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Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)
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Friday, 8 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
Weather systems have accelerated which means that the sequence of events we discussed yesterday is now on a faster pace. This may lead to heavy rainfalls in parts of south-central Ireland today, but a more settled day tomorrow than expected earlier. The faster pace also affects timing of events right through to about Tuesday.
TODAY ... Outbreaks of moderate to heavy rain with slight risk of thunder by afternoon already underway in Munster will spread into Leinster, with 20-30 mm possible. Connacht and Ulster will see about 10 mm except in portions of east Galway and south Roscommon which may be closer to 20 mm. Winds moderate southeast (backing to northeast in Ulster) at about 30-50 km/hr and rather chilly with highs 11-13 C.
TONIGHT ... Rain ending from west to east followed by fog or mist, some local clearing (where lows may fall a bit further), lows generally 4-7 C.
SATURDAY ... A mixture of cloud and sunshine with isolated but possibly heavy showers or a localized thunderstorm possible. Highs 14-16 C. With this change in timing, not as windy as earlier expected.
SUNDAY ... Early morning rain may become heavy at times, partially clearing but further showers likely with risk of thunder, warm and humid with morning lows only falling to about 8-10 C and afternoon highs 16-18 C. Moderate southerly winds 50-70 km/hr with higher gusts near Atlantic coasts.
MONDAY ... Isolated showers, rather warm, with some sunshine at times, moderate southerly to southwesterly winds 40-70 km/hr. Lows near 9 C and highs near 19 C.
TUESDAY ... Continuing rather warm, humid, outbreaks of rain becoming heavy by mid-day west, afternoon east, highs 15-17 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, cooler. Highs near 14 C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Rather unsettled, breezy to windy at times, near normal temperatures later in the week. There are faint signs of improvement towards the end of the weekend (16th-17th) and into the following week, but the models are perhaps struggling a bit at the moment. This change in timing seems to be related to developments upstream where a tropical storm has developed off the southeast coast of the U.S. and now appears to be heading north then northeast eventually (earlier it was supposed to die out inland).
The sequence of events for BRITAIN has of course also sped up, meaning that the heavier rain will now hit Friday night into Saturday morning there. The warmer spell should still last well into Tuesday before that frontal system hits by evening. So it may still get up into the low 20s in southeast England on Tuesday.
Meanwhile, NORTH AMERICA will continue to see very warm weather in the eastern and central regions, as the cold front makes slow progress towards the Great Lakes region but new disturbances hold back fronts in the south central regions. Subtropical storm Ana has formed off the GA-SC coasts and will edge closer to land all day with 80 km/hr wind gusts. Some rain from this may affect play at the Players Championship near Jacksonville FL at times. The far west is also warming up as a strong ridge in the jet stream develops right over the coast. Thursday was sunny and warm at my location (20 C) and several more days of 23-26 C sunshine are forecast.0 -
Saturday, 9 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Cloudy with some sunny intervals, isolated showers will develop mainly to the north of a Galway to Meath line, with 3-5 mm possible around north central counties. More isolated thunderstorms could develop in the late afternoon in parts of the inland southwest ahead of an area of light to moderate rain moving in this evening. Winds today will be generally rather light but will pick up from the southwest at least in Atlantic coastal and south coastal areas to 40-60 km/hr. Highs 14-17 C.
TONIGHT ... Mild and humid, foggy or misty with occasional rain (5-10 mm) and lows only falling to about 10 C.
SUNDAY ... Rain may become heavy at times in the morning across western counties, and this will shift to the eastern half of Ireland by afternoon. Expect about 15-20 mm with possible embedded thundershowers. Moderate south to southwest winds 40-70 km/hr, highs 15-17 C.
MONDAY ... Variable cloud, warm and humid, scattered showers although amounts also quite variable (3-15 mm). Morning lows about 10 C and afternoon highs near 17 C.
TUESDAY ... Some morning sunshine especially in south, but cloudy with outbreaks of light rain likely to follow. Highs about 14-15 C in south, 11-12 C in the north. Moderate southwest to west winds.
WEDNESDAY ... Variable cloud, a few showers, cooler with highs 13-14 C.
THURSDAY and or FRIDAY are likely to see an interval of heavy rain as low pressure moves into the south. Timing is somewhat different on various models and this event could take place mostly overnight. Highs about 12 C with easterly winds developing as the low approaches.
FURTHER OUTLOOK is for a slowly improving trend with the possibility of some more sustained dry weather and temperatures possibly a bit above normal at least (16-19 C).
I will update other forecasts tomorrow, meanwhile my local weather on Friday was sunny and very warm (24 C) and we're expecting similar conditions all weekend.0 -
Sunday, 10 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Rain may become heavy at times in the morning across western counties, and this will shift to the eastern half of Ireland by afternoon. Rain should reach Dublin around 2-4 p.m. Expect about 15-20 mm with possible embedded thundershowers. Moderate south to southwest winds 40-70 km/hr, highs 14-16 C.
TONIGHT ... Gradual clearing in parts of the south and west, but the evening will continue rather wet in Leinster, followed by a few remnant showers, and it will be mild, and foggy in places, with lows 8-11 C.
MONDAY ... Variable cloud, rather warm and humid, scattered showers although amounts also quite variable (3-15 mm). Afternoon highs 14-17 C.
TUESDAY ... Some morning sunshine especially in south, but cloudy with outbreaks of light rain likely to follow, 5-10 mm northern counties, possibly much lighter amounts in south with some chance of a dry day in places. Highs about 14-15 C in south, 11-12 C in the north. Moderate southwest to west winds.
WEDNESDAY ... Partly cloudy to mostly sunny, light winds mainly from the southeast by afternoon, lower humidity, morning lows about 5-7 C and highs 13-14 C.
THURSDAY is likely to see an interval of heavy rain as low pressure moves into the south. Potential for 15-25 mm in southern counties, not as heavy in north (about 5-10 mm). Highs near 12 C. Moderate to strong east winds backing to northerly as the low passes on a track towards southern England.
FRIDAY will see some clearing but with the risk of further rain developing late in the day. Highs 12-14 C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Generally more settled with near normal temperatures and perhaps more sunshine too.
For southern parts of BRITAIN, today should remain dry and warm until the band of rain arrives this evening or overnight, but it will push into Scotland during the day. Highs about 18-20 C. Trends beyond today will be similar to the forecasts above although events are rather slow moving so that various rain events will probably arrive half a day later in most places in Britain.
