Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie
Hi all! We have been experiencing an issue on site where threads have been missing the latest postings. The platform host Vanilla are working on this issue. A workaround that has been used by some is to navigate back from 1 to 10+ pages to re-sync the thread and this will then show the latest posts. Thanks, Mike.
Hi there,
There is an issue with role permissions that is being worked on at the moment.
If you are having trouble with access or permissions on regional forums please post here to get access: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058365403/you-do-not-have-permission-for-that#latest

Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

1…89111314…77

Comments

  • #502
    ssaye2
    Registered Users Posts: 4,632 ✭✭✭ssaye2


    matthew8 wrote: »
    Ospreys team isn't that weak imo but I'd still be backing Castres.

    Down 6/7 starters pretty weak for HEC away to Castres in fairness


  • #503
    sydthebeat
    Subscribers Posts: 41,837 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    Deleted User wrote: »
    Castres -9 @10/11
    http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/heineken-cup/castres-v-ospreys/handicaps

    won't last

    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=87852299&postcount=8006

    gone to -10 now... i wouldnt be surprised if they ended up -14


  • #504
    Gregory Poor Cobble
    Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ Gregory Poor Cobble


    sydthebeat wrote: »
    gone to -10 now... i wouldnt be surprised if they ended up -14

    Reckon -13/-14 probably a fair price alright.

    Ospreys probably 7/8 points off on a fair game, the second string certainly 5 points worse.


  • #505
    Gracelessly Tom
    Registered Users Posts: 1,053 ✭✭✭Gracelessly Tom


    Was bored at lunch so went into PP and did the following Hail Mary accum.......

    Castres - 10
    Glasgow -4
    Clermont -20
    Exeter +8
    Saracens -18
    Leinster +2
    Ulster -22
    Gloucester +1
    Leicester -12

    All 10/11 so it pays around 336/1.

    A man can dream.......:)


  • #506
    sydthebeat
    Subscribers Posts: 41,837 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    Leinster @ 10/11
    Handicap Betting(+2.0)

    Toulouse @ 1/200

    Leicester @ 1/10

    Ulster @ 1/100

    Saracens @ 1/25

    Clermont Auvergne @ 1/80

    Castres @ 10/11
    Handicap Betting(-10.0)


    basically two handicaps with a few bankers (i hope)
    pays about 3.5 / 1


  • #507
    P.Walnuts
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,772 ✭✭✭P.Walnuts


    sydthebeat wrote: »
    Leinster @ 10/11
    Handicap Betting(+2.0)

    Toulouse @ 1/200

    Leicester @ 1/10

    Ulster @ 1/100

    Saracens @ 1/25

    Clermont Auvergne @ 1/80

    Castres @ 10/11
    Handicap Betting(-10.0)


    basically two handicaps with a few bankers (i hope)
    pays about 3.5 / 1

    Leinster, Castres and Leicster by themselves bring it to 3.01/1......Ulster, Clermont and Saracens are all risk and no value :p


  • #508
    sydthebeat
    Subscribers Posts: 41,837 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    P.Walnuts wrote: »
    Leinster, Castres and Leicster by themselves bring it to 3.01/1......Ulster, Clermont and Saracens are all risk and no value :p



    well the way im lookng at it is, hopefully, the only banana skin here is the Leinster bet.


  • #509
    matthew8
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    I don't think the Ospreys bet is as clear cut as made out to be. Castres are without Tales, Martial and Forestier.

    Glasgow have serious potential tomorrow. Cardiff pack has serious imbalance without Warburton. The backline looks fine but I worry about their forwards. Might back them -5.


  • #510
    wp_rathead
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,071 ✭✭✭✭wp_rathead


    Sat 24/08/13 TO1 Stade Toulousain 40 - 3 Bayonne (37 win)
    Wed 04/09/13 TO1 Stade Toulousain 30 - 6 Racing Métro 92 (24 win)
    Sat 14/09/13 TO1 Stade Toulousain 31 - 7 Biarritz (24 win)
    Sat 21/09/13 TO1 Stade Toulousain 26 - 9 Castres Olympique (17 win)
    Sat 05/10/13 TO1 Stade Toulousain 28 - 10 Stade Français (18 win)
    Fri 11/10/13 ERC Stade Toulousain 38 - 5 Zebre (33 win)
    Sat 26/10/13 TO1 Stade Toulousain 13 - 12 Toulon (1 win)
    Sat 23/11/13 TO1 Stade Toulousain 14 - 3 US Oyonnax Rugby (11 win)

    The Connacht +25 handicap looks about right, gonna wait till the Alt Handicaps are up and try get Connacht at +32 in an accy with few more teams..


