, rather bland weather.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Drizzle or light rain on Monday morning, gradual clearing afternoon, sunny for the evening hours, highs near 17 C.

M.T. Cranium · 15-06-2011 06:22AM

Wednesday, 15 June, 2011
__________________________________

TODAY ... Rather cloudy this morning, with light showers in central counties moving through Leinster, but some sunny breaks to follow with isolated showers developing in a rather warm, humid southwest flow (winds 10-20 mph). Rainfalls mostly 1-3 mms. Highs 17-19 C except 15-17 C northwest and north. About 4-8 hours of sunshine mostly mid-day to afternoon.

TONIGHT ... Cloudy with showers in the west, mainly dry elsewhere, mild, some fog developing, lows 8-11 C.

THURSDAY ... Cloudy with showers, some heavy or thundery, highs 15-17 C.

FRIDAY ... Mostly cloudy, some outbreaks of light or moderate rain, but a few places may see a bit of sunshine too as the systems are rather disorganized, lows around 7 C and highs 14-16 C.

SATURDAY ... Showers, becoming breezy by mid-day (W 20-35 mph) and rather cool, lows near 7 C and highs near 14 C.

SUNDAY ... With any luck, a weak ridge will clear skies for part or all of the daylight hours between the departing Saturday cloud and the oncoming system for Monday. Lows near 7 C and highs near 18 C.

MONDAY ... Periods of rain, 15 C. Moderate southeast to south winds. Fog near coasts and hills.

OUTLOOK ... Models are stuck in a similar near normal or slightly cooler pattern with showery intervals, but the trend has been improving so I am cautiously optimistic that there could be a warm spell later this month towards the last few days.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... The trend in the past week has been for the formerly widespread heat to become confined to source in Texas and the southwest. On Tuesday, Oklahoma got into the heat briefly then had a round of severe storms. Otherwise, the hot air masses are dry, and further north many places are also dry but a few degrees below normal. Scattered storms fired along the fronts further east in the inland southeast. The west coast, meanwhile, remains mostly cloudy and rather cool.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Tuesday was cloudy with a few brief sunny breaks, and evening showers, highs around 15-16 C.

M.T. Cranium · 16-06-2011 06:51AM

Thursday, 16 June, 2011
_____________________________

TODAY ... Partly cloudy, with some heavy or thundery showers developing, rather sporadic rainfalls that could reach 15-20 mms locally but will likely average about 3-7 mms. Reasonably warm again, but a bit cooler than yesterday for most, with a fresh SSW wind reaching 25 mph at times. Highs about 16-17 C.

TONIGHT ... Variable cloud, a few more showers but clear intervals leading to fog, rather cool with winds dying off, lows 6-8 C.

FRIDAY ... Heavy rain may develop across the south and then move through Leinster and east Ulster by afternoon and evening. Further west, it may stay dry or at least rain will be light and showery; Donegal in particular could escape this wet weather. Most places will be rather cool with highs of about 13 to 15 C. Winds will be stronger with the rain along south and east coasts, SSE 15-30 mph, but more like light and variable further west. Rainfalls could total 20-30 mms in a few places in the southeast.

SATURDAY ... Cloudy with some afternoon sunny breaks, as showers move away to the northeast, although with some redevelopment of isolated afternoon showers in a gusty W to NW wind reaching 35 mph at times ... lows near 7 C and highs near 14 C.

SUNDAY ... Some uncertainty here, it may stay dry most of the day with increasing cloud, but rain will arrive in the southwest by afternoon or evening. A bit warmer for most after a chilly early morning, lows near 5 C and highs near 16 C.

MONDAY ... Rain continuing to spread slowly north, east to southeast winds turning more southerly, foggy, potential for 10-20 mms rain. Lows near 10 C and highs near 15 C.

OUTLOOK ... It still looks rather showery and cool mid-week, but a little warmer and drier nearer the following weekend. Fingers crossed, it could turn quite warm in late June.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Not much change from the past few days, except that the northeast is warming up a little and reaching more normal June values near 25 C. The real heat remains confined to Texas and the southwest, where it continues to surpass 100 F or in some cases 40 C. Near normal dry weather over much of the western and central regions.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunshine most of the day, but gloom descended in the evening when our hockey team lost the final game of the almost never-ending playoffs. A riot followed (downtown). But the weather is pleasant enough, high of about 19 C earlier. I shall now howl at the uneclipsed full moon.

:eek:

M.T. Cranium · 17-06-2011 07:18AM

Friday, 17 June, 2011
___________________________

TODAY ... Periods of rain, heavy at times, will continue in the southeast and east while soon ending in the west. Partly cloudy skies will follow in the western half of Ireland, while the morning rain will slowly taper to drizzle in the east then leave mostly cloudy skies. Further west, the afternoon may turn showery again with a slight risk of thunder. Highs will reach 13-15 C but could rise a bit higher in some central locations with enough sunshine later this morning. Rainfalls already underway should total 20-30 mms in the eastern counties but only 5-10 mms in the west including the later showers.

TONIGHT ... Further showers, becoming foggy especially northern inland counties, mild with SW to W breezes 10-20 mph, lows near 10 C.

SATURDAY ... Morning cloud and some showers lingering but a slow clearing trend across the south, with longer sunny intervals in west Munster. Brighter almost everywhere by late afternoon. Breezy (W 15-30 mph) and feeling a little cool at 14-15 C.

SUNDAY ... After a cool, mainly clear start with lows of 5-7 C, expect variable cloud, some sunshine at times, and patchy drizzle or light showers mainly confined to west coast and north. Rain may spread into the southwest towards evening. Somewhat warmer with highs 16-17 C.

MONDAY ... Periods of rain, 10-20 mms potential, lows near 10 C and highs near 15 C although could rise a bit higher in west and southwest where rain may end before mid-afternoon.

TUESDAY ... Showery, highs near 16 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Rather cool and showery mid-week, improving trend late in the week, potential for warmer than average temperatures starting around Friday 24th. Models show this warmth persisting into early July with some maps looking like mid-20s potentially, although flow will be southwest rather than the more reliable (for heat) southeast. Marine cloud issues may add a complication to this outlook for south and west coasts. But if we're going to see some heat this summer, these maps are fairly encouraging.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Heavy showers and severe storms becoming rather widespread on Thursday and through the current overnight hours in the central plains. Hot and dry weather persists in Texas and further west. Cool and dry in the Great Lakes region, and showers or storms in the mid-Atlantic states.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Maybe you were expecting smoke from fires, but those were pretty small and far away from the Craniad. The day was in fact quite pleasant except for the angst, shame and despair felt by almost everyone but me (as a weather forecaster, I have already crossed and burned these bridges). Highs reached about 20 C and IQs were mostly in the lower eighties.

