Cold Spell - Feb 7th to 13th 2021 - Chat

Calibos · 03-02-2021 11:30am

Looks like I was right to order Yaktrax snowgrips for the family after the 2 inches we got at the beginning of January. Just a pity I forgot to warn the oul fella to let me know when the work van tyres needed changing so I could order some Michelin CrossClimates for it. He feckin bought new tyres for it 3 weeks ago without telling me. Arghh !! Might head out to Halfords in Carrickmines to pick up another pair of Snow Socks for the Van. Annoys me though because we only seem to get one snow period out of them before they are shredded which is expensive at €70 a pair. Though I guess thats better than my brother borrowing my car to collect his GF from work in Johnny Foxes in 2018 and despite several warnings from me, he failed to remove the Brand new Snowsocks off my wheels once he hit Tarmac on the N11 and shredded them after a single use. In one ear and out the other with that lad.

KingdomRushed · 03-02-2021 11:39am

The GFS mean is out to 138 hours now and is notably colder for that time frame than the previous 0z mean. It still has 75% of ireland below -8C upper temps. Some ensemble members are bringing in -12C uppers. Very interesting

bosco12345 · 03-02-2021 11:49am

Looking good for my area south east Cavan. Always get the rewards from a good easterly

igCorcaigh · 03-02-2021 11:54am

https://twitter.com/TheSnowDreamer/status/1356917175701897216?s=19

Andrew00 · 03-02-2021 11:56am

Any chance of a red warning folks

daydorunrun · 03-02-2021 11:59am

Andrew00 wrote: »

Any chance of a red warning folks

Yeah stay at home unless absolutely necessary - as you were then;)

03-02-2021 12:02pm

For our Cork friends, the 06z has a more southeasterly component which would pummel cork waterford,wexford and Aunty Snow on Tuesday as well as Eastern Ulster

Tzardine · 03-02-2021 12:03pm

Right I am off to Thimpsons.

Its a pair of these your wanting, permagrip soles, 19.99

munsterlegend · 03-02-2021 12:04pm

AuntySnow wrote: »

For our Cork friends, the 06z has a more southeasterly component which would pummel cork waterford,wexford and Aunty Snow on Tuesday as well as Eastern Ulster

A repeat of 2018 then before Storm Emma.

igCorcaigh · 03-02-2021 12:04pm

AuntySnow wrote: »

For our Cork friends, the 06z has a more southeasterly component which would pummel cork waterford,wexford and Aunty Snow on Tuesday as well as Eastern Ulster

Aren't the temperatures looking a bit warmer for the South coast, given the wind direction?

(I don't really know how to interpret the charts!)

Nqp15hhu · 03-02-2021 12:05pm

nacho libre wrote: »

If this turns out not to be brief, winds will probably go to the north at some stage. You could benefit from frontal snow events too, but if systems get as far as the very north west it could mean the mild air wins out. Ideally We need to see systems stalling then moving back south.

Frontal systems heading north are bad news for prolonged cold. Many here rave about them but they are no good.

Showers are our solution to deep snow.

lucernarian · 03-02-2021 12:09pm

lucernarian wrote: »

Matt is actually working for Met Eireann?!? Any proof of this?

Just to answer myself, I did a quick Google and it's true!! Good on him.

Nqp15hhu · 03-02-2021 12:10pm

Humberto Salazar wrote: »

Ha ha, took my meds this morning, all looking good...

In all seriousness though, battleground does have the risk of milder weather washing out the cold from time to time. But it's risk v reward. The reward for snow lovers could be great. Could be, potentially yada yada...

Frontal systems usually have some warmer air flow through, that’s why they mostly only have snow above 200metres.

I would rather they stay away.

TheMilkyPirate · 03-02-2021 12:10pm

Nqp15hhu wrote: »

Frontal systems heading north are bad news for prolonged cold. Many here rave about them but they are no good.

Showers are our solution to deep snow.

