Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

pauldry

Dry for most of this week and apart from some rain Tues, Paddys n Thurs Pressure will build again. Rainfall for March is looking very low and temps also.

M.T. Cranium

Friday, 12 March, 2010
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No significant changes from yesterday's outlook ...

TODAY will become partly cloudy with more hit or miss light showers developing by afternoon, but with many places likely to remain dry or seeing only trace amounts of rain. Highs will reach 11 C in the south and 9 C in Ulster, with winds NNW 10-20 mph.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with any long clear intervals in the south central counties possibly leading to slight frost, but otherwise, lows of about 2 to 4 C.

SATURDAY will be cloudy at first with some sunshine by mid-day and afternoon, and more widely scattered light showers possible giving more trace to 2 mm amounts of rain mostly in Ulster and Connacht. Highs will be about 10-12 C. There could be some heavier showers moving through the Belfast area by late afternoon, heading for Wales overnight.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with a temperature range generally near (lows of) 2 C to (highs of ) 12 C, and not much if any shower activity around the north to west coasts, so largely dry.

MONDAY and TUESDAY will be fairly mild in a light southerly flow, with highs of 11-13 C and morning lows 1-3 C but with some scattered light frost. Some rain may arrive in west coast counties by afternoon on Tuesday.

WEDNESDAY (17th) may bring heavier showers in western counties and scattered light showers further east, but reasonable amounts of sunshine may develop also, and it should be rather mild -- lows of about 4 C and highs of about 12 C.

The outlook beyond that is slightly cooler and less showery, leading to some light rain by early next weekend and indications of another cool easterly spell beyond that.

Here, we've had a light snowfall that occurred with sleet around 0300-0600h local time (early Thursday) followed by rain and slushy conditions, 5 C down here, but 35 cms of snow reported at the Cypress Mountain site that was snow-free in the Winter Olympics (you may remember seeing how they made up the courses from trucked in snow and hay bales, etc -- well now they have perfect natural conditions -- d'oh :cool:

M.T. Cranium

Saturday, 13 March, 2010
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TODAY will be partly cloudy and reasonably mild in most parts of Ireland; a few light showers could develop this morning in the southeast and after mid-day in Ulster but many places will remain dry. Highs will be 11-12 C, and winds moderate NW 15-25 mph at times.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with a few instances of light frost developing but lows will average 2-4 C. There could be some light drizzle or mist in northern counties at times.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy and may feature some longer sunny intervals especially in the south. Highs will be 11-13 C.

MONDAY will remain partly cloudy with morning lows of -2 to +3 C and afternoon highs of 11-13 C in light southerly winds.

TUESDAY will feature increasing cloud, strengthening SE to S winds, and showers turning to periods of rain in western counties later in the day. The temperature range will be from lows near 2 C to highs near 12 C.

WEDNESDAY (17th) will be a showery, mild day with some sunny intervals but from Tuesday evening to end of the day average rainfalls of about 5-10 mms. The temperature range will be 5 to 12 C.

THURSDAY will be hazy and mild with more rain likely to develop, and this could become heavy by evening and overnight. Temperatures will be around 12 C ... FRIDAY this rain will continue with strong SE winds at times, temps continuing near 12 C. Rainfalls in this period may be 25 mms.

The outlook is for cooler conditions to return once the rain ends, although possibly only a few degrees cooler.

Friday here was wet to start, but some sunshine developed late in the day with heavy banks of cloud against the mountains north of here. It remained rather cool with a high near 7 C.

M.T. Cranium

Sunday, 14 March, 2010
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TODAY, watch for a brief period of showers in the Dublin area later this morning, as well as in other central parts of Ireland, but probably not extending west of about Athlone to Waterford as it moves southeast. There will be some morning drizzle or light showers in Kerry also. Even where this activity hits, it will be brief and anything heavy should last only a few minutes, then the sun may make an appearance, with more scattered showers possible this time mainly in Connacht and Donegal; temperatures will rise to about 10-12 C. Winds will be NW 10-20 mph, falling off light this evening.

TONIGHT will be misty or locally foggy with clearing over any low cloud layers, but local dense fog and/or frost may develop with lows ranging from about -2 to +3 C.

MONDAY will be partly sunny with just widely scattered light showers if any, with light to moderate S to SW winds and highs of 9 to 12 C. The following night could start clear and locally frosty by midnight before cloud spreads in and temperatures rise before sunrise.

TUESDAY will see increasing cloud with rain arriving in western counties by afternoon, stronger S to SW winds 15-30 mph, and highs near 12 C.

WEDNESDAY (17th) will be showery with some sunny intervals, and moderate to locally strong south to southwest winds 20-40 mph. After morning lows near 7 C the afternoon highs will be 11-13 C. Rainfalls of 10-15 mms appear likely on average.

THURSDAY will be cloudy with more rain developing, turning rather heavy at times, 20-30 mms possible into Friday morning. Highs on Thursday will be around 12 C.