M.T. Cranium · 18-06-2011 07:06AM

Saturday, 18 June, 2011
_______________________________

TODAY ... Mostly cloudy this morning with continuing showers, some of them heavy in western counties, but some clearing should develop at least across the south, spreading later to central and eastern counties, and the showers will both diminish in intensity and coverage as they become more confined to the north. Further rainfalls of 5-8 mms possible. A strong westerly breeze picking up to 20-35 mph with some higher gusts near west coast. Highs about 14 to 16 C. Sunshine will range from about 7 hours at best in south, to 1-3 hours in far north.

TONIGHT ... Variable cloud, some clear intervals, a slight chance of showers continuing near north coast. Lows generally 5-8 C. Winds diminishing to become nearly calm inland.

SUNDAY ... Some morning sunshine, increasing cloud likely by afternoon, chance of rain in southwest by late in the day. A bit warmer, highs 15-18 C.

MONDAY-TUESDAY ... Advance alert for heavy rainfall developing gradually on Monday and peaking Monday night or Tuesday. Rainfall potentials of 20-40 mms. Temperatures steady in the range of 13-16 C. Heaviest rain likely to develop across the central counties although at first moderate rain in south only on Monday afternoon.

OUTLOOK ... Showery on Wednesday and Thursday, rather cool, highs near 15 or 16 C. Nights fairly mild. Further rainfalls of 5-10 mms. Dry and a bit warmer closer to the end of the week.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Extreme heat developed in Texas where it has been hot and dry for weeks. Some temperatures broke all-time records, such as 114 F (46 C) at Vernon west of Fort Worth. Almost every location in Texas was well over 40 C at some point today. This hot, dry air mass also covers New Mexico, Arizona and some southern parts of Utah, Colorado, Kansas and most of Oklahoma. Further north in central Kansas and to some extent as far north as the Dakotas, heavy storms and widespread showers. Quite a moisture gradient has developed around Kansas and Nebraska (wet north, drought south). Eastern states continued rather cool for mid-June although close to normal. Very windy tonight (local time) in southern Saskatchewan as a deep low moves east towards Manitoba.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunny intervals at first, but mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening, rather chilly, 15 C.

M.T. Cranium · 18-06-2011 05:02PM

UPDATE _ Saturday, 5 p.m.
__________________________

Heavy showers with some thunder will continue to affect parts of the east and southeast until about 8-9 p.m. although rainfall amounts will vary from 3 to 5 mms additional in some places to 10 or 15 mms in a few spots. South Dublin and north Wicklow counties may see the heaviest but there could also be a cluster of heavy showers later moving through Dublin city region.

This rainfall develops from lighter showers in Galway and the midlands moving generally southeast and appears to be a meso-scale feature associated with a trough hanging back from the low which crossed Ulster and Scotland today. I have to say that the models, even the usually reliable high-resolution Hirlam, in general did not show as much development with this meso-scale feature as we have seen. Hence in layman's terms the afternoon and evening are becoming a washout in some areas. Parts of west Munster and Ulster have seen some breaks in the overcast and for these regions rainfall has already ended or will only amount to further trace amounts.

Still expecting a gradual clearing to develop once this cluster of heavy showers moves away to the east later this evening and Sunday continues to look generally dry, while Monday and Tuesday look wet again.

M.T. Cranium · 19-06-2011 06:55AM

Sunday, 19 June, 2011
_____________________________

TODAY ... Morning cloud across the south but sunny breaks elsewhere, and a mostly dry day ahead with the exception of a few very light showers near the south coast and widely separated elsewhere. Some areas may have as many as 10-12 hours of sunshine, and highs will reach 16 to 18 C, with the exception of outer coasts staying closer to 14 C. Winds generally light.

TONIGHT ... Rain slowly spreading into the south coast giving 3-5 mms by morning, but variable cloud to clear further north, dry for most. Lows 7-9 C. Winds increasing near the south coast to ESE 15-30 mph.

MONDAY ... Periods of rain may become rather heavy at times as the rain spreads slowly north, heaviest falls of 15-30 mms likely from about Clare and Galway east towards Dublin and Meath. The south may become more showery by afternoon as somewhat warmer air pushes in. Highs then will range from 18 C inland southeast to 14 C most of the north. Winds will tend to drop off later but could reach ESE 15-30 mph for the first part of the rainfall period.

MONDAY NIGHT into TUESDAY ... Rain continuing with some thundery bursts developing leading to some torrrential downpours in places, but becoming more concentrated over the north-central counties, 15-30 mms further accumulation, some spot flooding likely to develop around north Leinster and Ulster, northeast Connacht. The south will have variable amounts of cloud and only showery intervals but could return to intervals of heavy rain by late Tuesday. Overnight lows 10-12 C and daytime highs 13-17 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Showery with a further 5-10 mms possible, some thundery with hail. Lows near 8 C and highs near 15 C with gusty and chilly W-NW winds 20-40 mph.

THURSDAY ... Further showers and gusty NW winds, cool, lows near 7 C and highs near 15 C.

FRIDAY ... Present indications suggest a dry and partly sunny day with somewhat higher daytime temperatures near 17 C.

OUTLOOK ... The pattern ahead looks slightly improved but still variable with some showery intervals. The main improvement would be in the temperatures which look to be trending up to near or even slightly above normal values for late June and early July. Some highs into the 20s seem possible but there could also be some heavy, thundery showers with cold fronts. The storm track is lifting but not entirely leaving the vicinity, in other words. This may favour dry conditions returning gradually to the southeast. I should note at this point that the rather long-lived dry soil conditions in the southeast have apparently been overcome by recent rains as charts on the Met Eireann site indicate soil moisture deficits are now close to zero where they had been quite substantial in early June, meanwhile, west and north have become saturated and this trend continues.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Texas had another day of scorching heat, including 44 C at Wichita Falls and 45 C near Laredo. This heat continues to be largely confined to the south central and southwest states and the frontal zone through Kansas and Missouri into Tennessee and the Carolinas fired off frequent severe storms on Saturday, and continues active overnight. Many of you may be watching the U.S. Open golf from Bethesda near DC, and weather there should be humid but not overly hot, and showery later, so there may be some risk of delays. Meanwhile, further north it continues rather cool in the northern plains states and the Canadian west.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... A rather miserable day especially for a Saturday, low cloud, mist and light rain or drizzle much of the time, 14-15 C.