People here rave about them skirting the south coast which is exactly what we want them to do.

Nqp15hhu · 03-02-2021 12:11pm

The Wordress wrote: »

Will the North West get much snow from this? :confused

If winds are NE we can see snow yes. Though it’ll mostly be hit or miss and weakened showers.

Our best chance is through a trough which will increase instability across a wide area.

03-02-2021 12:11pm

igCorcaigh wrote: »

Aren't the temperatures looking a bit warmer for the South coast, given the wind direction?

(I don't really know how to interpret the charts!)

The source feed is cold
All the open sea should do is create big showers which should be snow
Basically the south easterly is just a bend in the source wind

Supercell · 03-02-2021 12:16pm

lucernarian wrote: »

Just to answer myself, I did a quick Google and it's true!! Good on him.

I do with he came along here with one of his old style charts showing most of the country buried under the sneachta, good times

JanuarySnowstor · 03-02-2021 12:17pm

Snow on the South coast is just about okay on the projected pattern. It's marginal but an onshore wind should help ppn. Swings & roundabouts

lucernarian · 03-02-2021 12:17pm

Supercell wrote: »

I do with he came along here with one of his old style charts showing most of the country buried under the sneachta, good times

I guess he can't post here any more given he works with the big boys now. I've never met someone more passionate about meteorology in my life.

03-02-2021 12:17pm

Nqp15hhu wrote: »

Frontal systems heading north are bad news for prolonged cold. Many here rave about them but they are no good.

Showers are our solution to deep snow.

As a surviver of January 1982 and Emma,I beg to differ
Snow on the ground for a month on both occasions
In March 2018,topped up 2 weeks after on March 18th
A lot of Actual blizzards, white outs and 10 foot drifts on both occasions just 2kms from the coast
Arklow was cut off in January 82 by road and rail
Power out for 4 days
The town was briefly cut off also in December 2010
Right beside the sea but that one was a showers event

Supercell · 03-02-2021 12:21pm

If I recall correctly (i was quite young) 1982 came in (frontal?)waves, at the time I recollect tobogganing down from Dalkey hill carpark and seeing Howth in the distance with no snow coverage to my amazement though that changed a day later. Don't know if that was frontal or IOM shadow, have never seen snow like like it except when I lived in Annamoe in the Wicklow mountains for a few years.

Supercell · 03-02-2021 12:28pm

lucernarian wrote: »

I guess he can't post here any more given he works with the big boys now. I've never met someone more passionate about meteorology in my life.

I agree, absolutely delighted for him that he saw it though successfully, not everyone gets to work in an area they love.

Mimon · 03-02-2021 12:29pm

bosco12345 wrote: »

Looking good for my area south east Cavan. Always get the rewards from a good easterly

Grew up in Bailieborough in the 80's, was a great spot. The high ground helped there also.

Longing · 03-02-2021 12:31pm

Mimon wrote: »

Grew up in Bailieborough in the 80's, was a great spot. The high ground helped there also.

I think its the second highest town in Ireland. I could be wrong on that.

lucernarian · 03-02-2021 12:33pm

Mimon wrote: »

Grew up in Bailieborough in the 80's, was a great spot. The high ground helped there also.

Hills to slide down, to beat the band. Probably the snowiest non-mountainous place on this island.

Mimon · 03-02-2021 12:35pm

Longing wrote: »

I think its the second highest town in Ireland. I could be wrong on that.

Used to hear that but there are a few small villages higher. Definitely the highest place over 2000 people though.

Mimon · 03-02-2021 12:37pm

lucernarian wrote: »

Hills to slide down, to beat the band. Probably the snowiest non-mountainous place on this island.

There was one called English's hill that was nearly vertical and I would be sliding down it all day. Pity about travel restrictions as my kids would love it.

Reckless Abandonment · 03-02-2021 12:39pm

lucernarian wrote: »

I guess he can't post here any more given he works with the big boys now. I've never met someone more passionate about meteorology in my life.

