Storm Brian : Orange Wind Warning Sat 21 -10-17

nagdefy · 20-10-2017 6:15pm

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

Always walk on the lower side of alerts. (doo doo, doo doo doo doo doo doo)

The Daily Express has to be 'Biggus Dickus'

jumpjack · 20-10-2017 6:49pm

DOCARCH wrote: »

jumpjack wrote: »

I know it's a heavy requirement but... are realtime streaming and/or HD webcams available? Wind and rain are quite invisible at low res and 1 FPS. :ermm:

Unless your a pig, wind is not very visible...generally.

yes it is:
http://www.carlowweather.com/wxwebcam.php

M.T. Cranium · 20-10-2017 6:52pm

LOL at B.D. two posts back, yeah, why is everybody laughing? etc

Oddly the actual orange level situation is the combined rainfall of Thursday plus today, it doesn't appear very likely that winds with Brian will gust above 110 km/hr anywhere except possibly outer coasts tonight and Mace Head tomorrow when the westerlies kick in. This is good because some weakened trees no doubt after Ophelia plus all this recent rain. For that reason probably a good thing to have an orange wind alert because there could be those sorts of impacts on the weakened trees and also you have to consider possibly structural problems left over for any minor windstorm to exploit.

Anyway, it's a bit of a three dressed up as a nine.

Meteorite58 · 20-10-2017 6:54pm

ARPEGE 12Z

Mean

Gust

WRF- NMM

WRF / GFS Showing a track crossing the country further than the ARPEGE / ECMWF

ECMWF

squarecircles · 20-10-2017 6:59pm

Thundery rain moving in later with violent gusts possible tonight - Siobhan Ryan

Are squall lines possible???

tayto lover · 20-10-2017 7:07pm

Does high wind effect aircraft much?
I'm flying early tomorrow, something i really dread, and just wondering if this will make it worse for me.

Irish Steve · 20-10-2017 7:15pm

tayto lover wrote: »

Does high wind effect aircraft much?
I'm flying early tomorrow, something i really dread, and just wondering if this will make it worse for me.

there may be some disruption to flights from the smaller regional airports, and also Cork & Shannon, but in the overall scale of things, the winds are not outrageous for aircraft operation, and on the present showing, Dublin should not be too much affected in the morning, there's a possibility of some issues with gust strengths later in the day, but most flights should get in and out without too many issues.

Drumpot · 20-10-2017 7:16pm

Feels like east coast keeps dodging bullets. Is it luck combined with wind direction and Wicklow mountains?

Iancar29 · 20-10-2017 7:20pm

Drumpot wrote: »

Feels like east coast keeps dodging bullets. Is it luck combined with wind direction and Wicklow mountains?

Wicklow mountains.. winds are from the SW so most of Dublin in the Shadow/

JanuarySnowstor · 20-10-2017 7:21pm

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

LOL at B.D. two posts back, yeah, why is everybody laughing? etc

Oddly the actual orange level situation is the combined rainfall of Thursday plus today, it doesn't appear very likely that winds with Brian will gust above 110 km/hr anywhere except possibly outer coasts tonight and Mace Head tomorrow when the westerlies kick in. This is good because some weakened trees no doubt after Ophelia plus all this recent rain. For that reason probably a good thing to have an orange wind alert because there could be those sorts of impacts on the weakened trees and also you have to consider possibly structural problems left over for any minor windstorm to exploit.

Anyway, it's a bit of a three dressed up as a nine.

I disagree along the south coast looks poised to see 130km gusts and after all Irelands largest city outside Dublin is right on the coast. I see plenty disruption from this for Cork/kerry

Irish Steve · 20-10-2017 7:23pm

The Wicklow mountains was one of the factors that led to the position of the present Dublin Airport, a long time ago, it was noticed that there tended to be less cloud, or a hole in the cloud in the vicinity of Collinstown, and that is very much influenced by the prevailing wind direction and the position of the mountains.