M.T. Cranium · 20-06-2011 06:46AM

Monday, 20 June, 2011
___________________________

TODAY ... Cloud followed by rain will spread slowly north but much of the day will remain dry with morning sunshine north of about Galway to Dublin. Heaviest rain 10-20 mms in west central counties. Highs 16-18 C northeast inland, 14-16 C elsewhere. The south could also see some late sunny intervals but sea fog will drift inland near the Cork and Waterford coasts. Although not too breezy in general, some places will see brief SE 15-25 mph onshore winds.

TONIGHT ... Rain becoming rather sporadic across the north, with partly cloudy skies further south, mild or very mild, lows 10-13 C.

TUESDAY ... Intervals of rain redeveloping across the north, and then later in the day heavy showers developing across the south. Some thunder with these, and widespread rainfalls of 20-30 mms by late day or overnight. Highs about 16 C south and 14 C north.

TUESDAY NIGHT and WEDNESDAY ... Showery with some heavy downpours, thunder and hail possible, winds becoming moderate to strong westerly then northwesterly 20-40 mph, and further rainfalls of 10-20 mms. Overnight lows of about 10 C and daytime highs of 14-16 C. Some spot flooding during the early morning to mid-day hours.

THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, breezy, cool, showers with some hail and thunder, lows near 7 C and highs near 14 C.

FRIDAY ... Sunny intervals, morning lows 5-8 C and afternoon highs 15-18 C but cloud and some rain possible in southwest late in the day.

SATURDAY ... Morning showers, misty or foggy in places, turning warmer, some hazy sunshine developing, highs 19-23 C.

SUNDAY ... Sunny intervals, highs 19-23 C.

OUTLOOK ... Considerably warmer next week too, but with some vigorous frontal passages and showers or thunderstorms with these, followed by slightly cooler air masses lasting a day or two before more warming occurs. In general, expect the period 25 June to 10 July to be 1-3 degrees above normal in temperature.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Another day of record heat in Texas and also Oklahoma, many places well above 40 C. Also hot and dry in the southwest. As many would have seen, cloudy and humid in the east, scattered showers that also couldn't catch Rory.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy, humid, spits of drizzle at times but no accumulation, winds rather chilly when they gusted occasionally from south to about 20 mph.

M.T. Cranium · 21-06-2011 07:04AM

Tuesday, 21 June, 2011
___________________________

TODAY ... Outbreaks of showery rain becoming heavy at times across northern and central counties. Rainfalls 10-20 mms, some thunder later. The southern counties may be less showery at first, although overcast, then heavy showers or thunderstorms could develop especially inland. Highs for most will reach 14-16 C north to 16-18 C south. Winds generally rather light southerly but moderate easterly in the far north.

TONIGHT ... A few more showers with heavy thunderstorms possible especially around Dublin and Meath. Becoming less humid with a gusty west to northwest wind developing, drizzle or light rain at times. Lows 8-10 C. Rainfalls generally 3-7 mms but 7-12 mms possible east.

WEDNESDAY ... Variable cloud, showers redeveloping, some with thunder and hail, winds WNW 20-40 mph, highs 14-16 C. Rainfalls 10-15 mms.

THURSDAY ... Cloudy with some sunny intervals, cool, scattered showers some with hail and thunder, lows near 7 C and highs near 15 C.

FRIDAY ... A cool early morning with clear skies, fog patches, lows near 5 C in rural areas. Becoming cloudy about mid-day with some rain setting in by afternoon or evening but mostly for western counties, warm and humid by afternoon, highs 18-20 C.

SATURDAY ... Variable cloud, showers moving through western counties into Ulster, some parts of the southeast could remain dry, becoming very warm in the south inland, lows near 12 C and highs near 22 C south inland to 17 C north. Rather light southeast to south winds for most, moderate southerly in west coast counties.

SUNDAY ... Hazy sunshine at times, rain confined to far north, risk of isolated showers elsewhere by late in day, very warm, lows near 13 C and highs near 24 C inland, 18-20 C coastal. Winds becoming southerly.

OUTLOOK ... Warm and showery with thunderstorms possible Monday, then turning a bit cooler mid-week, showery at times. Highs dropping back to about 17 C. Further warm spells are likely to follow by early July.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... The Texas heat is about to break in rather spectacular fashion, but Oklahoma is already seeing heavy storms and severe weather was widespread earlier in Nebraska and Kansas. By later today, storms will develop in many parts of Texas and bring an end to the long string of very hot days. The hot, humid air is being forced into the eastern states now, where it will quickly destabilize and so heavy rains and severe storms will become widespread later today and on Wednesday in the lower Great Lakes and Ohio valley. Meanwhile, western Canada is cool and wet, with constant rain from a stationary low southeast of Edmonton, Alberta.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy but warm for most of the day, sunny breaks by evening, highs near 21 C.

M.T. Cranium · 21-06-2011 05:34PM

UPDATE _ Tuesday, 5:30 p.m.
______________________________

ALERT for heavy rainfalls and possible severe storms this evening across central and eastern Ireland. A cluster of heavy showers has been moving through parts of Limerick and north Tipps, and is expected to intensify this evening moving through parts of Laois, Offaly, Kildare, Dublin and Meath. Expect this to reach Dublin about 8 p.m. ... potential for 20-30 mms rain leading to spot flooding, some thunder and hail and slight risk of strong wind gusts to 50 mph. This should clear the east coast by about 10-11 p.m.

The counties to the southeast of the alert zone may also see more isolated heavy showers or thunderstorms this evening.

M.T. Cranium · 22-06-2011 06:52AM

Wednesday, 22 June, 2011
______________________________

TODAY ... Cloudy with a few sunny intervals, more frequent in west ... passing showers sometimes merging into periods of light rain, 3-7 mms on average, 15 mms in a few heavier downpours with hail or thunder ... winds picking up to NW 20-40 mph ... cooler than past few days, highs 14-16 C.

TONIGHT ... Variable cloud, a few more showers, lows 6-8 C.

THURSDAY ... Cloudy with some sunny breaks, cool, showers and a few thundershowers with hail possible, highs 14-16 C. Winds WNW 15-30 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT ... Clearing, quite cool, lows 4-7 C, risk of ground frost in a few low-lying areas inland.

FRIDAY ... Sunny to start in east, clouding over rapidly in west, leading to mid-day or afternoon rain, southerly winds, warm and humid except near south coast due to sea breezes and fog. Highs 15-18 C. Rainfalls west 10-15 mms, east dry until late in the day.

SATURDAY ... After some overnight bursts of heavier rain, possibly thundery, warm and humid air will push north and the rain will be mostly confined to west and north, lows near 12 C and highs near 20 C inland.

SUNDAY ... Very warm and humid, isolated showers or thunderstorms, mainly west-central to north ... lows near 14 C and highs near 24 C inland southeast, otherwise 20-22 C.