FRIDAY will be cloudy, mild and showery with some heavy rain possible, and highs will be near 12 C again.

SATURDAY is likely to see the end of the wet spell with colder east winds developing later or into Sunday morning, temperatures near 9 C then falling.

SUNDAY on into the following week, expect a colder spell with strong east winds possible. We'll address the question of how cold and whether snow enters the picture as details become more reliable.

Saturday 13th here was cloudy with some sunny breaks, after a few morning showers, and it remains rather cool, with a high of 8 C. On the east coast of the U.S., strong winds and heavy rains hit the New York City and New England region, many people lost their electricity at some point and winds gusted to 75 mph from the east at JFK.

M.T. Cranium

Monday, 15 March, 2010
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Well, good news if you are tired of seeing brown grass and smoke haze -- rain is on the way, and it could be reasonably heavy later this week ...

TODAY will be mild with partly cloudy skies, very brief and light sprinkles of rain at times, but not much if any accumulation ... with the winds backing from westerly to southerly during the afternoon ... and highs of 11-13 C.

TONIGHT may start out rather frosty but as stronger southerly winds set in, this frost will tend to dissipate well before sunrise in rising temperatures, so expect lows near -1 C early, then readings near +5 or higher by morning, as winds pick up to SSW 15-30 mph. It should remain mostly dry but some fog or mist may develop.

TUESDAY will be cloudy with stronger S to SW winds 20-40 mph and intervals of rain beginning in western counties by afternoon, with highs 11-13 C.

WEDNESDAY (17th) will be mostly cloudy but with a few sunny intervals possible, and occasional showers spreading further east during the early morning hours and redeveloping later in the day, with winds SW 15-30 mph and a temperature range from lows near 5 C to highs near 12 C.

THURSDAY and FRIDAY are looking quite mild and wet as a strong SSW flow develops, 20-40 mph, and rain becomes heavy at times with a total rainfall of about 30 mms possible. Temperatures will stay quite mild in the range of 8 to 13 C.

SATURDAY will become more showery but is now looking likely to remain mild with highs near 13 C. The idea of a colder easterly flow has been pushed back on the models to more of a cold northerly around three or four days later now, so we'll have to continue to monitor this, the colder push may return to an earlier time frame.

Today (Sunday 14th that is) has been a rather dismal day here, in fact I never got out of the house, which is rare indeed -- rain was pelting down and it was about 7 C. The east coast storm has diminished somewhat to a more sedate wind and drizzle event.

M.T. Cranium

Tuesday, 16 March, 2010
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TODAY will be mostly cloudy but fairly bright, with increasing southerly winds at 15-30 mph, and highs near 13 C. Rain may spread into the far west by late afternoon and into south and central counties by evening.

TONIGHT will be mild with occasional light rain, about 5 mms at most, and fog or mist may develop. Lows will be about 6 C with winds SSW 15-30 mph.

WEDNESDAY (17th) will be mild and mostly cloudy with the overnight rain ending for a while before a second interval of drizzle or light rain develops, with the SSW winds continuing at about 20-35 mph. Highs will be in the range of 12-14 C.

THURSDAY will bring heavier rain spreading rapidly north during the morning and giving 15-30 mms of rain, with winds S 20-40 mph veering to WSW late in the day. Highs will be about 12 C.

FRIDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy but there could be some decent sunshine for a few hours as one system departs and another bears down on the southwest by afternoon or evening. Highs will be near 13 C and it should be less windy as well.

THE WEEKEND is currently looking rather wet and temperatures will be slowly falling off to around 8 C.

NEXT WEEK currently looks colder with the possibility of some very cold air arriving from the northeast.

Monday 15th here was a cloudy but dry day (once the morning rain ended) and milder with highs near 11 C. We're expecting more wind and rain on Tuesday though.

fryup

fierce windy out > east clare

M.T. Cranium

Wednesday, 17 March, 2010
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TODAY will be rather windy (SE to S 20-40 mph) and quite mild, although in some parts of Ireland this strong wind may make it feel colder, especially where it's coming in from the rather chilly waters of the Irish Sea and the Celtic Sea. There will be some chance of drizzly showers but quite a few places may remain dry until this evening at least. Highs will be 12-14 C, the warmer readings likely inland in central counties. With any luck there will be a bit of hazy sunshine around mid-day too.


TONIGHT will be overcast with rain edging into western and southern coastal counties before dawn, with the strong southerly winds continuing 25-45 mph in exposed areas, and lows near 8 C.

THURSDAY will be mostly cloudy with intervals of heavy rain and strong winds developing, S 30-50 mph veering to WSW 35-60 mph (highest gusts in Kerry and Clare). Rainfalls of 20-40 mms will be widespread. Highs will be 11-13 C. The rain will become lighter and taper to drizzle overnight with a low by Friday morning of 6 C.

FRIDAY will feature some sunny intervals and it will be much less windy, but another period of rain will develop in the south and southwest by late afternoon and evening. Winds will then increase again by evening. But in the more pleasant dry interval, the high for the day should be about 11 C.

