Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

M.T. Cranium

UPDATE _ Tuesday, 6:30 p.m.
_________________________

The latest guidance takes away most of the milder flow previously indicated for Sunday-Monday and keeps Ireland rather chilly through another week until about the 27th now. Not sure if this is a permanent change, check in tomorrow morning if you're wondering about that possibility.

Meanwhile, looking more certain that measurable snow is coming to many parts of Ireland later this week. The system is not too dynamic or well-organized, but essentially it just gets a bit colder each day with sufficient moisture and instability to suggest that snow may become the dominant feature as rain and hail fade out of the mix tomorrow. So, Thursday and Friday could produce some snow, especially on higher ground in the north and west as the flow will be coming from that direction and hitting that part of the country first, so that by the time it reaches the southeast, it may have dropped a good part of the available moisture already. However, I wouldn't rule out snow anywhere in this pattern, the chances of a significant accumulation over 5 cms would probably be greater on hills in Mayo and Donegal than anywhere else. Maximum depths there could approach 15 cms.

We're having a mild day here with a few showers earlier, but this system is weak and drying out as it moves inland. It's more of a foggy drizzle than real rain. Temperature here is 9 C at 1030 local time.

M.T. Cranium

Wednesday, 17 February, 2010
____________________________

TODAY will be cold and mainly cloudy with a few sunny intervals. There will be some accumulations of snow, mainly on hills, in some western counties and later in southeast counties, but sleet or hail could fall at lower elevations. Winds today will be E to NE at about 10-20 mph, and highs will be around 4 C.

TONIGHT will continue partly to mostly cloudy and cold with continuing showers of sleet or snow. The southeast could see up to 10 cms in a few places (this area of snow may be largely offshore near Wexford, watch for updates). Sporadic snow showers may come and go elsewhere with slight accumulations. Lows will average about -2 C.

THURSDAY will be a bit colder again with somewhat more widespread snow showers in a NE to N wind of 15-30 mph (backing to NW by evening). This will tend to place more of the wintry showers over Ulster and then Connacht but any high ground could see some snow cover developing. Highs will be only 2-3 C.

FRIDAY will continue breezy, cold and unsettled with further snow showers mainly on hills, sleet, hail or cold rain lower down, and a temperature range from about -3 C to +3 C.

SATURDAY is now also looking quite unsettled and could bring a period of wet snow or sleet, and highs near 4 C.

SUNDAY is likely to be partly cloudy to overcast with isolated snow or hail, highs near 4 C.

This cold spell seems destined to last through part or all of the following week, with eventual milder conditions and rain developing near the end of the month.

Here, it has cleared up totally and we'll have a slight frost followed by a mild, sunny day on Wednesday. 2 C at 9 p.m. Tuesday.

M.T. Cranium

UPDATE _ Wed 17 Feb 2010 _ 7:20 p.m.
______________________________

Currently looks as though the southeast will be brushed mainly by low cloud from the offshore system, but can't rule out snow at times after midnight in Wexford, will at least be very close to the southeast tip of Ireland at times. Meanwhile, Donegal at the other end of the country is in a similar position with offshore bands of snow making occasional landfalls tonight. This may develop into more widespread snow in Connacht as well as Donegal by tomorrow. Eventually the best chance for snow moves south towards Kerry, and then Saturday looks a bit better in general for snow across the country, although it could be more of a sleety mix near sea level.

We're having a spectacular spring-like day here, but it was quite cold overnight especially in the mountains, so they have excellent conditions for the women's ski races now underway. If you have any coverage of this on TV now or later on, you'll see how clear the skies are here. Temperature range down here near sea level will be -1 C to +12 C, up in the alpine more like -10 C to +2 C.

This spell is now set to last for several more days, so it's golf weather down here, and ski weather up there.

M.T. Cranium

Thursday, 18 February, 2010
______________________________

TODAY will be cold with fairly extensive sunshine, but also some localized hail and snow showers moving inland on both east and west coasts. Some of these may become heavy later in parts of Donegal, Sligo and Mayo; the Dublin area is only likely to see light showers. Other parts of Ireland are less likely to see any showers at least until well on into the afternoon, as winds back around to a more NW'ly direction and begin to carry some of the western showers further east. Highs today will only reach about 2-4 C.

