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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 7 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TODAY ... Cloudy, some light rain or drizzle fairly persistent in west and north, spreading to other regions by evening. A few brighter intervals in parts of the south mainly this morning, mild with highs 11-13 C. Heaviest rain likely to be evening and overnight hours, 5-10 mm for most. Becoming rather windy especially across Connacht and Ulster with some gusts to 110 km/hr there, otherwise moderate southwest winds 50-80 km/hr.

    TONIGHT ... Periods of rain, windy but calming down towards morning, temperatures steady 8-10 C falling off slightly just before dawn in parts of the west. Foggy over hills by morning, except clearing in northwest.

    SUNDAY ... Rain ending around sunrise east, clearing early morning west, then sunny intervals, not quite as mild with morning temperatures and daytime highs similar about 8 to 10 C. Winds much lighter, a fairly pleasant day if a bit on the cool side.

    MONDAY ... A clear and possibly frosty start to the day, lows -2 to +3 C, then sunny morning east, with increasing cloud west, then periods of rain that may become heavy late morning west, afternoon east, squally showers or possible thunderstorms, then becoming quite windy (SW 60-110 km/hr), highs 10-12 but falling off sharply in west by evening. Rainfall potential about 15 mm.

    TUESDAY ... Gradual clearing, scattered light frost with lows near -1 C then highs near 10 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Cloudy, milder, some rain likely, highs near 12 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Settled but turning a bit colder as high pressure strengthens to the north, leading to a spell of what we have not seen very often this past winter, east winds ... eventually it may become quite cold and slight amounts of snow could fall in eastern counties just around the big day, if some of the current guidance proves correct. Sharp frosts are certainly quite likely by mid-month.

    My local weather on Friday was partly to mostly cloudy but quite mild at about 13 C. Expecting even milder temperatures on the weekend (fore!).


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 8 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TODAY ... Rain ending soon across the southeast, followed by partial clearing, and a mixture of cloud and sunshine for the rest of the day, highs 8-10 C. Winds becoming rather light, making for a pleasant day.

    TONIGHT ... Early frost could form in north Leinster and east Ulster with lows briefly falling to -2 C but cloud spreading in quickly elsewhere followed by rain and strengthening southerly winds in western counties. Lows there about 4 C.

    MONDAY ... Periods of rain and squally showers mid-day, strong southwest winds especially for north Connacht and west Ulster where some gusts to 110 km/hr are likely, 80 km/hr elsewhere. Clearing rapidly during the afternoon with moderate westerly winds except strong near Donegal Bay. Highs about 10 or 11 C and about 10-15 mm rain on average.

    TUESDAY ... Scattered morning frost, then partly cloudy to sunny, lows -1 to +3 C and highs 9-11 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Moderate southerly winds, rain at times, highs near 12 C.

    THURSDAY ... Morning showers, possible mixed or wintry showers on higher ground as it turns considerably colder during the day, temperatures falling from about 10 C to 4-6 C. Moderate westerly winds.

    OUTLOOK ... Most guidance seems to agree on a settled period with rather chilly southeast to east winds as strong high pressure builds up over the North Sea and Scotland. Highs will be around 8 to 10 C and it may be rather cloudy at times but slight frosts are also possible.

    Britain will see a rather similar progression but most of today will be wet as the departing rain from Ireland reaches southern areas from Wales to East Anglia. Not a lot happening for a change in North America where temperatures are generally closer to normal values than has been the case most of the winter. My local weather was sunny and it became rather warm by afternoon with highs near 13 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 9 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Very windy at times in the northwest as an intense storm passes just far enough out to sea that its strongest winds will also remain offshore, but some gusts to 120 km/hr are possible in exposed parts of Mayo, Sligo and Donegal, perhaps even Galway. But most other regions will see gusts to about 110 km/hr briefly around late morning as a squally front develops and advances quickly through all regions. Rapid clearing will develop by mid-day in west and afternoon east. Winds will continue to veer from current southeasterly 50-80 km/hr to southwest 70-110 km/hr then westerly about 60-90 km/hr. Highs near 10 C although 12 in parts of southeast, and a total of about 15 mm rainfall but some heavy bursts that may be thundery.

    TONIGHT ... Clearing with scattered light frost developing, strong winds in north gradually diminishing, and becoming rather calm elsewhere. Lows about -1 C inland to +3 C coastal.

    TUESDAY ... Partly cloudy with some longer sunny intervals in south and east, highs near 10 C in generally light winds although western counties will start to feel effects of distant frontal system by late afternoon with strong southerly winds by evening.

    WEDNESDAY ... Early morning strong winds and periods of rain, followed by showers, some fog on hills but otherwise cloudy followed by partial clearing by late afternoon as winds once again veer from southeast to westerly, not quite as windy as today with maximum gusts around 80 km/hr. Highs near 11 C.

    THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, just a slight risk of wintry showers over northern hills, cooler with morning lows near 2 C and afternoon highs near 7 C.

    FRIDAY ... Chance of some early morning low cloud, drizzle in northwest, otherwise staying dry with variable cloud and some hazy sunshine later, morning lows near 2 C and highs near 9 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Several rather cool days in easterly breezes as high pressure shifts from over Ireland on Friday night to around Scotland and the North Sea by the weekend. Although rather cloudy at times, enough clear skies to permit some frost at night and some sunny breaks daytime, can't rule out the occasional passing shower or period of drizzle either, but fairly dry for most. Highs in the 8-10 C range and some night temperatures as low as -3 C are possible.

    It continues to be quite warm in my part of the world and Sunday was sunny with a high near 14 C. We have set our clocks forward so for a brief period just seven hours time difference until you go on to summer time (known over here as daylight saving time although when you look at it more carefully, nobody actually saves any daylight, but then neither is it summer so ....)

    Just a very early reminder, 90% coverage of the Sun in a partial solar eclipse that peaks around 0930h in Ireland on 20th of March. Total eclipse path is north of Donegal Bay and across the Faeroes. Today's 11-day forecast on the GFS model says the weather at that time would be improving over Ireland and unusually clear in the eclipse track zone thanks to high pressure building up. We'll see how this forecast evolves but that will encourage anyone planning to view the spectacle anyway.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 10 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY will be partly to mostly sunny with just a few brief and isolated morning showers near western coasts. Highs 9-11 C with generally light to moderate winds, becoming southerly 30-50 km/hr by early evening.

    TONIGHT will become overcast, temperatures may fall to about 4 or 5 C then rise to near 10 C later in the night as strong southeast winds develop with periods of rain, gusts to 80 km/hr.

    WEDNESDAY the rain will become more showery before ending as winds veer through southerly to southwest then westerly 50-80 km/hr. About 10-15 mm rain in total, and highs near 11 C.