The down side of that is the effect it has on the winds on the approach to the airport over Howth, that section of air can be very turbulent at times, even when the winds are relatively benign.

kerrycork13 · 20-10-2017 7:33pm

Absolutely pelted down for 15 minutes here in Killarney. Just stopped now

littlema · 20-10-2017 7:37pm

Those charts of meteorite58 are showing gusts of 85 km at 10m tomorrow ....I'm at 152m asl in south Sligo ........only saying!

seanTynan · 20-10-2017 7:39pm

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

I disagree along the south coast looks poised to see 130km gusts and after all Irelands largest city outside Dublin is right on the coast. I see plenty disruption from this for Cork/kerry

Is the Windy app on Android reliable?
Forecast (GFS27) for tomorrow says gusts of 82kph in Cork city.

DOCARCH · 20-10-2017 7:46pm

littlema wrote: »

Those charts of meteorite58 are showing gusts of 85 km at 10m tomorrow ....I'm at 152m asl in south Sligo ........only saying!

That's for 10m above ground (not above sea level).

Meteorite58 · 20-10-2017 7:46pm

Recent reports in my neck of the woods: Valentia S 20 kts gust 34 kts
Sherkin S 28 kts gust 37 kts
Shannon SE 13 kyts gust 24 kts

I4exk1P.jpg?1

sdanseo · 20-10-2017 7:46pm

N7 M50 home today. Spray going sideways, but nothing more dramatic, it's only spray.

Looks like the ECMWF has, once again, consistently nailed this storm, all the other models have fallen into line with windspeed and course. That's two complex systems in a row that it has got spot on at 120hrs.

Hastentoadd · 20-10-2017 7:52pm

If all indicators provided are incorrect for Storm Brian I think we should throw them to the floor
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zPGb4STRfKw

Chiparus · 20-10-2017 7:57pm

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

I disagree along the south coast looks poised to see 130km gusts and after all Irelands largest city outside Dublin is right on the coast. I see plenty disruption from this for Cork/kerry

Belfast.

Meteorite58 · 20-10-2017 7:58pm

Lots of talk of the risk of damaged trees coming down tonight/ tomorrow . This is a young tree in my garden that I just spotted yesterday that was damaged last Mon. Cracked right down the middle, expect it to be blown down tonight or tomorrow ( will post an update

). I was just thinking how many other trees out there with similar type damage must be in risk of falling .

X2uDlFZ.jpg?1

aidanodr · 20-10-2017 8:01pm

I took this from Monkstown this afternoon on way home .. view into Cork Harbour, Rushbrook cranes across the way toward Cobh. Absolutely tipping down at the time. Very nasty localised showers/flooding down here yesterday and today so far but Im sure worse is to come

sdanseo · 20-10-2017 8:03pm

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

I disagree along the south coast looks poised to see 130km gusts and after all Irelands largest city outside Dublin is right on the coast. I see plenty disruption from this for Cork/kerry

Chiparus wrote: »

Belfast.

JCX BXC · 20-10-2017 8:13pm

Chiparus wrote: »

Belfast.

That's a British city part of the UK though.

Oscar Bravo · 20-10-2017 8:23pm

8pm.
Valentia gusting 42 knots
Sherkin Island 39 knots.
Dublin airport 38 knots.
Casement 35 knots.
Cork Airport 33 knots.

munsterlegend · 20-10-2017 8:26pm

Oscar Bravo wrote: »

8pm.
Valentia gusting 42 knots
Sherkin Island 39 knots.
Dublin airport 38 knots.
Casement 35 knots.
Cork Airport 33 knots.

Anything from Belfast?!

Oscarziggy · 20-10-2017 8:27pm

Chucking it down and blowing hard on the West Wales coast -- council are closing the road through my local beach at 7am tomorrow just in case .
The pebble bank between the sea and road was breached last Sunday -- the tides this week end are much higher.
Stay safe .
Regards

spookwoman · 20-10-2017 8:49pm

Stopped raining in Waterford. Swell not too bad in Tramore

Storm Brian starting to show itself by Leah Burgess, on Flickr

George Sunsnow · 20-10-2017 9:00pm

Power went here outside Arklow around 6

highdef · 20-10-2017 9:04pm

Out with the dog about a half hour a few km from Enfield and it's almost flat calm. Also a lot milder since the rain cleared. Surprised it's so calm here considering the strong gusts nearby.

Middle Man · 20-10-2017 9:11pm

Wind Map for 19:00 (next one in for 22:00)...

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-4.13,49.50,2592/loc=-18.033,49.738

Max average wind speeds: 93kph approx. out over Atlantic.