TONIGHT will continue partly cloudy with clear intervals, and the western snow showers may also continue but with some tendency to drift south towards Kerry. Lows will be in the range of -2 to -5 C, and some freezing fog may develop. Roads could become very icy in some inland districts.

FRIDAY will be similar, with partly cloudy skies, isolated snow showers mainly in the western counties, and highs of about 3 C.

SATURDAY, expect mainly cloudy skies and more widespread light snow or sleet, with some accumulations possible especially on higher ground in western and central counties. The temperature range will be -3 to +3 C.

SUNDAY is looking partly cloudy with more isolated snow showers, but little if any warming of temperatures.

MONDAY, we (on this weather forum) are watching developments to the south which could produce a stronger weather system moving through the general region of Ireland, northwest France and southern England, and which may set off some significant snow. Updates on this may be found on other threads during the day, and from me in this thread by this evening.

There are indications of a gradual warming trend later next week and it seems likely to turn considerably milder by the following weekend.

As mentioned, today here was sunny and quite mild at mid-afternoon (12 C) but it's back to about 3 C now under clear skies at almost 11 p.m.

M.T. Cranium

UPDATE _ Thursday, 6:40 p.m.
________________________

Looking at the model runs, there are no big changes but the potential for snow on Monday looks a bit reduced, the system is a bit weaker than shown previously. This also leads into an earlier warming trend that could see rain replacing sleet or snow by as early as Tuesday now. But otherwise, holding with the general forecast ideas from earlier. Some mixed wintry showers are moving through Kerry, it's probably snowing on some higher hills there right now, but temperatures seem a bit too high for snow close to sea level.

Other parts of Ireland could be looking at another -4 or -5 C overnight low as skies are fairly clear this evening.

Speaking of clear, there isn't a cloud to be seen here, and it was a bit milder overnight so the warmth is setting in quickly today, probably heading for a high of about 13 C (9 C at 1040 local time).

M.T. Cranium

Friday, 19 February, 2010
___________________________

TODAY will bring increasing and thickening cloud cover from west to east, and snow showers already underway in western counties will slowly move further east. Some accumulations of 3-5 cms are likely, mainly on hills. Around mid-day the precipitation could become more sleety, and/or hail showers. Highs will be around 3-5 C.

TONIGHT will continue cloudy and cold with periods of snow, sleet or hail, with additional 2-3 cm accumulations possible. Lows will be near -1 C.

SATURDAY and SUNDAY will feature periods of snow, not overly heavy in most places, and not continuous, in fact some sunny intervals could develop at times, but also 3-5 cms of snow could accumulate, partially melt and then re-develop. This will all lead to rather icy road conditions. Temperatures will be rather close to freezing both night and day, we'll say lows near -2 C and highs near +3 C. Winds will be generally W-NW during this snowfall, and once again, it could mix with sleet, hail or rain at times.

MONDAY is also looking rather cold with more snow possible, highs near 3 C.

From Tuesday on, a slow warming trend on generally SE'ly winds may be accompanied by sleet and then rain as the week progresses, with temperatures getting back towards 8-10 C by late in the week.

Thursday here was a gloriously sunny day with a high of 13 C, but once again it has rapidly cooled off to about 3 C by this time (9:30 pm locally).

For updates, please refer to the snowfall thread in this forum, as I shall be sleeping for most of the daylight hours in your time zone; the snowfall will be rather hit or miss, but fairly widespread at the same time, compared to localized events earlier this week.

M.T. Cranium

Saturday, 20 February, 2010
_____________________________

Early forecast (0540) based on GFS and similar GEM. ECM then came in after 0600 with a more snowy look for early next week. Forecast update completed 0650, indications are quite mixed but the ECM says significant snowfall Monday night and Tuesday.

TODAY will start out cold, or very cold, with increasing cloud this morning, and periods of snow developing from west to east during the mid-day to afternoon hours. This may leave 2-5 cm accumulations especially on western hills. Highs will reach 0-2 C and winds will not be very strong, generally from a S to SW direction ahead of a developing trough.