MONDAY ... Showers and thunderstorms, winds becoming SW 20-40 mph, lows near 15 C and highs near 21 C.

OUTLOOK ... Slightly cooler again for a few days, but the models are beginning to show some very warm weather patterns in early July which, if they come to pass, could bring highs of 25 to 28 C well inland in southeast to south breezes.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Widespread heavy rains, severe storms from the lower Great Lakes south and southwest towards Louisiana and Texas on Tuesday, and this pattern will only shift east slowly, so that some rainfall totals of 100-200 mms (or over a month's worth of rain) could fall in some areas. The heavier rain is moving into southern Ontario, Ohio and western NY and PA during today. Further east, very warm or hot and humid. Cool, dry air is filtering south behind the slow-moving low and its fronts, but is only dropping temperatures slightly in OK and TX which remain close to 32 C daytime (but down from 40-45 C).

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... We enjoyed a warm, sunny day for a change ... and the high on Tuesday was 24 C.

M.T. Cranium · 23-06-2011 07:23AM

Thursday, 23 June, 2011
____________________________

TODAY ... Mostly cloudy with some sunny breaks, cool, showers and isolated thundershowers with hail possible, rainfalls 3-7 mms Ulster and north Connacht, north Leinster, 1-3 mms most other places. Highs 14-16 C. Winds WNW 15-30 mph. Expect 3-6 hours of sunshine with the better amounts in the southwest and east of the Wicklow Mountains.

TONIGHT ... Clearing, quite cool, lows 4-7 C, risk of ground frost in a few low-lying areas inland. Clouding over around dawn in the southwest.

FRIDAY ... Sunny to start in east, clouding over rapidly in west, leading to mid-day or afternoon rain, southerly winds, warm and humid except near south coast due to sea breezes and fog. Highs 15-18 C. Rainfalls west 10-15 mms, east dry until mid-day or afternoon.

SATURDAY ... After some overnight bursts of heavier rain, possibly thundery, warm and humid air will push north and the rain will be mostly confined to west and north, lows near 12 C and highs near 20 C inland. Extensive low cloud or sea fog near south and west coasts drifting some distance inland at times. The warmest locations will likely be around Tipps, Laois and Offaly.

SUNDAY ... Very warm and humid, isolated showers or thunderstorms becoming heavy in the west by late afternoon and evening, mainly west-central to north ... lows 12 to 14 C and highs 22 to 24 C inland southeast, otherwise 20-22 C except 16-18 C outer south and west coasts. Winds increasing to SSW 15-30 mph.

MONDAY ... Morning showers and thunderstorms, winds becoming WSW 20-40 mph with some sunshine developing, lows near 15 C and highs near 21 C.

OUTLOOK ... Slightly cooler again for a few days, mostly cloudy with showers at times, highs 16-19 C, but the models are beginning to show some very warm weather patterns around 30 June to 2 July which, if they come to pass, could bring highs of 25 to 28 C well inland in southeast to south breezes. More periods of alternating warm/dry and cooler/showery spells would follow, but the average looks 1-3 degrees above normal.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Heavy showers and thunderstorms from the central Great Lakes south then southwest towards the Gulf coast. Some amounts of 50-100 mms rain and gusty winds, hail. Further east, the Atlantic coastal states are mostly cloudy, very warm and humid, highs 28-32 C. Widespread cool to near seasonable, dry weather north central states. Warm, dry near west coast.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunny, quite warm to mid-day, 23 C then a dry cold front with some mid-level cloud passed and strong westerly winds developed locally gusting to 70 km/hr. Temperatures fell off sharply to 15 C. This is encouraging because it is the normal dry summer pattern developing with a reinforcement of offshore high pressure.

M.T. Cranium · 24-06-2011 06:26AM

Friday, 24 June, 2011
____________________________

TODAY ... Some morning sunshine in Ulster and parts of north Leinster, but cloud will spread rapidly in from the southwest and cover these areas by about mid-day. Rain will follow, but within the rain shield some heavier thundery bursts may develop across Munster around late morning, spreading towards Leinster but possibly weakening by afternoon. Otherwise, a sporadic light rain will fall and then become more of a mist or drizzle event as very mild, humid air arrives later this afternoon. Winds will pick up to 15-30 mph from the south and highs may reach 18 C in the southwest, also about 16 C in Ulster due to the earlier sunshine ... while in between, highs will be held to about 14 or 15 C by low cloud and rain or drizzle. But the evening could turn quite warm and humid. Rainfalls about 10 mms on average, closer to 20 mms in any of the mid-day heavy showers.

TONIGHT ... Cloudy, misty or foggy, some sporadic light rain mostly west and north, 2-5 mms additional rainfall, lows 11-13 C. Dense fog is likely near south coast and some distance inland as winds continue southerly 10-20 mph.

SATURDAY ... Cloud will gradually break in most southern and eastern counties away from the south coast, but western and northern counties may remain cloudy with further showers. It will be very warm and humid especially for the inland southeast and central counties. Highs will reach 18-22 C generally, 15-17 C exposed outer coasts. Winds southwest 15-30 mph.

SUNDAY ... Some sunny breaks, very warm, isolated showers or thunderstorms from Kerry north into Connacht and west Ulster. These may eventually move a bit further east but parts of the east and south could remain dry. Morning lows 10-13 C and afternoon highs 19-23 C. Winds south to southwest 15-30 mph.

MONDAY ... Morning showers, variable cloud with some sunshine, slightly cooler and fresher in a SW to W breeze, lows near 10 C and highs near 21 C.

TUESDAY ... Overnight rain then cloudy with sunny intervals, a few residual showers, lows near 12 C and highs near 17 C.

OUTLOOK ... Cloudy with showers at times mid-week, seasonable temperatures near 18 C. It may turn warmer and sunny later in the week.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Thursday brought widespread showers and thunderstorms to the eastern third of North America although mostly inland from the east coast. It remains seasonably warm and dry further west in most of the central and western states, with showers across Alberta and Montana spreading into Saskatchewan with some thunderstorms. Severe flooding from many months of heavy rain and last winter's snow continue to affect Minot, ND from the Souris River. Over ten thousand people (a quarter of the city's people) have been relocated and unfortunately the flood prevention dykes cannot be increased fast enough to contain this surge.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Mostly cloudy, cooler than previous days, high about 15 C, brief afternoon showers.

