Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

thomond2006

5 units 5/4 - Clermont to win
.5 units 7/4 - Nalaga try 80 mins
.5 units 11/2 - J Davies try 80 mins
.5 units 11/4 - Clermont try in each half

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit each Sharks +6.5 2.01, Brumbies -1.5 1.97, Force +8 (asian) 1.97, Hurricanes -3.5 1.94 and Bulls -8.5 1.93.

matthew8 wrote: »

192 staked, +60.87.

199 staked, +57.66.

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

5 units 5/4 - Clermont to win
.5 units 7/4 - Nalaga try 80 mins
.5 units 11/2 - J Davies try 80 mins
.5 units 11/4 - Clermont try in each half

New Balance: 44.87 units

Del.Monte

After a total wipeout on the Edinburgh vs Gloucester game I moved next week's gambling budget to this week. Broke my own rules but it paid off and as a result I'm just over 25% up on the weekend. Sorry for the after timing but it was last minute stuff as usual.

thomond2006

Toulon are currently available at -9 at home to Castres. Apparently Castres are waving the white flag at this and not sending their strongest side with a relegation eight pointer at home to Brive on the following weekend. Toulon will probably rest players after what was a very tough, physical final but even a Toulon second team should cover that 'cap against a weak Castres team.

matthew8

1 unit each Hurricanes -9.5 1.93, Crusaders -17.5 1.96, Blues +4.5 1.9, Waratahs -8.5 1.95, Lions win (moneylne) 1.96, Stormers -2.5 1.99.

sydthebeat

ah jaysus, leinster are -24 in the handicap

have to bet against that

sydthebeat

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit each Hurricanes -9.5 1.93, Crusaders -17.5 1.96, Blues +4.5 1.9, Waratahs -8.5 1.95, Lions win (moneylne) 1.96, Stormers -2.5 1.99.

dont like betting on the highlanders, do ya? :P

matthew8

sydthebeat wrote: »

dont like betting on the highlanders, do ya? :P

Unfortunately they have a knack for doing just enough and not impressing me, I think they've been a team to follow on the handicaps this year but away to the Lions and they're the favourites, I'll have to oppose. Have to say I think Leinster will hockey Treviso tomorrow, forget what they did to Munster last week they're a terrible team.

sydthebeat

matthew8 wrote: »

Unfortunately they have a knack for doing just enough and not impressing me, I think they've been a team to follow on the handicaps this year but away to the Lions and they're the favourites, I'll have to oppose. Have to say I think Leinster will hockey Treviso tomorrow, forget what they did to Munster last week they're a terrible team.

the highlanders team is quite settled at this stage and they will be planning a better end to the season than last year.

i think the lions are reaching heady heights and if the season were to finish now theyd be happy.

PP has the lions as -1 favs.


and i agree about treviso, its just leinster have failed to do anything impressive all season

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Toulon are currently available at -9 at home to Castres. Apparently Castres are waving the white flag at this and not sending their strongest side with a relegation eight pointer at home to Brive on the following weekend. Toulon will probably rest players after what was a very tough, physical final but even a Toulon second team should cover that 'cap against a weak Castres team.

Gone out to -11 now. Toulon have named a strong squad, team to be named tomorrow.

matthew8

sydthebeat wrote: »

the highlanders team is quite settled at this stage and they will be planning a better end to the season than last year.

i think the lions are reaching heady heights and if the season were to finish now theyd be happy.

PP has the lions as -1 favs.


and i agree about treviso, its just leinster have failed to do anything impressive all season

Highlanders are probably a bit better than the Lions but with home advantage worth around 3 points I have to back the Lions for the win. They look very much like a team that knows how to win as well, I don't think they're much different to the Highlanders, and you have to bear in mind that the Highlanders have just had to travel a very long distance for this match. I think people are focusing too much on Leinster and not enough on Treviso, this is the team that Edinburgh thrashed twice, that gave the Dragons nothing to think about it. I think this will be Castres home all over again for Leinster.

Del.Monte

Anybody else think Ulster -3 is a safe one? Munster look better on paper but their form has been all over the place this season. On a more optimistic note CJ Stander anytime try at 11/4 also looks tempting and same for Simon Zebo at 11/5.

thomond2006

Old Balance: 44.87 units

- 7.5 units (10/11) Toulon -9

New Balance: 37.37 units

its_phil

Connacht into -6 from -8 and Zebre to recieve first yellow is 5/4. Connacht winning in Fair Play league with 8 yellows, while Zebre have 24.