TONIGHT will find the snow heading more to the southeast counties with further accumulations mainly in that part of Ireland, but possibly another 1-2 cms could fall elsewhere before gradual clearing sets in. For the southeast, snow may last most of the night, mixing with sleet on the south coast (rain on outer headlands). Some accumulations of 5-10 cms possible especially inland and on higher ground in south central to southeast. Lows will range from -5 C northwest inland, Ulster, to -2 C west coast, south and Dublin.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with some decent sunny intervals, and less widespread snow showers mainly over hills in the western counties. Highs will reach 2-3 C.

MONDAY to WEDNESDAY, the situation is very much on a razor's edge so to speak, as several disturbances track just south and east of Ireland (actually the lows themselves are well to the south and east, but the predicted snow or sleet envelopes around them on GFS and GEM guidance just brush by the southeast, while ECM shows a direct hit of moderate or heavy snow by Monday night and Tuesday). As a result, the prediction here is for a 60% chance of snow by Monday afternoon and overnight into Tuesday. On the ECM there would be further potential for snow showers on Wednesday. There is potential for 10-15 cms or more to fall from this system late Monday to early Wednesday. Keep in mind there is some chance of it not developing far enough north, updates to follow; also, check the discussion threads in this forum. Also, the UKMET model chimes in with a later storm (more towards Tuesday night, Wednesday) that comes a bit closer to the south coast of Ireland and which could therefore be more of a mix of sleet and snow at that point if it's right. In these situations, you have to favour the ECM but clearly, a wide range of outcomes is on the table.

THURSDAY to SATURDAY, there is still an indication of milder weather slowly moving north and changing any snow to sleet then cold rain, with temperatures slowly rising through the range of 3 to 6 C (and possibly higher) but there again, slight changes could turn this forecast more towards snow. The ECM gives a colder and drier solution here, and the UKMET is showery and a little above freezing. This period is probably too uncertain at present for a very definitive forecast, but I wouldn't plan anything too weather-dependent.

It's much simpler here, with high pressure parked over the Rockies and inland B.C., we have a warm, very gentle southeast flow that is producing sunshine all day, clear cool nights, and a temperature range from Friday's high (15 C) to a predicted -1 C by 0600h local time. This appears likely to continue for several more days although a slight reset of the high will drop temperatures a few degrees.

This is what it looks like here (picture taken near Vancouver city centre looking north, the view a bit cluttered but note the trees already showing signs of spring, and the sparse natural snow on local hills, hints of heavier snow in the further off higher mountains).

Redsunset

I think this symbol says it all really folks.





Possible disruption over the coming days so check back soon.

EVERYTHING SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

Su Campu

Thanks for the photo MT, looks like a very nice area.

What temperatures should you be getting at this time of the year?

Takeshi_Kovacs

Nice photo MT, looks like a nice place to live. Is that suburbs of Vancouver?

M.T. Cranium

The picture was taken near Vancouver's city centre, looking north across the downtown core with the "north shore" mountains in the background. I live about ten miles to the east of where this picture was taken. If you look at a more detailed map the photo location would be about a half mile west of Vancouver City Hall looking north. There's a sort of second "city centre" area that we call the south side, and this contains the major hospital complex and the city hall, while the business and high tech areas are in the main downtown area that's in the high rise area of this photo. The angle of this photo shows mainly residential high rise buildings in the high tech district that is called Yaletown, the equally tall business towers further north can't really be seen in this shot. I don't think it comes across either that I am looking down quite a steep slope on this particular street. You can see that the trees are showing some signs of life and I would say we are 2-3 weeks ahead of the average spring blooming schedule already around this area.

We've been having a warm spell, no doubt about that, January was the warmest on record here and February is heading in that same direction. Recent highs have been 12-15 C and normal would be about 8 C now (6 C in January). It's also quite unusual to have so little cloud or rain at this time of year, but we seem to get these spells more often with an El Nino pattern.