    THURSDAY will see some clearing mainly in southern and eastern counties while it may stay cloudy further north with a few intervals of drizzle or light rain, risk of sleet on hills, and lows 1-3 C and highs 8-10 C.

    FRIDAY will bring variable amounts of cloud in east and south, overcast with periods of light to moderate rain in west and north, and another brief interval of stronger southerly winds before these die out later in the day, morning lows about 4 C and afternoon highs 8-10 C.

    OUTLOOK is for an interval of cool (possibly cold) settled weather with risk of some moderate or even sharp frosts and daytime highs in the 7-10 C range due to east winds becoming more variable but sometimes northeast early next week. The long-range outlook for "eclipse day" (Friday 20th) is now calling for cloudy skies in north and offshore but partly cloudy to clear skies in parts of the south. These outlooks may continue to change but it's interesting to track the trends anyway.

    I will update forecasts for Britain and North America tomorrow, Britain will be following generally the same variations as in the forecast above; meanwhilem, not too much is happening in recent days across most of the U.S. and Canada after quite an amplified pattern in the winter, as it turns milder across the continent, but it does remain rather warm in the west, today we had sunshine marred at times by drifting fog or low cloud which held the high to about 12 C here, 18 C just 50 km further inland though. There is almost no snow visible on local peaks in the 1200-1500m range, although higher mountains further away are snow-covered.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 11 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Heavy rainfall will continue to move steadily northeast (10-15 mm on average) but it should clear fairly rapidly around mid-day with some sunny intervals by this afternoon (late morning west Munster). Winds currently veering into south will continue to shift until reaching westerly 60-90 km/hr by mid-day, after which these gusty winds should subside gradually. Highs 11-13 C south and 9-11 C north.

    TONIGHT ... Clear intervals, frost in a few places, lows -2 to +2 C.

    THURSDAY ... Moderate winds and showers or periods of rain developing, rather cold with highs 7-9 C. Fog on hills, risk of sleet on higher elevations in the north.

    FRIDAY ... Early morning fog or mist, some frost developing inland south, then variable cloud, mostly dry but some risk of brief showers in north, morning lows around 1-3 C and highs 8-10 C.

    SATURDAY ... Variable cloud, some sunny intervals, lows -1 to +2 C with some patchy frost, then afternoon highs near 11 C.

    SUNDAY ... Cloudy with sunny intervals, somewhat colder in moderate east winds, brief but possibly wintry showers near east coast, lows -2 to +2 C with risk of frost and highs near 7 C.

    OUTLOOK ... The rather cold spell may continue several days in east to southeast winds, then conditions closer to average but unsettled. The latest guidance for the eclipse event (Friday 20th) calls for passing showers and poor viewing conditions in the track of totality although with some chance of a brief view there. Fairly soon we should be getting more reliable guidance for this date which is now nine days away.

    For Britain, most of the above holds true but the colder spell could see even sharper frosts and scattered wintry showers near east-facing coasts.

    My local weather on Tuesday was once again sunny and mild although with more fog around during the morning hours, and a high near 11 C. It was quite a bit warmer than that further inland.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 12 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Rain at times this morning, foggy on hills, moderate to strong southerly winds 60-90 km/hr veering to southwest and easing by afternoon, 10-15 mm rain and highs near 10 or 11 C. Some sunny breaks could develop especially in western counties by afternoon.

    TONIGHT ... Clearing with fog patches and frost developing, quite cold with lows about -2 to +2 C. Isolated wintry showers in north during the evening hours.

    FRIDAY ... Generally dry, cold, some sunny breaks although extensive mid-level cloud, highs 7-9 C.

    SATURDAY ... Variable cloud, isolated showers near northwest coasts, morning lows -2 to +2 C with frost, afternoon highs 8-10 C.

    SUNDAY ... Colder with mixture of cloud and sunshine, isolated sleety showers near east coast. Lows -4 to +1 C and highs 6-9 C. Light easterly winds.

    MONDAY ... Parly cloudy, cold. Sharp frosts in morning, lows -4 to +1 C and highs about 6-9 C with light easterly winds.

    TUESDAY (St Patrick's Day) ... Partly cloudy to overcast, some rain in west, near normal temperatures. Highs near 11 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Somewhat milder, but still some risk of frost, highs closer to 10 or 11 C. The current indications for eclipse day (Friday 20th) are improving again, maps showing strong high pressure building to west and north.

    My local weather on Wednesday was wet for the first time in about a month, and 15 mm rain fell, heavy at times by late afternoon. It was mild with a high near 12 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 13 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Icy roads with frost this morning, slow to clear (should be improved by 0930h) then sunny but cold, with some cloudy intervals developing by mid-day due to patchy mid-level cloud, highs 7-9 C.

    TONIGHT ... Somewhat more cloud may make the frost less widespread but lows in the range -3 to +3 C, fog or mist patches and icy roads again shortly after nightfall in some places.

    SATURDAY ... Variable cloud, isolated showers near northwest coasts, morning lows -2 to +2 C with frost, afternoon highs 8-10 C.

    SUNDAY ... Colder with mixture of cloud and sunshine, isolated sleety showers near east coast. Lows -4 to +1 C and highs 6-8 C. Light easterly winds.

    MONDAY ... Parly cloudy, cold. Sharp frosts in morning, lows -4 to +1 C and highs about 6-9 C with light easterly winds.

    TUESDAY (St Patrick's Day) ... Partly cloudy to overcast, some rain in west, near normal temperatures. Highs near 11 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Somewhat milder, but still some risk of frost, highs closer to 10 or 11 C. The current indications for eclipse day (Friday 20th) continue to look good now with maps showing strong high pressure building to west and north.

    In BRITAIN today will be cloudy with sleety showers and some snow on hills, and the cold spell will generally be more cloudy there with a few wintry showers on most days, although long stretches of dry weather away from the North Sea coasts.

    Some colder air is seeping back south into eastern North America although large parts of the U.S. remain mild, and snow is likely to develop over parts of inland New England and the eastern provinces of Canada. Becoming more unsettled across the far west after a long dry spell ended earlier this week, but my local weather on Thursday was dry, cloudy and mild, highs near 14 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 14 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Severe frost in some central counties with associated fog and icy roads may be slow to clear, as some cloud layers have moved in, but eventually some sunshine may break through; a weak trough near the west coast later could bring some isolated showers but it will remain dry in most places, highs 8-10 C west, perhaps as cold as 5-7 C central, 7-9 C east. Winds generally light to moderate southeast to east.

    TONIGHT ... Cold although with more cloud around, frost may be less widespread. Lows -2 to +3 C. Extensive fog and mist likely.