Over eastern and central NORTH AMERICA, mostly warm and humid, outbreaks of heavy thunderstorms in south central states, dry near east coast except where Tropical Storm Ana moves slowly inland overnight and Monday near Charleston, South Carolina. Remnants of that storm will slowly push north bringing 50-100 mm rainfalls to the mid-Atlantic states. Very warm and dry in the far west, my local weather on Saturday was sunny with a high of about 25 C.0 -
Monday, 11 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Variable cloud, best sunshine in southeast, with scattered showers and a risk of a gusty thunderstorm most likely in north central and northeast counties. Moderate southwest winds 50-70 km/hr, some higher gusts possible. Highs 15-17 C.
TONIGHT ... Showers, followed by an interval of moderate rain in parts of Connacht by about sunrise. Not as windy, but still rather breezy (WSW 30-50 km/hr), lows 7-9 C.
TUESDAY ... Frequent showers in north spreading later to central counties, some morning sunshine in south, but cloudy by afternoon with isolated showers. Temperatures may peak rather early (10-12 C north, 14-15 C south) then fall off slightly in the afternoon. Gradual clearing overnight.
WEDNESDAY ... Rather chilly to start (lows 3-6 C) then sunny intervals, pleasant. Highs 12-14 C. Moderate southeast winds developing by late in the day.
THURSDAY ... Overcast, periods of rain may become heavy, 15-25 mm likely, chilly with raw east to northeast winds 40-60 km/hr. Temperatures steady near 9 or 10 C.
FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, moderate west to northwest winds, a few showers, lows 4-7 C and highs 11-13 C.
SATURDAY ... Showers, highs near 14 C and moderate westerly winds.
SUNDAY ... Partly cloud, isolated showers, highs near 14 C.
MONDAY ... Showers, turning colder, highs 10-12 C.
Similar outlook for most parts of BRITAIN although once again fewer showers and arriving later in southern England. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Ana moved inland on Sunday and remnants are now moving slowly north towards Virginia. The west remains fair, although temperatures are quite cool for time of year in the southwestern states, closer to normal further north because of the return flow around high pressure over Oregon. My local weather on Sunday was rather cloudy but pleasant with highs near 19 C.0 -
Tuesday, 12 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Frequent showers in north spreading later to central counties, some morning sunshine in south, but cloudy by afternoon with isolated showers. Temperatures may peak rather early (10-12 C north, 14-15 C south) then fall off slightly in the afternoon.
TONIGHT ... Gradual clearing with a slight ground frost likely inland, lows generally in the range 2-5 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Sunny intervals, increasing cloud over parts of west Munster by afternoon. Highs 12-15 C with higher readings in Connacht and north Munster. Moderate southeast winds 30-50 km/hr developing by late in the day.
THURSDAY ... Overcast, periods of rain from early morning to mid-day west, afternoon southeast, may become heavy, 15-25 mm likely across the south but lesser amounts or remaining dry north where some afternoon sunshine could develop, chilly with raw east to northeast winds 40-60 km/hr. Temperatures steady in the range 9 to 12 C.
FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, moderate west to northwest winds backing to southwest by afternoon, somewhat warmer especially in southwest, a few showers possible, morning lows 4-7 C and highs 12-15 C.
SATURDAY ... Showers, highs near 14 C and moderate westerly winds.
SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy with isolated showers, highs near 15 C. Moderate southwest winds.
MONDAY ... Showers, turning colder, highs 12-14 C. Moderate west to northwest winds.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY will continue rather cool and moderately windy
from the northwest, gusts to 70 km/hr in west coastal counties. Highs 11-13C.
Hopefully the last third of May will bring some warmer weather -- seems like a good bet anyway.
My local weather on Monday was cloudy with a few isolated showers, only a few raindrops at a time but sunshine very limited, highs about 16 C.0 -
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Wednesday, 13 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Sunny intervals despite patchy higher cloud, although increasing lower cloud offshore may move inland over parts of west Munster where a few light showers could be observed. Highs 12-15 C with higher readings in Connacht and north Munster. Moderate southeast winds 30-50 km/hr developing by mid-afternoon in south and west, late in the day elsewhere.
TONIGHT and THURSDAY ... Overcast, periods of rain from midnight or early morning to late morning west, and from dawn to about mid-afternoon in the southeast, heavy at times, with 15-25 mm likely across the south but lesser amounts (5-10 mm central) or remaining dry further north where some afternoon sunshine could develop. It will feel rather cold with raw east to northeast winds 40-60 km/hr backing to northerly along Atlantic coasts by afternoon. Temperatures steady in the range 9 to 12 C. It will probably be a reasonable day for parts of the north.
FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, moderate west to northwest winds backing to southwest by afternoon 40-70 km/hr, somewhat warmer especially in southwest, a few showers possible and intervals of heavier rain by evening lasting through the night to Saturday morning in northern regions, Friday morning lows 4-7 C and highs 12-15 C.
SATURDAY ... Showers, lows 5-8 C and highs near 14 C with moderate westerly winds 40-70 km/hr.
SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy with isolated showers, highs near 15 C. Moderate southwest winds.
MONDAY ... Showers, turning colder, highs 12-14 C. Moderate west to northwest winds.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY will continue rather cool and moderately windy
from the north-northwest, gusts to 70 km/hr in west coastal counties. Highs 11-13C.
Longer range forecasts are dominated by cool but dry weather to near the end of the month, but that sort of two-week scenario can often change to something else (not a very reliable signal in other words).
My local weather on Tuesday was mostly cloudy with some showers in the area, all of which managed to miss my location, but for a bit of variety they were moving east to west while doing so. Some of these had brief periods of thunderstorm development mostly over higher terrain.0 -
Thursday, 14 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Overcast, periods of rain continuing to late morning in western counties, and to about mid-afternoon in the southeast, heavy at times, with a further 10-20 mm likely across the south but lesser amounts (5-10 mm central) while remaining dry further north where some afternoon sunshine could develop. This may spread down the west coast by late afternoon or evening. It will feel rather cold with raw east to northeast winds 40-60 km/hr backing to northerly along Atlantic coasts by afternoon. Temperatures steady in the range 9 to 12 C.
TONIGHT ... A few clear intervals, fog or mist patches developing, rather cold with lows 2-5 C and risk of isolated ground frost.
FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, moderate west to northwest winds backing to southwest by afternoon 40-70 km/hr, somewhat warmer especially in southwest, a few showers possible and intervals of heavier rain by evening lasting through the night to Saturday morning in northern regions, and highs 12-15 C.
SATURDAY ... Heavier rain ending around sunrise in north (10-15 mm), lows 5-8 C, then occasional showers mostly north of a Galway-Dublin line, and highs near 14 C with moderate westerly winds 40-70 km/hr. Some sunny breaks likely in southern half of the country.
SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy with isolated showers, lows 4-7 C and highs near 15 C. Moderate southwest winds 40-70 km/hr.
