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Potential for Snow Showers this Week, 8-12th Dec
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06-12-2014 5:16pm#1Tonight, Sunday, Monday
Higher ground of the northwest -- some snow showers by the early hours of the morning with some accumulations locally. Sleet, hail to low levels.
Tuesday onward
Hi all, been a while:D
This has been developing gradually over the last few days and finally the first real blast of winter is nearly upon us. The first incursion is tonight but will be interrupted on Monday and Tuesday by slightly milder air.
From Tuesday evening, a long with brisk winds, a polar airmass will become established in the west and quickly spread countrywide overnight a long with heavy showers from the northwest. Initially these will be mostly rain and hail but through the night that quickly changes and they turn to sleet/snow countrywide by morning driven right across the country on a very strong or gale force wind. See this thread http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2057338060
A long with the risk of snow - frost and ice will become harsher in the midlands and east. Frost not an issue on west coasts due to the strong onshore wind.
It's pretty much certain that this set up lasts from Tuesday evening until at least Friday night. Snow accumulations are still a bit early to speculate but in the northwest and north I think it is very likely to low levels particularly overnight.
One thing you will really notice is the wind chill which will be well below freezing throughout even though temperatures will be around 1 - 6c nationally.
Not pleasant to be out in but it may be very pleasant to look at
More later.33
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It's still up in the air (pardon the pun) beyond Saturday.
I'd watch for the orientation of the jet stream which will be key to prolonging the cold weather. We have already seen some minor changes in favour over night but we need to see more.
Of a bit more interest is the smaller (but increasing) risk of something a bit bigger in terms of snow fall occurring on Thursday. Two models picking up a developing embedded shortwaves that could bring heavier showers or a longer period of sleet and snow. Equally that could deepen quite rapidly in to a wind event rather than a potential snow event.
But that is + 100 hrs a way still.
Something to keep an eye on for Thursday and Friday.
All systems go from Tuesday night
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just saw the farming forecast there and does not signal much other than some wintry or rain/hail/sleet showers in parts of the north and west later in the week. Temps generally 5-9C throughout the week, we need something much colder and easterly for proper snow! Having said that it's much better than anything we had last winter.
Tuesday its mostly 10-11c!
Come next Friday though its 2-5c, which leads for some evening snow
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it was incredible a once in a lifetime experience, the whole country was white for a full month ...like being in Scandinavia
It was pretty interesting alright
4 years later we're still talking about it. Lovely. I'd absolutely love it to happen again.
Blower in my vehicle stopped working and I had to wrap up nice and snug driving around. My journeys were taking around 5 hours eith frequent stops to de-ice the inside of my windscreen. My breath was condensing on the cold glass and freezing.
I must have looked some sight driving around in my outdoor gloves and balaclava 0 -
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Kermit.de.frog wrote: »Once again the latest GFS showing the potential for snow on Thursday night in many places away from southern counties and Thursday itself over Ulster.acassells80 wrote: »What are the chances for snow in Dublin on Thursday or Friday ?
I think the N and NW will only do well from this setup , showers will die off quickly enough as they head SE were they'll only leave a dusting of snow at best on current models.
I think this is the best risk area map , even though the model gives risks for even further SE , but apart from the dublin/wicklow mountains im not keeping my hopes up.
Could be 5-10cms in places in the NW though :rolleyes:0 -
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Kermit.de.frog wrote: »We are relying on the occlusion moving south somewhat.
FINALLY Clare may get some overdue snow.0 -
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