Hey could set up a new account. And slip us info... Weathernotcheck... nobody will ever suspect its him..

Jim Gazebo · 03-02-2021 12:42pm

When is this potential snow if it hits cork?

Humberto Salazar · 03-02-2021 12:44pm

Nqp15hhu wrote: »

Frontal systems heading north are bad news for prolonged cold. Many here rave about them but they are no good.

Showers are our solution to deep snow.

You are correct re frontal systems, if they continue moving north. But they can stall, and push back south in these scenarios. A rarity, I'll grant you, but these slider lows provide a chance.

Calibos · 03-02-2021 12:46pm

Reckless Abandonment wrote: »

Hey could set up a new account. And slip us info... Weathernotcheck... nobody will ever suspect its him..

I'm here long enough to remember when Weathercheck was the cocky Weather fanatic Junior Certer like SryanBruen is now......scratch that, I'm here long enough to remember when university attending weather fanatic SryanBruen was a weather fanatic junior certer......

Feck it, I'm getting old!! I've now seen several generations of cocky weather fanatic junior certers pass through here now at this stage!!

Tyrone212 · 03-02-2021 12:47pm

AuntySnow wrote: »

As a surviver of January 1982 and Emma,I beg to differ
Snow on the ground for a month on both occasions
In March 2018,topped up 2 weeks after on March 18th
A lot of Actual blizzards, white outs and 10 foot drifts on both occasions just 2kms from the coast
Arklow was cut off in January 82 by road and rail
Power out for 4 days
The town was briefly cut off also in December 2010
Right beside the sea but that one was a showers event

At the end of March 2013 a massive blizzard across North had snow lying weeks later. 137,000 customers lost power and winds gusted to 69pmh. Drifts were crazy too. Places cut off and an estimated 3,000 animals died. So yeah if all goes to plan frontal systems dumps can be felt for a long time afterwards. I've always wondered what would happen if one of those crazy events happened in December. How long it could stick around.

munsterlegend · 03-02-2021 12:51pm

Jim Gazebo wrote: »

When is this potential snow if it hits cork?

From Monday onwards the risk grows. Far too early yet to be specific.

lucernarian · 03-02-2021 12:52pm

Supercell wrote: »

I agree, absolutely delighted for him that he saw it though successfully, not everyone gets to work in an area they love.

Is he doing the RTÉ forecasts also? I'm never near a TV or radio these days.

Kunta Kinte · 03-02-2021 1:01pm

AuntySnow wrote: »

As a surviver of January 1982 and Emma,I beg to differ
Snow on the ground for a month on both occasions
In March 2018,topped up 2 weeks after on March 18th
A lot of Actual blizzards, white outs and 10 foot drifts on both occasions just 2kms from the coast
Arklow was cut off in January 82 by road and rail
Power out for 4 days
The town was briefly cut off also in December 2010
Right beside the sea but that one was a showers event

Snow on the ground for a month after Storm Emma? Only on very high ground in the Wicklow mountains surely?

SnizzleSky · 03-02-2021 1:06pm

Kunta Kinte wrote: »

Snow on the ground for a month after Storm Emma? Only on very high ground in the Wicklow mountains surely?

Aughrim cut off for several days in both events. You out towards curranstown Aunty snow.

Rebelbrowser · 03-02-2021 1:15pm

lucernarian wrote: »

Is he doing the RTÉ forecasts also? I'm never near a TV or radio these days.

Apparently he did the 7.55 on Morning Ireland this morning....

gerrybhoy · 03-02-2021 1:15pm

Rebelbrowser wrote: »

Apparently he did the 7.55 on Morning Ireland this morning....

https://www.rte.ie/radio/radioplayer/html5/#/radio1/21903382

munsterlegend · 03-02-2021 1:23pm

gerrybhoy wrote: »

https://www.rte.ie/radio/radioplayer/html5/#/radio1/21903382

Gerry Murphy will be calling him into his office..