    SUNDAY ... Cold with mixture of cloud and sunshine, isolated sleety showers (snow at high elevations) may develop later in the day near the east coast. Lows -4 to +1 C and highs 6-8 C. Light easterly winds.

    MONDAY ... Parly cloudy, cold. Sharp frosts in morning, lows -4 to +1 C and highs about 6-9 C with light easterly winds.

    TUESDAY (St Patrick's Day) ... Partly cloudy to overcast, some occasional light rain in south and west (1-3 mm expected), closer to normal temperatures. Lows about 1-3 C and highs near 11 C.

    WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY will remain rather cold with clearing skies again, some sharp frosts in the -4 to -2 C range, and daytime highs generally 8-11 C in light northeast winds. This should give many a good view of the partial eclipse on Friday 20th around 0930h, if this theme holds long enough. Current model runs begin to break down this blocking high over the following weekend of the 21st-22nd with temperatures likely to remain a bit below normal with occasional rain developing in stronger westerly winds.

    In BRITAIN, most of this cold spell will be overcast and there could be more frequent and sometimes wintry showers especially in eastern counties.

    Rain has developed across most of the northeastern U.S. and will begin to mix with snow later today and tonight well inland from the larger cities where rain will continue. It will be very mild across the southeast, central and western regions, with a strong front moving inland bringing heavy showers to parts of British Columbia and Washington state. Friday was very warm in most of western Canada, in fact many records were set, it was 18 C with some sun getting through high cloud at my location. Rain has begun to fall in the past hour.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 15 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Mixture of cloud and sun, rather cold with highs about 8-9 C in light east winds.

    TONIGHT ... Increasing cloud may prevent frost in some eastern counties but expect lows -3 to -1 C central and inland west, +2 C closer to most coastlines and in urban areas.

    MONDAY ... Cloudy with a few brief sunny breaks, one or two spotty showers could drift in from Irish Sea with sleet or snow (very slight amounts) associated at higher elevations. Moderate east winds developing will add some chill to highs only 7-9 C.

    TUESDAY (St. Patrick's Day) will turn a little milder with scattered but brief showers moving towards the northwest during the day, amounts generally only 1-3 mm. Morning lows -3 to +2 C and afternoon highs 9-12 C.

    WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY will be sunny days with clear nights and frosts, but reasonably mild daytime, lows near -2 C and highs near 11 C.

    FRIDAY will see more cloud but still some breaks and a slight risk of passing showers later in the day. I continue to be somewhat optimistic about the chances of getting a decent view in some places of the morning eclipse. It even looks fairly promising north of Scotland for those planning to travel to the Faeroes although would say mostly cloudy with a few breaks and passing showers, gusty winds there. Highs in Ireland on Friday would be about 10 C and for the Faeroes about 6 C. Still time for these outlooks to change.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK calls for this dry and settled spell to break down gradually with stronger southwest to west winds developing by about Sunday 22nd.

    My local weather on Saturday started out with heavy rain but cleared around mid-day and the high was 17 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 16 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Cloudy with a few brief sunny breaks, one or two spotty showers (drizzly light rain) could drift in from Irish Sea with traces of sleet or snow (very slight amounts) associated at higher elevations. Moderate east winds developing will add some chill to highs only 7-9 C.

    TONIGHT ... Cloud may break up slightly especially further west so that frost may return in those regions with lows -3 to -1 C, expect more cloud to persist in east keeping lows above freezing in places, 1-3 deg. There will continue to be patches of drizzle mostly eastern counties or near the south coast.

    TUESDAY (St. Patrick's Day) will turn just slightly milder with scattered but brief showers moving towards the northwest during the day, amounts generally only 1-3 mm. Morning lows -3 to +2 C and afternoon highs 9-12 C.

    WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY will be sunny days with clear nights and frosts, but reasonably mild daytime, lows near -2 C and highs near 11 C.

    FRIDAY will see more cloud developing with moderate west to northwest winds at 30-50 km/hr, but still some breaks especially during the morning hours across parts of the east and south, and a slight risk of passing showers later in the day. I continue to be somewhat optimistic about the chances of getting a decent view in some places of the morning eclipse which peaks at about 0930h. It even looks fairly promising north of Scotland for those planning to travel to the Faeroes although would say mostly cloudy with a few breaks and passing showers, moderately gusty winds there (west to northwest 50-80 km/hr). Highs in Ireland on Friday would be about 10 C and for the Faeroes about 6 C. Still time for these outlooks to change.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK calls for this dry and settled spell to break down gradually after a dry but cool Saturday, with stronger southwest to west winds developing by about Sunday 22nd.

    For BRITAIN this cold spell will be mostly cloudy throughout with some sunshine at times mid-week and a little more by way of scattered light showers and hill sleet or snow, mainly in eastern counties.

    Across most of the U.S. and southern Canada temperatures are now fairly close to normal values although still quite warm in the south central and southwestern states. My local weather on Sunday was overcast with some light rain at times, more of a mist as the heavier rain stayed just south of here, and it was considerably cooler than recent days at about 9 C. We now have full blooming of the cherry blossoms about 2-3 weeks ahead of their normal pace, and a fairly advanced leaf development on deciduous trees. The snow line has dropped back to a more normal 800 metres though.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 17 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Cloudy with a few sunny breaks, scattered light showers more frequent in east and south, amounts slight (1-3 mm), continued rather cool with highs about 9 to 11 C.

    TONIGHT ... Cloudy with some clear breaks, fog or mist patches developing, scattered frosts as lows fall to -3 to +2 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Sunny intervals, light winds, highs 10-12 C.

    THURSDAY ... Mixture of cloud and sunshine, morning lows -3 to +2 C and afternoon highs 10-12 C.

    FRIDAY ... Cloudy with a few sunny breaks, best chances to see the solar eclipse likely to be coastal south and east as well as some parts of west Munster, a few brief light showers more frequent in Ulster. Lows 2-4 C and highs 8-10 C.

    SATURDAY ... Sunny intervals, cool. Highs near 9 C.

    SUNDAY ... Increasing cloud, rain likely by evening, moderate southwest winds developing, highs near 12 C.

    Meanwhile in BRITAIN the same cool, dry pattern will prevail although with slightly more chance of a few brief showers in eastern counties. Across the U.S.A. on Monday, very warm air made a run towards the Ohio valley and highs reached 28 C in Iowa, 24 C around Chicago, but this warmer air is quickly being replaced by more seasonable 5-7 C temperatures today. The west remains fairly mild, Monday at my location was a sunny, hazy day with a high of 11 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 18 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Mostly sunny, the early frost should ease fairly quickly and with light winds it may feel somewhat warmer than recent days in the sunshine, although highs of 9-13 C are only average for time of year.

