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Nigel Farage MEP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭McDave


    NAP123 wrote: »
    Most of the banks in the EU are insolvent and only survive on the free money the ECB is giving with the aid of the Federal Reserve.
    What makes you think the ECB money is 'free'?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭McDave


    NAP123 wrote: »
    The current crisis was always a banking crisis, not a sovereign debt crisis.

    The reason it became a sovereign debt crisis was because of the decision by the ECB, to save every bank in the EU with tax payers money, rather than printed money.

    The banks were, are and will continue to be the problem.
    No. The crisis is both a banking and a sovereign debt problem, with different combinations in different countries.

    For instance, in Ireland we have three main problems:

    1. The sovereign problem caused by the collapse of a bubble which hid the fact of our structural budget deficit, which was high before the C****c T***r and has returned with a vengeance. At the core of our sovereign debt problem is the construction of a massive public sector apparatus which has become impossible to feed. Not to mention social welfare and future pension commitments.

    2. The financial problems in our systemic banks. These are banks that should service the needs of our real economy. But they became so compromised by their poor practices and lack of parliamentary/regulatory oversight that they had to be saved at huge costs to the public purse.

    3. The financial problems in our pirate banks - Anglo etc. - which took on debt of unimaginable proportions and which our idiot government chose to privatise.

    Spain has a mostly financial crisis. But also it's economy rested on a bubble as well. People overcommitted to property purchases on the basis of unreal earnings expectations. At least they don't seem to have an Anglo-style problem.

    Italy's main problem is an outsized and still growing *sovereign* national debt, double the Maastricht recommendation.

    Greece's problem is a *sovereign* one resting mainly on its inability to collect taxes. On top of this there was a banking crisis. But the worst of Greece's problems is its failure as a sovereign state.

    What EZ policy hopes to achieve is to get members to bring their sovereign debt down to really low levels, and to introduce EZ-wide regulation of the financial sector. I think policy-makers fundamentally understand the complexity of the problem, and that it can't be blamed entirely on banking and finance.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,283 ✭✭✭✭Scofflaw


    McDave wrote:
    Greece's problem is a *sovereign* one resting mainly on its inability to collect taxes. On top of this there was a banking crisis. But the worst of Greece's problems is its failure as a sovereign state.

    To be fair, the Greek banks' problem was that they had bought Greek sovereign debt.

    cordially,
    Scofflaw


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 85 ✭✭NAP123


    McDave wrote: »
    No. The crisis is both a banking and a sovereign debt problem, with different combinations in different countries.

    For instance, in Ireland we have three main problems:

    1. The sovereign problem caused by the collapse of a bubble which hid the fact of our structural budget deficit, which was high before the C****c T***r and has returned with a vengeance. At the core of our sovereign debt problem is the construction of a massive public sector apparatus which has become impossible to feed. Not to mention social welfare and future pension commitments.

    2. The financial problems in our systemic banks. These are banks that should service the needs of our real economy. But they became so compromised by their poor practices and lack of parliamentary/regulatory oversight that they had to be saved at huge costs to the public purse.

    3. The financial problems in our pirate banks - Anglo etc. - which took on debt of unimaginable proportions and which our idiot government chose to privatise.

    Spain has a mostly financial crisis. But also it's economy rested on a bubble as well. People overcommitted to property purchases on the basis of unreal earnings expectations. At least they don't seem to have an Anglo-style problem.

    Italy's main problem is an outsized and still growing *sovereign* national debt, double the Maastricht recommendation.

    Greece's problem is a *sovereign* one resting mainly on its inability to collect taxes. On top of this there was a banking crisis. But the worst of Greece's problems is its failure as a sovereign state.

    What EZ policy hopes to achieve is to get members to bring their sovereign debt down to really low levels, and to introduce EZ-wide regulation of the financial sector. I think policy-makers fundamentally understand the complexity of the problem, and that it can't be blamed entirely on banking and finance.

    It is a banking crisis.

    Any sovereign crisis was because of the policy of the banking system.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭McDave


    NAP123 wrote: »
    It is a banking crisis.

    Any sovereign crisis was because of the policy of the banking system.
    I'm afraid you're wrong to assert the crisis is simply a banking one. It's obviously a major component. But it's not the sole factor. Depending on the country, it is a combination.

