Atlantic Storm Watch & Coastal Flooding Events: January 2014

Wind has died considerably here in the last 30mins but the rain is fairly heavy and persistent.

Cork city center taking a hammering.....not as bad as Stephens day.....but close enough

Absolutely horrific in West Wales, strong winds all evening and night accompanied by torrential rain. Supposed to be getting ferry home from Fishguard at lunchtime, looks very unlikely given tonight's ferry crossing was cancelled, gutted

None of the models agree about next Sunday/Monday. I'm putting the 3 charts here & going to come back next weekend & see which is closest & that's the one I'm going to trust the most for the rest of the winter for FI

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2013123006/gfs-0-150.png?6

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2013123000/ECM1-144.GIF?30-12

http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/runs/2013123000/UW144-21.GIF?30-06

Merkin wrote: »

Absolutely horrific in West Wales, strong winds all evening and night accompanied by torrential rain. Supposed to be getting ferry home from Fishguard at lunchtime, looks very unlikely given tonight's ferry crossing was cancelled, gutted

Assume you made it fine, as I'm sitting on it now I was surprised last night to see they'd cancelled some crossings as over in Hampshire it was calm. This ferry is rocking up and down a fair bit, but it's like crossing a pond compared to last monday!

Hope it's not too bad, tis my babygirls 18th birthday on the 6th and we have had blizzards, ice, torrential rain amongst others in the past, to the point where we have considered moving it to the summer! :P

12Z GEM also showing that low on the 5th/6th.

Strong enough gusts here in South east Kerry at the moment.

Cant fault Met Eireann for detail in their 2227 update tonight

Mostly cloudy tonight with heavy rain moving in across the country from the Atlantic (scattered thunderstorms in the west and southwest). The rain will turn heavy and persistent for a time overnight, with the risk of spot flooding. Becoming rather windy for time too, with strengthening southerly winds. A clearance to scattered showers will follow later and winds will veer southwest and moderate. Milder at first, but turning cooler with the clearance. Lowest temperatures of 2 to 4 degrees Celsius, with a touch of grass frost locally towards dawn.


Tomorrow

Tuesday will start mainly dry with sunny spells, but showers will soon develop in the west and southwest will gradually spread to other parts during the day. Some of them will merge into longer spells of rain and a few heavy bursts are likely. Southerly winds will increase again and it will become blustery for a time, especially near south coasts. Cool, with highest afternoon temperatures of between 5 and 8 degrees, coldest in the north. Becoming drier for a time in the evening with clear spells, but further showers feeding into Atlantic counties then.

Outlook

OUTLOOK: Changeable and unsettled for the rest of the week, as low pressure in the nearby Atlantic steers in bands of wet and windy weather.
Cool if not cold by by day, and chilly by night - frost on some of the nights.

TOMORROW NIGHT: Most areas will dry with clear spells - scattered showers occurring too (mainly in the south to begin and later in the night near Atlantic coasts). Cold, with a slight to sharp frost, and the risk of some icy stretches. Lowest temperatures 1 to 4 degrees Celsius, with light to moderate southwest breezes.

THURSDAY: Breezy to begin with fresh to strong and gusty southwest winds. Holding mostly dry for daylight hours across much of the eastern half of the country with some sunny spells, but scattered showers across the rest of the country. Wet and windy weather likely to move in across the country from the west later on in the evening. Highest temperatures 6 to 10 degrees Celsius, with strong and gusty southerly winds later. Staying windy overnight, with further spells of rain.

FRIDAY: Windy with strong southwest winds. Heavy showers, merging to longer spells of rain (threat of hail or thunder later). Showers will be more scattered to the southeast and east, with longer drier spells occurring in these areas (some sunny spells too). Cool, with highest temperatures of just 6 or 7 degrees Celsius. Showers will tend to retreat to coastal counties of the west and northwest after dark with winds easing. Cold with a widespread sharp frost, some icy stretches too. Lowest temperatures - 2 to +2 degrees Celsius, with light to moderate southerly winds.

SATURDAY: Some uncertainly for the weekend, but heavy persistent rain likely to move up from the south of the country on Saturday, last to arrive in Ulster (possibly turning wintry over higher ground in the west and north later). Highest temperatures 3 to 7 degrees Celsius (coldest across the western half of the country).

SUNDAY: Overnight rain clearing away eastwards and winds easing; fair but cold weather for much of the day thereafter.


N. B. Given the highly changeable and often wet conditions that are likely to prevail across Ireland for the coming week, and the fact that all lands are either saturated or waterlogged, the probability of river flooding will increase in many areas. In addition, the turn of the year will bring maximal high tides which, in combination with strong onshore winds, high seas and possible surge effects, will predispose many coastal districts to maritime inundation.

Oscar Bravo wrote: »

Cant fault Met Eireann for detail in their 2227 update tonight

Only fault I'd have is the day they missed, does Wednesday not exist or are they taking New Years Day off

Looks like flooding more so than the wind could be the topic this week