  • Advertisement
  • #511
    matthew8
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    Clermont -20, Saracens -18, Leicester -12, Edinburgh -1 and Exeter +8 look good to me but I'll have to wait to see the teams.

    Thought about it a bit more and Glasgow -5 is just about right. Might place a bet on Castres -10.5 if I can get it at evens but I have definite reservations about them putting up a big score in the Heineken Cup. Ospreys still have Biggar, AWJ, Ryan Jones and Tipuric so I don't think the team will just roll over.


  • #512
    The Pheasant2
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,699 ✭✭✭The Pheasant2


    I'm waiting until they put up the bets for alternative handicap


  • #513
    Buer
    Registered Users Posts: 24,258 ✭✭✭✭Buer


    matthew8 wrote: »
    I don't think the Ospreys bet is as clear cut as made out to be. Castres are without Tales, Martial and Forestier.

    I'd expect Castres to win but I wouldn't care to touch it beyond that. Ospreys have several injuries and the guys that are stepping in are going to be well up for it.

    Castres are not a free flowing and try scoring side. If Ospreys can hang onto the ball, they can frustrate. That's still a good pack they've out.


  • #514
    Gregory Poor Cobble
    Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ Gregory Poor Cobble


    Don't think that the Castres HC bet is a lock by any stretch of the imagination.

    However, getting in early and getting 'free' points (i.e getting 10/11 on Castres -9 when if you wait 36 hours you can only get 10/11 on Castres -12) will make you money in the long run.


  • #515
    The Pheasant2
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,699 ✭✭✭The Pheasant2


    Jaysus, PP are taking their sweet time putting up the other bets for the matches...how long do they usually take?


  • #516
    Buer
    Registered Users Posts: 24,258 ✭✭✭✭Buer


    The Pheasant2 wrote: »
    Jaysus, PP are taking their sweet time putting up the other bets for the matches...how long do they usually take?

    Expect they'll hold off until the line ups are out.


  • Advertisement
  • #517
    matthew8
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    Quins +5 evens or 2/1 to win could be a decent bet. Metro haven't exactly hammered teams at home this year and are without Sexton. Harlequins are a good away team and probably too well drilled to take a thrashing anyway. Metro team sheet is obviously still very good which is the only off putting part. Perhaps the most encouraging thing is Harlequins' 7 point loss away to Clermont.


  • #518
    The Pheasant2
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,699 ✭✭✭The Pheasant2


    Gracelessly Tom wrote: »
    Was bored at lunch so went into PP and did the following Hail Mary accum.......

    Castres - 10
    Glasgow -4
    Clermont -20
    Exeter +8
    Saracens -18
    Leinster +2
    Ulster -22
    Gloucester +1
    Leicester -12

    All 10/11 so it pays around 336/1.

    A man can dream.......:)

    Haha I just made this bet although some of the handicaps are a point or two more difficult. I also opted for Toulon on the spread over Exeter


  • #519
    No, you're a...
    Registered Users Posts: 136 ✭✭No, you're a...


    Old Balance: 39.80 unit

    - 1 unit Castres (-9.0) @ 1.90
    - 1 unit Glasgow Warriors (-5.0) @ 2.00
    - 1 unit accumulator
    Munster @ 1.08
    Leinster @ 2.20
    Toulon @ 1.33
    Castres @ 1.16
    Glasgow Warriors @ 1.50

    New Balance: 36.80

    Probably more to come over the weekend


  • #520
    thomond2006
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    1.5 units Castres -8
    2 units Castres -9 (put on after team announcements)

    Full list later!


  • #521
    Ugo Monye spacecraft experience
    Closed Accounts Posts: 6,221 ✭✭✭Ugo Monye spacecraft experience


    cardiff +6 and Castre -11


  • Advertisement
  • #522
    [Jackass]
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,193 ✭✭✭[Jackass]


    former legend wrote: »
    smooth-jimmy-apollo2.jpg

    Just so long as that Ospreys team is accurate...

    I'd go the other way, I'd take Ospreys at +11, even with the teams named.


  • #523
    sydthebeat
    Subscribers Posts: 41,837 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    [Jackass] wrote: »
    I'd go the other way, I'd take Ospreys at +11, even with the teams named.

    Well of kocketts kicking continues how it's stated, it Will be very close.

