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Winter Weather 2015/16 : See Mod Note Post #1

  • 25-08-2015 6:28pm
    #1
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭


    The summer is almost over (a week left) and with such a disappointing season I'm starting to think about winter.

    What weather effects should we expect from'El Niño'?


    Mod Note
    We agreed last year to confine sensationalist tabloid weather stories to the Weather in the Media thread so please post any tabloid headlines/links there.
    Thanks


«134567…67

Comments

  • #2
    maquiladora
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    What about autumn? :P


  • #3
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,961 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    after 5 failed winters in a row I feel were due another 'beast from the east' hopefully this winter.


  • #4
    dexter647
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,218 ✭✭✭dexter647


    maquiladora wrote: »
    What about autumn? :P

    It's amazing we got till the end of August before the winter thread was set up imo....Going to be a cold one;)


  • #5
    Rock Lesnar
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,882 ✭✭✭✭Rock Lesnar


    I'll take anything as long its not rain, saturated ground and floodng.

    Dry Sunny with top temps of -5 will do nicely


  • #6
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Add occasional snow to that and then you have an ideal winter.


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  • #7
    Rock Lesnar
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,882 ✭✭✭✭Rock Lesnar


    Carnacalla wrote: »
    Add occasional snow to that and then you have an ideal winter.

    A lot of snow would be nice, but due to the dreaded IOM Shadow, i'll take occasional.


  • #8
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,584 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    This is not offered as a prediction but as long as that colder than normal Atlantic pool remains a factor, it would be difficult for the atmosphere to respond in any other way than unsettled to stormy and not particularly mild either. This feature has been quite stubborn over the past several months and shows little signs of changing soon.

    This would also pretty much guarantee that the autumn won't be a lot different in trends from this past summer, at best it would be near normal and likely wetter and slightly cooler than average.


  • #9
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Rock Lesnar wrote: »
    A lot of snow would be nice, but due to the dreaded IOM Shadow, i'll take occasional.

    I'd prefer to be in the IOM shadow than in west Clare!


  • #10
    JJJJNR
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,791 ✭✭✭JJJJNR


    No snow, dry with occasional rain and not dropping below 10c.

    Thanks.


  • #11
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    JJJJNR wrote: »
    No snow, dry with occasional rain and not dropping below 10c.

    Thanks.

    Either your looking at the wrong season or the wrong country!


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  • #12
    Lucreto
    Registered Users Posts: 1,003 ✭✭✭Lucreto


    It's that time of year again.

    This thread is permanently open on my browser/ tablet and my F5 is ready and waiting.

    I hope for cold and snowy weather but I am expecting stormy weather instead with above average temperatures.

    I hope America don't steal Winter 3 years in a row


  • #13
    vistafinder
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 619 ✭✭✭vistafinder


    Watch the Azores high coming closer for about 5 months now that this thread is started.


  • #14
    AMKC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,297 ✭✭✭✭AMKC
    Ms


    dexter647 wrote: »
    It's amazing we got till the end of August before the winter thread was set up imo....Going to be a cold one;)

    I really hope you are wrong. I thought last years winter was lovely if we get another winter like that I will be very happy barely had any reason to turn the heating on at all as it was a lovely mild winter.
    Another mild winter please.

    Live long and Prosper

    Peace and long life.



  • #15
    Loughc
    Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 24,974 Mod ✭✭✭✭Loughc


    Gonzo wrote: »
    after 5 failed winters in a row I feel were due another 'beast from the east' hopefully this winter.

    People thought we were due one last year too. Statistically we rarely get bad winters like 5 years ago so you might be waiting.


  • #16
    Iancar29
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    vistafinder wrote: »
    Watch the Azores high coming closer for about 5 months now that this thread is started.

