Galway festival

evd · 30-07-2015 9:35pm

shmeee wrote: »

Got word for Marnane's earlier in the week.

Have confidently backed it e/w @ 9/1. Fair price.

Which race??

shmeee · 30-07-2015 9:36pm

evd wrote: »

Which race is Marnanes in lads??

5.45 Galway.
Mr. Michael

9/1 best price, I was just coming on to post some word about it and nice to see the 2 lads have already mentioned it.

shmeee · 30-07-2015 9:40pm

PS. A Classic Tony Martin gamble going on in the 8.00, 7/1 into 5/2. Form reads 00-009

Value well and truly gone on it now!

Mostly Harmless · 30-07-2015 9:47pm

shmeee wrote: »

PS. A Classic Tony Martin gamble going on in the 8.00, 7/1 into 5/2. Form reads 00-009

Value well and truly gone on it now!

Seen that. 7s was a bit stuffy as it was, 5/2 is getting into the realms of insanity.

Just hoping it gets me a decent price on the Sheila Lavery runner - sadly none of the firms willing to push anything out against it yet

shmeee · 30-07-2015 9:51pm

Mostly Harmless wrote: »

Seen that. 7s was a bit stuffy as it was, 5/2 is getting into the realms of insanity.

Just hoping it gets me a decent price on the Sheila Lavery runner - sadly none of the firms willing to push anything out against it yet

When I seen it @ 5/2 I said it surely opened at double figures at least with a quick look at form. But the bookies don't give away too much.

Like yourself now, I was hopping it would put some value in the other runners but nothing yet.

The best book is @ 128% FFS like. Bookies being tight, take Goodwood tomorrow, the highest best book there is 118% but at least they are pushing out some runners when others take cash.

CH3OH · 30-07-2015 10:03pm

shmeee wrote: »

The best book is @ 128% FFS like. .

128% is not bad by Irish standards
The Guinness Hurdle today was 141%

I'm sure there was one earlier this week that was around 160%

shmeee · 30-07-2015 10:20pm

CH3OH wrote: »

128% is not bad by Irish standards
The Guinness Hurdle today was 141%

I'm sure there was one earlier this week that was around 160%

I know Irish books are awful in general and as you said some of the big races in particular, but not one horse is pushed out here in the 8.00.

Shemale · 30-07-2015 11:15pm

krustydoyle wrote: »

If i bought a horse De Bromhead would surely be on my list of trainers to send it to.

I know one of the lads that has a share in Damesfirth and he treats them really well
comes across very well in his interviews too.

Was in a syndicate with him and the information about the horse was ****e and late, when it finally won the update was no more positive than any of the horses **** performances and the price was gone before we got the info.

In three years I got to see the horse in his yard once

krustydoyle · 30-07-2015 11:31pm

Shemale wrote: »

Was in a syndicate with him and the information about the horse was ****e and late, when it finally won the update was no more positive than any of the horses **** performances and the price was gone before we got the info.

In three years I got to see the horse in his yard once

Sorry to hear that Shemale, i was only going on what ive heard from that member of the Damesfirth syndicate

Shemale · 30-07-2015 11:57pm

Riviera Sun looks very interesting in the first, I was very taken by his last run, I think he could be quite useful and 11/2 looks way too tasty.

Shemale · 31-07-2015 12:06am

krustydoyle wrote: »

Sorry to hear that Shemale, i was only going on what ive heard from that member of the Damesfirth syndicate

No bother, just throwing in my two cents. Can't fault him as a trainer, his chasers are always impeccable jumpers.

Left the syndicate after his win, had bets ranging from €80 to €300 in his first few races, the update was so low key I only put €20 on him.

Henry sent two to the races that day, both won, nice double landed for the yard meanwhile I am down the guts of €4,000.

ShaneU · 31-07-2015 12:29am

Up 40 points this week, let the luck continue!

Connecticut 2.00
Convey 2.35
Golden Spear 6.50
Dea Dia 8.00

PM me nudes · 31-07-2015 2:53am

shmeee wrote: »

PS. A Classic Tony Martin gamble going on in the 8.00, 7/1 into 5/2. Form reads 00-009

Value well and truly gone on it now!

Backed from 16s into 6s the last day and won poorly

No surprise the bookies arent taking chances, especially being Breslin owned

Francie Barrett · 31-07-2015 9:15am

Shemale wrote: »

Riviera Sun looks very interesting in the first, I was very taken by his last run, I think he could be quite useful and 11/2 looks way too tasty.

Think it has a great chance but will take the bigger odds of 25/1 on Tribes And Banner as an each way shot. This one has a decently low handicap rating, will appreciate the good ground and has always put in decent performances at Galway. Hopefully the showers don't lead to any easing of the ground as I reckon this one should come on nicely from the run it had last month.