SATURDAY will be showery and breezy with highs near 10 C.

SUNDAY will also be showery and rather chilly with highs of about 9 C.

The first part of next week may stay a bit milder than the weekend, with showers, but then it could turn a bit colder mid-week; the main theme however is likely to be strong winds from a SE to E direction and rain becoming heavy again.

Meanwhile, Tuesday here was a very mild day with occasional showers, southerly winds and highs near 14 C (sound familiar?) ... and otherwise, the weather pattern across the continent has calmed down considerably.

M.T. Cranium

UPDATE -- Thursday, 0440 GMT
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Yours truly out for the evening here (you can guess why) and I just had a few minutes to check, the forecast for today at least remains unchanged from above. An update will be posted when I return (or perhaps some kind soul on Irish time will help me out) ...

M.T. Cranium

Thursday, 18 March, 2010
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TODAY will be showery, with some of the rain quite heavy especially in Connacht this morning, amounts across the country will range from about 10 mms southeast to 25 mms northwest. A few sunny intervals could develop in the west by afternoon, and winds will strengthen from current values of SSE 20-35 mph to afternoon readings of SW 30-55 mph (highest gusts likely near the west coast). Highs for the day will be about 12 or 13 C.

TONIGHT will bring low cloud for a while, drizzle or light rain, and strong SW to W winds 25-45 mph falling off to W 15-30 mph near sunrise. Lows will be in the range of 6 to 8 C.

FRIDAY should start off fairly bright and less windy in most regions and may stay sunny all day in parts of the north and east, while cloud spreads rapidly into the south and west by afternoon, followed by stronger east winds and rain there by evening. Highs will be around 12 C.

SATURDAY will bring periods of rain followed by some late clearing spreading from the southwest, and rainfalls of 10-20 mms. Winds will be SE 15-30 mph veering more to the SW by afternoon, and the temperature range will be from lows of 3-7 C to highs of 9-11 C. Some parts of Ulster may have colder morning lows and scattered light frost.

SUNDAY will bring variable cloud and just a few showers, with temperatures running from lows near 2 C to highs near 10 C.

MONDAY and TUESDAY will produce another mild spell with more rain, 15-30 mms possibly, and highs of 11-13 C again.

Any colder weather has been shoved back to late next week but the models continue to keep it in the mix.

The weather here for the 17th was very pleasant, sunny with a fresh breeze and highs near 11 C. It is clear out at midnight and about 4 C.

M.T. Cranium

Friday, 19 March, 2010
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TODAY should be quite a pleasant, sunny day in the northern and eastern parts of Ireland, with cloud spreading in rather early in the south, but even there, it should be dry until early afternoon when rain pushes in from the south. Winds will be light at first and then pick up to SE 20-30 mph, more of a factor in the south. Highs will be generally near 12 C, Galway and Mayo could be a touch warmer due to the wind direction.

TONIGHT the rain will overspread most other regions, and it may become foggy eventually. Ulster could have a fairly cold start but eventually all regions will have temperatures of about 6-8 C with winds E 10-20 mph and rainfalls of 10-20 mms by morning.

SATURDAY the rain will continue at least intermittently with some gradual brightening in the west by late afternoon, but for many areas it will be a rather wet day with a chilly NE wind and highs near 8 or 9 C.

SUNDAY may start bright and dry with patchy frost possible, but by afternoon cloud and occasional rain will spread in from the west, with highs of about 10 C.

MONDAY and TUESDAY are likely to be breezy, mild and showery, with even stronger winds arriving by WEDNESDAY as the rather uncertain forecast picture from previous days has now been replaced by strong low pressure mid-week. Highs of about 12 C and rainfalls of about 15 mms can be expected through this period. Later in the week it may turn sharply colder as this strong low crosses Ireland and pulls down some lurking cold air from the north. This cold spell may revert rather quickly to seasonable temperatures, even by the following weekend.

On Thursday here, we enjoyed another sunny day despite increasing high cloud, and it was rather cool and fresh with a high of about 11 C. As luck would have it, there is now a good snow cover up on the local hills, and the snow line is at about 600 metres currently.

M.T. Cranium

Saturday, 20 March, 2010
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TODAY will bring further rain to eastern counties, but the west will probably see only a bit of drizzle before gradual clearing begins mid-day. Winds will remain north to northwest 10-20 mph and by evening most of Ireland will be partly cloudy as the rain edges further east. Highs will range from 10 C in the west, to 8 C in the east.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with clear intervals, and some patchy light frost. Lows will range from -1 to +3 C.

SUNDAY will see increasing cloud with rain returning by afternoon, and highs will be near 10 C.

MONDAY will be showery and mild with highs near 12 C.

TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY will be unsettled with more rain, and highs of about 13 C.

THURSDAY now appears likely to be quite wet with strong SE winds backing to ENE 20-40 mph as low pressure heads towards the south of Ireland. Highs will be near 9 C.

