The Football Tips Thread IV

Austria! wrote: »

I don't know German football at home, but the 1.8 for Bayern is all wrong. Furth have lost all but 3 of their home games, and Bayern are 3rd. Can anyone explain that pricing?

Bad loss for me and a shocking game too.
Bradford would have beaten either of those teams.

Put Bayer on an accum. Fooked already.

Backing 0-0 at HT in PSG Marseille at 15/8.
Alot of psg games start slowly especially at home and Marseilles average time they concede 1st away from home is the 52nd min.

Btts in psg match 11/10 think be close match

Milan derby btts and over 6.5 cards 1.99/1

Shane St. wrote: »

Atletico Madrid v Espanyol
A bet to maybe consider is Atletico Madrid to win to nil at 21/20
They have won their last 7 home games to nil and Espanyol have failed to score in 3 of their last 5.
EDIT: Actually probably not the best bet, Espanyol are the form team in Spain 16 pts from 18.

went with it after my double came in..... just can't lose at the moment :D

Radonman wrote: »

Newcastle v Southampton - Southampton DC @ 7/10. Southampton just 3 defeats in 16 (remember they beat Man City last week too) and Newcastle coming off a tough European away game (minus Krul) - Newcastle have won just twice after mid week European games. Southampton are flying atm and with Ricky Lambert and Puncheon both flying i'll be taking the 7/10

Sorry for those who followed but the bet made sense - how the fuk did i know that a team that traveled over 3500 miles a few days earlier would finish the stronger

West Ham v Tottenham
Monday night's Premier League clash sees an off form West Ham host a Spurs side unbeaten in their last 10 league games and still going strong in Europe. As stated West ham are struggling for form at the moment having lost 3 of their last 4. Looking closer at their home form and it is clear where their strength lies. They have picked up 22 of their 30 points at Upton Park.
They have won 2 of their last 3 at home however, and have held Man City at home aswell as beating Chelsea earlier in the season. Spurs have drawn 2 of their last 3 on the road. With Jermain Defoe injured at the moment and Adebayor very ineffective this term, reflected in his disappointing total of just two league goals, the goalscoring burden is very much on Gareth Bale at the moment. To be fair he has responded to this increased goal scoring responsibility of late. He had scored Spurs' last 6 goals in all competitions before Moussa Dembele's late late strike in Lyon. That game in Lyon was the quietest I have seen him in a while and he was very ineffective. You wonder what effect the midweek game will have had, fatigue could come into it.
The goals have dried up of late for Spurs (5 goals in last 5 league games as opposed to 10 in the previous 5 games). West Ham have only conceded more than one goal at home on 3 occasions (Incidentally these 3 games they lost) and kept a clean sheet against Swansea last time. West Ham have one of the tightest pitches in the league, and with Spur's strength primarily coming from the wings I can see this limiting Spurs' attacking play.
West ham have scored in all but one of their home games, while Spurs have scored in all but one of their away games. I can see this game being 1-1.
Under 2.5 goals 9/10 (6/8 unders has come in)
Draw 12/5
Bale anytime 7/5 (4 goals in his last 3 league games)
Correct Score 1-1 5/1

eh i dunno wrote: »

http://int.soccerway.com/matches/2013/02/25/turkey/super-lig/galatasaray-sk/orduspor/1327744/

Orduspor havent scored a goal in last 5 away games. Away to Gala tonight and evens to not score. Surely worth a few quid. And they havent scored more than one away from home since October 2011. Back them to score 1 goal at 6/4 and surely its a no brainer? Break even if they dont score and make profit if they score 1. Cry if they somehow score 2

Based on the above, I'm gonna take Gala to win to nil & 7/5 with PP - small stake for a bit of interest as Gala don't keep too many clean sheets

Smithwicks Man wrote: »

:rolleyes:

I dislike rolleyes reply
If you have nothing constructive to say, don't post. If you haven't honestly think there isn't match fixing in those leagues, you are clueless. Italy one of the most corrupt countries in Europe (politics etc etc) , where they actually arrested Admir Suljic who is from the Asian match fixers who concentrated on Italian soccer since 2008

Smithwicks Man wrote: »

Lazio lose to Siena - FIX

Have had a couple of big bets in 2013, Sienna to beat Inter& Lazio were two of the biggest ones. :D No fix about them. And if you just studied the statistics on Siena's home games you could see they were great value in both of these games against two teams Lazio and Inter that struggle away from home, although Inter's struggles away only started in November.

PP closed da shop for the late Argentina game River Plate/Tigre last night, was looking to jump on River Plate when they went a goal down - ended up winning 3-2. Sometimes you just get a "feel" for a game, dunno whether in the greater realm of things it's an apparent fix. But I suspect that when we're balancing the book, we have been the unwitting winners in as many "fixed" games as we've lost

Headshot wrote: »

I dislike rolleyes reply
If you have nothing constructive to say, don't post. If you haven't honestly think there isn't match fixing in those leagues, you are clueless. Italy one of the most corrupt countries in Europe (politics etc etc) , where they actually arrested Admir Suljic who is from the Asian match fixers who concentrated on Italian soccer since 2008

These days in Italy I would say that is almost entirely Serie B regarding results after the game was purged in recent years so I wouldn't have an issue at present with Serie A.

Regarding markets such as cards, time of first goal, ect you are taking a bigger risk than playing the win-draw-win market.

Aside from Juventus every other team has failed to win more than half their away matches this season which is quite common in leagues all over the world so I wouldn't be screaming about corruption if you choose to back the away team.