    0 for 2 so far for simple kicks


  • #524
    thomond2006
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Old Balance: 36.90 units

    - 2 units (10/11) Castres -9 (lost)
    - 1.5 units (10/11) Castres -8 (lost)
    - 1.5 units (10/11) Racing Metro -5
    - 1 unit (10/11) Zebre +18
    - 1 unit (evens) Connacht +25
    - 1 unit (10/11) Leinster +2
    - .5 units (10/11) Montpellier +12

    New Balance: 28.40 units


  • #525
    sydthebeat
    Subscribers Posts: 41,837 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    ah well....

    im glad i left it small this weekend


  • #526
    wp_rathead
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,071 ✭✭✭✭wp_rathead


    Two €1 Accums done for interest: no research done

    47/1
    Connacht (+34.0) @ 4/11
    Edinburgh (+9.0) @ 2/9
    Munster to win by 1 - 12 points @ 11/8
    Racing Metro to win by 1 - 12 points @ 7/5
    Toulon to win by 1 - 12 points @ 11/8
    Leinster (+11.0) @ 2/9
    Scarlets (+27.0) @ 1/2
    Zebre (+35.0) @ 1/6

    44/1
    Grenoble by 1-10 @ 2/1
    Ulster to win by 13 or more points @ 3/10
    Saracens to win by 13 or more points @ 3/10
    Clermont Auvergne to win by 13 or more points @ 1/4
    Racing Metro by 1-10 @ 17/10
    Toulon by 1-10 @ 13/8


  • #527
    Buer
    Registered Users Posts: 24,258 ✭✭✭✭Buer


    Exeter +7 and Racing scratch double. 5 units.


  • #528
    matthew8
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    Exeter +7.5 1.92, Harlequins +4.5 2.08 and Sarries, Clermont, Munster, Toulouse and Ulster to win 1.51.


  • #529
    lostsoul21
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39 ✭lostsoul21


    Waiting on Quins plus 5 ,leinster plus 7 and ulster minus 21 for a sixfold


  • #530
    The Pheasant2
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,699 ✭✭✭The Pheasant2


    **** sake had a tenner down on a 15.5/1 accum, 11 come through and then ****ing Connaught decide to win in Toulouse of all places...****!


  • #531
    Exile22
    Registered Users Posts: 21 ✭Exile22


    The Pheasant2 wrote: »
    **** sake had a tenner down on a 15.5/1 accum, 11 come through and then ****ing Connaught decide to win in Toulouse of all places...****!

    Made a similar bet. Am happy and sad all at once.


  • Advertisement
  • #532
    P.Walnuts
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,772 ✭✭✭P.Walnuts


    What price were Toulouse?


  • #533
    Judgement Day
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    Happy days, second week in a row. Was going to have a punt on Toulouse to get more than 17.5 in the first half but after the Munster game decided to stay in the pub instead. :D

    Weekend+7th+and+8th+December.PNG


  • #534
    duckysauce
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,930 ✭✭✭duckysauce


    P.Walnuts wrote: »
    What price were Toulouse?

    -26/27

    connacht 20/1


  • #535
    P.Walnuts
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,772 ✭✭✭P.Walnuts


    duckysauce wrote: »
    -26/27

    connacht 20/1

    Their straight price?


  • #536
    wp_rathead
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,071 ✭✭✭✭wp_rathead


    P.Walnuts wrote: »
    What price were Toulouse?

    1/200
    :P


  • #537
    P.Walnuts
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,772 ✭✭✭P.Walnuts


    wprathead wrote: »
    1/200
    :P

    Ha!

    Oh dear, to be honest if you put that in a accumulator you deserve to lose!


  • #538
    thomond2006
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    thomond2006 wrote: »
    Old Balance: 36.90 units

    - 2 units (10/11) Castres -9 (lost) :(
    - 1.5 units (10/11) Castres -8 (lost) :(
    - 1.5 units (10/11) Racing Metro -5 :(
    - 1 unit (10/11) Zebre +18 :(
    - 1 unit (evens) Connacht +25 :D
    - 1 unit (10/11) Leinster +2 :D
    - .5 units (10/11) Montpellier +12 :D

    New Balance: 28.40 units

    New Balance: 33.26 units


  • #539
    No, you're a...
    Registered Users Posts: 136 ✭✭No, you're a...