FRIDAY will be windy and colder with occasional light rain or drizzle, and after that, conditions should return to near normal next weekend.

Friday 19th here was another sunny, fairly mild day with highs near 12 C.

M.T. Cranium

Sunday, 21 March, 2010
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TODAY will be mostly cloudy at first, with some scattered light showers. The sun may appear for a while around mid-day, but another period of cloud and rain will follow that, with a rising southerly wind late this afternoon. Highs will be about 10-12 C.

TONIGHT will be windy with periods of rain, winds S 20-40 mph veering to SW 15-30 mph before dawn, and 10-20 mms of rain possible, with lows near 7 C.

MONDAY will once again become changeable with showers, some longer sunny intervals, moderate SW breezes, and highs of 11-13 C.

TUESDAY will bring increasing cloud, after a rather chilly morning low near 3 C, and eventually some heavy rain is expected to arrive. Highs will be near 12 to 14 C.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY are likely to bring heavy rain at times from an approaching deep low, with strong southerly winds at times, and temperatures steady 9-11 C.

by FRIDAY the storm system will be moving through Ireland with periods of rain and slowly falling temperatures in the 7-9 C range. Winds will become light near the low centre, then NW 15-30 mph.

The weather should return to near seasonal normals by the weekend, and the models continue to try to bring much colder air in about 8-10 days out, but this hasn't "caught" yet so it keeps being postponed a day at a time.

Saturday here was a rather warm day with increasing high cloud and highs of about 16 C. Rain is moving in now although it's still dry and 10 C at 11 pm local time.

weisses

Friday was nice Yesterday was a sunny day and today is sunny again .... maybe i live on a different planet but this forecast didn't make much sense for me here in the west

keep up the good work though

Redsunset

weisses wrote: »

Friday was nice Yesterday was a sunny day and today is sunny again .... maybe i live on a different planet but this forecast didn't make much sense for me here in the west

keep up the good work though

Ya must be because i had a ball of rain

ian_m

Any chance any of thunder activity in the next 12hours?
thanks.

M.T. Cranium

UPDATE _ Monday 0120h GMT
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Sorry, I didn't see this question until now, but yes it does look rather thundery on the radar and some wind gusts to 60 mph can be expected in western counties in the next hour or two, with the front moving quickly northeast overnight, to be followed by some clearing by morning. The effects of this front in eastern and southeastern counties may be considerably less in terms of both wind and rain.

Full forecast update in the morning, but I think it's safe to say that the changeable and rather mild conditions will continue most of the week.

M.T. Cranium

Monday, 22 March, 2010
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TODAY, rather squally showers will move through Ulster and the east coast this morning, followed by partly cloudy skies, with diminishing winds (SSW 30-45 mph for a while, then SW 15-30 mph). Further west, the partly cloudy start to the day could lead to some heavy showers especially in western Galway and Mayo, as well as Sligo and Donegal. Further south and across the central counties, you may miss this second round of showers and stay partly cloudy all day. Winds will generally pick up again near the showers in the northwest but otherwise remain moderate SSW. Highs today will be in the range of 12-14 C.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with isolated showers turning to a steady rain later with mild lows of 8-10 C.

TUESDAY will bring similar weather to today, variable cloud with scattered showers, and highs of about 13 C, but in general it will be less windy.

WEDNESDAY will be cloudy with periods of light rain becoming heavier by late afternoon in the south. Winds will be light to moderate E to SE at 10-20 mph, and the temperature range will be from lows near 7 C to highs near 12 C.

THURSDAY will bring a steady rainfall that could amount to 20-30 mms, and moderate E to SE winds 15-30 mph. The temperature range will be from lows near 6 C to highs near 10 C.

FRIDAY will be cloudy with showers, an interval of light winds as the low centre passes from south to north across Ireland, then moderate westerly winds by evening. Once again, temperatures will be in the range of 6-10 C.

By Saturday it will be rather windy and feeling quite cold (WNW 20-40 mph) with passing heavy showers, highs near 10 C. Sunday should be somewhat less blustery and a bit milder again. As I mentioned yesterday, there is a constant theme of colder air arriving in about eight or nine days, but this seems to get pushed back each day (however it's still there).

Sunday here was a mostly cloudy day with a bit of mid-afternoon sunshine, and several intervals of light rain. The high was about 14 C.

M.T. Cranium

Tuesday, 23 March, 2010
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TODAY will start out cloudy with some light rain in the west, while eastern counties see increasing cloud. This light rain should progress across the country by mid-day, but a stronger pulse of moisture will follow, reaching western counties by afternoon, and eastern Ireland by this evening. Winds will be rather blustery at times (S 20-40 mph, higher gusts on west coast) but sometimes falling off rather light. Highs today will be 11-12 C, and the average rainfalls will be 5-10 mms.

TONIGHT will see occasional light rain and fog, with lows near 6 C. Any clearing overhead would probably lead to thicker fog forming. Another 5 mms of rain will fall in most areas.