ME Short Range Forecast:

http://www.met.ie/forecasts/short-range.asp

Oscar Bravo · 20-10-2017 9:15pm

Oscar Bravo · 20-10-2017 9:23pm

9pm

Sherkin island gusting 45 knots.
Roaches point 38 knots.
Mace head 36 knots.
Dublin airport 35 knots.
Belfast Aldergrove 30 Knots.

JanuarySnowstor · 20-10-2017 9:34pm

Getting rough here now.
Remain convinced this will be a notable storm for South coast!

goat2 · 20-10-2017 9:35pm

It is bucketing down here in the sw, rain wind, staying inside from here on

sword1 · 20-10-2017 9:35pm

spookwoman wrote: »

Stopped raining in Waterford. Swell not too bad in Tramore
Storm Brian starting to show itself by Leah Burgess, on Flickr

That van would be a good buy in a year

JCX BXC · 20-10-2017 9:36pm

RTE don't seem too confident!

sword1 · 20-10-2017 9:37pm

JCX BXC wrote: »

RTE don't seem too confident!

Good news, downgraded to a yellow warning(maybe)

Oscar Bravo · 20-10-2017 9:38pm

Evelyn Cusack on the late late show now

spookwoman · 20-10-2017 9:41pm

sword1 wrote: »

That van would be a good buy in a year

There was a steady stream of cars driving down there with the waves crashing over. Lot of debris on the prom so good chance of something coming over and hitting you https://youtu.be/TJbAnz4dY1Y

mickmackey1 · 20-10-2017 9:51pm

Wild gusts now - mid Limerick

Soccarboy11 · 20-10-2017 9:51pm

Was just coming back from the chipper, walking, and the gusts picked up.massivly in cork along with some drops of rain. Just got in the door and started lashing heavily. It's coming!

jumpjack · 20-10-2017 9:57pm

62 knots at Fastnet lighthouse
https://twitter.com/FastnetLHouse/status/921470985995419650

Soccarboy11 · 20-10-2017 10:00pm

jumpjack wrote: »

62 knots at Fastnet lighthouse
https://twitter.com/FastnetLHouse/status/921470985995419650

72 knots now!

https://twitter.com/FastnetLHouse/status/921480574564519936

aidanodr · 20-10-2017 10:02pm

https://twitter.com/MouseCork/status/921477836237688834

About 21.50 tonight ..

DMm_I9xWsAI4Gw8.jpg:large

Sephiroth_dude · 20-10-2017 10:14pm

Oscar Bravo wrote: »

Evelyn Cusack on the late late show now

Joanna and your man Gerry should be on it not her.

Steopo · 20-10-2017 10:14pm

If those photos of Cork really were taken at 21:46 then I'd be concerned about flooding in the morning. High tide was 18:34 this evening and with strong winds arriving around 6am to 8am and coinciding with morning high tide @ 06:51 and more overnight/morning rain then Cork may not be looking so beautiful in the morning. Hopefully those pics were taken earlier in the evening. But certainly would be watching south west closely around 6am to 8am for flooding risks

High Tides Cork

redsteveireland · 20-10-2017 10:17pm

Brian has alot to answer for ,all training cancelled tomorrow. I'm not convinced myself that it will be that bad.
Enough rain fell today to make the rugby pitch unplayable though.

MJohnston · 20-10-2017 10:20pm

Facebook Memories often provides interesting meteorological titbits. Just over (3 days over) five years ago in Cork:

65500_513797131964064_810689759_n.jpg?efg=eyJpIjoidCJ9&oh=77f50e4f7a1f11bd08963a1bfa63d2c2&oe=5A81977A

65500_513797131964064_810689759_n.jpg?efg=eyJpIjoidCJ9&oh=77f50e4f7a1f11bd08963a1bfa63d2c2&oe=5A81977A

tikkamark · 20-10-2017 10:24pm

That water is seriously close to spilling over the embankment!

Middle Man · 20-10-2017 10:27pm

Wind Map: 22:00...

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-12.67,53.71,2592/loc=-16.177,50.568

Max Average Wind Speed still at around 93kph over Atlantic. The eye of the storm is making gradual eastward progress towards the west coast.

Storm Brian : Orange Wind Warning Sat 21 -10-17

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