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Heavy rain with embedded thunderstorms & flash flood risk - South, East - Aug 1-3

  • 01-08-2014 9:26am
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 23,348 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Folks, some intense pulses of rain are possible in the south this evening extending to Leinster over night. Anything up to 80mm between tonight and Sunday morning (edit). Smaller chance it could miss us in to the Irish sea but Met Eireann have already issued a warning and some of the higher resolution models indicate the possibility of significant amounts of rain in torrential pulses. Some embedded thunderstorms are also likely.

    On Saturday morning/early afternoon the risk extends northwards and covers Ulster and North Connaught.

    More anon.


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Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 14,237 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    Folks, some intense pulses of rain are possible in the south this evening extending to Leinster over night. Anything up to 80mm is possible. Smaller chance it could miss us in to the Irish sea but Met Eireann have already issued a warning and some of the higher resolution models indicate the possibility of significant amounts of rain in torrential pulses. Some embedded thunderstorms are also likely.

    More anon.

    :eek::eek: Are you serious??


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,348 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    leahyl wrote: »
    :eek::eek: Are you serious??

    Sorry I meant 8 mm:P


    Nah over an extended period of time. I wouldn't expect that tonight but by tomorrow afternoon/evening some areas could get there. ME going for 40 - 70 mm. Depends on the rain rate in the early hours of tomorrow morning. Something to watch.

    Personally I wouldn't see it as an "orange" warning but that's what Met Eireann have put out. Lets run with it.


  • Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 17,129 Mod ✭✭✭✭cherryghost


    It's hitting SE and then swirling in the area before heading north, so it may not be exceptionally heavy but it looks to be consistent.


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,691 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Yeah I think the slow moving nature of this will be the key aspect. On the other hand the ground must be well drained at the moment so perhaps surface flooding in natural basins and blocked shores will be the worst of it.


  • Registered Users Posts: 33,721 ✭✭✭✭RobertKK


    Land is very dry in the south east, where I live it was back around the 18th of July we got any real rain when less than 5mm fell and before that it was the 7th July when about 4mm fell.

    Last night we had another 4mm..
    Ground can take a lot of rain but ground is hard still so run off could be a problem.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 688 ✭✭✭Aerohead


    I don't know how we have this heavy rain in the West because according to Met E this morning we were in for a fine day with the odd shower which is still on their website, this has moved North East instead of East in my books, no expert here anyone comment


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,849 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    Hmmm I see they have now changed their forecast to heavy rain in the West etc. wonder why :D


  • Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 17,129 Mod ✭✭✭✭cherryghost


    Storm 10 wrote: »
    Hmmm I see they have now changed their forecast to heavy rain in the West etc. wonder why :D

    Mets update from 10 minutes ago states otherwise


  • Registered Users Posts: 19,473 ✭✭✭✭Super-Rush


    Carlow coco just sent a text out to check Met Eireann's warning.


  • Registered Users Posts: 165 ✭✭hairybelly


    Power just cut here. Not stormy or evening looking like its going to be. Wonder if its related.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 427 ✭✭illumin


    hairybelly wrote: »
    Power just cut here. Not stormy or evening looking like its going to be. Wonder if its related.

    Where is "here"?


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,055 ✭✭✭Red Nissan


    Nice little shower now.
    21mm/hr rate and 2.4mm in just a few minutes, so it was nice, but brief.


  • Registered Users Posts: 635 ✭✭✭Video


    Some heavy rain here for the past 30 minutes


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,745 ✭✭✭whitebriar


    Hmmmmm...latest bbc news 24 forecast graphics has most of the rain out in the Irish sea..


  • Registered Users Posts: 635 ✭✭✭Video


    Looks like the warning has disappeared from met website, still the southeast will probably get some action


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,089 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Video wrote: »
    Looks like the warning has disappeared from met website, still the southeast will probably get some action

    update


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,595 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    pad199207 wrote: »
    update

    Yeah...it's back again. Orange warning for heavy rain.


  • Registered Users Posts: 15,286 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    Strange , http://www.meteoalarm.eu/en_UK/0/0/IE-Ireland.html has no warnings currently for Leinster, Level 2 here seems a little over egged.

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 688 ✭✭✭Aerohead


    This rain is moving more North than the original forecast, is this the rain ME has the warnings for


  • Registered Users Posts: 738 ✭✭✭AndyP


    Supercell wrote: »
    Strange , http://www.meteoalarm.eu/en_UK/0/0/IE-Ireland.html has no warnings currently for Leinster, Level 2 here seems a little over egged.
    Meteoalarm has an orange warning for us tomorrow.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 18,048 ✭✭✭✭RobbingBandit


    What did sky news forecast say besides that the russians are behind this bad weather?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,745 ✭✭✭whitebriar


    Aerohead wrote: »
    This rain is moving more North than the original forecast, is this the rain ME has the warnings for
    pulses.
    An eastern flank later will take the same trajectory but the question is how Far East or west it will be.
    Siobhan Ryans guess earlier was it will be relentless but where is the question.Will it hug the east coast? Will it stay out to sea? Will it move more inland?
    Glasnevin expect it to be in over Leinster and eventually Ulster all day.
    The UK MO don't or at least reckon in their words that there's some question if it might reach NI.
    Their graphics had on and off lightish rain in the East but certainly nothing dramatic.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,988 ✭✭✭zetecescort


    met eireann crying wolf again over abit of rain. this is Ireland, we're well used to it


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,746 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    I wouldn't ignore this one. Slow moving system literally parked over East Munster and Leinster and later Ulster, heavy persistent rain. To clear Northwards as Sunday goes on.

    Nows your chance to head to the SW for some better weather before it's too late, :)


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,473 ✭✭✭Jpmarn


    When describing the weather in your area please mention your approximate location and county. The location under username does not appear under mobile versions of this website. Sorry mods if a bit off topic as I try to remind fellow posters.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,466 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    I see now Waterford included in the Met warning. I think 40 to 70mm is overstating amounts to some extent. I will take a punt at 15 to 20mm at my station for the 24hr period from midnight.

    www.waterfordcityweather.com


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 40,061 ✭✭✭✭Harry Palmr


    and the first of the heavy rain has just arrived.


  • Registered Users Posts: 128 ✭✭March11


    Heavy rain here with the last hour. Halfway between Youghal and Dungarvan.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,217 ✭✭✭dexter647


    A lot of rain for leinster over the next 24hrs which my lawn welcomes..


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 40,061 ✭✭✭✭Harry Palmr


    My lawns ran away in shock! :pac:


This discussion has been closed.
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