03-02-2021 1:28pm

SnizzleSky wrote: »

Aughrim cut off for several days in both events. You out towards curranstown Aunty snow.

Near enough;)
Yes snow on the ground here from Emma 62 metres asl for most of March near Arklow
10ft drifts at the height of Emma blocking the roads
We had about 2.5 feet of level snow where it hadn't drifted in the yard here at the height of the storm

piplip87 · 03-02-2021 1:29pm

bosco12345 wrote: »

Looking good for my area south east Cavan. Always get the rewards from a good easterly

Yes remember we where in a yellow warning during the BFTE. Meath was red but we eventually went red after we where knee high in snow

03-02-2021 1:31pm

Tyrone212 wrote: »

At the end of March 2013 a massive blizzard across North had snow lying weeks later. 137,000 customers lost power and winds gusted to 69pmh. Drifts were crazy too. Places cut off and an estimated 3,000 animals died. So yeah if all goes to plan frontal systems dumps can be felt for a long time afterwards. I've always wondered what would happen if one of those crazy events happened in December. How long it could stick around.

This is the unfortunate part that people often forget about
Mountain farmers have become savvy mostly to the risks but can be caught out

Slashermcguirk · 03-02-2021 1:34pm

2018 snow event really was superb. Loved standing on the coast road in Dublin just watching the constant streamers brining in endless snow from the Irish Sea. I went out one night into it and all the roads right on the coastline covered in a thick blanket of snow with not a car to be seen.

Paso Fino · 03-02-2021 1:38pm

I was unlucky during the 2018 event - we had maybe 5cm of lying snow and during Emma we had very little new snowfall, seemed to pass to the north and south of us! Fingers crossed that this may produce a decent accumulation for me!

lucernarian · 03-02-2021 1:41pm

Paso Fino wrote: »

I was unlucky during the 2018 event - we had maybe 5cm of lying snow and during Emma we had very little new snowfall, seemed to pass to the north and south of us! Fingers crossed that this may produce a decent accumulation for me!

Emma was dire to track on radar, so much phantom precipitation and understated snowfall... I can't wait for Met Éireann radar upgrades, we needed them years ago + an extra base in Mayo or Donegal.

mumo3 · 03-02-2021 1:51pm

As soon as I see a weather event posted by Kermit I get super excited

But dare I get excited about this one, given we got no snow in D22 last week or so ago, but no doubt I will be lamp post watching over the weekend:)

Great job & a big thank you to everybody who is adding their input, I use this forum like my weather bible!!

Slashermcguirk · 03-02-2021 1:54pm

This looks a very different animal to a couple of weeks ago. In D5 we got great snow in that recent snow event and I didn’t think we would see a repeat as good again this winter. Here is hoping this really delivers and gives a lot more people a share of the spoils. Fingers crossed, certainly will beat looking out at rain!

quote="mumo3;116151190"]As soon as I see a weather event posted by Kermit I get super excited

But dare I get excited about this one, given we got no snow in D22 last week or so ago, but no doubt I will be lamp post watching over the weekend:)

Great job & a big thank you to everybody who is adding their input, I use this forum like my weather bible!![/quote]

RugbyLad11 · 03-02-2021 2:01pm

mumo3 wrote: »

As soon as I see a weather event posted by Kermit I get super excited But dare I get excited about this one, given we got no snow in D22 last week or so ago, but no doubt I will be lamp post watching over the weekend:)

Great job & a big thank you to everybody who is adding their input, I use this forum like my weather bible!!

I don't wanna jinx it, but D22 should get snow from an easterly.

bazlers · 03-02-2021 2:01pm

March 3rd 2018.

TTLF · 03-02-2021 2:09pm

is it too early to be pulling up and re-watching some old 2010 videos to get into the mood? :pac::D

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2MvgCXRDhmw&ab_channel=luisAvilesOrtiz

Cold Spell - Feb 7th to 13th 2021 - Chat

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