Just a brief update on the Ireland forecast, the models continue to be all over the place on how the various lows evolve from Monday on, but I had the general impression from the 12z model runs that each one was sticking to its own plan, although the ECM does look less robust for snowfall on Tuesday.

M.T. Cranium

Sunday, 21 February, 2010
____________________________

TODAY will be cold but partly sunny in most areas, once any fog dissipates. There may be some snow showers (or sleet/rain near the coast) in northwest counties and parts of Ulster. Highs will be generally near 4 C.

TONIGHT will be misty to foggy and cold with lows near -3 C.

MONDAY will be cloudy with sleet or rain near the south coast, and snow inland in some southern counties, as well as isolated snow showers elsewhere. Amounts will be generally light but could reach 3 cms in a few places. Highs will be around 3-4 C and winds will pick up to become ESE at about 15-30 mph, adding some chill.

TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY will bring the risk of some heavy wet snow, especially at elevations above 100m inland. A pair of disturbances will move past to the south and spread moisture across much of Ireland south of Galway to Dublin, and snow could be heavy on some hills and even at some lower elevations inland. Temperatures through this period will be in the range of -2 to +3 C.

THURSDAY-FRIDAY will bring periods of sleet followed by rain as temperatures gradually rise to 5-8 C in a southeast to south wind flow. Some heavy rain is possible in this period.

The further outlook is for unsettled and rather cool weather to return after the heavy rain moves through.

Watch for updates and from now to 1700h those updates are likely to be in the discussion threads on this forum.

Saturday here was yet another clear, mild to warm day, with a high near 12
C, and once again, it has turned colder quickly after sunset (about 3 C at almost 11 pm with the half moon riding quite high).

Note -- models are still somewhat divided on outcomes, but seem to be converging on a solution of scattered, hit or miss snowfalls that are mostly in the southern third of Ireland, and mainly at some elevation or distance inland, from late Monday to early Thursday.

M.T. Cranium

UPDATE _ Sunday, 6:25 p.m.
_______________________

Models continue to point to a messy mix of weather types this week, with the heaviest precipitation moving through the south on Tuesday night and Wednesday. It appears likely to be rain near sea level, sleet about 150m above sea level and snow from 300m and up. Heavy snow could be falling on the higher slopes in Wicklow and Dublin during this period, but the lower levels appear too warm (by 1-2 deg) for much if any snow to accumulate there. However, it would only take slight changes in the next 24h to bring this snow further down, affecting many more people.

Today turning out just like the past four or five here, sunny and rapidly warming up towards 12 C.

Jpmarn

Well MT you seam to be enjoying a mild winter. Has it an adverse effect on the winter Olympics. We have to put up with a pretty cold winter in Ireland.

Redsunset

Suppose more suited to here so here goes,

MY PREDICTION
I'll make a prediction for tuesday/wednesday.

Rain pushing up from south on tuesday evening could give initial snow on leading edge then sleet as it hits our shores and about 5 to 10 miles inland can deliver continous snow for a time.

Waterford,wexford,cork and kerry may eventually become wet rather quickly because as it slowly pushes further north over land,somewhat milder air enters into the equation so the snow line retreats to above 150m in southern parts before eventually giving rain to all in this region except the mountains which should hold onto the snow.

Now counties like laois, north kilkenny,kildare, offaly,northern carlow,tipperary should hold on to snow much longer down to 50m,possibly allowing a few hours of sneachta to fall leading to some accumulations before that dreaded warm sector puts a damper on things and rises the snowline to above 200m.

Highlands of wicklow and dublin should do well too however those on lower eastern sides could be in for a disappointment.

The fun i feel may be that if i draw a line from galway city to dublin city and say all to the north of this line could possibily see significant snow fall for many hours and lead to severe disruption.

Naturally the further north you are here and in sustained precip the better for this to come to your home.

So thats my early prediction folks and i could be way off the mark here as models will continue to change the whole situation,so a nowcast can be the outcome if it remains on a knife edge.

However i feel dewpoints and upper air may eventually rise too much over southern half of country to allow continued snow to fall.

I wish all the best of luck,including myself in all of this,so get charging those camera batteries and maybe someone will get to build the biggest snowman.