MONDAY ... Showers, turning colder, highs 12-14 C. Moderate west to northwest winds.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY will continue rather cool and moderately windy from the north-northwest, gusts to 70 km/hr in west coastal counties. Highs 11-13C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... It may remain rather cool and unsettled through the weekend of the 23rd-24th but then a slow warming trend is likely.
My local weather on Wednesday was overcast with traces of rain and a high of about 15 C.0 -
Thursday, 14 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Overcast, periods of rain continuing to late morning in western counties, and to about mid-afternoon in the southeast, heavy at times, with a further 10-20 mm likely across the south but lesser amounts (5-10 mm central) while remaining dry further north where some afternoon sunshine could develop. This may spread down the west coast by late afternoon or evening. It will feel rather cold with raw east to northeast winds 40-60 km/hr backing to northerly along Atlantic coasts by afternoon. Temperatures steady in the range 9 to 12 C.
TONIGHT ... A few clear intervals, fog or mist patches developing, rather cold with lows 2-5 C and risk of isolated ground frost.
FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, moderate west to northwest winds backing to southwest by afternoon 40-70 km/hr, somewhat warmer especially in southwest, a few showers possible and intervals of heavier rain by evening lasting through the night to Saturday morning in northern regions, and highs 12-15 C.
SATURDAY ... Heavier rain ending around sunrise in north (10-15 mm), lows 5-8 C, then occasional showers mostly north of a Galway-Dublin line, and highs near 14 C with moderate westerly winds 40-70 km/hr. Some sunny breaks likely in southern half of the country.
SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy with isolated showers, lows 4-7 C and highs near 15 C. Moderate southwest winds 40-70 km/hr.
MONDAY ... Showers, turning colder, highs 12-14 C. Moderate west to northwest winds.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY will continue rather cool and moderately windy from the north-northwest, gusts to 70 km/hr in west coastal counties. Highs 11-13C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... It may remain rather cool and unsettled through the weekend of the 23rd-24th but then a slow warming trend is likely.
My local weather on Wednesday was overcast with traces of rain and a high of about 15 C.0 -
Friday, 15 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Variable cloud, moderate west to northwest winds backing to southwest by afternoon 40-70 km/hr, somewhat warmer especially in southwest, highs 13-15 C, a few showers possible and intervals of heavier rain now expected by late afternoon clearing about midnight from northern regions, where perhaps 10 mm could fall.
TONIGHT ... Rain ending, partial clearing, breezy, lows 5-8 C.
SATURDAY ... Some morning sunshine likely especially eastern counties, then occasional showers mostly north of a Galway-Dublin line, and highs near 14 C with moderate westerly winds 40-70 km/hr. Some sunny breaks likely in southern half of the country.
SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy with isolated showers, lows 4-7 C and highs around 15 C. Moderate southwest winds 40-70 km/hr. Periods of heavier rain likely by Sunday night into early Monday.
MONDAY ... Rain then a few showers, partly cloudy for much of the day but turning colder, highs 12-14 C. Moderate west to northwest winds 40-60 km/hr.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY will continue rather cool and moderately windy from the north-northwest, gusts to 70 km/hr in west coastal counties. Highs 11-13C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... It may remain rather cool and unsettled through the weekend of the 23rd-24th but then a slow warming trend is likely.
My local weather on Thursday was partly cloudy and the high was around 17C.0 -
Saturday, 16 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Some morning sunshine likely especially eastern counties, then occasional light showers mostly north of a Galway-Dublin line, only about 2 or 3 mms rain likely there, and highs generally near 14 C with moderate westerly winds 40-70 km/hr.
TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, lows 4-7 C.
SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy with showers slowly becoming more widespread, and highs around 15 C. Moderate southwest winds 40-70 km/hr. Periods of heavier rain likely by Sunday night into early Monday.
MONDAY ... Rain then a few showers, 15-20 mm in this overnight event, then becoming partly cloudy for much of the day and turning somewhat colder, after morning lows 7-9 C, highs only 12-14 C. Moderate west to northwest winds 40-60 km/hr.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY will continue rather cool and moderately windy from the north-northwest, gusts to 70 km/hr in west coastal counties. Lows about 4-6 C and highs 11-13C.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY are unfortunately looking quite wet again with temperatures only around 12-14 C. Slow improvement is likely after that.
My local weather on Friday was fairly pleasant, mostly cloudy but with some sunny intervals, and a warm high near 20 C.0 -
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Sunday, 17 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Partly cloudy with showers slowly becoming more widespread, and highs around 15 C. Moderate southwest winds 40-70 km/hr. Heavier showers by afternoon in Connacht (5-10 mm).
TONIGHT ... Periods of heavier rain likely (10-15 mm), lows 7-9 C.
MONDAY ... Partly to mostly cloudy for much of the day and turning somewhat colder, with frequent showers, risk of some thunder with hail by afternoon, highs only 12-14 C. Moderate west to northwest winds 40-60 km/hr.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY will continue rather cool and moderately windy from the north-northwest, gusts to 70 km/hr in west coastal counties. Lows about 4-6 C and highs 11-13C. Showers will be more frequent and blustery on Tuesday.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY are now looking not as wet as earlier projected although showery at times, with an improvement in temperatures as a result, to about 14-16 C. This improving outlook seems to be making headway into the following weekend with more indications of high pressure and some sunny intervals now, highs 15-17 C.
My local weather on Saturday was cloudy but quite pleasant with a few brief sunny breaks and highs near 19 C.0 -
Monday, 18 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
Astronomy note: The new moon has just occurred (at 5:13 a.m.).
TODAY ... Breezy and rather cold with passing showers and brief sunny intervals, winds WNW 40-70 km/hr, highs about 11 to 13 C. Some showers may contain hail and produce thunder. Average rainfalls about 3-5 mm.
TONIGHT ... A few more showers and continued breezy and cold, lows 3-5 C.
TUESDAY ... Breezy and very cool with showers more frequent in western counties, about 3-5 mm on average there, 1-3 mm elsewhere, highs about 10 to 12 C. Winds NW 50-80 km/hr in exposed areas.
WEDNESDAY ... Some slight improvement although continued breezy with isolated showers, morning lows 3-5 C and afternoon highs 11-14 C.
THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, not as cool, highs near 17 C.
FRIDAY ... Increasing cloud, a few showers mainly in northern areas, highs near 16 C.
SATURDAY ... Cloudy north with a few intervals of light rain, partly cloudy south, highs generally 15-17 C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Hopefully there will be some settled conditions around Sunday and beyond with near normal temperatures, highs 15-18 C.
My local weather on Sunday was sunny and warm with a high near 23 C. Expecting about the same today (Monday is a holiday here).0 -
Tuesday, 19 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Breezy and very cool with showers more frequent in western counties, about 3-5 mm on average there, 1-3 mm elsewhere, highs about 10 to 12 C. Winds NW 50-80 km/hr in exposed areas. One or two of these showers could produce hail and thunder.