WEDNESDAY will become partly cloudy at times, but the occasional rain will continue to add a few more mms in most areas, and winds will back to ESE 10-20 mph, as highs reach 10-12 C.

THURSDAY, get ready for a heavier rainfall, which may drop as much as 25-35 mms locally, in moderate SE winds at 20-40 mph. Temperatures will not vary much from lows near 8 C to highs near 11 C.

FRIDAY, the rain will taper to showers or drizzle from south to north, and winds will drop off rather light, although backing to NE 15-30 mph or stronger in parts of Ulster. The low is expected to track across southeast Ireland. By mid-day Friday some local flooding is possible as this persistent rain combines with some snowmelt from the higher hills in the southeast in particular. Temperatures will remain steady near 10 C.

SATURDAY will start out blustery, rather cold and showery, but it may clear for a while later in the day, before more rain moves in overnight. Highs will be around 10-12 C.

SUNDAY is looking wet now, as another strong frontal system develops. Highs are likely to be around 12-13 C.

I think the super-computers have finally worked out what you suspected all along, that no really cold air is actually going to arrive -- or is this just a sign that it will now slip in anyway?

As it happens, my local weather is just like your weather (as if I'm not confused enough by being on daylight savings time and eight time zones away) -- we had cloudy skies with some clear intervals, and light showers in a few places (nothing measurable), with a high of 11 C.

M.T. Cranium

Wednesday, 24 March, 2010
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ALERT for heavy rainfall developing over a lengthy period from today to Friday, especially in southeast and central Ireland. Potential for 30-50 mms of rain in total over the period.

TODAY will find one burst of moderate rain moving north and breaking up into scattered showers by mid-morning, while more heavy showers develop in a sort of conveyor belt of moisture from northwest Spain towards the south coast of Ireland. These heavier showers which could become thundery will form a north-south frontal band near central counties of Ireland by afternoon and some rainfalls of 20-30 mms are possible with them. It will be quite warm and humid especially to the east of this feature, with highs near 13 C, but near the west coast there could be some sunny intervals although more showers will be lurking near western Mayo. Winds for most places will be light SE backing more to east, although somewhat variable around the showers.

TONIGHT will be foggy and close with more rain, becoming rather heavy across the south, with 15-30 mms possible. Lows will be 8-10 C. Further north the rain may not be as heavy and it will be a bit cooler, 6-8 C.

THURSDAY will feature intervals of heavy rain especially in the southeast at first, then later in the Dublin to Kilkenny/Tipps to Cork regions. This rainfall may exceed 30 mms locally and should average 20-30 mms. Highs will be around 12 or 13 C and the winds will back gradually from SE to ENE picking up in speed especially in Ulster and Connacht (where 25-40 mph at times).

THURSDAY NIGHT will continue wet and somewhat breezy in the north, with the rain possibly becoming thundery. A further 10-20 mms will fall. By this time, with some snowmelt from higher parts of Wicklow factored in, there could be some local flooding despite the drought earlier this month.

FRIDAY will continue showery as the low moves across the Irish Sea, and winds will back more to NNE then NNW, 15-30 mph, with temperatures steady in the 8-10 C range.

SATURDAY will be breezy to locally windy and rather cool with occasional showers (rather sleety in higher parts of Connacht). Highs will be 8-10 C.

SUNDAY is now looking very interesting too, as colder air tries to beat the next Atlantic low to the central parts of Ireland and then the U.K. -- the results could be rain turning to sleet and even hill snow by late in the day, as much colder air arrives from the north. Temperatures are likely to stall near 7 or 8 C in the south, and near 5 C in the north before falling further.

By MONDAY it could be a case of winter's last gasp if the current guidance is right -- mixed wintry showers would be possible with hill snow accumulations of 2-5 cms and hail showers prominently featured lower down. Temperatures will be very chilly in a blustery NNW wind. (Lows near -1 C and highs near 5 or 6 C).

This cold spell may last two or three days before moderating again.

In other words, weather has returned. Meanwhile, in the weather-free Peoples' Republic of British Columbia, we have something so forgettable, I am already searching my memory for the details, overcast with sun dimly visible, and high near 13 C is about all I recall.

More details on the forecast as the system develops. The strong winds with this low are heading for Cornwall and Devon, and the west coast of France, where it will get quite windy on Thursday evening into Friday morning.

M.T. Cranium

Thursday, 25 March, 2010
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TODAY, one pulse of heavy rain will die out over Ulster this morning, with a further 15-20 mms possible there. Skies will brighten for a while further south over most of Ireland, and the sun could be out for a while, before a second area of heavy rain moves in from the south by early afternoon (south coast) reaching central counties by evening. So for some it may turn out to be quite a nice day between these areas of rain, but it will be close and warm with highs of 12-14 C. Winds will be light to moderate SE 10-20 mph. Some bursts of thundery rain are possible with both areas.

TONIGHT the rain will spread across Ireland and become moderate to heavy at times with 30-40 mms possible. Lows will be 8-11 C and it will be quite foggy especially over southern hills. Ulster could start out a bit cooler before the rain gets there (5-6 C). Dense fog could produce near-zero visibilities.