M.T. Cranium · 24-06-2011 05:17PM

UPDATE _ Friday, 5:15 p.m.
___________________________

ALERT issued for dense fog likely to develop over most of Ireland late this evening and overnight. Warmer air with higher dew points near 14 C will ooze northeast and the current rain will taper off to drizzle but this will gradually turn into dense fog especially near south and west facing coasts and over (slightly) higher terrain. The surface warm front will push gradually through west Munster this evening and it may turn briefly quite warm around Kerry, inland Cork and Limerick before sunset. Further north and east this warmer air will be waiting over the foggy inversion layer all night before mixing down to the ground on Saturday morning, so various places will get into this warmer air whenever the fog disperses, which may not occur in some places close to the south coast as well as some parts of the northwest, but should happen reasonably early (0800-0930) for most other places. As a result, tomorrow will feel a lot warmer except in places mentioned near coasts, not only will the temperature be up around 20 C but dew points will be quite high making it feel very close.

With the warmer air moving into the southwest, models are currently showing a slight risk of thunder this evening from about central Kerry east to Waterford, and about as far north as Shannon to Kilkenny.

M.T. Cranium · 25-06-2011 07:26AM

Saturday, 25 June, 2011
______________________________

TODAY ... Overcast and humid to start, except for some sunshine in Ulster, then a few brief showers or thundershowers possible in both Wicklow and parts of west Munster, with some spread of the western showers towards the northeast later. Cloud slowly breaking up to give some warm sunny intervals mid-day and afternoon, but with the risk of a brief thundershower. Highs 18-22 C but a little cooler near the south and west coasts (15-17 C) where low cloud and fog may persist. Watch for updates on any thundershowers that develop. Moderate SW winds 15-25 mph at times.

TONIGHT ... Cloudy intervals, warm and humid, lows 9-13 C. Fog becoming thicker near coasts as winds drop to light southerly.

SUNDAY ... Intervals of warm sunshine for the east, inland south and central counties, highs near 22 C inland. Cloudy with showers and slight chance of a thunderstorm in the west, until these begin to drift further east late afternoon ... highs for western counties near 18 C.

MONDAY ... Morning cloud with some showers, then clearing gradually, fresher with light westerly winds, lows near 10 C and highs near 18 C.

TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, a few showers developing, winds WNW 15-30 mph by afternoon, lows near 7 C and highs near 17 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Cloudy with sunny intervals, showers, lows near 7 C and highs near 16 C.

OUTLOOK ... Slightly warmer again later in the week with more sunshine although still variable skies with slight risk of showers, winds returning to more of a SW'ly direction, that may lead to west coast low cloud or fog at times.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... The eastern warmth has been "pinched off" by cool east winds from Long Island north, but it remains rather warm south of New York City. Showers have broken out overnight in New England. The weather across most of the central states is near average with highs of about 27-30 C. The west has turned quite a bit cooler with some snow in the mountains of B.C. and Alberta. (see separate thread re flooding in ND).

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy with a few heavy showers this morning, then cloudy and dry, cool, highs near 15 C.

M.T. Cranium · 26-06-2011 08:28AM

Sunday, 26 June, 2011
___________________________

TODAY ... Sunny intervals and very warm with highs 19-24 C except near the south and northwest coasts ... the south coast will be cloudy due to elevated fog that will be streaming in on S-SW winds, keeping highs near 18, and the western part of Mayo and later some other parts of the northwest will be under a band of showers from a slow-moving cold front. Eventually this front may set off a few thundershowers in Connacht and Ulster, but these may be isolated; rainfalls of 3-6 mms are likely in these regions, and isolated showers could develop late afternoon or evening elsewhere but most places will stay dry as the front will be quite weak.

TONIGHT ... Variable cloud, slight chance of a shower, most places dry except 2-5 mms of rain across north Ulster ... lows 12-14 C in southeast, about 8-11 C for northwest. Winds fairly light after sunset.

MONDAY ... Cloudy with a few sunny intervals for the east, partly cloudy west, slight chance of isolated showers, once again, most places dry. Highs about 16-18 C.

TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, isolated showers mostly in Connacht, lows near 7 or 8 C and highs 15 to 17 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Sunny intervals, pleasant, low humidity, lows near 7 C and highs near 16 C.

THURSDAY ... Sunny for most places, more cloud possible near south and west coast, a bit warmer, lows near 7 C and highs near 19 C.

FRIDAY ... Hazy sunshine, warm, slight chance of cloud and drizzle in coastal northwest, lows near 7 C and highs near 20 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Warm, partly cloudy to sunny, isolated showers mostly in far north ... lows near 10 C and highs near 22 C.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Heavy showers and thunderstorms developing in the Dakotas, may exacerbate the flooding near Minot ND ... hot and dry across the south and southwest, on Saturday some parts of Texas returned to the 110 F range and may do so again today ... east coast somewhat cooler and a few isolated thundershowers.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Saturday was mostly cloudy with some sunny breaks and light showers in the area, highs near 17 C.

Enjoy the warm weather -- on a Sunday too

M.T. Cranium · 27-06-2011 07:34AM

Monday, 27 June, 2011
___________________________

TODAY ... Mostly cloudy in south and east, scattered outbreaks of light rain or drizzle but some places staying dry, 1-2 mms at most, highs about 16 C in a light northwest breeze. Further west and north, partly cloudy with the best of any sunshine in Mayo and Donegal, highs 15-18 C warmest well inland, northwest breezes backing to westerly by late afternoon. Isolated showers possible later.

TONIGHT ... Variable cloud east, clearing further west and rather chilly with lows near 6 or 7 C (but this occurs about 0400-0500 these days).

TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, showers mostly in Connacht and Ulster, becoming thundery at times, more isolated elsewhere with some places in the south dry all day, winds moderate westerly (15-25 mph at times), rather cool but pleasant in any sunny intervals, with highs 15 to 17 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Sunny intervals, showers possible across the north, some thundery, low humidity across the south with good drying conditions there, lows near 7 C and highs near 16 C.

THURSDAY ... Sunny for most places, more cloud possible near south and west coast, a bit warmer, lows near 7 C and highs near 19 C.

FRIDAY ... Hazy sunshine, warm, slight chance of cloud and drizzle in coastal northwest, lows near 7 C and highs near 18 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Seasonably warm in the south but somewhat cool in the more overcast north, partly cloudy to sunny south, showers that may occasionally be heavy and thundery, mostly in north ... lows near 10 C and highs near 20 C south, 15-17 C north.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The week of 4-8 July may prove to be near normal in temperature and unsettled but not overly wet in a somewhat disturbed westerly flow. My research suggests that the next strong warming interval might occur in the second half of July and this may be the hottest part of the summer.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Showers and thunderstorms across the northern plains have been spreading towards the Great Lakes tonight, and further south it has become very hot and dry again (highs to 44 C in Texas today). Many other places are closer to seasonal normals, the intense heat is more or less confined to TX, OK and the desert southwest region.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunny and warmer on Sunday with highs near 21 near the sea and 24 C further inland.

