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Racing Post Money Printing Thread - Mod note post 1572
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Mystic Collier predicts a big run from Astrodonna
Astrodonna
2.30 Lingfield
1pt win 12-1 (general)
Astrodonna represents the in-form Mark Tompkins stable, has solid Polytrack form - first and third on her only two runs on the surface - and she was in top form when we last saw her in mid-summer, writes Mel Collier.
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She posted career best form to win a Yarmouth handicap by four lengths in August and you can easily forgive a subsequent unplaced run at Epsom as she was held up last and kept in by a combination of the camber and a horseon her right. When she extricated herself she finished well.
I like the fact she has been off the track for 55 days - she showed she could go well fresh when second to Alsace Lorraine (currently rated in the 90's) on her seasonal debut - and that she's owned by Mystic Meg who would no doubt love to take some of her employers money. The race is sponsored by News International.
Of the four shorter priced horses in the market, Napa Star has been a beaten favourite on all four starts since his last win, and is definitely not the heartiest of battlers, and we don't know how El Ameen and Murrin are going to react to first time headgear, or how Hawaana will react to a change of stable.
Astrodonna
Lingfield - 2:30
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Ottoman should have the beating of opposition
Ottoman Empire
3.40 Nottingham
1pt win at 5-1 generally
This well-bred and expensive son of Pivotal had an uninspiring start to his career on fast ground in the spring when he was not showing his true colours because of underfoot conditions. But the switch to sand bought about serious improvement and he’s won two and finished second in three runs on the artificial stuff, writes Mel Collier.
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Hesplit Sir Michael Stoute’s Highland Glen (a subsequent class 2 handicap winner) and Tinaar in what looks a red hot handicap last time, and trainer Dave Lanigan reckons he will "be better on grass" when he gets plenty of give underfoot.
There’s surely improvement to come, and just a bare reading of his last-time-out form gives him the beating on most of these.
Ottoman Empire
Nottingham - 3:40
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Tough La Capriosa fancied to go close
La Capriosa
5.10 Nottingham
1pt each-way at 12-1 generally
The phrase ‘tough’ and ‘as old boots’ spring to mind when considering La Capriosa. She had a spell at Southwell last winter, slogging round in eight consecutive races, recording form figures of 22135213. In fact, she’s made the first three 19 times in a 28-race career (68% of the time) and she only needs to make the first four (assuming 16 or more stand their ground) for each-way punters to make a little profit today, writes Mel Collier.
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A soft-ground Doncaster win in August underlined the fact that today’s conditions will suit. She’sa bigger price than her form suggests she should be because the market assumes high numbers will dominate.
They might not. In the last race at the most recent Nottingham meeting run on soft ground, the advantage seemed to be with those coming up the middle. Even if there does prove to be an advantageous strip on the stands rail, she has the early speed to get across.
La Capriosa
Nottingham - 5:10
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This discussion has been closed.
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