Ps Remember this is a marginal situation for alot of us and may not deliver anything but rain for many so don't be disappointed,just remain optimistic because friday could be the real dark horse this week

M.T. Cranium

Monday, 22 February, 2010
____________________________

TODAY will be cold and mostly dry, with a few isolated and brief snow showers giving only small accumulations. Some sunshine will get through various cloud layers, mostly higher cloud from a frontal system well to the south. Highs today will be 3-4 C.

TONIGHT will remain partly cloudy to overcast and cold, with widespread freezing fog likely, and lows of about -3 to -5 C.

TUESDAY will become cloudy with a stronger SE to E wind of 20-30 mph developing. By late afternoon it will probably be raining near the south and southeast coasts, and sleet or snow will begin to fall inland. Some falls will be heavy and by late evening there could be 3-5 cms on hills. Highs for the day will be about 3-4 C.

WEDNESDAY the areas of rain, sleet and snow will persist for a while, then tend to die off for a while, before redeveloping later in the day again. This could lead to moderate or even heavy snowfalls in some central and northern counties. See the forecast above from Redsunset, as I think this is quite a plausible outcome. Temperatures on Wednesday are likely to be in a narrow range from -2 to +2 C for most, +5 C south coast. Winds will continue east to northeast at about 20-30 mph. Some heavy falls of snow (10-15 cms) are possible through central and higher southern counties, and in some inland northern counties.

THURSDAY this snow may continue but may also begin to change to sleet or rain in many places. Temperatures will edge upwards to about +4 C.

FRIDAY will continue unsettled with a possible heavy fall of rain mixing with sleet or wet snow at times. Temperatures will be held down to +5 C in most areas but could rise to +8 C in the south early morning as the disturbance moves through.

THE WEEKEND currently looks colder again, but less stormy, with some sunny intervals and generally dry conditions apart from isolated wintry showers.

Sunday here was another mild, sunny day with a high near 12 C. Clear at present, and 3 C at 9:40 p.m.

M.T. Cranium

UPDATE _ Monday 7:45 p.m.
____________________

Not much change in the guidance -- waiting now for the mixed precipitation event to push in from the south during the day on Tuesday. Possibly the weekend forecast situation has changed towards a sleety or heavy rainfall event developing late Sunday into Monday as most models are now showing low pressure moving north towards the Channel on the 28th. The GEM model shows this further west and very strong, so that's an outlier to keep in mind, it would produce strong winds and heavy rain in Ireland by the overnight period Sunday into Monday 1 March.

Meanwhile, enjoying yet another sunny, warm day here, I find it mild enough to wear just a tee-shirt (and other stuff, don't want to be arrested) as long as I'm not outside after sunset because it cools off quite rapidly then. But for now it's around 12 C.

Oliverdog

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

UPDATE _ Monday 7:45 p.m.
____________________

I find it mild enough to wear just a tee-shirt (and other stuff, don't want to be arrested)

The weather here has been so cold that a tee-shirt alone would be sufficient to sustain our modesty !

M.T. Cranium

Tuesday, 23 February, 2010
_____________________________

TODAY will be cloudy with a few sunny breaks in north-central counties. Rain will move onto the south coast but will make slow progress north until this evening. Winds will pick up to ESE 20-35 mph, and it will feel quite cold despite somewhat higher temperatures of 4-5 C.

TONIGHT and WEDNESDAY, rain will move further north and will mix with sleet and snow at higher elevations, and inland. The heaviest snow is likely to fall in the Midlands and northeast towards Ulster eventually. Winds will continue rather brisk from the east backing to northeast, 20-40 mph, and temperatures will be steady in the range of 1-3 C where it's snowing or sleeting, and 3-5 C in the rain.

THURSDAY will see a renewed wave of mixed precipitation that could become heavy at times, with winds continuing northeast 20-35 mph, and temperatures steady in the range of 2-5 C.

FRIDAY may be somewhat improved with dry intervals and some brief sunny intervals, and more isolated, showery mixed precipitation. The temperature range will be about zero to 4 C.