    No, you're a... wrote: »
    Old Balance: 39.80 unit

    - 1 unit Castres (-9.0) @ 1.90 :(
    - 1 unit Glasgow Warriors (-5.0) @ 2.00 :(
    - 1 unit accumulator :(
    Munster @ 1.08 :)
    Leinster @ 2.20 :)
    Toulon @ 1.33 :)
    Castres @ 1.16 :)
    Glasgow Warriors @ 1.50 :mad:

    New Balance: 36.80

    Probably more to come over the weekend

    New Balance: 36.80


  • #540
    thomond2006
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Initial spreads for the weekend:

    Ulster -10
    Toulon -21
    Perpignan -2
    Clermont -7
    Leinster -10
    Toulouse -10
    Gloucester -13

    I like the look of Ulster, Leinster and Gloucester. 21 points is a couple of points too many for Toulon.


  • Advertisement
  • #541
    Judgement Day
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    Can lightning strike twice? Connacht to win at 4/1 or the draw at 25/1 look tempting.


  • #542
    wowy
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 709 ✭✭✭wowy


    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=87929616&postcount=3604
    former legend wrote: »
    OK, it's official, Perpignan are throwing the game.

    http://www.rugbyrama.fr/rugby/coupe-d-europe/2013-2014/usap-hook-charteris-et-duvenage-en-conges-examens-pour-lopez_sto4041483/story.shtml

    "Perpignan have announced that James Hook, Luke Charteris and Dewaldt Duvenage are on leave this week."

    Like, they're in the middle of an injury and suspension crisis and they send three of their key guys off on holidays? I know they have Top 14 games against Stade and Toulon coming up but still...

    Munster +2 looks nice


  • #543
    Judgement Day
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    Judgement Day wrote: »
    Can lightning strike twice? Connacht to win at 4/1 or the draw at 25/1 look tempting.

    I couldn't resist and I've stuck half my weeks gambling budget on a Connacht win and a couple of Euros on the unlikely draw. :D


  • #544
    Gracelessly Tom
    Registered Users Posts: 1,053 ✭✭✭Gracelessly Tom


    Have gone on an early accum this week of.....

    Leinster -10 @10/11
    Ulster -10 @10/11
    Munster scr @6/5
    Clermont -7 @10/11
    Gloucester -13 @10/11

    Clermont one is the dodgy one for me in that but they should be ok. I'll do one or two more before the weekend but will be avoiding the Toulon spread and the Connacht match for definite!


  • #545
    sydthebeat
    Subscribers Posts: 41,837 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    Gracelessly Tom wrote: »
    Have gone on an early accum this week of.....

    Leinster -10 @10/11
    Ulster -10 @10/11
    Munster scr @6/5
    Clermont -7 @10/11
    Gloucester -13 @10/11

    Clermont one is the dodgy one for me in that but they should be ok. I'll do one or two more before the weekend but will be avoiding the Toulon spread and the Connacht match for definite!

    Ive been burnt twice already be clermont in the last few months, im not touching them again, they can blow hot and cold too much for my liking


  • #546
    Ugo Monye spacecraft experience
    Closed Accounts Posts: 6,221 ✭✭✭Ugo Monye spacecraft experience


    Munster Evens

    Shoe-in.jpg


  • Advertisement
  • #547
    The Pheasant2
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,699 ✭✭✭The Pheasant2


    Exeter +21
    ulster - 10
    Leinster -11
    Clermont -7
    Gloucester to win

    Gives 15/1


  • #548
    sydthebeat
    Subscribers Posts: 41,837 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    connacht going from 25/1 to 4/1 doesn't present any value... but +11 could be a tight good one in an accum....

    for some reason the munster USAP games not up on PP right now.... i think munster will be good value at about -5 for that one.

    Leinster @ -11 is too risky i think.


  • #549
    DDC1990
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,386 ✭✭✭✭DDC1990


    sydthebeat wrote: »
    connacht going from 25/1 to 4/1 doesn't present any value... but +11 could be a tight good one in an accum....

    for some reason the munster USAP games not up on PP right now.... i think munster will be good value at about -5 for that one.

    Leinster @ -11 is too risky i think.
    Got them at +2 yesterday. Very good value IMO.

    Though Murray is a massive loss.


  • #550
    sydthebeat
    Subscribers Posts: 41,837 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    DDC1990 wrote: »
    Got them at +2 yesterday. Very good value IMO.

    Though Murray is a massive loss.

    evens at +2?

    would you get 6/4 at -5 i wonder?


  • #551
    DDC1990
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,386 ✭✭✭✭DDC1990


    sydthebeat wrote: »
    evens at +2?

    would you get 6/4 at -5 i wonder?
    10/11 at +2

    I don't know, only 3 bookmakers have odds up on that game, totally reliant on starting lineups i'd imagine.


  • Advertisement
Advertisement