ALERT for people travelling to or reading this in southern England and northern France. Heavy to severe thunderstorms are likely by mid-day in south central and east central England and north central France, and by late afternoon or evening in southeast England and northeast France. Some intense storms with frequent lightning, hail and torrential downpours are likely, London and Paris airports may have delays after 1600h.

M.T. Cranium · 28-06-2011 06:40AM

Tuesday, 28 June, 2011

TODAY ... Partly cloudy with a few showers mainly west and north at first, spreading to some parts of the inland south and east but rainfall amounts generally small, 1-3 mms. Some places dry all day with some good spells of sunshine. Moderate westerly breezes and highs 15-17 C.

TONIGHT ... Rather cloudy to start, showers ending, gradual clearing, chilly with lows 6-8 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Sunny intervals mainly south and east, showers possible across the west and north, some thundery, but with low humidity across the south and generally good drying conditions there, highs near 16 C.

THURSDAY ... Sunny to mid-day for most places, more cloud possible near south and west coast, becoming rather cloudy in the afternoon but mainly dry, also a bit warmer, lows near 7 C and highs near 18 C. Winds light in south and moderate westerly in north.

FRIDAY ... Some intervals of hazy sunshine, rather warm, slight chance of cloud and drizzle in coastal northwest, lows near 7 C and highs near 18 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Seasonably warm in the south but somewhat cool in the more overcast north, partly cloudy to sunny south, showers that may occasionally be heavy and thundery, mostly in north ... lows near 10 C and highs near 19 C south, 15-17 C north.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The week of 4-8 July may prove to be near normal in temperature and unsettled but not overly wet in a somewhat disturbed westerly flow. My research suggests that the next strong warming interval might occur in the second half of July and this may be the hottest part of the summer.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Heavy thunderstorms in the Great Lakes region today, warm and humid eastern states, rather cool and dry northern plains states, hot and dry southern plains and southwest, inland west, cloudy on the west coast and near normal temperatures. A major warming trend is underway in western Canada which has been cool and wet much of the past two months.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Monday was a rather cloudy day with a high of about 19 C, feeling rather warm despite the lack of direct sunshine (sun dimly visible behind higher cloud layers). A few light showers later in the day.

M.T. Cranium · 28-06-2011 06:55PM

UPDATE _ Tuesday, 7 p.m.
_______________________

Intense radar echoes in border regions east of Donegal Bay ...

ALERT for severe storm potential in Monaghan, Cavan and south Fermanagh, spreading to Armagh, Down and Louth, now to 2030h. Risk of hail, local downpours and intense lightning. Watch for possible small tornado development with this cluster (very slight risk there).

M.T. Cranium · 29-06-2011 06:53AM

Wednesday, 29 June, 2011
_______________________________

TODAY ... Showers with some hail and thunder this morning, spreading rapidly east, followed by clearing in western counties ... just a few isolated showers may develop after that clearing trend, but the heavier showers will become more confined to the east, especially the northeast. Rainfall amounts generally 2-5 mms but could reach 10 mms in some showers, parts of the south coast could escape as development is mainly over land. Winds SW 20 to 30 mph at times this morning, veering more to WNW 20-30 mph this afternoon. Highs 14-17 C. Temperatures may drop off during heavier showers.

TONIGHT ... Clearing and becoming quite chilly for late June, lows 4-7 C but closer to 10 C west coast.

THURSDAY ... Sunny intervals, some cloudy periods for the west and north but only isolated showers and most places dry. Highs 16-18 C.

FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy with decent sunny intervals for the east and central counties, south coast, but cloud increasing on the west coast near mid-afternoon. Rain may arrive there by evening. Lows near 7 C and highs 18-20.

SATURDAY ... Variable cloud, some rain at times in west, slowly spreading northeast, lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C. Rainfalls 3-5 mms.

SUNDAY ... Cloudy, some showers or periods of light rain, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C. Rainfalls 3-5 mms.

OUTLOOK ... The following week is likely to be rather cool for early July and unsettled with 5-15 mms of rain in total. Expect a gradual increase in temperatures as we move into mid-July and possibly a warm spell or even a modified heat wave in later July.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Large parts of the north central states near normal under high pressure, while a cold front moves further east into New England from Ontario, bringing some heavy thunderstorms that have also broken out in the mid-Atlantic states. Texas remains hot and dry except the far south, where cloud from Tropical Storm Arlene (the first named storm of the North Atlantic season) is moving west today into north central Mexico by tonight. Meanwhile, very warm air is moving across the Rockies into western Canada for a change.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Tuesday was cloudy with sprinkles of rain at times and rather warm and humid, high of about 21 C. It has turned a bit cooler since sunset.

M.T. Cranium · 30-06-2011 06:32AM

Thursday, 30 June, 2011
_______________________________

TODAY ... Cloud may prove rather stubborn despite the approach of a high pressure ridge, and some light showers or drizzle may develop at first, but eventually (if we all believe) the sun should make an appearance or two ... overall rainfall amounts should be lighter than 1 mm if any, and highs should reach 16 to 18 C with the higher values in the southeast. Winds rather light but westerly backing to southerly.

TONIGHT ... Cloudy with clear intervals, cool, lows 6-9 C.

FRIDAY ... Cloudy with sunny breaks, more likely in the east ... light rain or drizzle may try to move onshore in the far west late in the day but overall a dry day for most with highs 16-19 C, higher in the southeast.

SATURDAY ... East, south and central counties partly cloudy and reasonably warm, highs near 19 C ... west and north overcast with light rain at times, highs near 16 C.

SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, showers becoming more widespread in north and west, may stay dry in east and south, highs 16-18 C.

MONDAY to WEDNESDAY ... This period looks showery with potential for some moderately heavy rainfalls by mid-week, highs only 14-17 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Somewhat less unsettled beyond mid-week and a slight rise in temperatures. I continue to think the first half of July will be generally cool to near normal and unsettled, second half warmer.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Heavy showers and a few thunderstorms in the northern plains states overnight and on Thursday, moving across flood-ravaged areas of ND and into Manitoba later. Hot and humid further south, trending more to hot and dry in Texas. The eastern third of the U.S. is cooling slightly after some warm readings on Wednesday, but only a few degrees cooler in W to NW winds. Far west near average under variable cloud behind a weak cold front moving across the Rockies.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy most of Wednesday with a few sunny breaks around late afternoon, highs of about 18 C. A dry day at least.

M.T. Cranium · 01-07-2011 04:21AM

Friday, 1 July, 2011
________________________

Please note, I am posting this forecast earlier than usual as I am having internet connection problems at my home base and need to take advantage of my only nearby internet station which closes at 0500 your time. As Friday is a holiday in Canada you may find no update to this forecast until I can get my service restored. Another forecaster may help out in that event.