FRIDAY will be mostly cloudy with showers or longer periods of rain and temperatures steady in the range 9-11 C. Although further rainfall will be only 10-20 mms at this point there could be some minor flooding due mostly to the earlier rainfalls. Winds will be generally light but could increase to NE 15-30 mph in Donegal and parts of Connacht.

SATURDAY will be a brighter, breezy day with passing showers some of which could be thundery with hail, and highs of about 12 C. Winds will be WNW 20-40 mph.

SUNDAY is not "carved in stone" as models have different solutions, but it seems likely that the northern half of the country will turn much colder (4-6 C) with rain possibly mixing with sleet or hill snow, while the southern half remains mild with periods of rain and highs near 11 C. Winds will become NE 15-30 mph in the north, but will stay southerly in the south.

MONDAY is also somewhat uncertain as rather strong low pressure tracks either just south of the south coast, or through the southern inland counties. The further south it tracks, the colder it will become in general and the lower down the sleet or snow line will spread although rain seems more likely at sea level in any case. Taking a compromise, I'm saying rain with hill sleet or snow, NE winds 20-30 mph and temperatures in the 4-7 C range.

TUESDAY seems more likely to be cold in general as the low, however it tracks, should be well to the east by mid-day, and winds will swing around to NNW 20-40 mph, with mixed showers of hail, rain and mountain snow.

The rest of next week, however, should return to more seasonable temperatures.

Watch for updates both in this thread and if the weather crew get interested in the models later today.

I am trying to recall the details of Wednesday here, let me see, hazy sun with a mild high of 15 C. Sad to say I spent almost all of it indoors on the intertubes. :cool:

M.T. Cranium

Friday, 26 March, 2010
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TODAY will be cloudy with intervals of light rain mostly in the northern half of Ireland, while some scattered heavy showers or thundershowers are possible in south coastal counties, moving gradually northeast by late afternoon. Some areas may miss much of this rainfall and remain damp but otherwise rain free. The storm has split into several disorganized parts and so rainfall will vary considerably from place to place. Highs today will be about 11 C.

TONIGHT will be partly to mostly cloudy with some additional light rain possible in the east. Lows will be about 5 C.

SATURDAY will become partly cloudy with brisk west to northwest winds at 20-35 mph developing by mid-day, and some isolated but possibly heavy showers with hail or thunder. These will once again be rather hit or miss, more likely in north central counties. Highs will be about 12 C.

SUNDAY will be cloudy with rain developing across the south by late in the day. It could be cold enough for this rain to mix with sleet or snow over hills, and there may also be some isolated wintry showers further north. Winds will be turning towards the north but may be more easterly at first in southern counties. Temperatures will be falling off slowly from morning values in the south near 7 C and the north will stay in the 3-5 C range much of the day.

MONDAY will see a mixture of rain, sleet and snow developing with the snow more likely on higher slopes in the south but at fairly low elevations in the north. Winds will be northeast 20-30 mph and temperatures will stay rather steady in the range of 5-7 C south, 3-4 C north.

TUESDAY will become windy and even colder with passing showers of hail or snow. Highs will be only 3-4 C and morning lows could be frosty in places.

WEDNESDAY will continue windy and cold with wintry showers and very chilly temperatures (lows near -2 and highs near 4 C).

By THURSDAY there could be a more organized mixed sleet-snow event ... but as this is April first, perhaps I should not commit to anything until much closer to the time.

We're in a similar weather pattern here, it has been raining on and off all day Thursday, and the high was a rather bland 11 C.

Graces7

Hoping the heavy hail showers avoid Donegal as we intend being out selling with no shelter.... Bit tonight's met forecast seems to say lighter winds. Precipitation is one thing; wind is another entirely...

Joe Public

Graces7 wrote: »

Hoping the heavy hail showers avoid Donegal as we intend being out selling with no shelter.... Bit tonight's met forecast seems to say lighter winds. Precipitation is one thing; wind is another entirely...

There's about 1,000 Anglo Irish umbrellas looking for good homes.

snow ghost

Joe Public wrote: »

There's about 1,000 Anglo Irish umbrellas looking for good homes.

I could think of a few places to shove them where the sun don't shine.

M.T. Cranium

Saturday, 27 March, 2010
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TODAY will be cloudy with some sunny breaks, and intervals of light rain this morning across the south before breaking to variable cloud; by mid-day and afternoon more showers will develop, more frequent in Connacht and Ulster than elsewhere, and generally light but possibly with some hail locally. The highs will be around 11-12 C and winds will be moderate NW backing to W at 15-30 mph.

TONIGHT may bring a brief interval of light rain with a secondary front moving south across the country, followed by partly cloudy to clear skies with local frost developing as it turns considerably colder in the north especially. Lows will range from -2 C inland north to +3 C south coast. Dublin should be close to zero by morning with scattered light frost in the suburbs.