    "Well don't mind if i dooooooo "
    gfs-0-348_wau5.png


  • #17
    Oneiric 3
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,238 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    maquiladora wrote: »
    What about autumn? :P

    It's just finishing! :P


    Can see the logic in M.Ts forecast. If the seas and air masses in the nearby N. Atlantic remain cooler than normal this winter then it may help to create more vigorous storms if tropical air masses are thrown into the area. I for one won't be complaining if this was to happen. It has been a long time since I have seen a good old fashion 80 mph storm with lightning ripping across the night sky. This is what the Irish winter should be about! :)

    New Moon



  • #18
    Calibos
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,810 ✭✭✭Calibos


    AMKC wrote: »
    I really hope you are wrong. I thought last years winter was lovely if we get another winter like that I will be very happy barely had any reason to turn the heating on at all as it was a lovely mild winter.
    Another mild winter please.

    Well insulated house or no females living in the house?


  • #19
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Looking at the Met Éireann forecast for next week ahead, temperatures could dip below 0c in rural areas! This is providing an Azores High builds up north of us driving cold winds down. Winter starting already?

    I'll take cold and dry! Hopefully clear skies too:P


  • #20
    Tindie
    Registered Users Posts: 1,259 ✭✭✭Tindie


    I love to be very snowy winter , like 2010 and 2013

    If the UK gets one flake of snow or a polar vortex , you know the county will come to a stand still


  • #21
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Tindie wrote: »
    I love to be very snowy winter , like 2010 and 2013

    If the UK gets one flake of snow or a polar vortex , you know the county will come to a stand still

    2013? 2013 was one of the worst winters, we didn't get 1 bit of lying snow here in west Clare.


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  • #22
    Tindie
    Registered Users Posts: 1,259 ✭✭✭Tindie


    Carnacalla wrote: »
    2013? 2013 was one of the worst winters, we didn't get 1 bit of lying snow here in west Clare.


    January 2013 was very snowy, in the midlands , It was snowing most of January .

    I


  • #23
    Metmaster
    Registered Users Posts: 56 ✭✭Metmaster


    Tindie wrote: »
    I love to be very snowy winter , like 2010 and 2013

    If the UK gets one flake of snow or a polar vortex , you know the county will come to a stand still

    Exactly!! Its hard to tell how things will go at the moment just because its quite a long way off but we should be seeing a few changes in the coming weeks. Heres to a cold and snowy one :)


  • #24
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Any of the Infamous long-range forecasters release any forecasts yet? Id be interested in reading how certain stars have aligned causing us the coldest winter in 100 years again.


  • #25
    Tindie
    Registered Users Posts: 1,259 ✭✭✭Tindie


    Gritters prepare for winter in Lincolnshire

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-lincolnshire-34096333


  • #26
    delahuntv
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,532 ✭✭✭delahuntv


    Carnacalla wrote: »
    Any of the Infamous long-range forecasters release any forecasts yet? Id be interested in reading how certain stars have aligned causing us the coldest winter in 100 years again.

    consdering how wrong they have been, I'd say they are keeping fairly quiet.

    Here's the summer 2015 forecast from one well-known person from the southern hemisphere about Irish weather for Summer just gone.

    "What’s in store for summer 2015?

    Summer will be sunnier than the average, with warmer maxima and average minima, and average rainfall overall for the country.

    There will be a wide variance between the north and south, with the north having a drier and warmer summer than the south, and with most counties enjoying a sunnier summer than average."


  • #27
    Metmaster
    Registered Users Posts: 56 ✭✭Metmaster


    delahuntv wrote: »
    consdering how wrong they have been, I'd say they are keeping fairly quiet.

    Here's the summer 2015 forecast from one well-known person from the southern hemisphere about Irish weather for Summer just gone.

    "What’s in store for summer 2015?

    Summer will be sunnier than the average, with warmer maxima and average minima, and average rainfall overall for the country.

    There will be a wide variance between the north and south, with the north having a drier and warmer summer than the south, and with most counties enjoying a sunnier summer than average."

    True i never take long range forecasters forecasts on board you can only forecast somewhat accurately a couple of weeks in advance not a couple of months.