THE WEEKEND is looking reasonably settled aside from some mixed showers that move through early Saturday, and the possibility of some stronger winds and heavier rain by Sunday evening. The heart of the weekend though should be somewhat improved over this week, with temperatures near 5-6 C each day and near freezing at night.

MONDAY has some risk of heavy rain and stronger winds, then the pattern looks cold and unsettled for much of the following week.

Monday here was a sunny, mild day with a high near 11 C but cloud is moving in now from the southwest and this seems to be the end of our warm, dry spell, although rain is still about a day away.

For updates on the potential snow situation, check the threads on this forum, and I hope to provide an update this evening.

M.T. Cranium

Wednesday, 24 February, 2010
____________________________

TODAY will be briefly milder in the southeast with temperatures of 8-9 C this morning, and light rain. Other regions may feel a bit milder too in the 3-5 C range but snow will continue in some parts of Connacht and Ulster, then rain may turn back to wet snow further south by afternoon as the milder air is pulled away from Ireland by northerly winds reaching 20-35 mph. Temperatures will slide down to about 2-4 C and sleet and snow will replace rain in some areas. There could also be some brief sunny intervals in southwest to south central counties this morning.

TONIGHT will be partly to mostly cloudy with a little light rain, sleet or wet snow in places, and lows near -1 C. Icy roads will become a problem after midnight.

THURSDAY will become wet again by afternoon and evening with rain mixing with sleet and heavy wet snow mostly on hills in western and northern counties. Highs will be near 4 C on average, a bit colder in the north and west, and winds will become NE 20-40 mph.

FRIDAY will see rain turning to heavy wet snow, and the wet snow areas from Thursday could be seeing heavy accumulating snow by morning, 5-10 cms possible in some central and northeast counties. Eventually it should begin to dry out and winds will turn from NE to NW during the day, reaching speeds of 20-40 mph.

SATURDAY looks a bit improved over most of this week with partly cloudy skies, only isolated showers or flurries, and highs near 5 C.

SUNDAY should be cloudy with some light mixed precipitation in places, but we'll have to keep an eye on a strong storm predicted to move across northwest France Saturday night and southeast England Sunday morning. This could throw back some heavy sleet or snow into parts of Ireland, or it could stray off course and hit more directly (about a 20% chance of that happening, none of the models currently show this).

NEXT WEEK is likely to remain rather cool although there are hints of somewhat milder temperatures at times.

Tuesday here was cloudy with some rain developing by afternoon, and rather cool with highs only 7-8 C.

M.T. Cranium

Thursday, 25 February, 2010
___________________________

TODAY will be mostly cloudy, with periods of sleet or rain heaviest in Ulster, and a risk of snow on higher slopes, sometimes mixing down to lower elevations. There could also be some brief sunny intervals in the mix mainly in the southwest. A secondary frontal zone will move into the northwest by afternoon with more mixed wintry showers. Highs will average 4-5 C.

TONIGHT will be overcast with periods of rain, sleet or wet snow. There may be some accumulations on hills in the east and southeast. Lows will be in the range of -1 to +2 C.

FRIDAY will have a further period of sleet or snow, with some accumulations of 2-4 cms possible. The far west could have better conditions with some sunny intervals, although isolated wintry showers will develop there as well. Highs will be in the range of 3-5 C.

SATURDAY will see slow improvements as the mixed wintry showers fade to more isolated, light falls of sleet and snow before some late afternoon sunny breaks, with a temperature range from -1 to +5 C.

SUNDAY will be mostly cloudy with isolated wintry showers and highs of 4-6 in Ireland; a strong wind and rain event will be sweeping through France in the early morning and reaching southern England by mid-day, for travellers, some snow could fall in Wales and the higher parts of the M4 Bristol to London. I'm expecting this storm to produce 70 mph wind gusts in northern Spain, southwest and parts of central France, and heavy rains into south central England.

MONDAY will be a nicer day if the models are right, with a milder southerly flow developing briefly, that could see temperatures finally reaching 10 C.

The rest of next week looks rather cold again as an easterly flow develops, after some showers Tuesday, expect temperatures mainly in the 2-5 C range.