TODAY ... Cloudy with sunny breaks, more likely in the east ... light rain or drizzle may try to move onshore in the far west late in the day but overall a dry day for most with highs 16-19 C, highest in the southeast. Winds light southerly for most, SSW 15-30 mph on outer west coast.

TONIGHT ... Cloudy intervals, some hazy clear spells, lows 8-10 C. Drizzle or fog and mist on west coast at times.

SATURDAY ... East, south and central counties partly cloudy and reasonably warm, highs near 19 C ... west and north overcast with light rain at times, highs near 16 C.

SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, showers becoming more widespread in north and west, may stay dry in east and south, highs 16-18 C.

MONDAY ... Increasing cloud, southerly winds, rain setting in towards late afternoon in western counties. Highs 17-19 C.

TUESDAY to THURSDAY ... This period looks showery with potential for some moderately heavy rainfalls by mid-week, highs only 14-17 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Somewhat less unsettled beyond mid-week and a slight rise in temperatures. I continue to think the first half of July will be generally cool to near normal and unsettled, second half likely to become warmer and if there is to be a heat wave this summer, expect it to arrive after the 20th.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Hot and humid central plains, into northern plains on Thursday, some thunderstorms in ND, MN and eastern Manitoba spreading into n.w. Ontario. Hot and dry weather continues in Texas and southwest. Near normal across eastern third in weak northwest flow ahead of developing heat wave for them this weekend (a long weekend that starts on Friday for Canadians and lasts to the 4th at least for Americans).

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Some sunny breaks but mostly cloudy, 17 C.

M.T. Cranium · 02-07-2011 06:39AM

Saturday, 2 July, 2011
______________________________

TODAY ... Intervals of hazy sunshine with more cloud likely in western counties, some patchy drizzle possible but most places dry, and rather warm, with light southerly winds ... highs 17 to 21 C.

TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy, mild, lows 7-10 C.

SUNDAY ... Cloudy with sunny intervals, risk of low cloud or drizzle near outer west coast, sea fog possible south coast. Highs 17-21 C.

MONDAY ... Hazy sunshine east, cloudy west with periods of light rain edging further east from initial position on outer west coast mid-day. Lows near 10 C and highs 17-21 C warmer east.

TUESDAY ... Heavy showers likely west, and showers of varying intensity elsewhere, lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Heavy showers, total rainfalls mid-week about 20-30 mms, some thundery bursts ... lows near 13 C and highs near 17 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Unsettled but gradually returning to more settled conditions around the following weekend, temperatures near normal.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Hot and dry in eastern Canada and U.S., severe storms developing today in Michigan and Indiana spreading to Ontario and Ohio by Sunday. Otherwise, hot and dry across the south, warm but not hot further north, and variable in far west, near normal temperatures.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy with a few sunny breaks, high near 19 C on Friday, expecting sunshine rest of the weekend.

M.T. Cranium · 03-07-2011 06:40AM

Sunday, 3 July, 2011
__________________________

TODAY ... Hazy sunshine and rather warm in eastern and central counties, although a cooling sea breeze may show up near coasts (south and east), highs 19-21 C ... mostly cloudy west, chance of occasional drizzle or low cloud and mist, highs 16-18 C.

TONIGHT ... Mostly cloudy, mild, a few hazy clear spells, lows near 10 C.

MONDAY ... Cloudy, warm and remaining dry eastern and central counties, overcast with light rain at times west, highs 17-21 C, warmest inland Leinster and Ulster.

TUESDAY ... Overcast, periods of rain becoming heavy in west, rainfalls of 10 to 20 mms, lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Heavy showers spreading east to cover most regions for part of the day, a few brighter intervals developing in southwest later, lows near 13 C and highs near 17 C. Rainfalls 15-25 mms.

THURSDAY ... Further heavy showers, lows near 11 C and highs near 16 C.

FRIDAY ... Showers, cool, lows near 10 C and highs near 15 C.

SATURDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers ending for most, brighter southwest, lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.

SUNDAY ... Sunny intervals, warmer again, lows near 8 C and highs near 21 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Variable skies but often fair next week, brief showery intervals, temperatures returning to near or above normal values.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Severe storms developed around Detroit and moved through nearby regions of Michigan, Ontario, Indiana and northern Ohio. It was hot and humid on Saturday over most of the east, and continuing hot and dry with isolated storms across the southern states. Warm also in the west for a change, with a weak front moving in overnight.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunny and very warm on Saturday, highs near 24, then cloudy by evening with a few light showers.

M.T. Cranium · 04-07-2011 06:53AM

Monday, 4 July, 2011
__________________________

Advance alert for heavy rainfalls in many parts of Ireland from Tuesday to Thursday and possibly lasting into Friday in the northeast. Total amounts of rain could exceed 50 mms in places.

TODAY ... Hazy sunshine at times in the east, mostly cloudy elsewhere with light rain edging onto the west coast through mid-day, amounts only 1-3 mms by sunset. Low cloud and fog developing with the rain by evening. Highs near 17 C west to 21 C inland east, 18 C east coast and south coast.

TONIGHT ... Periods of rain becoming moderately heavy, 5-15 mms in west and central counties, fog and mist widespread, lows 9-12 C.

TUESDAY ... Heavy showers, some thundery, but also a few brighter intervals in the southwest by mid-afternoon, rainfalls 10-20 mms. Highs near 17 C in strengthening southeast winds 20-30 mph (veering to southwest in Kerry and Cork).

WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY ... Periods of rain may become heavy especially over the east and north, potential for 30-50 mms in total with temperatures steady in the range of 13-15 C ... winds falling off to light southeast or east, except for somewhat gusty westerlies near the south coast as low pressure drifts slowly east through Connacht and Ulster.

FRIDAY ... Slow improvements likely in the south and west, but the heavy showers may continue in parts of Ulster and Leinster giving a further 10-15 mms of rain, winds picking up to W - NW 20-40 mph for most, as skies become variable and rain more showery ... lows near 11 C and highs near 15.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Gradual drying trend with partly cloudy skies both days, isolated showers likely on Saturday, mostly dry on Sunday, highs recovering to 18-20 C and winds westerly 20-40 mph.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The models show an interesting trend of breezy and perhaps stormy weather mid-week but extensive high pressure developing after the 15th with the potential for warm, dry spells then.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Storms moved further east on Sunday into parts of New England and temperatures were fairly close to July normals (which are 28-31 C) in most of the central and eastern U.S., trending up towards 40 C in Texas where the heat is not as intense. Heavy showers or storms in parts of the northern plains states and Canadian prairies (same thing, we have different names for the region). The desert southwest has seen a rise in humidity after some brutal heat on Saturday, and storms were quite widespread in Arizona on Sunday. This is the "monsoon" season as it's known in that region, storms develop over higher terrain and drift northwest or west.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Showery at first but it soon cleared to give a warm and sunny day with highs of about 21 C, cool sea breeze evident.