    TONIGHT ... Clear with cloudy intervals, cold, scattered frost, lows -3 to +2 C.

    THURSDAY ... Cloudy west, slight chance of drizzle on outer west and northwest coasts, partly sunny east, highs 10-12 C.

    FRIDAY ... Cloudy with a few sunny breaks, lows 2-4 C and highs 9-11 C with moderate northwest winds developing, one or two passing showers but little if any accumulation. Chances of seeing a good view of the partial solar eclipse would seem to be best around east to south coast locations and in parts of west Munster but almost anywhere you might get a brief glimpse at least through scattered cloud layers. Sometimes during eclipses in cloudy situations, cloud can diminish as the atmosphere cools briefly.

    SATURDAY ... A mixture of cloud and sunshine with the possibility of some longer sunny intervals developing, light winds, lows -2 to +2 C and highs 10-13 C.

    SUNDAY ... Increasing cloud, rain may develop in west and north by late in the day, lows -1 to +3 C and highs 11-14 C.

    MONDAY ... Cloudy, showers, highs near 13 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Turning colder again with highs by mid-week in the 7-9 C range, hill snow showers and rain showers elsewhere. Certainly a very slow development of spring this year although not as backward as 2013 was during March.

    My local weather on Tuesday was mostly cloudy with sun dimly visible at times, rather mild at 12 C. There were a few breaks in the overcast in the past few minutes but I was not able to see any evidence of the aurora in those clear patches. I've heard that good displays were seen across somewhat higher latitudes in Canada tonight.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 19 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Increasing cloud east and south, once any fog dissipates, but cloudy most of the day further west and north with a bit of very light rain possible later in the day there. Highs 10-12 C. Moderate westerly winds developing in northern counties.

    TONIGHT ... Cloudy for most, a few clear intervals in southeast, lows will range from -1 C inland southeast to +3 C central and +5 C northwest. A few light showers will develop over Donegal Bay region.

    FRIDAY ... Mostly cloudy, the best chance of seeing the morning solar eclipse will probably be in eastern coastal regions and parts of Munster. One or two showers across the north during the morning will spread further south but dying out as they advance, 1-3 mm at most. Moderate northwest winds and highs 8-11 C.

    SATURDAY ... Sharp frosts likely in many areas with lows -4 to +2 C, then sunny with cloudy intervals, cool or cold with highs only 7-9 C.

    SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy, somewhat milder, lows -3 to +3 C and highs about 10 to 12 C. Light rain may develop by evening in northwest.

    MONDAY ... Showers, a bit milder with highs near 13 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Turning colder again on Tuesday with a slight risk of snow or sleet on hills, cold showers at other elevations, highs near 8 C. Then it may turn a little milder each day as the week progresses.

    I will update the other forecasts tomorrow, meanwhile, Wednesday at my location was cloudy with afternoon sunny breaks, and a high near 12 C. I had an eagle while golfing, not one that I scored, but a spectator. Just as good in some ways.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 20 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TODAY ... Mostly cloudy, the best chance of seeing the morning solar eclipse will probably be in east-central regions and parts of Munster, but brief glimpses are possible almost anywhere despite widespread cloud. One or two showers across the north and central counties during the early morning will spread further south but will be dying out as they advance, a drizzly 1-3 mm at most. Moderate northwest winds developing, 30-50 km/hr, and highs about 8-11 C.

    TONIGHT ... Gradual clearing although widespread mist or fog likely inland, lows -3 to +2 C.

    SATURDAY ... Morning frosts and fog patches likely in many areas with lows -3 to +2 C, then sunny with cloudy intervals, cool or cold with highs only 7-9 C. Isolated showers in onshore winds from north at 30-50 km/hr.

    SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy, somewhat milder, lows -3 to +3 C and highs about 10 to 12 C. Light rain may develop by evening in northwest.

    MONDAY ... Showers mostly before mid-day with 5-10 mm on average, becoming rather windy (WSW 50-80 km/hr) with highs near 12 C but temperatures falling off rapidly afternoon and evening to around 4-6 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Turning colder again on Tuesday with a slight risk of snow or sleet on hills, cold showers at other elevations, highs near 8 C. Then it may turn a little milder each day as the week progresses although not reaching very high values, only 13-14 C at best.

    Over in BRITAIN the next few days will be quite similar to the above, but there will be stronger northerly winds on Saturday in eastern Scotland in particular. For this morning's eclipse, Faeroes will be in and out of passing showers and thick cloud cover but there could be a few brief breaks too. Svalbard further north has a better chance of clear skies. In NORTH AMERICA the basic trends are continuing, cold in the east and mild in the west, but with a lot more rain recently than in the past month. A system bringing light rain to the Ohio valley and mid-Atlantic states this morning threatens to change over to snow at times at least away from the larger cities which are always a few degrees warmer, so some rural areas north of Baltimore and west of Philadelphia could see 10-20 cm snowfalls. That system will move offshore just skirting eastern Long Island and southeastern Massachusetts tonight and Saturday.

    My local weather on Thursday was wet at times with a high of about 10 C.

    Look for a brief update on sky conditions around 0845h to set up your eclipse viewing. The peak of the 90-95% coverage of the Sun will take place from about 0920h in southwest Munster to 0930h in northeast Ulster. A map was posted on the IWO facebook site yesterday.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 21 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Becoming brighter as the day progresses with long sunny intervals developing. Highs 9-11 C.

    TONIGHT ... Frost inland, lows -3 to +2 C. Some mist or fog patches.

    SUNDAY ... Increasing cloud with the chance of some light rain by evening in parts of the west, but dry elsewhere until Monday morning. Highs about 12 C.

    MONDAY ... Morning showers, gusty winds (WSW 50-80 km/hr) and lows near 6 C, highs 10-12 C, followed by falling temperatures and clearing skies.

    TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, isolated showers, even a touch of sleet on hills as it will remain quite cold, lows -2 to +3 C and highs 6-8 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Somewhat milder again with intervals of light rain developing, highs near 11 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Turning a few degrees colder on Thursday and then staying rather cool for a few days, highs around 9-11 C. Somewhat unsettled through the period.

    My local weather was quite wet all day, I would estimate 50 mm of rain fell in total. The high was about 11 C. The weekend is likely to be cloudy with a few brighter intervals and just showery rain at times so a bit of improvement.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 22 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Sunny intervals, increasing cloud over western counties by afternoon, frost should clear fairly rapidly then highs of 10-12 C.

    TONIGHT ... Cloudy, mild, periods of light rain (5-10 mm), moderate southwest winds 40-70 km/hr.

    MONDAY ... Morning showers, then clearing, temperatures steady 8-10 C then falling to about 5 C by evening. Winds WNW 50-80 km/hr.