We've now had a second day of light rain here, with wet snow at the lower alpine levels. Our high was about 8 C near sea level. There's an interesting storm developing for the east coast of the U.S., looks like it will bring rain to New England, snow to NJ and PA, but New York City is right on the dividing line and could get a variety of precipitation next 48 hours.

Let's hope the weather takes on some better definition soon because you must be climbing the walls with this pattern, I know I am -- and I'm not even there. :cool:

burger1979

I just want spring to arrive for definite. i'm sick of this light snow crap, icy roads. i want the days to get warmer, i want the 'normal' spring rain, and i want the light in the mornings to come earlier, i'm sick of driving in the dark to work and as soon as i reach my desk it becomes bright out. the only thing that could make this any better if there are good, concrete predictions for summer where we will have a blazing one. but i doubt that will happen

M.T. Cranium

Friday, 26 February, 2010
____________________________

TODAY, periods of sleet or snow will develop across the north, with NE winds increasing to 20-30 mph later this morning. Temperatures in the north will be steady 2-4 C. Further south, skies may begin partly cloudy with winds W to NW 20-30 mph, then showers will develop, mixing with wet snow at times by afternoon as it turns colder. Highs in the south will be 6-7 C around mid-day, falling off to about 4 C.

TONIGHT will be breezy and cold with periods of wet snow or sleet, and lows near -1 C; winds will be NE 15-30 mph.

SATURDAY will be cloudy with brief sunny intervals, rather cold with scattered showers of sleet or wet snow. Highs will be about 4-6 C.

SUNDAY will have a morning frost in many areas, then variable amounts of cloud with sleety showers redeveloping. Highs will be near 5 C after lows near -2 C. See yesterday's discussion for information about stormy conditions in France and England that might affect travel plans. This storm is still on track although slightly further east in latest predictions.

MONDAY will be slightly milder with mostly cloudy skies and possible rain at times, highs near 7-9 C.

TUESDAY will be showery and a bit colder again with highs near 6 C.

LATER NEXT WEEK it looks cold again with rather strong east winds 20-35 mph, and the risk of snow showers near the east coast. Highs may only reach 4 C.

The weather here today was partly sunny and mild; highs were near 10 C.

A heavy snowfall has hit parts of New Jersey, New York City and nearby parts of New York state. Very strong east winds hit the Boston area and caused some damage both from wind speeds and storm surges.

M.T. Cranium

Saturday, 27 February, 2010
____________________________

If you're in a rush, this is basically a rerun of the previous forecast ...

TODAY will be rather variable; western counties will see overcast skies and light, sleety showers probably dropping some heavy wet snow on higher slopes. Eastern counties may have a dry start and a bit of sunshine before mostly cloudy skies develop with isolated showers. The southeast will have clouds and showers near the coast, while Ulster looks cloudy and mostly dry. Highs in most places will be 5-7 C (but a bit colder over hills especially where snow falls).

TONIGHT will be cloudy in most districts with sleet or wet snow developing inland, showers near coasts. Lows will be 1-3 C but there could be isolated frosty locations.

SUNDAY will be cloudy with a few breaks, and occasional light rain or sleet. Highs will be about 5 C.

MONDAY-TUESDAY will be cloudy with a few breaks, and light south to southeast winds; there could be some sleet well inland and north at first, but it will be warming up rather sluggishly to highs of about 8 C. Winds will eventually become stronger southeast and heavier rain could develop at times especially in the south.

WEDNESDAY will see rain turning to sleet and possibly to snow in Ulster, this possibly moving further south by evening as cold east winds push further south. Temperatures will be 4-6 C before the cold front and near 1 C afterwards.

THURSDAY to about SATURDAY or SUNDAY of the following weekend will be cold and windy with snow possible at times in the east, bright and even sunny weather at times in the west, and highs not far from 4 C with overnight lows well below freezing.

FRIDAY for my part of the world was rainy and mild with wet snow above 1,000 metres, rather mild down here though (9-10 C). New York City is digging out from 15-20 inches of wind-driven snow. :eek:

Tom Cruises Left Nut

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

Saturday, 27 February, 2010
____________________________

If you're in a rush, this is basically a rerun of the previous forecast ...