TONIGHT ... Showers increasingly confined to western coastal regions then ending with partial clearing, cool. Lows 2-5 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Some slight improvement although continued breezy with isolated showers, and afternoon highs 11-14 C. Winds westerly 40-60 km/hr.
THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, not as cool, lows 3-5 C then highs near 17 C. More cloud is likely in northwestern counties and drizzle or light rain could brush outer coasts.
FRIDAY ... Increasing cloud, a few showers mainly in northern areas, lows about 7 C and highs near 16 C.
SATURDAY ... Cloudy north with a few intervals of light rain, partly cloudy south, highs generally 15-17 C.
SUNDAY ... Sunny intervals, near normal temperatures, highs 15-18 C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Next week now appears fairly settled and perhaps even a bit warmer near 20 C.
My local weather on a holiday Monday was sunny and very warm with a high near 24 C. There were impressive cumulonimbus clouds over the north shore mountains but these were drifting slowly northwest away from us. Areas well to the north have had some early forest fires due to lightning strikes over the past week.0 -
Wednesday, 20 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Cloudy intervals, showers more isolated to western counties. Moderate westerly winds 40-60 km/hr, highs near 14 C.
TONIGHT ... Cloudy with a few clear intervals, lows 4-7 C.
THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, warmer, moderate southwest winds, some light rain possible near northwest coasts. Highs 15-17 C.
FRIDAY ... Cloudy with light rain at times in north, partly cloudy south, lows generally 7-9 C and highs 15-18 C.
SATURDAY ... Sunny intervals, pleasant. Lows 5-8 C and highs 15-19 C.
SUNDAY ... Occasional morning showers, breezy to windy and turning slightly cooler, lows 9-11 C and highs 13-15 C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The pattern will remain similar with a westerly flow and occasional weak fronts, but there is some indication of a more organized low pressure area with rain towards the end of the month.
My local weather on Tuesday was sunny and very warm, highs near 25 C.0 -
Thursday, 21 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Partly cloudy, warmer, moderate southwest winds, some brief showery rain possible across northern counties but amounts generally less than 2 mm, and some sunshine at times in south. Highs 15-17 C.
TONIGHT ... Becoming overcast with a few showers, lows 8-10 C.
FRIDAY ... Cloudy with light rain at times in north, partly cloudy south, rather warm and humid, highs 15-18 C.
SATURDAY ... Sunny intervals, pleasant. Lows 5-8 C and highs 15-19 C. Showers by evening near western coasts.
SUNDAY ... Occasional overnight and morning showers eventually clearing to southeast then breezy to windy (WNW 50-80 km/hr) and turning slightly cooler, lows 9-11 C and highs 13-15 C.
MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, breezy (W 40-60 km/hr), lows about 7 C and highs about 14 C.
TUESDAY ... Warmer again with some sunshine at times, highs 18-21 C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Mostly cloudy later in the week, increasing chances of rain with a spell of heavier rain possible around Friday or the weekend (timing and details a bit uncertain this far in advance, would expect a rather active frontal system by 29th-30th).
My local weather was sunny and very warm again on Wednesday, highs were close to 25 C. Temperatures are actually below normal further south in the desert southwest states, but about the same as here. Their normals are about 35 C, ours more like 18 C.0 -
Friday, 22 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Cloudy with light rain at times in north, spreading further south mid-day into afternoon but tending to become even less active (amounts generally 1-3 mm), so results will be partly cloudy across the south with sprinkles of rain possible by afternoon, and it will feel rather warm and humid, with highs 15-18 C. Winds becoming westerly veering northwesterly 40-60 km/hr.
TONIGHT ... Gradual clearing although some remnant low cloud near northern coasts, lows 5-8 C.
SATURDAY ... Sunny intervals, increasing cloud leading to drizzle or light rain in parts of Connacht, but generally a pleasant day. Highs 15-19 C. More general showers will spread across the country by overnight into early Sunday.
SUNDAY ... Occasional overnight and morning showers eventually clearing to southeast then breezy to windy (WNW 50-80 km/hr) and turning slightly cooler, lows 9-11 C and highs 13-15 C.
MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, breezy (W 40-60 km/hr), lows about 7 C and highs about 16 C.
TUESDAY ... Warmer again with some sunshine at times, highs 18-21 C.
OUTLOOK ... Breezy with occasional showers, not quite as warm with temperatures falling off about 2 degrees each day to reach 13-15 C by about Friday in more of a northwest flow. The earlier suggestions of heavier rain seem to have downgraded a bit. All things considered, this next week will provide some fairly good weather for most outdoor activities.
Much the same pattern can be expected in BRITAIN. Across eastern NORTH AMERICA temperatures have fallen back to more normal values but will soon be back up into the 28-32 C range on the east coast next week. The far west continues to see warmth in the border regions (U.S.-Canada that is) but the desert southwest regions are relatively cool by their standards. My local weather was sunny and rather hot on Thursday with a high near 27 C. Once again we were treated to distant thunderstorms about 50-100 kms to the east and north over the mountains.0 -
Saturday, 23 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Hazy sunshine at times, warm, although increasing cloud may lead to patchy drizzle or light rain in parts of Connacht. Highs 15-19 C.
TONIGHT ... Showers or periods of rain developing, winds increasing to westerly 50-70 km/hr, lows 8-10 C. About 5 mm of rain is expected. It will already be starting to clear in parts of the northwest by early daylight hours.
SUNDAY ... The overnight rain will continue for a few hours in southeast counties but clearing will be rapid elsewhere in gusty winds from W to NW at 50-80 km/hr. It will be fresher and not as warm with highs 13-15 C.
MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, breezy (W 40-60 km/hr), lows about 7 C and highs about 16 C.
TUESDAY ... Warmer again with some sunshine at times, lows 5-7 C and highs 18-21 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Showers or periods of rain, highs near 17 C.
THURSDAY ... Windy, cooler with passing showers, highs near 14 C.
FRIDAY ... Rain at times, highs near 15 C.
My local weather on Friday was just a touch cooler mainly due to a stronger sea breeze. Cloud in the morning gave way to more bright sunshine, and heavy storms could be seen well to the north and east again.0 -
Sunday, 24 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Becoming brighter as the morning continues, just a few isolated remnant showers, then sunny but quite breezy (W-NW 50-80 km/hr), a few more showers developing near Mayo and Donegal coasts. Highs 14-17 C.
TONIGHT ... Cloudy intervals, then some light rain or drizzle moving onto Atlantic coasts after midnight (1-2 mm at most). Moderate northwest winds continuing. Lows 6-9 C.
MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, breezy (W 40-60 km/hr), highs about 16 C.
TUESDAY ... Warmer again with some sunshine at times, lows 5-7 C and highs 18-21 C across the south, 15-18 C north.
WEDNESDAY ... Showers or periods of rain, heavier by evening (10-15 mm), lows 5-7 C and highs near 17 C.
THURSDAY ... Windy (W-NW 50-80 km/hr), cooler with passing showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 14 C.
FRIDAY ... Rain at times, lows near 8 C and highs near 15 C.
WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Saturday somewhat warmer (17-19 C) then back to showers and cooler temperatures by Sunday.
My local weather on Saturday was overcast and there was spotty drizzle but essentially a dry day with a high near 18 C.0 -
Monday, 25 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Cloudy with a few brighter intervals, patchy light rain or drizzle at times mostly near western coasts. Highs 14-16 C.
TONIGHT ... Misty or overcast, lows 6-9 C.
TUESDAY ... Some morning sunshine more frequent in south, then becoming overcast, rather warm with highs 14-17 C north and 17-20 C south.
WEDNESDAY ... Showers or longer intervals of rain (10-20 mm likely), lows about 10 C and highs about 15 C.
THURSDAY ... Breezy, cooler, a few showers, lows 5-7 C and highs 12-14 C.
FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, some showers but dry intervals, highs 13-15 C.
SATURDAY ... Rain now seems likely and it could become heavy at times by late in the day. Rather strong winds could develop (SE becoming SW'ly) and highs will be held down by the cloud and rain to about 14 or 15 C.
SUNDAY ... Breezy or windy, rather cool with passing showers although some clearing later, highs near 14 C.
OUTLOOK ... The current charts for early June look quite dismal, but at least we will get this out of the way before most people have their holiday time, trying to put as positive a spin on it as I can.
My local weather on Sunday was overcast with a few brief sunny breaks, and the high was about 15 C. There have been heavy storms further inland here all weekend with considerable damage done by flooding and mudslides. Not even a hint of that here, just a few raindrops during Saturday mid-day.0 -
Tuesday, 26 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Some morning sunshine more frequent in south, then becoming overcast, rather warm with highs 14-17 C north and 17-20 C south.
TONIGHT ... Showers turning to a steady light rain from west to east, foggy on higher terrain, lows 8-10 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Showers or longer intervals of rain (10-20 mm likely), highs about 15 C.
THURSDAY ... Breezy (W 40-60 km/hr) and cooler, a few showers, lows 5-7 C and highs 12-14 C. A further 5 mm of rain likely.
FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, some showers but dry intervals, highs 13-15 C.
SATURDAY ... Rain still seems likely, but the onset appears a bit later now and this could give the eastern half of the country a dry morning at least if not some parts of the afternoon -- the rain will likely arrive on the west coast before mid-day, then it could become heavy at times by late in the day. Rather strong winds could develop (SE becoming SW'ly) and highs will be held down by the cloud and rain to about 14 or 15 C but with the later onset the east could reach 16 or 17 C.
SUNDAY ... Breezy or windy, rather cool with passing showers although some clearing later, highs near 14 C.
MONDAY ... Showers, windy and rather cool, highs near 13 C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The following week may show some improvement with higher pressure and a slack gradient, southeast winds bringing at least a weak warming trend that would likely be stronger for parts of the inland south, where highs could reach 20-22 C. Most of the above trends also apply in Britain although this first week of June warming trend could be a bit stronger there (22-24 C).
Very heavy rainfall was recorded in parts of Texas again on Monday, with more serious flooding reported. If you happen to be headed to the eastern states later this week, expect very hot and humid weather with highs into the mid 30s. Chicago will be closer to 28 C in a less extreme warm and humid air mass. It has been unusually cool (temperate) in the desert southwest region but that's about to switch over to midsummer heat later this week. ... my local weather was overcast and quite chilly in comparison with recent days at about 14 C. There was a light rain falling at times but totals were probably only about 2 mm.0 -
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Wednesday, 27 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Increasing cloud across east and south this morning, as rain gradually spreads into west and north, then becomes heavier by afternoon and covers all regions, bringing 15-20 mm of rain. Highs 14-16 C.
TONIGHT ... Rain tapering off to showers then clearing (this will happen during the evening in Atlantic coastal regions, around midnight further east). Becoming rather windy (WSW 50-70 km/hr) with lows 5-8 C.
THURSDAY ... Breezy or windy (WNW 50-70 km/hr) and cool with passing showers, more frequent mid-day and afternoon. Only 3-5 mm with this event, and highs 12-15 C.
FRIDAY ... Periods of rain during the early morning, some mid-day clearing then further showers by evening. Breezy, rather cool with lows 5-8 C and highs 13-16 C.
SATURDAY ... A dry start to the day still appears possible especially for eastern counties, then increasing cloud and strengthening winds from southeast veering southwest, rain by afternoon or evening becoming heavy overnight. Morning lows 6-9 C, afternoon highs 14-17 C. The late and overnight rainfalls will be 20-30 mm.
SUNDAY ... Morning showers with some breaks in the overcast at times but further showers or periods of rain by afternoon and evening, breezy and cool, lows 5-7 C and highs 12-15 C.
MONDAY ... Windy and cool with showers or periods of rain, 15-30 mm possible, temperatures steady 11-13 C north, 13-15 C south. Winds southwest veering to west 60-90 km/hr, risk of even higher gusts by evening or early Tuesday morning in parts of northwest as deep low pressure more typical of early spring or autumn is expected to pass north of Donegal into Scotland. However, some guidance suggests the strong winds may be confined to the south coast. It all depends on the track of this deepening low, but whatever the exact details, it will probably be a rather unpleasant and even somewhat stormy day.
TUESDAY ... Continued windy and showery with gusts to 80 km/hr possible, winds becoming northwest to north and it may be a struggle for temperatures to maintain even a steady 11-14 C, they could fall to 8-10 C in parts of the north.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... At least there is some hope of improvement with most of the guidance showing a more settled pattern by 3-5 June and temperatures possibly slightly above average reaching about 20-22 C. This change may be gradual over the middle to end of the week.
My local weather was mostly cloudy with some weak sunshine at times through layers of high cloud, but it became warmer again with highs of about 20 C.0 -
Thursday, 28 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Breezy or windy (WNW 50-70 km/hr) and cool with passing showers, more frequent mid-day and afternoon. Expect about 3-5 mm with these rather drizzly showers, and highs 12-15 C.
TONIGHT and FRIDAY ... Periods of rain during the early morning will be rather heavy at times across Munster and south Leinster with 10-15 mm possible there, just 2-5 mm further north, then some mid-day clearing followed by a few further showers by evening. Breezy (W to NW 40-60 km/hr) and rather cool with lows 5-8 C and highs 13-16 C.
