Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

thomond2006 · 02-05-2015 08:48AM

5 units 5/4 - Clermont to win
.5 units 7/4 - Nalaga try 80 mins
.5 units 11/2 - J Davies try 80 mins
.5 units 11/4 - Clermont try in each half

matthew8 · 02-05-2015 07:59PM

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit each Sharks +6.5 2.01, Brumbies -1.5 1.97, Force +8 (asian) 1.97, Hurricanes -3.5 1.94 and Bulls -8.5 1.93.

matthew8 wrote: »

192 staked, +60.87.

199 staked, +57.66.

thomond2006 · 04-05-2015 02:51PM

thomond2006 wrote: »

5 units 5/4 - Clermont to win
.5 units 7/4 - Nalaga try 80 mins
.5 units 11/2 - J Davies try 80 mins
.5 units 11/4 - Clermont try in each half

New Balance: 44.87 units

Del.Monte · 04-05-2015 09:54PM

After a total wipeout on the Edinburgh vs Gloucester game I moved next week's gambling budget to this week. Broke my own rules but it paid off and as a result I'm just over 25% up on the weekend. Sorry for the after timing but it was last minute stuff as usual.

thomond2006 · 06-05-2015 08:21PM

Toulon are currently available at -9 at home to Castres. Apparently Castres are waving the white flag at this and not sending their strongest side with a relegation eight pointer at home to Brive on the following weekend. Toulon will probably rest players after what was a very tough, physical final but even a Toulon second team should cover that 'cap against a weak Castres team.

matthew8 · 07-05-2015 02:20PM

1 unit each Hurricanes -9.5 1.93, Crusaders -17.5 1.96, Blues +4.5 1.9, Waratahs -8.5 1.95, Lions win (moneylne) 1.96, Stormers -2.5 1.99.

sydthebeat · 07-05-2015 02:24PM

ah jaysus, leinster are -24 in the handicap

have to bet against that

sydthebeat · 07-05-2015 02:25PM

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit each Hurricanes -9.5 1.93, Crusaders -17.5 1.96, Blues +4.5 1.9, Waratahs -8.5 1.95, Lions win (moneylne) 1.96, Stormers -2.5 1.99.

dont like betting on the highlanders, do ya? :P

matthew8 · 07-05-2015 02:50PM

sydthebeat wrote: »

dont like betting on the highlanders, do ya? :P

Unfortunately they have a knack for doing just enough and not impressing me, I think they've been a team to follow on the handicaps this year but away to the Lions and they're the favourites, I'll have to oppose. Have to say I think Leinster will hockey Treviso tomorrow, forget what they did to Munster last week they're a terrible team.

sydthebeat · 07-05-2015 02:57PM

matthew8 wrote: »

Unfortunately they have a knack for doing just enough and not impressing me, I think they've been a team to follow on the handicaps this year but away to the Lions and they're the favourites, I'll have to oppose. Have to say I think Leinster will hockey Treviso tomorrow, forget what they did to Munster last week they're a terrible team.

the highlanders team is quite settled at this stage and they will be planning a better end to the season than last year.

i think the lions are reaching heady heights and if the season were to finish now theyd be happy.

PP has the lions as -1 favs.

and i agree about treviso, its just leinster have failed to do anything impressive all season

thomond2006 · 07-05-2015 02:58PM

thomond2006 wrote: »

Toulon are currently available at -9 at home to Castres. Apparently Castres are waving the white flag at this and not sending their strongest side with a relegation eight pointer at home to Brive on the following weekend. Toulon will probably rest players after what was a very tough, physical final but even a Toulon second team should cover that 'cap against a weak Castres team.

Gone out to -11 now. Toulon have named a strong squad, team to be named tomorrow.

matthew8 · 07-05-2015 03:03PM

sydthebeat wrote: »

the highlanders team is quite settled at this stage and they will be planning a better end to the season than last year.

i think the lions are reaching heady heights and if the season were to finish now theyd be happy.

PP has the lions as -1 favs.

and i agree about treviso, its just leinster have failed to do anything impressive all season

Highlanders are probably a bit better than the Lions but with home advantage worth around 3 points I have to back the Lions for the win. They look very much like a team that knows how to win as well, I don't think they're much different to the Highlanders, and you have to bear in mind that the Highlanders have just had to travel a very long distance for this match. I think people are focusing too much on Leinster and not enough on Treviso, this is the team that Edinburgh thrashed twice, that gave the Dragons nothing to think about it. I think this will be Castres home all over again for Leinster.