Francie Barrett · 31-07-2015 9:28am

Pictogram has the outstanding breeding of any horse in the 7:25, but am going to take the bigger odds of 7/2 that are available on Van Schaick. It has shown some nice and steady improvement since its debut. First time application of blinkers is very telling and suggests maybe that a little extra can be gotten out of this horse, which might be enough to see it to victory today.

skippymac6 · 31-07-2015 9:30am

PM me nudes wrote: »

Backed from 16s into 6s the last day and won poorly

No surprise the bookies arent taking chances, especially being Breslin owned

Missed the boat on this one. The missus does business with John's brother Michael and he said to back Tudor City this week wherever he ends up. Went out for a few pints last night and missed the price.

Peintre Celebre · 31-07-2015 9:51am

I'd give Seefood an each say chance with conditions to suit in the third. 25/1 five places with a good claimer

Francie Barrett · 31-07-2015 9:56am

skippymac6 wrote: »

Missed the boat on this one. The missus does business with John's brother Michael and he said to back Tudor City this week wherever he ends up. Went out for a few pints last night and missed the price.

Hope it gets stuffed, can never catch Toady Martin.

skippymac6 · 31-07-2015 10:00am

Francie Barrett wrote: »

Hope it gets stuffed, can never catch Toady Martin.

Yeah he's some snake. They should get some money out of it though as most places were offering 1/4 odds first four so they should be looking at a nice e/w payout at the least if their confidence is justified.

FrKurtFahrt · 31-07-2015 10:45am

CH3OH wrote: »

128% is not bad by Irish standards
The Guinness Hurdle today was 141%

I'm sure there was one earlier this week that was around 160%

Please excuse my ignorance, but (genuine question) what does all that mean - the percentages? I've seen percentages quoted on ATR and haven't a clue what it means.

Johner · 31-07-2015 10:49am

Riviera Sun and Clondaw Warrior for me today.

Also backed Lady Clair at Thirsk at 11/10. She didn't beat much on her debut but the way travelled and quickened was very impressive, she's still entered in the Lowther and is well thought of. I think she'll hack up off an opening mark of 77.

CH3OH · 31-07-2015 10:55am

FrKurtFahrt wrote: »

Please excuse my ignorance, but (genuine question) what does all that mean - the percentages? I've seen percentages quoted on ATR and haven't a clue what it means.

Here's a link that might explain it

http://www.bettingmarket.com/overround.htm

On betfair the book is always very close to 100%

The higher the % , the higher the potential bookie profit subject to him balancing the book

muppetkiller · 31-07-2015 11:02am

Francie Barrett wrote: »

Think it has a great chance but will take the bigger odds of 25/1 on Tribes And Banner as an each way shot. This one has a decently low handicap rating, will appreciate the good ground and has always put in decent performances at Galway. Hopefully the showers don't lead to any easing of the ground as I reckon this one should come on nicely from the run it had last month.

It's pouring rain all morning...I'd say it's down for the day too.

Peintre Celebre · 31-07-2015 11:07am

FrKurtFahrt wrote: »

Please excuse my ignorance, but (genuine question) what does all that mean - the percentages? I've seen percentages quoted on ATR and haven't a clue what it means.

Put simply if the book is 130% you'd need to stake 130 to get 100 if spread across all the runners. Effectively margin on the book (there are people here who can explain it much better)

mickey1979 · 31-07-2015 11:19am

Be fair Irish Racing needs big percentages due to the large amount of non-triers also we have serious offers in comparison to an English betting shops. 5 places in some big Sat Handicaps. 1/4 the odds and BPG. Paddy Power and Boyles do some offers

Francie Barrett · 31-07-2015 11:20am

muppetkiller wrote: »

It's pouring rain all morning...I'd say it's down for the day too.

I know - I opened my big mouth and the drizzle turned heavier :pac:

Stacksey · 31-07-2015 11:23am

Johner wrote: »

Riviera Sun and Clondaw Warrior for me today.

Also backed Lady Clair at Thirsk at 11/10. She didn't beat much on her debut but the way travelled and quickened was very impressive, she's still entered in the Lowther and is well thought of. I think she'll hack up off an opening mark of 77.

Geraghty will be gunning for a win today!!

shamdrog63 · 31-07-2015 11:25am

Johner wrote: »

Riviera Sun and Clondaw Warrior for me today.

Also backed Lady Clair at Thirsk at 11/10. She didn't beat much on her debut but the way travelled and quickened was very impressive, she's still entered in the Lowther and is well thought of. I think she'll hack up off an opening mark of 77.

Agree with you on Lady Clair also think Latharnach 2.35 Good. and Fadhayil 4.55 Good will make up a short priced treble.

Alfred Borden · 31-07-2015 11:28am

Bets for today:

5:45 Mr Michael
6:50 Golden Spear
8:30 Certerach

Megager · 31-07-2015 11:54am

Surely Weld will have a few winners tonight. Unlikely to be any value though. I think the 7:25 and 8:30 are the most likely though he could sneak a treble. Of the others who'd be most likely do ye reckon?

Galway festival

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