    TUESDAY ... Breezy and cold with frequent showers, some becoming wintry on higher ground in northwest. Morning lows 1-3 C and afternoon highs 6-8 C. Winds northwest to north 40-60 km/hr.

    WEDNESDAY ... Partly cloudy at first with morning frosts, lows -2 to +3 C, then increasing cloud, rain by late in the day, highs 8-10 C.

    THURSDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, highs near 9 C.

    FRIDAY ... Some light rain at times, highs 8-10 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Seasonable next weekend, then the month will end with a warmer spell with temperatures possibly reaching 15 C around Tuesday 31st and Wed 1st of April.

    My local weather on Saturday was wet to start the day, but rain cleared away to reveal some sunshine by afternoon. Local creeks were in flood stage at the end of the 50-75 mm rainfall event.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 23 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... A few showers this morning, then a clearing trend although one or two showers could redevelop for northern counties. Moderate westerly winds increasing to 50-80 km/hr. Highs near 10 C but temperatures falling off rather steadily this afternoon, feeling quite cold by evening.

    TONIGHT ... Clear intervals, isolated showers, cold. Lows -2 to +2 C. Isolated frost and icy road conditions although the wind may prevent much frost from forming as it continues at about 40-70 km/hr from the northwest.

    TUESDAY ... Rapidly increasing cloud will lead to widespread squally showers with some thunder or hail possible, snow on hills. Cold with highs only about 6 or 7 C. Moderate northwest winds 40-70 km/hr will add further chill.

    WEDNESDAY ... Morning frost likely, in light winds and lows -3 to +1 C. Then variable cloud for most of the day, rain developing on strong southerly winds by afternoon, 10-15 mm likely. Highs near 10 or 11 C.

    THURSDAY ... Gradual clearing, westerly winds, a bit cooler again with lows near 2 C and highs near 9 C.

    FRIDAY ... Periods of rain developing, milder, windy at times, highs near 12 C.

    WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Reasonably mild with some decent dry intervals and highs near 13 C. Temperatures may peak around 15 C after the weekend but it looks to turn cold again just as April begins.

    My local weather on Sunday was mostly cloudy and it was dry until mid-afternoon, then some light rain developed, highs only about 9 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 24 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Rapidly increasing cloud will lead to widespread squally showers with some thunder or hail possible, snow on hills by afternoon. Cold with highs only about 6 or 7 C. Moderate northwest winds 40-70 km/hr will add further chill. There will be some sunny intervals especially near the south coast.

    TONIGHT ... Wintry showers then clearing, some frost with lows -4 to +1 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Morning frost in lighter winds then variable cloud for most of the day, rain developing on strong southerly winds by afternoon, 10-15 mm likely. Highs near 10 or 11 C. Strong south to southwest winds gusting to 90 km/hr and heavy rain likely by evening with temperatures steady near 10 C. Dense hill fog will accompany the heavy rain.

    THURSDAY ... Gradual clearing by early morning as it turns sharply colder but some wintry showers may develop in north, moderate westerly winds gusting to 70 km/hr, a bit cooler again with lows near 2 C and highs near 8 C. Mixed or wintry showers becoming more widespread by afternoon.

    FRIDAY ... Periods of rain developing, milder, windy at times, highs near 12 C.

    SATURDAY ... Cloudy with occasional light rain, highs near 13 C.

    SUNDAY ... Some clearing in the south, rain may continue at times in the north, very mild, highs near 16 C south, 14 C north.

    MONDAY ... Continued very mild, highs 15-17 C.

    TUESDAY ... Turning colder by late in the day but highs 13-15 C. Showers or periods of rain developing.

    OUTLOOK ... Much colder in early April, in fact more wintry showers could develop as highs struggle to reach 7 C.

    The general trend in BRITAIN should be fairly similar, meanwhile most of the northern half of the U.S. has turned quite cold again with sub-freezing temperatures there and in southern Canada, except in the far west. Snow is developing around the Dakotas and Manitoba. Frequent rain now in the west, my local weather on Monday featured heavy downpours, small hail and one very loud crack of thunder about mid-afternoon, and it was only about 9-10 C.
    Our premature spring blooming has now stalled and the rain is knocking down blossoms more than helping them, it would seem.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 25 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Some brief sunny intervals in the east this morning, as rain moves slowly into the western third of the country by mid-day, then becomes heavier with downpours of 15-25 mm possible in many parts of the south, 7-15 mm more likely north. Winds will increase to south 50-80 km/hr and veer sharply just after sunset on the west coast, and before midnight on the east coast. With that wind shift may come a few squally showers or thunderstorms with strong gusts and a risk of hail. Highest temperatures 9-11 C late afternoon or early evening. Hill fog will be widespread by afternoon.

    TONIGHT ... Although clearing rapidly with the windshift, a few more showers could develop in the west and north and these could change to sleet or wet snow on hills before sunrise. Lows 2-4 C in strong west to northwest winds of 50-80 km/hr. (lows closer to 6 C in onshore flow near Atlantic)

    THURSDAY ... Windy and rather cold with partly cloudy skies and a few passing showers that could still be wintry at times on high ground. Winds west northwest at about 40-70 km/hr, easing late afternoon. Highs 8-9 C.

    FRIDAY ... Increasing cloud early, rain by mid-day in west Munster, afternoon or evening in south Leinster. Some northern areas may see only slight amounts but the south will probably get 10-15 mm. Lows 2-5 C and highs about 8-11 C.

    SATURDAY ... Showers or periods of rain, a little warmer in the south where sun may break through at times, highs near 12 C. Further north, highs only about 7 or 8 C. Moderate southwest winds developing.

    SUNDAY and MONDAY appear likely to turn quite warm with highs 15-18 C except 12-15 C far north and in outer coastal locations where sea fog may be persistent. A few intervals of light showery rain possible but longer dry spells developing.

    TUESDAY could remain almost as warm, but may see a drop in temperatures in the northern half of the country to near 9 or 10 C with the milder air hanging on longer in the south.

    OUTLOOK ... Guidance seems to be shifting away from any strong cold outbreak until perhaps near the middle of the Easter weekend and then it could become quite windy with a few squally showers as winds turn more northerly. Temperatures seem likely to fall off gradually through that weekend from 13-15 C at first to 7-9 C or lower, but this may change as guidance has been rather unstable beyond five days.

    My local weather on Tuesday was cloudy with a few sunny intervals and rather cool at 9 C. One or two showers off in the distance but it remained dry at my location.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 26 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Windy and rather cold with partly cloudy skies and a few passing showers that could still be wintry at times on high ground. Winds west northwest at about 40-70 km/hr, easing late afternoon. Highs 8-9 C.