SATURDAY ... A dry and partly sunny start to the day still appears likely especially for eastern counties, followed by more cloud and strengthening winds from southeast veering southwest 50-80 km/hr in exposed coastal districts by evening, rain by afternoon or evening becoming heavy overnight. Morning lows 6-9 C, afternoon highs 14-17 C. The late and overnight rainfalls will be 20-30 mm.
SUNDAY ... Morning showers with some breaks in the overcast at times but further showers or periods of rain by afternoon and evening, breezy and cool, lows 5-7 C and highs 12-15 C.
MONDAY ... Windy and cool with showers or periods of rain, 15-30 mm possible, temperatures steady 11-13 C north, 13-15 C south. There are still two scenarios offered by the two leading guidance models, from the American GFS we would see a windy day with southwest gales veering to west 60-90 km/hr, risk of even higher gusts by evening or early Tuesday morning in parts of northwest as deep low pressure more typical of early spring or autumn is shown passing to the north of Donegal into Scotland. However, the European model has a weaker although equally wet system arriving without much by way of strong winds on a track that crosses central Ireland into southern Britain. This would likely bring a steady rainfall and low cloud with some hill fog likely. Some other guidance is essentially a blend of these, so moderately windy and wet.
TUESDAY ... Continued or becoming windy and showery with gusts to 80 km/hr possible as winds become northwest to north and it may be a struggle for temperatures to maintain even a steady 11-14 C, they could fall to 8-10 C in parts of the north.
WEDNESDAY ... Somewhat warmer in south, a few showers crossing northern counties, highs about 16 C north to 20 C south.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... At least there continues to be some hope of improvement with most of the guidance showing a more settled pattern by about 4-6 June and temperatures possibly slightly above average reaching about 20-23 C. This change may be gradual over the middle to end of the week.
My local weather started out overcast and faintly warmish but the sun came out in the afternoon and pushed temperatures up towards 24 C.0 -
Friday, 29 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Rain clearing the southeast this morning, some dry intervals in a gusty west to northwest wind (40-70 km/hr), further showers with some becoming quite heavy and thundery over inland northern and central counties this afternoon. Highs between 11 and 14 C from north to south.
TONIGHT ... Some clearing, foggy over inland valleys, cool with lows about 5 to 8 C. Not as windy.
SATURDAY ... An hour or two of sunshine for some lucky folk in eastern counties but cloud will advance rapidly, winds will pick up steadily from the southeast before veering to southwest by late in the day, and rain will sweep in during the mid-day period over west Munster, reaching the east coast by about sunset. Highs 13-16 C, winds gusting to 80 km/hr by evening.
SATURDAY NIGHT into SUNDAY the rain will be heavy at times overnight and counting what falls Saturday in the west, totals will be about 20-25 mm. Gusty winds will continue although somewhat reduced in strength by mid-day Sunday, southwest 40-70 km/hr. Skies will become partly cloudy at times on Sunday with further showers developing, steadier rain possible in some parts of the north. Temperatures will be steady around 12 C north and 14 C south.
MONDAY will be windy at times, quite chilly for the first day of June, and wet, rain possibly heavy by afternoon and evening when winds may subside for a while. The battle of the models turned out to be more or less tied with some aspects of both scenarios. However, it appears likely to become very windy by Monday evening. About 30 mm of rain could fall, and winds from the south to southwest will veer westerly, increasing from about 50 km/hr to near 80 km/hr with gusts to 100 km/hr possible in exposed west coast locations. Temperatures will be steady in the range of 11 to 13 C (9 to 11 C higher parts of the north).
TUESDAY will start out very windy and showery, but slight improvement will arrive by afternoon as winds will gradually lose their gale force, with morning gusts to near 90 km/hr reduced to 50 km/hr by afternoon. Temperatures continuing steady in the range of 7 to 11 C but it could reach 13 C inland west by late afternoon.
WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY appear somewhat improved with some outbreaks of drizzle or light rain at times, other intervals dry, and temperatures back into the more normal 17-19 C range with chance of the warmest locations reaching about 20 C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK calls for one of those interesting scenarios where very warm air from the continent tries to advance towards Ireland but a trough near the Irish Sea forces that up and over cooler Atlantic air. The results could be some heavy showers or even thunderstorms, but very warm and humid air could reach some eastern counties at least, if not further west eventually. These details (for a period still eight to ten days away) will slowly come into better focus next week.
The general theme for BRITAIN will be almost the same as above although it will actually be cold enough in higher parts of Scotland for sleet or snow to fall on Monday and Tuesday. I don't think that's going to happen in any part of Ireland except maybe the very top of a few of the highest mountains.
Across most of the United States and southern Canada, temperatures have risen to rather warm levels but parts of central Canada are in a much colder arctic air mass and some snow fell earlier Thursday in Manitoba. It was sunny and very warm on the west coast and we had a high near 29 C.0 -
Saturday, 30 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Increasing cloud this morning, rain arriving in Kerry before noon and spreading across the southwest and west during the afternoon, all other regions by evening. Light winds at first, then a steady increase ahead of a rather strong front, southeasterly 40-70 km/hr by afternoon veering in Munster to southwest 50-80 km/hr. Possible squally showers or thunderstorms by late afternoon and evening. Highs 13-16 C, and by midnight about 20 mm of rain is likely in many places.
TONIGHT ... Windy with squally showers or thunderstorms, winds SW to W at 50 to 80 km/hr, risk of higher gusts in a few places, temperatures near 14 C until the front passes, then falling off to 7-9 C.
SUNDAY ... Most of the heavier showers should be clearing the east coast by morning, and there could be some dry intervals but with further passing showers or periods of light rain in a blustery and cold westerly wind sometimes returning to the 50-80 km/hr range by mid-afternoon. Highs only about 12 or 13 C.
MONDAY ... Slight changes in guidance now suggest a day somewhat similar to today, a dry if cloudy start, then rising winds and heavy rain at times, in south to southwest gales 60-90 km/hr. Morning lows 4-7 C and afternoon highs about 13 or 14 C (possibly only 10-12 C inland north). A further 10 to 20 mm of rain likely.
TUESDAY ... Continued windy and cool with further showers, some improvement mainly confined to south by late afternoon. Highs could reach about 17 C there, but still only 12-14 C north. About 5 mm of rain in some central and northern counties.
WEDNESDAY ... A mixture of cloud and sunshine with just a few isolated showers in north, highs 15-18 C.
THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, warmer, highs near 20 C.
