Vicious Storm likely this Saturday/Sunday

ian_m

Guys where are you getting the buoy readings from..?

Mothman

ian_m wrote: »

Guys where are you getting the buoy readings from..?

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/marine/observations/index.html
http://www.met.ie/latest/buoy.asp

homah_7ft

ian_m wrote: »

Guys where are you getting the buoy readings from..?

http://seaboard.ndbc.noaa.gov/rmd.shtml

mickger

rc28 wrote: »

From NetWeather;
"Something sure has happened the past few hours.

The low moving eastwards over NI has merged with the biggie low (or vice-versa) and taken the steam out of it.

The SW quadrant still looks potent on the analysis chart.

The fact the low has moved more than 50-100 miles off track (and nobody saw that coming - esp so off track) puts a whole new meaning on the strongest winds.

Current buoy data would suggest this storm has fallen apart rapidly or recharging. I think the first.

Wind shear has taken grip..

Gonna be stormy still in certain areas, but not as bad as first progged. Indeed, until 4pm today, i thought this system was a dead cert for serious damage - alas, by luck, perhaps, shear and amalgamation of the low nearby Kintyre Penninsula have thwarted its ferocity."

The arse has fallen out of it so. Had a feeling this was going to happen. At least nobody will get hurt, at the end of the day thats the most important thing.

homah_7ft

M6 now reading 15.7 m waveheight!

Mothman

And K3 18.3m :eek:

maquiladora

homah_7ft wrote: »

M6 now reading 15.7 m waveheight!

K3 now reporting wave heights of 60ft.
Does anyone know if thats a record for that buoy?

Sierra Oscar

mickger wrote: »

The arse has fallen out of it so. Had a feeling this was going to happen. At least nobody will get hurt, at the end of the day thats the most important thing.

I would not write this storm off until it hits the shore tbh. We really will not know until after midnight...

Trogdor

mickger wrote: »

The arse has fallen out of it so. Had a feeling this was going to happen. At least nobody will get hurt, at the end of the day thats the most important thing.

Also taken from NW
"It's doing exactly as was forecast all along!!!"
Some tension rising:p

homah_7ft

maquiladora wrote: »

K3 now reporting wave heights of 60ft.
Does anyone know if thats a record for that buoy?

I was wondering that myself. Here is the plot for M6. I wonder where that next data point is going to be!

maquiladora

TORRO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 2007/014

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH has been issued at 2145GMT on Saturday 8th December 2007

THREATS Convectively-enhanced wind gusts 60-80 knots, cloud-ground lighting, hail, isolated tornadoes.

Valid from/until: 2145 - 1800GMT on Saturday 8th/Sunday 9th December 2007, for the following regions of the United Kingdom & Eire:

Parts of (see map)

SW England
Cent S England
SE England
Midlands
Central and southern Wales
Channel Islands
Central/southern parts of Eire


http://www.torro.org.uk/torro/forecast/index.php

maquiladora

The scary thing is that the waves being recorded here are just the ones being hit by this buoy, much larger waves could be around that'll we'll never know about...but at least it gives a good idea of just how strong the storm is.

sunset

Interesting M6 Buoy wind speed data for 9pm .......2 gust 72 ! A misprint I assume.

jd

sunset wrote: »

Interesting M6 Buoy wind speed data for 9pm .......2 gust 72 ! A misprint I assume.

It is probably lying on its side.

maquiladora

Wave heights seem to have peaked for K3, back down to 54.5ft now.

Damomanye

just had a nasy few gusts here. getting pounded by blustery rain now too.

mike65

Seriously, there is NOTHING happening down here, its quiet and clear. I feel I'm missing out.

Mike.

sunset

Another oddity... I am watching Cork Airport wind data and see that for 10pm Met Eireann gave the direction as S but NOAA as WSW. That's quite a margin of error.

mickger

mike65 wrote: »

Seriously, there is NOTHING happening down here, its quiet and clear. I feel I'm missing out.

Mike.

Yeah i'm with you mike. Nothing happening in the South East at all

Mothman

M6 up slightly to 16.1M

homah_7ft

Does this mean we should expect massive waves on the shore later?

Sir Digby Chicken Caesar

mike65 wrote: »

Seriously, there is NOTHING happening down here, its quiet and clear. I feel I'm missing out.

Mike.

me too, up in Dublin. I was hoping for anarchy

maquiladora

We'll get a better idea when we see what type of waves the buoys closer to land report over the next couple of hours.

snaps

extremely stormy here in Galway in the last 20 minutes. just had a huge gust that shook the fire guard and brought quite a few people out of their houses.

rc28

Mordeth wrote: »

me too, up in Dublin. I was hoping for anarchy

Okay, first of all you're in Dublin which isn't forecast to get ANYTHING from this tonight. Waterford should get windier after midnight.

Supercell

Mordeth wrote: »

me too, up in Dublin. I was hoping for anarchy

Dublin is pretty well sheltered from most winds and rain.
Its no accident that the driest part of Ireland is also the primary city.

billy the squid

The serious rain is now showing up on the radar. Belmullet at 2200 hrs has a gust of 53 knots (98 kmph)

Paddy.1

Looks like winds are going to start picking up in the next couple of hours down south:

http://www.met.ie/weathermaps/3hr-rain.jpg

Rough night down there looks like!!

kkontour

currently raining in sligo but little or no wind to speak of.

rc28

A more organised band of rain is making it's way onto the west coast.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/radar/index.html