    TONIGHT ... Cloudy, some light rain developing across the southwest, about 5 mm with lows 4-6 C for most regions.

    FRIDAY ... Increasing cloud early, rain from early morning in west Munster, mid-day in south Leinster. Some northern areas may see only slight amounts but the south will probably get a further 5-10 mm. Highs about 8-11 C. Heavier rain will develop late in the day or overnight moving across western into northern counties.

    SATURDAY ... Showers or periods of rain continuing, 10-15 mm on average, a little warmer in the south where sun may break through at times during the afternoon, highs there near 12 C. Further north, highs only about 7 or 8 C with strong southwest winds in all regions 50-80 km/hr.

    SUNDAY and MONDAY appear likely to turn quite warm with highs 14-17 C except 11-14 C far north and in outer coastal locations where sea fog may be persistent. A few intervals of light to moderate showery rain possible but some longer dry spells developing at least in parts of the south, while the north sees more frequent rain. About 20 mm of rain could fall in total in the north, 5 to 10 mm south.

    TUESDAY could remain almost as warm, but may see a drop in temperatures in the northern half of the country to near 9 or 10 C with the milder air hanging on longer in the south.

    OUTLOOK ... Guidance is rather undecided between different models, the general theme seems to be unsettled and near normal temperatures 11-13 C from about Wednesday to Saturday, then turning colder on Easter Sunday (7 to 9 C), with winds generally moderate westerly and occasionally strong and gusty with intermittent showers or light rain. However some better scenarios are shown on some guidance including a couple of days of settled weather on Good Friday and Easter Saturday on one of the various weather models, so I am not that certain that the Easter weekend will fail to deliver some good weather for outdoor activities at least part of the time.

    My local weather on Wednesday was quite wet again and the high was about 10 C.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 27 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Some light rain over parts of Munster will die out gradually while other regions remain largely dry if cloudy until later in the day, when a more organized band of rain will develop and move across western counties towards the northeast. Highs 9-12 C.

    TONIGHT ... Rain becoming heavy at times, 15-25 mm in total by morning, with temperatures steady or slowly rising in the range of 8-10 C. Hill fog will be widespread.

    SATURDAY ... Heavy rain continuing to push northeast, followed by variable cloud and rather warm, muggy conditions with highs 13-15 C south, but not as warm in most of Ulster and nearby parts of Connacht and Leinster with highs about 11-12 C. Winds from southwest at 70-90 km/hr with some higher gusts will ease slightly by afternoon.

    SUNDAY ... Early morning rain and gusty winds, then variable cloud, showers, temperatures steady in the range of 10 to 13 C.

    MONDAY ... Cloudy, mild, occasional rain and strong, gusty southwest winds with temperatures peaking about 15-16 C in the south, 11-12 C north. About 10 mm rain expected.

    TUESDAY ... Breezy but not quite as mild with highs around 13 C south and 10 or 11 C north, mostly cloudy with a few showers or periods of light rain.

    OUTLOOK ... Variable cloud much of the time mid-week with temperatures near 12 C, another interval of rain likely around Thursday then possibly more settled and turning somewhat cooler for the Easter weekend, details are really not that definite yet with different models showing rather different outcomes, but I have some hope that it may turn out fairly pleasant. The very long term outlook is for somewhat cooler than average temperatures persisting beyond Easter into the middle of the month.

    My local weather on Thursday was mostly cloudy but very warm, in fact records were set for the date with a high of 19 C. This warmer air will be heading east to cover the plains states and prairies for much of the weekend but it will lose most of its vigour when it reaches the east coast by early next week. Some early April snowfall events are indicated for New England and the lower Great Lakes regions on the long-range charts.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 28 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Partial clearing for a while, quite warm and muggy, strong southwest winds will ease slightly and highs may reach 15-16 C in parts of the south, 13-14 C north. Another surge of rain will move rapidly across the country by afternoon (west) and evening (east) bringing about 10 mm. At that time south to southwest winds will increase slightly to 70-100 km/hr.

    TONIGHT ... Windy with rain and very mild, partial clearing later as winds veer more westerly, lows only 8-10 C.

    SUNDAY ... Early morning rain and gusty winds (WSW 60-90 km/hr), then variable cloud, showers, temperatures steady in the range of 10 to 13 C. Rainfall may be somewhat sporadic with 3-7 mm the expected range.

    MONDAY ... Cloudy, mild, occasional rain and very strong, gusty southwest winds (70-110 km/hr north, 60-90 km/hr south) with temperatures peaking about 14-15 C in the south, 11-12 C north. About 10 mm rain expected.

    TUESDAY ... Breezy but not quite as mild with highs around 13 C south and 10 or 11 C north, mostly cloudy with a few showers or periods of light rain.

    WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY ... Continued mild or very mild again with highs about 15 C, occasional rain mostly in northern and central counties.

    OUTLOOK for GOOD FRIDAY and EASTER WEEKEND ... Somewhat cooler with some settled and partly sunny intervals, according to most guidance ... confidence is moderate rather than high but it does look somewhat promising for relatively fair weather, highs averaging about 9 to 12 C, slight frosts possible in a few inland locations. The pattern beyond the Easter weekend is also expected to be somewhat cooler than the week ahead, but more settled with light to moderate southeast winds much of the time.

    The forecast above will probably be similar for BRITAIN, meanwhile across North America a brief warm spell in the east has ended and it's back to relatively cold and generally settled weather, but the west remains unsettled and mild to warm inland. My local weather on Friday was cloudy and very mild with a high of 16 C. Light rain has moved in since sunset, hopefully it will move away before 0900h local time (when I hope to be golfing).


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 29 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Early morning rain and gusty winds (WSW 60-90 km/hr), then variable cloud, showers, temperatures in the south will remain steady in the range of 10 to 13 C while further north around 6 to 8 C for the morning and 8-10 C by afternoon. Rainfall may be somewhat sporadic with 3-7 mm the expected range.

    TONIGHT ... Continued windy with some light rain at times, temperatures steady in the south at about 9-10 C, rising to similar values in the north. Winds WSW 50-80 km/hr with some higher gusts developing near Atlantic coasts.

    MONDAY ... Cloudy, mild, occasional rain and very strong, gusty southwest winds (70-110 km/hr north, 60-90 km/hr south) with temperatures peaking about 14-15 C in the south, 11-12 C north. About 10 mm rain expected.

    TUESDAY ... Breezy but not quite as mild with highs around 13 C south and 10 or 11 C north, mostly cloudy with a few showers or periods of light rain.

    WEDNESDAY ... A few sunny intervals, mild, rain developing again later in the day, not as windy. Highs near 12 C.

    THURSDAY ... Showers or periods of rain, 10-15 mm likely, possible thunderstorms and highs near 14 C.

    WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Good Friday will see clearing skies and rather cool temperatures in gusty northwest winds, highs 8-10 C. Easter Saturday and Sunday seem likely to bring more sunshine than cloud with highs also around 9 or 10 C, and slight frosts possible in a few locations.

    My local weather on Saturday turned out not too bad, after some morning drizzle, most of the day was dry although cloudy with a high near 13 C, then more rain set in by late afternoon.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 30 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Outbreaks of moderate and possibly heavy rain will develop around late morning in west Munster and Galway, spreading east and northeast during the afternoon. There may be an area of 15-25 mm rainfalls in the core of this system but most locations will see about 10 mm. To the south of the heavier rain, very mild air will spread into southern counties by late afternoon and evening, with highest temperatures about 14-16 C there. Further north it will peak at about 11-12 C with lower cloud ceilings and fog on hills. Winds will become quite strong at times (WSW 70-110 km/hr) and there is a slight risk of a thunderstorm by afternoon.

    TONIGHT ... Windy or very windy and partial clearing with squally showers likely near Atlantic coasts, temperatures falling steadily to reach 3-5 C by morning. Some snow could fall on hills in Connacht and west Ulster around daybreak.

    TUESDAY ... Windy and rather cold, winds WNW 50-80 km/hr, occasional showers with variable skies, some wintry showers in north and west at least on hills and possibly at lower elevations briefly. Somewhat more settled in eastern and southern coastal counties but occasional brief showers there too. Highs about 8-9 C in east and south, 5-7 C in west and north.

    WEDNESDAY ... Not as windy, remaining a bit on the cool side with cloudy skies and a few breaks as well as isolated showers, winds WNW 40-60 km/hr, morning lows -1 to +3 C with slight frosts in central counties, afternoon highs about 10 C.

    THURSDAY ... Increasing cloud with afternoon or evening intervals of rain, becoming heavy at times by evening, becoming foggy in parts of north and on most higher ground, morning lows 1-3 C and afternoon highs 11-13 C south but 8-10 C in most of Ulster and north Leinster.

    FRIDAY ... Windy during the morning with a few showers or light rain clearing rapidly from north to south during the mid-day period then some sunshine and cool, morning lows near 4 C and afternoon highs near 8 C.

    SATURDAY ... Sunny with cloudy intervals, cool. Morning frosts. Lows -2 to +3 C and highs 8-11 C.

    EASTER SUNDAY ... Sunny with a few cloudy intervals, slightly warmer, lows about 2 C and highs about 12-14 C.

    MONDAY ... Increasing cloud, warmer, highs 14-16 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Gradually becoming unsettled and cooler as the week progresses. Highs falling back to 11-13 C.

    This weather pattern will be very similar for BRITAIN except that most of the stormier intervals will be about a half day later to reach eastern portions, so that Good Friday will likely be wet, windy and cold until evening there. It should clear for the rest of the Easter weekend.

    Across North America, rather cold in eastern regions, warm in central and southwestern states as well as parts of west-central Canada but unsettled with near normal temperatures on the west coast north of California. My local weather on Sunday was once again rather wet with a high near 11 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    UPDATE _ Monday 30 March, 2015 _ 4:30 p.m.
    ________________________________________

    ALERT for heavy rainfalls next 3-4 hours across north Leinster and southeast Ulster, some local flooding likely to develop on roads during the peak of the afternoon commute period around north Dublin, Meath. Peak wind gusts 90-110 km/hr are likely to develop around 6-9 p.m. on west coast and spread further east late evening to around midnight. The rather mild air mass over the south will remain in place until just around midnight then it will begin to turn considerably colder.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 31 March, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Windy and colder with squally showers more frequent in Connacht and west Ulster, and cold enough for snow or sleet to fall on higher ground (mostly above 250m a.s.l.) ... winds WNW 60-90 km/hr, highs 6-8 C. About 3 to 5 mm rain on average, snowfalls of 3-5 cm on some hills.

    TONIGHT ... Showers or snow flurries becoming less widespread but remaining mostly cloudy with lows about 1-2 C, slight frosts may develop in a few parts of central counties.

    WEDNESDAY ... Cloudy with a few sunny breaks, moderate westerly winds, isolated showers and not quite as cold, highs 8-10 C.

    THURSDAY ... Cloudy, occasional rain, more persistent and heavier in parts of west, north (10 mm on average there), hill fog becoming widespread, lows near 3 C and highs near 11 C. Moderate northwest winds developing by evening and strengthening overnight, light rain continuing.

    FRIDAY ... Morning rain becoming more showery, gradual clearing from northwest by afternoon, cool and breezy (NW to N 40-70 km/hr), lows about 3 to 5 C and highs 8 to 10 C.

    SATURDAY ... Some sunny breaks developing, cool and dry with lows about -1 to +2 C, slight frosts, and highs 9-11 C.

    EASTER SUNDAY ... Morning sunshine in east, mostly cloudy further west, and this cloud may spread to east although with breaks developing. Slight chance of slight drizzle or very light rain spreading into northwest by evening. Lows about 2 C and highs about 12 or 13 C.

    MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated patches of light rain in north, lows about 3 to 5 C and highs 12 to 14 C.

    My local weather on Monday was overcast with a few brighter intervals, but mainly dry, highs near 12 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 1st of April, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Becoming mostly cloudy as is already the case in western counties, with outbreaks of drizzle or light rain (3-5 mm on average). Not as windy as recent days, moderate westerlies at about 40-70 km/hr. Cool with highs struggling to reach 8-10 C.

    TONIGHT ... Further outbreaks of light rain, becoming more persistent in Connacht and Ulster, lows 3-6 C and about 5-10 mm rain for most, smaller amounts in southeast.

    THURSDAY ... Occasional rain, becoming rather windy late in the day (as light southwesterlies increase to WNW 50-80 km/hr). Highs 10-13 C milder in south Leinster and east Munster.

    GOOD FRIDAY ... Windy with rain at times in morning, slight clearing trend by afternoon, as winds veer from WNW 50-80 km/hr to NNW 40-70 km/hr, morning lows 4-6 C and rather cold afternoon highs 7-9 C.

    SATURDAY ... Cloudy with afternoon sunny intervals becoming more frequent in a moderate northerly breeze with occasional gusts to 50 km/hr, rather cool with morning lows -1 to +3 C and afternoon highs 9-11 C.

    EASTER SUNDAY ... Sunny intervals, a little milder after some slight frosts in central counties (lows -2 to +3 C) and highs 11-14 C. Slight risk of an outbreak of drizzle or mist near northwest coasts.