FRIDAY to SUNDAY continue to look interesting as very warm air tries to move west from Britain with possible trough development near eastern or central Ireland providing lift for heavy showers or thunderstorms. This could be one of those patterns where Ulster and north Leinster see warmer temperatures than much of the south, but details could change closer to the time. For now, will say that 22-24 C temperatures are in the mix, whether they make much progress into Ireland or just provide the "juice" for storms, as a somewhat cooler air mass further west (15-17 C) will try to remain in place. There could also be rather gusty east to southeast winds at times, something we have seen very little in this particular year.
Longer range guidance suggests that a warm spell could settle in for several days beyond the weekend of 6-7 June but then a gradual return to rather cool and showery conditions seems possible by mid-June.
The details for BRITAIN are generally similar up to the point where very warm air might invade late next week, but it should be noted that in the immediate short term forecast, Scotland could see high elevation sleet or snow at times from Sunday to Tuesday, and very blustery conditions at lower elevations which will be the case for much of northern England and Wales also.
Very hot weather covers much of North America, 33-35 C highs in some places along the east coast, and in my own location it was sunny and about 27 or 28 C.0 -
Sunday, 31 May, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Cloudy with brief sunny intervals, passing showers that may contain hail and produce some thunder at times, with winds westerly 50-80 km/hr and temperatures very cool for the end of May, no higher than 12 or 13 C for most. About 3-5 mm rain on average.
TONIGHT ... Although mostly cloudy, fewer showers and lows 4-7 C, moderate winds from southwest will remain blustery near exposed coasts.
MONDAY ... For eastern counties, a dry if cloudy start, then rising winds and heavy rain already into western regions reaching the east coast around mid-day, with very chilly south to southwest gales 60-90 km/hr. Afternoon highs about 12 or 13 C (possibly only 9-11 C inland north). A further 15 to 25 mm of rain likely.
TUESDAY ... Continued windy and cool with further showers or periods of rain (10-15 mm) with any improvements mainly confined to south. Highs could reach about 16 C there, but still only 11-13 C north. Rain may once again become rather heavy in north-central counties.
WEDNESDAY ... A mixture of cloud and sunshine with just a few isolated showers in north, highs 15-18 C.
THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, warmer, highs near 20 C.
FRIDAY ... Showers and risk of a thunderstorm, highs near 18 C.
OUTLOOK ... Showers and considerably cooler for Saturday (14 C) but improvements should rapidly follow and the week of 8th-12th looks more seasonable for mid-June although certainly not a totally dry or hot week, just near normal conditions with highs generally 18-21 C.
For BRITAIN, the above forecast will generally apply with even colder temperatures in parts of Scotland leading to a risk of sleety mixed precipitation on some higher ground at times Monday-Tuesday, but when the disturbance on Friday moves in, very warm air (23-26 C) could flood north from France (the previous idea about southeast winds has shifted somewhat to more of a southerly) and thunderstorms could then become heavy or severe in parts of southern England by Friday evening. There remains some chance that southeast Ireland could get in on some of this activity, stay tuned.
My local weather on Saturday was sunny and warm with highs near 25 C.0 -
Monday, 1 June, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
ALERT for strong wind gusts to 100 km/hr and heavy rainfalls 20-25 mm leading to brief episodes of road flooding around late morning west to mid-afternoon east. Expect slow travel on the roads given the combination of the weather and end of the holiday weekend.
TODAY ... Heavy rain developing and moving steadily eastward, 20-25 mm will fall by this evening, some road flooding could develop. Southerly gales are likely to develop near the west and then south coasts during the late morning hours and some strong gusts will spread across the country by afternoon. Expect at least 50-80 km/hr winds but potential for some gusts to 110 km/hr in exposed locations. These strong winds will relax slightly by evening except near Donegal Bay and across north Ulster where they may continue through the night. Highs only 12-14 C, several degrees below the normal values for this first day of June.
TONIGHT ... Moderate winds continuing across most regions with strong gusts in the north (WSW 40-70 km/hr for most, 70-100 km/hr north). Rain becoming more showery or drizzly, lows about 5 to 7 C.
TUESDAY ... Continued breezy, and with potential for a second round of strong wind gusts especially in Atlantic coastal regions, with the full moon there may be rather high tidal values around Galway Bay. Outbreaks of rain with chance of a thunderstorm in some southern regions. About 10 mm of rain on average, wind gusts to 70 km/hr (possibly 90 to 100 in the west) and highs 13-15 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Less intense south-westerly winds 40-60 km/hr will continue but most of the showers will pull back to the north and improvements will set in, lows 5-7 C and highs 15-18 C.
THURSDAY ... Intervals of cloud and sunshine, warmer again with highs about 19 or 20 C. Rain by evening in Atlantic coastal counties.
FRIDAY ... Mostly cloudy, showers and risk of thunderstorms, becoming rather windy again at least in some western counties, highs near 16 C.
SATURDAY ... Breezy to windy, rather cool and showery, highs near 14 C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The following week is looking more settled now, but could be rather cool due to northeast winds from an unusually cold Irish Sea (and more generally a colder than normal North Atlantic, as sea temperatures across the entire ocean from Newfoundland to Ireland are running 2-4 C deg below normal).
The forecast for BRITAIN over this same period will be broadly similar, but when the Friday disturbance develops, there will be a higher risk of thunderstorms and some could become heavy to severe in Wales, central England and later in parts of southern England. It may also be as warm as 25 to 27 C in some parts, briefly, as a hot air mass develops over France in the warm sector of the low.
Meanwhile, a strong cold front is sliding gradually southward across the eastern half of the U.S., dropping temperatures there by as much as 15 degrees in short periods of time, with winds shifting from westerly to north-easterly. Sunday in Boston, the temperature fell from 26 C ahead of the front to about 8 C by evening in gusty winds. It was chilly all day in the Great Lakes region and will only recover slightly today. The desert southwest region has finally warmed up to above normal values after a very cool May (Phoenix had temperatures 2 C deg below their normals). Highs will reach 43 C in some places today. My local weather on Sunday was cloudy with some sun getting through the high overcast, and not as warm as previous days although pleasant enough at 20 C.0 -
Tuesday, 2 June, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
Astronomy note: Full moon occurs later today at 5:16 p.m., a few hours before the moon rises low in the southeast this evenng. Saturn can be found to the right of the moon, brighter Jupiter and Venus are visible in the western sky after sunset.
TODAY ... Mostly cloudy, intervals of light rain or drizzle becoming less frequent across the south but rather steady in the north with 3-5 mm expected, moderate westerly winds occasionally gusting to 70 km/hr. Highs will reach about 13 C north, 16 C south.
TONIGHT ... Cloud will begin to break across the south so that lows will be colder there (3-6 C) than in most of the north (7-9 C). Moderate westerly winds will continue.
WEDNESDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, highs near 17 C.
