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FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Winter 2020 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

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    #2402
    Slashermcguirk
    Registered Users Posts: 1,980 ✭✭✭Slashermcguirk


    Hearing from some friends and colleagues in Sweden that they are getting a lot of snow and temperatures have really plummeted over the past week. Up until mid January that was not the case but they are getting blasted with snow since


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    #2403
    Snowbiee21
    Registered Users Posts: 788 ✭✭✭Snowbiee21


    A nation holds its breath :D


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    #2404
    polarhullar
    Registered Users Posts: 32 ✭polarhullar


    Little snowy old me wrote: »
    There was zero snow from BFTE 2018 in SW Donegal. A few sleety showers beforehand for 1 or 2 days but none settled here in my locality. Very little snow in Co. Sligo either. It was cold but nothing exceptional.

    Same here outside Derry. I remember zero snow from that event.


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    #2405
    sicknotexi
    Registered Users Posts: 1,064 ✭✭✭sicknotexi


    Little snowy old me wrote: »
    There was zero snow from BFTE 2018 in SW Donegal. A few sleety showers beforehand for 1 or 2 days but none settled here in my locality. Very little snow in Co. Sligo either. It was cold but nothing exceptional.

    I stayed awake all night for storm emma here in South Kildare and we got very little snow. 20 miles up the road in North Kildare got buried.

    I still saw lots of snow from streamers during the beast.


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    #2406
    Birdnuts
    Registered Users Posts: 9,645 ✭✭✭Birdnuts


    According to the folks on Netweather the 12Z GFS is a big warm outlier right throughout. I suppose tonites ECM will give more clarity for all


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    #2407
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,656 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    It looks better than the GFS at 96 hours, closer to UKMO and GEM solution


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    #2408
    TheMilkyPirate
    Registered Users Posts: 5,968 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    ECM similar to the GEM at +96

    ECM1-96.gif

    gem-0-96.png


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    #2409
    Villain
    Registered Users Posts: 15,944 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    Birdnuts wrote: »
    According to the folks on Netweather the 12Z GFS is a big warm outlier right throughout. I suppose tonites ECM will give more clarity for all

    Word of caution, they always talk about their location so important to looks at GEFS for your own location. It is on the mild side but not an outlier by any means.

    ECM looking ok at +96 and a little colder earlier.


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    #2410
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    EC 96hr , the nation holds its breath.

    I think it is going well enough so far, albeit id prefer to see that low dig south a lot sooner!

    ECM1-96.GIF


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    #2411
    TheMilkyPirate
    Registered Users Posts: 5,968 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    EC +144 a nice north easterly on Monday

    ECM1-144-2.gif


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    #2412
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,890 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Awesome ECM again tonight with widespread snow in a bitter gale force Easterly!!
    Easterly wind from Russia to USA
    Yet another extraordinary weather event looks likely


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    #2413
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,526 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    A lot of snow showers packing in there, big cloud tops.

    Twists to go yet though. Don't take anything at face value.


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    #2414
    Arduach
    Closed Accounts Posts: 618 ✭✭✭Arduach


    Al happy again :) Now we'd sleep better if Mr. GFS had good news around 22.30 :)


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    #2415
    TheMilkyPirate
    Registered Users Posts: 5,968 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    EC has delivered again..

    ECM1-168-3.gif


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    #2416
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,143 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    JanuarySnowstor wrote: »
    Awesome ECM again tonight with widespread snow in a bitter gale force Easterly!!
    Easterly wind from Russia to USA
    Yet another extraordinary weather event looks likely

    How are the heights you refer to looking?!


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    #2417
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,890 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    munsterlegend wrote: »
    How are the heights you refer to looking?!

    Shorterm fine bit longterm we could do with upgrades in order to sustain


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    #2418
    John.Icy
    Registered Users Posts: 2,013 ✭✭✭John.Icy


    ECM remains good however it has definitely corrected the low north at +120 since the 12z yesterday (the then +144 chart).

    The cold is also diluted somewhat since the 0z and lasts nights 12z. Getting colder again by +192 but no point looking that far.

    Still good, however needs watching.


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    #2419
    TheMilkyPirate
    Registered Users Posts: 5,968 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    John.Icy wrote: »
    ECM remains good however it has definitely corrected the low north at +120 since the 12z yesterday (the then +144 chart).