SUNDAY will be generally cloudy across the south and there may be a touch of light rain although most of the rain will stay offshore until evening as low pressure winds up west of Biscay to move towards Cornwall on Monday. This will leave the north under partly cloudy skies all day with perhaps the odd isolated shower and in general it will be rather chilly everywhere with highs in the 5-7 C range north and 7-9 C south.

SUNDAY NIGHT and MONDAY will see periods of rain developing in the south, mixing at times with sleet and snow over higher ground especially. The north may see less precipitation in general but what there is would be more likely to fall as snow. Winds will pick up to NNE 15-30 mph and lows will be close to zero in most areas, 2-3 C at the highest near Valentia. By late Monday it may be snowing almost down to sea level in central Ireland.

MONDAY NIGHT and TUESDAY will be windy and cold with intervals of snow or hail, temperatures as low as -2 C inland overnight and highs generally held down to 4-6 C despite some intervals of sunshine. Winds will be N 15-30 mph with some higher gusts. Nothing exceptionally heavy is expected in terms of snowfall although some hills could see 3-5 cms of cover, otherwise, it will be more of a 1-2 cm type of coverage from passing snow showers, that would then melt in the strong sunshine depsite the chill in the air. Snow late in the day of course could last overnight and that could drop the minimum temperatures in a few places.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY will continue breezy to windy, and unseasonably cold, with the temperature range similar (-2 to 5 C) and scattered outbreaks of sleety rain or hail mixing at times with snow. Winds will sometimes back to NW but will be generally northerly at about 20-30 mph. I have the feeling that snowfall will be quite hit or miss but where it falls, it could come down rather heavily at times, more likely in Connacht given the wind direction expected.

FRIDAY and SATURDAY will see a somewhat milder return flow from the west ahead of a new surge of cold air developing near Iceland .. this will bring temperatures up to about 7 or 8 C in a WSW wind with squally showers at times, still some chance of high elevation sleet, hail or snow. Then it could turn very cold again by Easter Sunday with snow in the picture in northerly winds. The timing on this is rather uncertain at this range, however.

Friday here was a dry but mostly cloudy day with a rather cold breeze from the east. It was about 10 C at mid-afternoon and is now about 5 C.

M.T. Cranium

Sunday, 28 March, 2010
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Much colder weather will arrive tonight and by Tuesday there could be snow in many parts of Ireland ...

TODAY will be generally cloudy across the south and there may be a touch of light rain by afternoon near the south coast, although most of the rain will stay offshore until evening. Further north there could be some sunny intervals by mid-day. In general it will be rather chilly everywhere with highs in the 6-8 C range north and 8-10 C south.

TONIGHT and MONDAY will see periods of rain developing in the south, mixing at times with sleet and snow over higher ground especially. The north may see less precipitation in general but what there is would be more likely to fall as snow. Winds will pick up to NNE 15-30 mph during the night, and lows will be close to zero in most areas, 2-3 C at the highest near Valentia. through Monday, the rain will spread gradually further north becoming rather heavy at times, and winds will increase further to ENE 25-45 mph. Rainfalls of 20-40 mms are possible, and there will be heavy falls of sleet or snow on hills especially in the southeast. By late Monday it may be snowing almost down to sea level in central Ireland, as temperatures all day remain in the 3-5 C range then fall off further by evening.

MONDAY NIGHT and TUESDAY will be windy and cold with intervals of snow or hail, temperatures as low as -2 C inland overnight and highs generally held down to 4-6 C despite some intervals of sunshine. Winds will be N 15-30 mph with some higher gusts. Most places are expected to see snowfalls of 2-5 cms although some hills could see 5-8 cms of cover; at lower elevations some or all of that would then melt in the strong sunshine depsite the chill in the air, but any snow late in the day of course could last overnight and that could drop the next day's minimum temperatures in a few places.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY will continue breezy to windy, and unseasonably cold, with the temperature range similar (-2 to 5 C) and scattered outbreaks of sleety rain or hail mixing at times with snow. Winds will sometimes back to NW but will be generally northerly at about 20-30 mph. I have the feeling that snowfall will be quite hit or miss but where it falls, it could come down rather heavily at times, more likely in Connacht and parts of Ulster given the wind direction expected (NW mostly).

By FRIDAY and SATURDAY it may be slightly milder although still below seasonal averages, with highs closer to 8 C and intervals of rain mixing at the highest elevations with snow. A sharp frost seems likely EASTER SUNDAY followed by variable cloud, some sun and passing showers. Highs at this long range appear to be near 9 C.

Saturday here was a partly cloudy, mild day with a high near 13 C but quite a chilly wind by the evening.

There are some other threads active now about the impending cold and snow event. I think the bottom line is this, most places will see at least some snow cover returning, and frosts will be widespread inland.

M.T. Cranium

Monday, 29 March, 2010
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I feel bad just typing this out ...