  • #28
    mandylevo
    Registered Users Posts: 37 ✭mandylevo


    My winter prediction is that James Madden will predict the next iceage again ....


  • #29
    Hooter23
    Registered Users Posts: 1,525 ✭✭✭Hooter23


    mandylevo wrote: »
    My winter prediction is that James Madden will predict the next iceage again ....

    Yes your right I saw it in The Star newspaper today he was talking about the gulf stream slowing down since the end of last year and how cold this winter would be as he usually says...


  • #30
    Metmaster
    Registered Users Posts: 56 ✭✭Metmaster


    Hooter23 wrote: »
    Yes your right I saw it in The Star newspaper today he was talking about the gulf stream slowing down since the end of last year and how cold this winter would be as he usually says...

    Wouldnt worry about it, they say the same thing every year. But they will eventually be right it might be this year and might not (hope it is tho were due a cold one)


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  • #31
    pauldry
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,175 ✭✭✭pauldry


    I think MT is right. The cooler than average trend will continue. This will increase the risk of a colder spell but a lot of the times temperatures will be borderline for heavy snow i think. Maybe 5 to 8c instead of 2 to 5c or 3 to 6c.

    This is only going by the dominating pattern of temperature averages over the past few months.

    Theres a good chance of 20c next Monday though! :rolleyes:


  • #32
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Hopefully we may get some sort of freak event this year where west clare gets snow :D:D


  • #33
    hotwhiskey
    Closed Accounts Posts: 592 ✭✭✭hotwhiskey


    The first person who posts in this thread "Were's my snow" or "When will it snow in my back garden" You have been warned I do have Liam Neeson phone number.

    screen_shot_20140930_at_3.47.59_pm.png.CROP.promovar-mediumlarge.47.59_pm.png


  • #34
    Loughc
    Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 24,974 Mod ✭✭✭✭Loughc


    Dear diary,

    Snow watch day 2.

    Still no snow.


  • #35
    snowstreams
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,320 ✭✭✭snowstreams


    pauldry wrote: »
    I think MT is right. The cooler than average trend will continue. This will increase the risk of a colder spell but a lot of the times temperatures will be borderline for heavy snow i think. Maybe 5 to 8c instead of 2 to 5c or 3 to 6c.
    ....

    5-8c could still mean plenty of snow on the highest mountains though. If it stays like that all winter the higher peaks (750m +) could get a nice build up on them similar to what happens in Scotland above 600m.


  • #36
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Feeling cold in the wind today, that northerly wind is a killer.
    I dont mind it in January though, brings some of the white glory :P


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  • #37
    ComfortKid
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,169 ✭✭✭ComfortKid


    Not mad about snow but I would love a few weeks of -5.

    Don't usually get the wintery feel until the clocks go back, cant wait for the nice cosy dark evenings by the stove.


  • #38
    Tindie
    Registered Users Posts: 1,259 ✭✭✭Tindie


    Daily express were at yet again
    Saying they bec snow this weekend

    Ibwish


  • #39
    Oneiric 3
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,238 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    Tindie wrote: »
    Daily express were at yet again
    Saying they bec snow this weekend

    You read the Daily Express? Nun slap for you.

    YJZKWrI.gif?1

    New Moon



  • #40
    Tindie
    Registered Users Posts: 1,259 ✭✭✭Tindie


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »
    You read the Daily Express? Nun slap for you.

    YJZKWrI.gif?1

    I didn't read it ,
    I heard about it lol


  • #41
    dasa29
    Registered Users Posts: 572 ✭✭✭dasa29


    Hi guys was talking to my sister on how below average the August IMT temp was and She reminded me that the August 2010 IMT was also below average here are the numbers that I have.

    Average IMT's for the five stations in the monthly boards forecast contest.
    1961 - 1990 - 14.7
    1971 - 2000 - 15.1
    1681 - 2010 - 15.3

    Data from monthly boards forecast Contest
    August 2010 _ August 2015
    "IMT 14.2 C _ "IMT 14.0
    max temp 24.2 _ MAX 24.2
    min temp 0.6 _ MIN 3.5
    rainfall 52% _ PRC 106%
    sunshine 133%" _ sunshine 100%"

    Now I don't know if this means anything or not but just thought I should mention it.

