Although there those seem to be a downgrade in the main models today it is still in FI so its still all to play for. Here is some shots from this morning's ECM:
Joe Bastardi seems to think were in for it:
PREPARATION FOR RENEWAL OF EXTREME COLD FROM FRANCE TO SCANDINAVIA AND WEST THROUGH THE UK SHOULD BE MADE.
I am hopeful (prayerful) that the coming cold wave that will follow what thaw there is in the northwest will have the populace prepared. While it is true I have had a little fun with those that don't see eye-to-eye with me on the issue of AGW, the coming cold, in the wake of the stress that has already been put on the populace of the northwest part of Europe, is nothing to joke about.
The current cold will shift southeast for a while, before the re-establishment of the cold pool back where it was in the past two weeks. This will allow people to have a few days of milder weather in the U.K. and Ireland. Germany is liable to take the brunt of the whole thing, for while there are a few days of warming in the northwest, the cold shifting southeast centers over them, and when it reloads a bit farther west, it is over them.
While I realize it's open for debate, the patterns that are developing are part of what I described would start to happen a few years ago when the combination of oceanic, solar and even seismic cycles (the last one being the biggest wild card) began to take effect. The coming years will tell who is right and who is wrong. The true shame here, though, is that people were brainwashed into thinking such things could not happen anymore, and it's almost dastardly that the ones that did the brainwashing are now claiming it's because they were right (we go from saying it won't occur because of something, to it is occurring because of what was supposed to prevent it from occurring). In any case, it is my sincere hope that folks in the targeted area do not take this lightly. If I am overdone in some places, all the better. There will be a price to pay in hardship for this, and in studying the whole pattern that is in front of western and northern Europe for the next 15 days (the shot of cold into the south and east comes and goes, but when it comes anew after the New Year, it may remain), the bitter pill to swallow for not being prepared for such things is as nasty as the cold itself.
Ciao for now. ***
Even with the downgrade in the models, it is still a spell which could turn out to be prolonged and severe. The best place to get info on this is to keep checking in on M.T Cranium's daily forecasts and to check here for updates from some of our other regular experts.
If it looks like where really going to get hit hard it might be an idea to use the thaw time to stock up.