TODAY will be windy and wet, with colder air gradually mixing in from the north, causing temperatures to stall near 6-7 C in most of western and northern counties, before falling to about 4 C by late afternoon. The south and east should stay somewhat milder, 8-10 C, until this evening. Rain will become heavy at times with some thunder possible, in all but the far north where it is likely to mix early with snow. Otherwise, snow will be falling mostly at higher elevations at first, but could be seen at times at elevations as low as 200m by this evening. Rainfalls of 20-40 mms can be expected (10-20 mms far north), with some local flooding. Winds will be turning to the NE at 20-40 mph, except in the southeast where the wind direction will stay ESE at 15-30 mph.

TONIGHT will continue much the same although with the snow line tending to drop down a bit further so that more people see a mix of rain and snow, but it should stay all rain in Dublin and around the southeast coast and across the southeast inland below 100m. Snow will begin to accumulate to 2-4 cms on some higher ground and to 5-15 cms on higher summits. Winds will become strong NNE 25-45 mph in western and northern counties, and will drop off to SE 10 mph in the southeast, as the low centre moves across Wicklow before dawn. The southeast will turn foggy and hold on to the mild air with lows near 5 C but otherwise temperatures will be dropping slowly to around 1-2 C in the mixed sleety precip. Water levels may be higher than expected on the east coast around high tide. Full moon occurs tonight at 0225 GMT (0325 summer time).

TUESDAY will continue windy, very cold with mixed precipitation. Locally heavy falls of snow will begin to develop over parts of Ulster and Leinster, especially away from sea level and urban centres, as the temperature will be in the range of 1 to 3 C. Where snow accumulates it could reach depths of 5 to 15 cms, and all hills will definitely see 10-20 cms. The western, southwestern and south central counties may see more showery precipitation with brief sunny intervals, but winds will be equally strong -- all regions will see NNE backing to NNW winds 25-45 mph with some higher gusts in exposed western locations. Passing showers of hail or snow could become thundery in the west.

TUESDAY NIGHT and WEDNESDAY will continue very unsettled and cold with further heavy falls of wet snow, mixed in a few low-elevation locations with rain or hail. There could be further snowfalls of 10 cms in places. Temperatures will hover near zero C at night and will drop to -2 C if it clears for any length of time, and daytime highs will be 2-4 C. Winds will continue to howl from the NNW at 30-50 mph as the low responsible moves east at a snail's pace through northern England.

THURSDAY will be very cold for the first day of April and could feature more heavy snow showers although it will be gradually clearing through the day as winds back around somewhat to WNW 20-40 mph. The temperature range is likely to be about -1 C for a low and +5 C for a high.

FRIDAY will be overcast with periods of rain, sleety at times on high ground, brisk southerly winds, and temperatures in the chilly 4-7 C range (feeling very cold due to the damp and strong winds).

EASTER SATURDAY will be a cold, less showery day with some sunny intervals and less frequent showers, but these could be mixed wintry showers again, as it will actually turn a bit colder in a northwest flow.

EASTER SUNDAY is likely to be a cool, somewhat unsettled day leading to an interval of steady rain by later in the day or overnight to Easter Monday. Highs will be about 8-9 C after a rather frosty start to the day. By Monday it could be quite a bit milder in a strong SSW flow, but this will not last too long before colder air arrives again. The following week is being advertised as cool and dry with high pressure nearby to the northwest.

Sunday here was a rather bleak day with occasional rain, highs near 12 C and a chilly SW to W wind by afternoon.

Sorry this is the best I can do at this point, but don't shoot the messenger as they say ... :eek:

DOCARCH

Don't feel bad MT? That's a great forecast!

It would be a different story if this forecast was for June, July or August.

M.T. Cranium

UPDATE _ Monday 9:25 p.m.
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No major changes in the forecast, just some details on timing.

The low is currently around Laois heading for Dublin at a snail's pace, in fact you could probably keep up with it on foot. There's a band of rather heavy rain developing along the leading edge of the colder air and this could become thundery at times overnight as it edges towards Dublin and the Wicklow mountains. It could take most of Tuesday morning to expel the remnants of mild air from the southeast as the low plods or perhaps I should say swims east across the Irish Sea at the same very slow pace.

However, note that the colder air will wrap around this low and the southern feature entering France will move much more quickly northeast to energize the Irish Sea low which will then become the main centre of the complex disturbance. This will have the effect of throwing copious amounts of moisture back to the west across Ulster and this will rotate through Ireland in a cyclonic direction tomorrow. By about 10:00 temperatures will have fallen off everywhere on land in the eastern counties and the more wintry phase of this storm can begin (it already has in the western half of Ireland, of course).

So those are some of the timing details, but otherwise the forecast is generally holding together and I would look for some rather heavy falls of wet snow in Ulster and inland Leinster as well as on higher ground further west and south. The heavier snow should develop late Tuesday and last into part of Wednesday.

It is quite windy and wet here, I thought I was going to lose my golf umbrella on a brief walk earlier, gusts to 50 mph have been reported. So in other words this is not the place to escape the stormy blast.