    Also checked the IMT's for 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014.
    August 13.6, 15.7, 15.7, 14.0.


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  • #42
    Pappacharlie
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 197 ✭✭Pappacharlie


    After another 12 months of winter its nice to be talking about another 9 months of winter!! Do you get what I mean?


  • #43
    lycan238
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,244 ✭✭✭lycan238


    In all honesty I am unsure what I want weather wise for this winter. Yes would love snow but at same time dont like the frosty mornings.


  • #44
    Iancar29
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    lycan238 wrote: »
    In all honesty I am unsure what I want weather wise for this winter. Yes would love snow but at same time dont like the frosty mornings.

    wtf-is-wrong-with-you-290x166.png


  • #45
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Who doesn't love frosty mornings!


  • #46
    lycan238
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,244 ✭✭✭lycan238


    Carnacalla wrote: »
    Who doesn't love frosty mornings!

    Ok let me try and explain. I have no problem in waking up 15 mins early defrosting car thoroughly and leaving said 15 mins early for my destination. The problem arises when I drive my car onto the roads outside of the housing estate and other cars are either A not fully defrosted or B been driven without due care and attention to the road conditions (nearly had about 5 accidents due to this last year and none my fault). I find with snow that although some cars dont have clear windscreens most drivers make a far better effort than with frost and problem B is 99% solved as drivers can actually see the snow on the ground and slow down.


  • #47
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Not frosty mornings, more the ice and disruption caused by a snow/severe cold event?


  • #48
    lycan238
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,244 ✭✭✭lycan238


    Carnacalla wrote: »
    Not frosty mornings, more the ice and disruption caused by a snow/severe cold event?

    Yes ice more so than snow/sever cold event. I still have photos of the countryside from winter of 2010 on my camera.


  • #49
    ComfortKid
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,169 ✭✭✭ComfortKid


    lycan238 wrote:
    Ok let me try and explain. I have no problem in waking up 15 mins early defrosting car thoroughly and leaving said 15 mins early for my destination. The problem arises when I drive my car onto the roads outside of the housing estate and other cars are either A not fully defrosted or B been driven without due care and attention to the road conditions (nearly had about 5 accidents due to this last year and none my fault). I find with snow that although some cars dont have clear windscreens most drivers make a far better effort than with frost and problem B is 99% solved as drivers can actually see the snow on the ground and slow down.


    So you don't like driving in the frost but don't mind the snow? Hmm. You mostly can't see snow on the roads because it turns to a filthy grey slush. Snow also makes visibility alot worse. Your windows will still need thawing out with snow.

    Il take 120 frosty mornings every year if we could :)


  • #50
    lycan238
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,244 ✭✭✭lycan238


    ComfortKid wrote: »
    So you don't like driving in the frost but don't mind the snow? Hmm. You mostly can't see snow on the roads because it turns to a filthy grey slush. Snow also makes visibility alot worse. Your windows will still need thawing out with snow.

    Il take 120 frosty mornings every year if we could :)

    As I said in my post I have no problem getting up earlier fully defrosting my car windows and leaving earlier for my destination taking into account possible icy conditions as I clarified after my previous post. Most of my problems lie with drivers who get up at normal time don't take the extra time to fully defrost their vehicles and then drive to their destination during which due to their windscreens not being fully defrosted they have a reduced level of visibility during their journey. Also not taking into account a greater breaking distance in icy conditions (again clarified during previous response)

    Regarding snow I appreciate my previous post was vague but snow even if it has turned to mush is still more visible than ice (especially black ice) on most if not all roads.


  • #51
    ronnie3585
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,675 ✭✭✭ronnie3585


    Carnacalla wrote: »
    Who doesn't love frosty mornings!

    Golfers.


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