THURSDAY ... Sunny intervals, increasing cloud for west and north, light rain by late afternoon near Atlantic coasts but generally dry elsewhere, warmer daytime (lows 4-7 C, then highs 17-20 C).
FRIDAY ... Early morning showers or thunderstorms, then partly cloudy, a few more showers or isolated thunderstorms possible, morning lows 8-10 C and afternoon highs 15-18 C.
SATURDAY ... Breezy to windy, occasional showers, highs near 14 C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Most guidance is presenting an improving pattern with higher pressure slowly building to the north, but it may be rather cool at first until wind directions turn more to the southeast during the week. However, I am a bit hesitant to make any sweeping guarantees of a dry spell since some guidance appears to keep an unsettled theme in play, perhaps because of the background uncertainty raised by the widespread colder than normal sea surface temperatures. It's not the leading models with this element of doubt, so the odds are about 3 to 1 in favour of a dry spell developing. If it does, highs should start in the mid-teens and work up towards 21 or 22 C at least away from the cooler east and south coasts. The inland west and even the Atlantic coast would be most likely to see the higher values.
See yesterday's discussion for thoughts on Britain and North America, these remain valid. My local weather on Monday was overcast with a bit of light rain and a cooler southeast wind than we've felt recently, highs were about 17 C.0 -
Wednesday, 3 June, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Cloudy with some sunny intervals, also a few light showers although amounts quite small (1-3 mm). Highs near 14 C north, 17 C south.
TONIGHT ... Clear intervals, fog patches, lows 4-7 C.
THURSDAY ... Sunny intervals for Leinster and east Ulster, increasing cloud further west and northwest, with outbreaks of light rain by late afternoon near Atlantic coasts spreading into most of Connacht, 3-5 mm possible there, but generally dry elsewhere, and warmer with highs 17-20 C.
FRIDAY ... Early morning showers or thunderstorms, then partly cloudy, a few more showers or isolated thunderstorms possible, morning lows 8-10 C and afternoon highs 15-18 C. Becoming quite breezy or windy in Connacht and west Munster, parts of west Ulster, winds southwest 50-70 km/hr.
SATURDAY ... Breezy to windy, occasional showers, highs near 14 C.
SUNDAY ... Cloudy with some sunny intervals, just a few isolated showers and highs near 16 C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... At this point most of the guidance shows a dry spell next week, temperatures would begin rather cool in a light northeast flow, but would probably rise gradually through the week to reach 19-22 C by end of the week at least away from the east coast which is likely to remain closer to the 14-17 C range.
For BRITAIN, similar forecast but a higher risk of thunderstorms on Friday with some areas reaching 22-25 C.
Across parts of North America, some outbreaks of severe storms, temperatures mostly close to normal values, and west coast drying out after Tuesday brought rain, heavy at times inland. My local weather was more drizzly but cool with highs of about 16 C.1 -
Thursday, 4 June, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Cloudy with outbreaks of light rain mainly across northern and western counties. Amounts will be around 3-5 mm. The south and east are more likely to remain dry with just trace amounts of rain possible, and there could be brief sunny intervals. Highs will range from 13-15 C in the west and north, to 16-18 C in the south and east.
TONIGHT ... Showers and risk of a brief thunderstorm, moderate south to southwest winds developing, lows 11-13 C east, 9-11 C west. Rainfall about 5 to 10 mm.
FRIDAY ... Breezy, intervals of cloud and sunshine, passing showers mostly confined to north and west, some risk of hail or thunder there, but it could become mostly sunny in some parts of the south and east. Winds southwest at about 40-60 km/hr. Highs 14-17 C. (Risk of more severe thunderstorms and highs 21-24 C in parts of southern Britain)
SATURDAY ... Breezy to windy, cooler, passing showers, some with hail and thunder. Rainfall amounts generally 2-5 mm. Morning lows 5-8 C and afternoon highs 13-15 C.
SUNDAY ... Intervals of cloud and sunshine, rather cool in northerly breezes, isolated showers mostly in Connacht. Lows 3-7 C and highs 13-16 C.
NEXT WEEK looks dry and there should be some sunshine each day, probably longer intervals in west as the northeast breezes may bring in considerable cloud from the Irish Sea (and leftover from the North Sea). The west will also be warmer as a result, with highs slowly climbing towards 21 C. The east will stay in the mid-teens. Towards the end of the week, as winds become more southeasterly, some shower or even thunderstorm activity could spread into a few parts of Munster but it appears more likely to stay dry in other regions.
My local weather on Wednesday was overcast but with some sun getting through and feeling warm and humid at about 21 C.0 -
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Friday, 5 June, 2015
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Rain clearing eastward this morning, widespread sunny intervals followed by partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, potentially heavy in some parts of Connacht. Winds increasing to southwest 50-70 km/hr, veering more to westerly by evening. Highs near 18 C in south and east, 15 C in north and west.
TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy, rather cold with a few showers in north and west, lows about 5-7 C.
SATURDAY ... Cloudy with sunny intervals, passing showers, one or two heavy with hail and thunder, winds westerly 50-70 km/hr, highs 12-15 C.
SUNDAY ... Intervals of cloud and sunshine, isolated showers mostly near northern coasts, morning lows 3-5 C and afternoon highs 13-16 C in moderate northerly breezes.
MONDAY-TUESDAY should be largely dry, more cloud than sun for parts of Ulster and north Leinster, about an equal mix elsewhere, and just some very patchy drizzle or isolated showers in the flow from the Atlantic and Irish Sea in north to northeast winds reaching 30-50 km/hr at times. Lows very chilly for time of year (2-5 C) and highs about 14-17 C, warmest in the inland southwest.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY are likely to become slightly warmer although still rather cool at night, and there may be somewhat more sunshine for many, as winds become more light and variable in a weaker northeast flow. Highs will be about 15 C east to 19 C west. There could be an interval of showers around Thursday afternoon or evening with a weak front.
FURTHER OUTLOOK calls for a somewhat cooler air mass to build in from the west with moderate northwest to north winds returning, highs may be held down to around 14 C and there could be brief showers near northern and western coasts. However, rainfall amounts in many areas from Sunday 7th onward may be quite small and so it will begin to turn into a dry spell although not either a drought or heat wave in the near term to middle range at least.
Meanwhile, southeast England is seeing some rather active thunderstorms this morning, another round may develop this afternoon and highs there could reach 23 C. Otherwise, Britain will be seeing generally similar weather conditions to the above scenario, especially away from the North Sea which is going to produce a lot of low cloud and drizzle as well as very chilly temperatures next week in this north to northeast wind flow.
My local weather on Thursday turned sunny by afternoon and it was warm at about 23 C. We are expecting a scorching weekend with highs close to 30 degrees on the coast and 35 inland.0
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