Charts ( Up to T120 ) Winter 2020 ** READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

another cold spell is predicted around the first week of March, however there is no suggestion that it is going to happen or that it will affect Ireland. We are now locked into a prolonged mild spell for at least 10 to 14 days. We are banking on that high pressure to go to either Scandinavia or Greenland, and while that may happen it doesn't mean Ireland is going to lock into a BTFE style situation. We barely scraped proper cold with the last cold spell, the beast itself didn't make it any further west than the SE of England and Scotland with central and eastern Europe getting the direct hit.

Nqp15hhu wrote: »

I don’t think we are “locked” into a mild spell. I have a few cool days (6c highs) in my forecast this upcoming week. As always I am expecting snow in the next two or three weeks.

If you don’t think that -12/-13c 850hPa is cold, what do you want? We had two or three days of that here in NI last week. Just because there was minimal snow doesn’t mean the cold didn’t arrive.

We are getting Off topic here yet again. The mild is already here and it doesn't look like we're going to see any real cold for at least a week at the very minimum.

My point earlier is a general point about the recent cold spell and the prospects of another for the republic of Ireland. Much of the country barely scraped -10 uppers and was mostly in the -6 to -9 range. The cold never really got as far as the south-west either so it wasn't through the country properly. We were on the very edge of the cold spell. Daytime and nighttime temperatures were generally just above freezing through most of the country by day and night, freezing conditions was restricted mainly to high ground and decent snow was limited to the Atlantic breakdown over Mayo and the mix of precipitation the other night before the mild took over. The streamers were very poor and nothing like 2010, 2009 and 2018. The cold uppers are only part of what makes a proper cold and snowy spell or 'beast'. Most of the other ingredients failed and we were left with this generally very uninspiring spell which will most likely get forgotten about for many in eastern, southern, south-western and midland areas. It's time to move on from this cold spell, the mild weather is here, now let's get back to the models.

The weather over the next week is looking very similar to the set up we had during the summer. High pressure over much of Europe with southern and south-eastern UK under often dry and fairly mild/warm conditions at times. Ireland and the far west of the UK under a very obvious Atlantic setup with plenty of wind and rain. The high pressure may eventually ridge over us by Friday but that remains to be seen. Hopefully this is not a sign of things to come for the summer.

Spring has finally sprung and winter has passed for another year. Short range models can be discussed on the Spring short range model thread https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2058164370