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 44.87 units

- 7.5 units (10/11) Toulon -9

New Balance: 37.37 units

Boom: 51.69 units

5 units (10/11) Clermont -8
2 units (5/2) Munster to win Pro12 regular season

New Balance: 44.69 units

If Munster get a TBP win and Ospreys & Glasgow don't then Munster finish top. Really good odds IMO.

thomond2006

Bernard Laporte has confirmed Toulon will be sending the seconds to Clermont. Clermont are currently -8 on PP and I'm sure that will move when the teams are announced.

RR are suggesting the following team:
Fresia, Burden, Castrogiovanni, Suta, Taofifenua, Vosloo, Bruni, Gorgodze
Escande, Seuteni, Tuisova, Yobo, Mermoz, Smith, Habana.

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit each Hurricanes -9.5 1.93, Crusaders -17.5 1.96, Blues +4.5 1.9, Waratahs -8.5 1.95, Lions win (moneylne) 1.96, Stormers -2.5 1.99.

matthew8 wrote: »

199 staked, +57.66.

205 staked, +55.58. 1 unit each Bulls -2.5 1.94, Reds +3 (asian) 1.93, Chiefs +3 (asian) 1.94, Waratahs -9.5 1.92, Brumbies -2.5 1.98, Highlanders -5 (asian) 1.94.

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit Australia -11 1.91. 6 units London Welsh bottom of premiership 4/6.

211 staked, +59.58. Should have put the house on this one, writing was on the wall after losing 0-52 to Exeter in round one. 4/6 proved a crazy price.

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Boom: 51.69 units

5 units (10/11) Clermont -8
2 units (5/2) Munster to win Pro12 regular season

New Balance: 44.69 units

If Munster get a TBP win and Ospreys & Glasgow don't then Munster finish top. Really good odds IMO.

Old Balance: 51.69 units

5 units (10/11) Clermont -8
2 units (5/2) Munster to win Pro12 regular season
.5 units (5/1) Brive to win

New Balance: 44.19 units

typhoony

doing my usual handicap 1st half bet at the Sportsground, whichever team is playing towards the college road end will have the wind at their back.

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

211 staked, +59.58. Should have put the house on this one, writing was on the wall after losing 0-52 to Exeter in round one. 4/6 proved a crazy price.

matthew8 wrote: »

205 staked, +55.58. 1 unit each Bulls -2.5 1.94, Reds +3 (asian) 1.93, Chiefs +3 (asian) 1.94, Waratahs -9.5 1.92, Brumbies -2.5 1.98, Highlanders -5 (asian) 1.94.

217 staked, +61.35.

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 51.69 units

5 units (10/11) Clermont -8
2 units (5/2) Munster to win Pro12 regular season
.5 units (5/1) Brive to win

New Balance: 44.19 units

Wipeout. How Clermont did not put a score on that Toulon lineup is beyond me.

Guy:Incognito

You were robbed on that try decision at the end.

thomond2006

Guy:Incognito wrote: »

You were robbed on that try decision at the end.

Meh, it happens. There has been plenty bets where the reverse happened. Nothing better than winning a bet you shouldn't have!

matthew8

1 unit each Bulls +6.5 1.94, Reds -1 (asian) 1.98.

matthew8

1 unit each Blues +6.5 2.01, Lions -2 1.93 (asian).

thomond2006

Old Balance: 44.19 units

- 9 units (4/9) Munster to win
- 10 units (2/5) Munster to qualify for the final

New Balance: 25.19 units

matthew8

1 unit each Stormers -11.5 1.92, Waratahs -2 (asian) 1.92, Force +5 (asian) 1.94.

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit each Stormers -11.5 1.92, Waratahs -2 (asian) 1.92, Force +5 (asian) 1.94.

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit each Blues +6.5 2.01, Lions -2 1.93 (asian).

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit each Bulls +6.5 1.94, Reds -1 (asian) 1.98.

224 staked, +60.12. 1 unit each, Hurricanes -2.5 1.89, Bulls +7.5 1.93, Rebels +8 (asian) 1.93, Highlanders -2.5 1.94, Reds +3 (asian) 1.94, Waratahs -2.5 1.94, Cheetahs +15.5 2.02.