TODAY will be rather variable; western counties will see overcast skies and light, sleety showers probably dropping some heavy wet snow on higher slopes. Eastern counties may have a dry start and a bit of sunshine before mostly cloudy skies develop with isolated showers. The southeast will have clouds and showers near the coast, while Ulster looks cloudy and mostly dry. Highs in most places will be 5-7 C (but a bit colder over hills especially where snow falls).

TONIGHT will be cloudy in most districts with sleet or wet snow developing inland, showers near coasts. Lows will be 1-3 C but there could be isolated frosty locations.

SUNDAY will be cloudy with a few breaks, and occasional light rain or sleet. Highs will be about 5 C.

MONDAY-TUESDAY will be cloudy with a few breaks, and light south to southeast winds; there could be some sleet well inland and north at first, but it will be warming up rather sluggishly to highs of about 8 C. Winds will eventually become stronger southeast and heavier rain could develop at times especially in the south.

WEDNESDAY will see rain turning to sleet and possibly to snow in Ulster, this possibly moving further south by evening as cold east winds push further south. Temperatures will be 4-6 C before the cold front and near 1 C afterwards.

THURSDAY to about SATURDAY or SUNDAY of the following weekend will be cold and windy with snow possible at times in the east, bright and even sunny weather at times in the west, and highs not far from 4 C with overnight lows well below freezing.

FRIDAY for my part of the world was rainy and mild with wet snow above 1,000 metres, rather mild down here though (9-10 C). New York City is digging out from 15-20 inches of wind-driven snow. :eek:

Its a dislike thingy ! Kinda harsh to dislike your own post :D

Hi MT
It's a "post icon", just below the message window (when replying to a thread) there is a line of icons that you can select to add to the mesage.
It defaults to "no icon" you must have accidently selected that one.

M.T. Cranium

Well let's see if it's there again ... meanwhile, an update ... there's quite a tantalizing snow potential setting up for Thursday into Friday (4-5 March). I'm sure the forum regulars will be all over this ... I will play it conservative and say "watch for this" because sometimes the models pull back the cold air at the last minute, but it would fit the pattern of this winter to have one last blast (or perhaps not a last blast).

Ah, now I see where that icon came from, I must have clicked there while my previous post loaded up (slowly). Perhaps I should put myself on ignore now.

darkman2

Thanks MT - we miss nothing here.;) Superb analysis. Thanks very much. It's great having you continue to contribute to the forum and everyone really appreciates it.

delw

cheers mt,always look forward to your posts daily

M.T. Cranium

Sunday, 28 February, 2010
________________________

TODAY will be mostly cloudy and rather cold with light sleety showers, some snow on higher terrain, moving from western counties this morning to cover much of Ireland at various times today. Amounts are likely to be slight (1-3 mms). Highs today will be about 5-6 C. Winds will be moderately NW'ly.

TONIGHT will continue cloudy and cold with sleet or snow showers dying out, some clearing before morning, and frost developing. Lows will be generally around -2 C.

MONDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast, and may remain dry in some areas despite light rain (starting as sleet) near the west coast moving north. This may stay largely offshore or just over headlands on the west coast for much of the day. Highs will be about 7-8 C.

TUESDAY will become showery with 3-5 mms of rain on average, some fog developing, and highs near 8 C.

WEDNESDAY will start with showers and a strengthening east wind, backing to northeast 20-30 mph. The rain could change to sleet or snow in Ulster near the end of the day as temperatures fall off from near 6 C to near 2 C.

THURSDAY-FRIDAY is still looking very cold and windy with the risk of snow in eastern counties and most of Ulster. Winds will be NE to N at 25-40 mph adding quite a chill, as highs will be no higher than 2-4 C, and lows around -3 C. Some snowfalls of 5-10 cms are possible near the east coast.

The further outlook is for cold weather to continue with only minor increases in temperature.

Saturday here was cloudy and quite mild with occasional light rain, and highs near 11 C.