    The cold is also diluted a fair amount since the 0z and lasts nights 12z. Getting colder again by +192 but no point looking that far.

    Still good, however needs watching.

    Yes the low was definitely further north compared to yesterday's 12Z. Still all up in the air but if it worked out like tonight's EC we would be laughing.


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    #2420
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    JanuarySnowstor wrote: »
    Awesome ECM again tonight with widespread snow in a bitter gale force Easterly!!
    Easterly wind from Russia to USA
    Yet another extraordinary weather event looks likely

    Curtains so
    Every time you post stuff like that you jinx it
    Most recently last Saturday week when it rained in Cork...
    From An Imby perspective ,direct easterly is dry here wicklow head to cahore
    Not enough fetch from Welsh coast to Irish,we can see it ffs :D
    Different story if its north east
    200km Fetch then
    Other than that by Tuesday no marginality whatsoever on that Ecm


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    #2421
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,656 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    John.Icy wrote: »
    ECM remains good however it has definitely corrected the low north at +120 since the 12z yesterday (the then +144 chart).

    .

    Yes. It could end up further north yet. So it has moved slightly to the GFS ,but it does not cut off the easterly flow, quite the opposite in fact. A very good run, but the outcome is not certain yet.


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    #2422
    Billcarson
    Registered Users Posts: 1,514 ✭✭✭Billcarson


    TheMilkyPirate wrote: »
    EC has delivered again..

    ECM1-168-3.gif

    Charts like that with the the easterly winds stretching right across the Atlantic, if something like that happens wonder is it the case of finally seeing the effects of the ssw last month.


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    #2423
    snowstorm445
    Registered Users Posts: 932 ✭✭✭snowstorm445


    Yeah for people in the south of England (i.e. Netweather) and myself here in Belgium the run isn't good :( Proper cold doesn't arrive until Wednesday at least. Looking great for Ireland though, and nice stiff north-easterly as well to boot :)


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    #2424
    John.Icy
    Registered Users Posts: 2,013 ✭✭✭John.Icy


    Aye if we could stall things as is on the ECM then great & snow will be about.

    But as long as corrections are happening and run-to-run changes are occuring I will be very cautious. This could genuinely go down to 24-48 hours in terms of the cold pool. Winds from the East look more solid but how that low ends up will decide if very cold air is unleashed or if the low spins up some less cold air into the mix.

    Exciting but tormenting runs ahead.


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    #2425
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,656 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Billcarson wrote: »
    Charts like that with the the easterly winds stretching right across the Atlantic, if something like that happens wonder is it the case of finally seeing the effects of the ssw last month.

    B811B38F-FC4D-4DBC-9B10-9FB8A60B45A2.png.8bf2b53e70b0090b93300e6bbba568d7.png

    Yes it is. You would not have extensive heights like that but for the SSW


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    #2426
    Little snowy old me
    Registered Users Posts: 420 ✭✭Little snowy old me


    Are we back on track? #neverstopbelieving


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    #2427
    Billcarson
    Registered Users Posts: 1,514 ✭✭✭Billcarson


    This evening it looks like the gfs moved slightly towards the ecm and the ecm moved slightly towards the gfs. It's like they are converging a bit on some kind of middle ground.


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    #2428
    TheMilkyPirate
    Registered Users Posts: 5,968 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    As long as we make it through each day without the whole thing collapsing around us then we are doing well. I think we've managed that today, despite whatever the 18Z shows


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    #2429
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,125 ✭✭✭pad199207


    TheMilkyPirate wrote: »
    As long as we make it through each day without the whole thing collapsing around us then we are doing well. I think we've managed that today, despite whatever the 18Z shows

    And that’s a lot to days to come for that to happen unfortunately


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    #2430
    squarecircles
    Registered Users Posts: 1,991 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    Gerry Murphy has slipped out the back door exit at glasnevin, having taken annual leave, leaving large skid marks as he left the complex in a hurry.


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    #2431
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,656 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    overview_20210202_12_216.jpg.41dcba5b167bc4ac64f6b94786e7493c.jpg



    He must have seen this as the final straw


This discussion has been closed.
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