Del.Monte · 09-05-2015 10:29AM

Anybody else think Ulster -3 is a safe one? Munster look better on paper but their form has been all over the place this season. On a more optimistic note CJ Stander anytime try at 11/4 also looks tempting and same for Simon Zebo at 11/5.

thomond2006 · 09-05-2015 10:32AM

Old Balance: 44.87 units

- 7.5 units (10/11) Toulon -9

New Balance: 37.37 units

its_phil · 09-05-2015 12:51PM

Connacht into -6 from -8 and Zebre to recieve first yellow is 5/4. Connacht winning in Fair Play league with 8 yellows, while Zebre have 24.

thomond2006 · 10-05-2015 09:46PM

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 44.87 units

- 7.5 units (10/11) Toulon -9

New Balance: 37.37 units

Boom: 51.69 units

5 units (10/11) Clermont -8
2 units (5/2) Munster to win Pro12 regular season

New Balance: 44.69 units

If Munster get a TBP win and Ospreys & Glasgow don't then Munster finish top. Really good odds IMO.

thomond2006 · 12-05-2015 01:03PM

Bernard Laporte has confirmed Toulon will be sending the seconds to Clermont. Clermont are currently -8 on PP and I'm sure that will move when the teams are announced.

RR are suggesting the following team:
Fresia, Burden, Castrogiovanni, Suta, Taofifenua, Vosloo, Bruni, Gorgodze
Escande, Seuteni, Tuisova, Yobo, Mermoz, Smith, Habana.

matthew8 · 14-05-2015 11:57AM

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit each Hurricanes -9.5 1.93, Crusaders -17.5 1.96, Blues +4.5 1.9, Waratahs -8.5 1.95, Lions win (moneylne) 1.96, Stormers -2.5 1.99.

matthew8 wrote: »

199 staked, +57.66.

205 staked, +55.58. 1 unit each Bulls -2.5 1.94, Reds +3 (asian) 1.93, Chiefs +3 (asian) 1.94, Waratahs -9.5 1.92, Brumbies -2.5 1.98, Highlanders -5 (asian) 1.94.

matthew8 · 15-05-2015 05:32PM

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit Australia -11 1.91. 6 units London Welsh bottom of premiership 4/6.

211 staked, +59.58. Should have put the house on this one, writing was on the wall after losing 0-52 to Exeter in round one. 4/6 proved a crazy price.

thomond2006 · 15-05-2015 07:43PM

thomond2006 wrote: »

Boom: 51.69 units

5 units (10/11) Clermont -8
2 units (5/2) Munster to win Pro12 regular season

New Balance: 44.69 units

If Munster get a TBP win and Ospreys & Glasgow don't then Munster finish top. Really good odds IMO.

Old Balance: 51.69 units

5 units (10/11) Clermont -8
2 units (5/2) Munster to win Pro12 regular season
.5 units (5/1) Brive to win

New Balance: 44.19 units

typhoony · 16-05-2015 02:48PM

doing my usual handicap 1st half bet at the Sportsground, whichever team is playing towards the college road end will have the wind at their back.

matthew8 · 16-05-2015 08:30PM

matthew8 wrote: »

211 staked, +59.58. Should have put the house on this one, writing was on the wall after losing 0-52 to Exeter in round one. 4/6 proved a crazy price.

matthew8 wrote: »

205 staked, +55.58. 1 unit each Bulls -2.5 1.94, Reds +3 (asian) 1.93, Chiefs +3 (asian) 1.94, Waratahs -9.5 1.92, Brumbies -2.5 1.98, Highlanders -5 (asian) 1.94.

217 staked, +61.35.

thomond2006 · 17-05-2015 10:00PM

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 51.69 units

5 units (10/11) Clermont -8
2 units (5/2) Munster to win Pro12 regular season
.5 units (5/1) Brive to win

New Balance: 44.19 units

Wipeout. How Clermont did not put a score on that Toulon lineup is beyond me.

Guy:Incognito · 17-05-2015 10:01PM

You were robbed on that try decision at the end.

thomond2006 · 17-05-2015 10:04PM

Guy:Incognito wrote: »

You were robbed on that try decision at the end.

Meh, it happens. There has been plenty bets where the reverse happened. Nothing better than winning a bet you shouldn't have!

matthew8 · 20-05-2015 06:20PM

1 unit each Bulls +6.5 1.94, Reds -1 (asian) 1.98.

matthew8 · 21-05-2015 12:26PM

1 unit each Blues +6.5 2.01, Lions -2 1.93 (asian).

thomond2006 · 21-05-2015 10:24PM

Old Balance: 44.19 units

- 9 units (4/9) Munster to win
- 10 units (2/5) Munster to qualify for the final

New Balance: 25.19 units

matthew8 · 21-05-2015 10:27PM

1 unit each Stormers -11.5 1.92, Waratahs -2 (asian) 1.92, Force +5 (asian) 1.94.

matthew8 · 28-05-2015 07:59PM

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit each Stormers -11.5 1.92, Waratahs -2 (asian) 1.92, Force +5 (asian) 1.94.

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit each Blues +6.5 2.01, Lions -2 1.93 (asian).

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit each Bulls +6.5 1.94, Reds -1 (asian) 1.98.

224 staked, +60.12. 1 unit each, Hurricanes -2.5 1.89, Bulls +7.5 1.93, Rebels +8 (asian) 1.93, Highlanders -2.5 1.94, Reds +3 (asian) 1.94, Waratahs -2.5 1.94, Cheetahs +15.5 2.02.

Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

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