    It's obvious that some countries have encountered problems rolling over existing bonds and paying for new borrowing because investors have had doubts about their ability to pay.

    Ireland has a clear and obvious sovereign debt problem based on the gap between its revenues and its expenditures, even leaving the promissory note repayments out of the equation.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,117 ✭✭✭shanered


    Ireland's debt is more or less created with the banking debt we encountered, to claim that we are anywhere in the region of 80-90 billion in debt because of the our expenditure to income ratio is purely madness.
    We are broke because we bailed out the banks.
    We may have been running slightly over budget in day to day terms, but the debt that we have been laden with is because of the banks.
    To say that our problem is because of your so called gap between expenditure and income is to a certain extent true but clearly distorts the fact that the majority of Ireland debt at the moment is because we are bailing out the banks.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,283 ✭✭✭✭Scofflaw


    shanered wrote: »
    Ireland's debt is more or less created with the banking debt we encountered, to claim that we are anywhere in the region of 80-90 billion in debt because of the our expenditure to income ratio is purely madness.
    We are broke because we bailed out the banks.
    We may have been running slightly over budget in day to day terms, but the debt that we have been laden with is because of the banks.
    To say that our problem is because of your so called gap between expenditure and income is to a certain extent true but clearly distorts the fact that the majority of Ireland debt at the moment is because we are bailing out the banks.

    Er, no:

    Banking%252520and%252520Underlying%252520Deficits%25255B5%25255D.jpg

    and

    Debt%252520Changes%2525202008%252520to%2525202012_thumb%25255B2%25255D.jpg?imgmax=800

    http://economic-incentives.blogspot.ie/2013/01/debt-and-deficits-decomposed.html

    To put it another ay, by 2015, we're expecting to have a General Government Debt of €210bn. Of that, we inherited €47bn from 2007 (well, from the 80s, really), we spent €41bn or so on the banks, and the remaining €122bn is government deficits. That's in debt terms.

    If we assume that the money spent on the banks which didn't generate debt directly generated debt elsewhere, you could break those figures down as:

    Inherited: €47bn
    Banks: €62.5bn
    Deficit: €100bn

    The question of the real impact of that on day to day spending is rather different, because some of it has been paid directly, so it doesn't generate interest costs, while some of it has not actually been either paid or borrowed, so it doesn't really cost. I can come back to that, it's probably worth doing as an exercise.

    cordially,
    Scofflaw


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 85 ✭✭NAP123


    McDave wrote: »
    I'm afraid you're wrong to assert the crisis is simply a banking one. It's obviously a major component. But it's not the sole factor. Depending on the country, it is a combination.

    It's obvious that some countries have encountered problems rolling over existing bonds and paying for new borrowing because investors have had doubts about their ability to pay.

    Ireland has a clear and obvious sovereign debt problem based on the gap between its revenues and its expenditures, even leaving the promissory note repayments out of the equation.


    Ireland has a sovereign debt crisis because of a private banking crisis.

    The EU has a banking crisis. The world has a banking crisis.

    The penney will drop eventually, but most likely after all the banks have been remunerated with taxpayers money.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,797 ✭✭✭KyussBishop


    One thing to note about our public debt (and this is distinctly 'controversial', so bear with me...), is that if we had access to money creation (agreed at an EU level or whatnot), then we can both fund government spending, and pay interest on our debt, as well as pay down debts when they fall due, so long as we budget it so that we stay within an inflation target of say 2-4% (maybe even more wriggle room there, but set it at 4% for now).

    That, combined with getting interest rates on the debt down to a sustainable level (also with EU help), would mean we would still carry the debt around for a very long time, but it would not be the monstrous burden/impediment it currently is; the main harm from the debt, would be the inflation caused by paying the (then greatly reduced) interest rates on it, which would have to be factored into government spending for hitting the inflation target (the debts would eventually be extinguished altogether, after a very long time).


    If you start thinking of government spending in terms of hitting an inflation target (with that being the ceiling for spending, not the availability of money), there are a pretty wide range of options available for solving the entire crisis.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,872 ✭✭✭View


    NAP123 wrote: »
    Ireland has a sovereign debt crisis because of a private banking crisis.