    OUTLOOK ... Next week is looking pleasant with high pressure over Scotland promoting a dry southeast flow with light winds and calm conditions at night. Slight frosts are likely to be widespread and one or two places could see lows in the -3 C range, but days will feel reasonably warm with the sunshine, highs about 13 to 15 C.

    See yesterday's comments for BRITAIN and NORTH AMERICA which remain valid ... my local weather on Tuesday was partly cloudy and not overly warm with the high about 11 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 2 April, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Outbreaks of light rain mainly to the north of a nearly stationary front that cuts diagonally across the country from Galway to Wexford. Highs 11-14 C in Munster to the south of this front, but only 7-10 C in most other regions to the north in part due to light east winds coming off the Irish Sea. Fog will be rather persistent on higher terrain except in west Munster. Rainfalls of 3-7 mm likely in the wetter counties from about Mayo to central Leinster. Becoming rather breezy this afternoon in western counties with southwest winds 40-70 km/hr veering westerly by evening.

    TONIGHT ... Windy at times, showers or periods of rain, 5-10 mm rain and lows about 4-6 C. Winds westerly veering to northwesterly 50-70 km/hr with higher gusts near west coast.

    GOOD FRIDAY ... Morning showers or periods of light rain in parts of Leinster, gradual clearing elsewhere by mid-day, and that should eventually spread into Leinster as well, but all regions rather cool in moderately strong northwest to north winds 50-70 km/hr. Highs 8-10 C.

    SATURDAY ... Some morning cloud but a fair amount of sunshine likely to develop, lows 1-3 C and highs 9-11 C. Slight risk of patchy drizzle near northwest and north coast.

    EASTER SUNDAY ... Partly to mostly sunny, a little warmer during the day after a patchy frost (lows -2 to +3 C), highs about 12-14 C in light winds.

    MONDAY ... Intervals of cloud and sun, lows -1 to +4 C and highs 13-15 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Continued fair and somewhat milder as a slight increase in southeast winds mixes the air at night, lows 2-5 C and highs 13-16 C until near end of the week when more cloud likely, to be followed by slowly advancing light rain from a weak front edging eastward from the Atlantic (this around the following weekend, 11 to 12 April).

    If your plans take you across to Britain on Good Friday, the slowly departing rain and gusty winds will not clear southeast England until well into the early morning hours of Saturday. Otherwise the scenario for most parts of Britain should be similar to the above, and the weather will be unusually clear and dry in Scotland for much of next week.

    My local weather on Wednesday was mostly sunny with a strong westerly breeze and it felt quite cool in the wind despite a high of about 12 C.

    Astronomy note: There will be a total eclipse of the Moon early Saturday visible from North America but long after the moon has set in Ireland (around 12z which is 0500h in my part of the world, if skies are clear I might get a view of the setting eclipsed moon just before sunrise on Saturday). Further east in North America you might see the early stages of the total eclipse before the moon sets and the sun rises on Saturday morning. A better timed evening view will be available in eastern Asia and Australia. Totality will be relatively short as the moon just barely gets into the umbra at mid-eclipse.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 2 April, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Outbreaks of light rain mainly to the north of a nearly stationary front that cuts diagonally across the country from Galway to Wexford. Highs 11-14 C in Munster to the south of this front, but only 7-10 C in most other regions to the north in part due to light east winds coming off the Irish Sea. Fog will be rather persistent on higher terrain except in west Munster. Rainfalls of 3-7 mm likely in the wetter counties from about Mayo to central Leinster. Becoming rather breezy this afternoon in western counties with southwest winds 40-70 km/hr veering westerly by evening.

    TONIGHT ... Windy at times, showers or periods of rain, 5-10 mm rain and lows about 4-6 C. Winds westerly veering to northwesterly 50-70 km/hr with higher gusts near west coast.

    GOOD FRIDAY ... Morning showers or periods of light rain in parts of Leinster, gradual clearing elsewhere by mid-day, and that should eventually spread into Leinster as well, but all regions rather cool in moderately strong northwest to north winds 50-70 km/hr. Highs 8-10 C.

    SATURDAY ... Some morning cloud but a fair amount of sunshine likely to develop, lows 1-3 C and highs 9-11 C. Slight risk of patchy drizzle near northwest and north coast.

    EASTER SUNDAY ... Partly to mostly sunny, a little warmer during the day after a patchy frost (lows -2 to +3 C), highs about 12-14 C in light winds.

    MONDAY ... Intervals of cloud and sun, lows -1 to +4 C and highs 13-15 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Continued fair and somewhat milder as a slight increase in southeast winds mixes the air at night, lows 2-5 C and highs 13-16 C until near end of the week when more cloud likely, to be followed by slowly advancing light rain from a weak front edging eastward from the Atlantic (this around the following weekend, 11 to 12 April).

    If your plans take you across to Britain on Good Friday, the slowly departing rain and gusty winds will not clear southeast England until well into the early morning hours of Saturday. Otherwise the scenario for most parts of Britain should be similar to the above, and the weather will be unusually clear and dry in Scotland for much of next week.

    My local weather on Wednesday was mostly sunny with a strong westerly breeze and it felt quite cool in the wind despite a high of about 12 C.

    Astronomy note: There will be a total eclipse of the Moon early Saturday visible from North America but long after the moon has set in Ireland (around 12z which is 0500h in my part of the world, if skies are clear I might get a view of the setting eclipsed moon just before sunrise on Saturday). Further east in North America you might see the early stages of the total eclipse before the moon sets and the sun rises on Saturday morning. A better timed evening view will be available in eastern Asia and Australia. Totality will be relatively short as the moon just barely gets into the umbra at mid-eclipse.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 3 April, 2015

    Forecasts for Ireland



    MTC will be taking a break over the Easter weekend, the forecast remains similar to the previous day ... see you next week

    TODAY ... A few more showers or periods of light rain, then gradual clearing from northwest to southeast during the afternoon and evening, moderate NW to N winds at 40-70 km/hr, and rather cool, highs 8-9 C.

    TONIGHT ... Partial clearing, some slight frosts possible inland south and east, isolated drizzle in parts of Ulster. Lows -1 to +3 C.

    SATURDAY ... Cloudy with sunny intervals becoming more frequent by afternoon, light northerly winds, cool. Highs 9-11 C.

    SUNDAY ... Morning frosts inland, lows -3 to +2 C, then sunny with a few cloudy intervals (more frequent near north and northwest coasts), highs 12-15 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Most of next week should be fair with near normal temperatures, even a bit warmer than average at times, highs 14-17 C, but slight frosts could continue in a few inland locations until mid-week when stronger breezes from southeast will keep the air mixing at night. Eventually some light rain will edge into western counties by about the following weekend (11-12 April).

    My local weather on Thursday was overcast with some breaks, and it was rather cool with highs 10-12 C.


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