M.T. Cranium · 05-07-2011 08:19AM

Tuesday, 5 July, 2011
___________________________

ALERT for heavy rainfalls in most parts of Ireland over the next three to four days with amounts of 25-50 mms likely, and 50-100 mms possible locally, spread out over the period but probably heaviest on Wednesday and Thursday for most.

TODAY ... Variable cloud (following the heavy morning showers now departing east Ulster) with further showers and a few heavy thunderstorms developing in a southerly wind of 20-30 mph. Hail likely with the thunderstorms. Rainfall amounts of about 5-10 mms on average but potential for 20 mms locally. Watch for updates on any severe storm locations. Staying rather warm and humid with highs 18-20 C.

TONIGHT ... Showers or periods of light rain, fog and mist becoming widespread, winds dropping off in most places to 5-10 mph from south backing to east. Lows 10-12 C. Rainfalls of about 5-10 mms on average.

WEDNESDAY ... Mostly cloudy, heavy showers and risk of thunderstorms. Rainfall amounts of 10-20 mms with potential for 20-30 mms locally. Highs near 15 C and generally light southeast winds. Hill fog and widespread mist at lower elevations in Connacht and Ulster.

THURSDAY ... Continued very unsettled with heavy showers and some thunderstorms, a further 20 mms of rain likely, lows near 10 C and highs near 15 C.

FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, showers and some thunderstorms, rainfalls becoming more confined to Ulster and Leinster, amounts 10-20 mms, and lows near 10 C with highs near 16 C. Winds picking up across the west and south, reaching WNW 20-30 mph at times.

SATURDAY ... Partly cloudy, a few showers but these mainly in the north and east, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C. Becoming quite breezy to windy in all regions with WNW 25-40 mph.

SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, breezy. Lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Somewhat improved next week with longer dry spells centered around Tuesday but possibly a more unsettled period later in the week. Eventually there's a good chance of a longer dry spell in the second half of July.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Large portions of the eastern and central states were seasonably warm and dry, but severe storms moved through border regions south of Winnipeg, Manitoba including one or two tornadoes right along the border. Widespread thunderstorms across the southeast and Gulf coast. Hot and dry in the southwest and parts of Texas.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunny and quite warm with a cooling sea breeze locally, highs near 21 C here and 25 C further inland.

M.T. Cranium · 06-07-2011 06:43AM

Wednesday, 6 July, 2011
______________________________

TODAY ... Heavy morning showers in parts of north Leinster and Ulster may spread further west during the day. From western Connacht southeast to Wexford, the day will begin bright and dry, and a few places could hold on to those conditions until late afternoon. However, an area of heavy rain developing across the southwest this morning will slowly push across Munster and bring rain eventually to most of these central regions. Amounts could surpass 25 mms in places with spot flooding developing. Watch for updates as we track this rainfall and the slow-moving low tracking into the south, as I have some concern for excessive amounts of rainfall locally developing later today from about Cork east to Waterford. Highs today will peak at about 17 C in the north central counties and parts of the inland southeast, but 15 C will be more common elsewhere. Winds generally light southeast, could gust at times near heavy showers. Risk of some thunder and hail embedded in the heavy rainfall areas.

TONIGHT ... Further heavy showers pushing north and giving 10-20 mms of rain especially in Leinster. Fog and mist widespread, lows near 10 C.

THURSDAY ... Areas of heavy rainfall moving north then west across parts of Leinster, Ulster and Connacht. Showery in Munster with risk of hail and thunder throughout. A few sunny intervals in the mix as well. Rainfalls of 15 to 30 mms possible, and some further spot flooding. Highs near 15 C.

FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, heavy showers, a few with hail and thunder ... lows near 8 C and highs near 15 C. Rainfalls 10-15 mms on average but 15-25 mms in Ulster.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... A gradual drying and clearing trend is likely with moderate west to northwest winds gusting at times to 30 or 40 mph, lows generally 7-9 C and highs 17-19 C. There will continue to be some isolated showers mainly in upslope terrain and more likely in the north.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Improved dry and sunny conditions for a while next week, then back to unsettled conditions later in the week, temperatures generally a bit warmer than rest of this week (18-21 C). Models continue to hint at warmer weather in the final two weeks of July.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Widespread showers and thunderstorms in the southeast U.S. and warm, dry further north into eastern Canada. Stormy in parts of northern plains states and prairies. Hot and dry southwest.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunny and warm on Tuesday, highs near 22 C.

Watch for updates on heavy rainfall potential later today.

M.T. Cranium · 07-07-2011 07:13AM

Thursday, 7 July, 2011
____________________________

TODAY ... Mostly cloudy, cool with outbreaks of rain, heavier in western counties this morning, with some thunder or hail possible, then spreading further east across central Ireland. Amounts quite variable, but at least 5-10 mms in most places, 10-30 mms in a band from Galway to Dublin extending northeast into Ulster later. Limited sunshine (compared to yesterday when some places had a full day's worth) that may average 2-5 hours. Highs of about 14 to 16 C. Hill fog and mist developing.

TONIGHT ... Further showers, some heavy in Leinster and Ulster, foggy or misty, cool, lows near 7 or 8 C. Rainfalls generally 5-15 mms.

FRIDAY ... Heavy showers with some thunder and hail, becoming mainly confined to north Leinster and Ulster, partly cloudy and breezy further south and west with more isolated showers, as winds increase to W 20-30 mph. Highs about 14 C in the rain and 16 C where clouds break. Rainfalls about 10 to 30 mms in northeast and 2-5 mms on average in south and southwest.

SATURDAY ... Gradual drying and brightening conditions as showers become isolated and end in parts of the south and west, longer sunny spells by afternoon and evening, winds WNW 20-40 mph, lows near 7 C and highs near 18 C.

SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy to sunny, slight risk of an isolated shower in Ulster, lows near 6 or 7 C and highs near 19 or 20 C. Light northwest winds falling variable or calm in west.

MONDAY-TUESDAY ... A bit warmer again and dry in most areas, rain arriving late Tuesday in west, highs near 21 C.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Fairly settled across most of the eastern and central states, Great Lakes region, and warmer in far west, and still hot across the southwest and Texas. Showers and thunderstorms developing in many parts of the Canadian prairies.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunny and very warm on Wednesday, highs of about 25 C and close to 30 C further inland.

Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

Comments