    Grand, we'll just ignore that the IMF reckoned we needed a 50 billion bailout to cover our government expenditure deficit and a "mere" 17.5 billion bailout (in addition to the NPRF monies) for the banks.

    Sure, what do they know about debt crises?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭McDave


    NAP123 wrote: »
    Ireland has a sovereign debt crisis because of a private banking crisis.
    Ireland has a sovereign debt crisis because of:

    1. Massive annual budget overspend; and

    2. Commitments to cover private financial losses.

    The first part is down to our government overspend and is a crisis in its own right. It's there for all to see. There's no point in denying it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 85 ✭✭NAP123


    McDave wrote: »
    Ireland has a sovereign debt crisis because of:

    1. Massive annual budget overspend; and

    2. Commitments to cover private financial losses.

    The first part is down to our government overspend and is a crisis in its own right. It's there for all to see. There's no point in denying it.

    Nobody is denying that we have a deficit.

    How we deal with that deficit is the problem. Dealing with a deficit when you have incurred 70 billion of private bank debt and have had your hands tied by a Central Bank not of your making is the problem.

    We had a 40 billion of sovereign debt before the banks collapsed.

    We could have borrowed from the sovereign bondmarkets and cut at the same time, if we did not socialise private bank debt.

    Everything about our deficit was manageable without the banking crisis, the ECBs insistence on not letting any EU Banks fail and our forced bank reparations deal with the EU/ECB/IMF.

    Our current deficit is caused by unemployment and waste within our public servive.

    It won,t be solved by austerity, it will be solved by investment.

    The bank reparations deal caused by our private bank collapse has prevented us from making our own decisions and hence added further to our problems.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭McDave


    NAP123 wrote: »
    We had a 40 billion of sovereign debt before the banks collapsed.
    Of course, it's not €40 billion sovereign debt any more. You're conveniently ignoring that the sovereign debt has been further bloated every year since the banks collapsed because bubble era tax revenues from a phoney economy the banking sector was also based on collapsed.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭McDave


    NAP123 wrote: »
    Everything about our deficit was manageable without the banking crisis, the ECBs insistence on not letting any EU Banks fail and our forced bank reparations deal with the EU/ECB/IMF.

    Our current deficit is caused by unemployment and waste within our public servive.
    Easier said than done. It was very easy for FF to shovel money into benchmarking, bloated PS numbers, pensions, social welfare payments and lazily conceived projects like PPARS, electronic voting, etc. etc. etc. All on credit.

    And of course that's not taking into account FF's banking and finance non-policies, their bank guarantee and loading of the Anglo/INBS debts onto the taxpayer. The coalition has undone some of the damage here, but dealing with the shortcomings of our so-called systemic banks is another matter.

    Nope, it'll take quite some time to undo 14 years of FF profligacy and wind our deficit down to manageable proportions. With luck the coalition can do it by 2015. But at what opportunity cost.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭McDave


    NAP123 wrote: »
    Our current deficit is caused by unemployment and waste within our public servive.

    It won,t be solved by austerity, it will be solved by investment.
    What investment? With who's money? Specifics please.

    As I see it, the way things have panned out, there's no way to balance our budget other than to bring our state spending in line with our income. That will require reductions all round. That's not 'austerity'. That's bringing our expectations into line with our earnings.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭McDave


    NAP123 wrote: »
    The bank reparations deal caused by our private bank collapse has prevented us from making our own decisions and hence added further to our problems.
    The sovereignty we lost was down to our own poor domestic politics. Our government wasn't obliged by anybody else to pursue pro-cyclical policies, or to turn a complete blind eye to the chicanery of the financial sector.

    No. Running a successful economy means taking the right decisions, including hard ones. Not pleasing a credulous electorate as Ahern & Co did.

    There's a reason we're in hock. It's because we goofed up, and we're now borrowing money from entities who have got their act together. Maybe in de course we can learn the lessons and get ourselves into the position that our economy is in the black, and that we are one of the countries which is in a position to lend to others. And reap concomitant rewards.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,629 ✭✭✭Hunchback


    Saw Farage slated to sustained applause by a speaker in the EP on Thursday in relation to what the speaker criticised as the aforementioned's objectionable racism towards the newer accession states.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭McDave


    Saw Farage slated to sustained applause by a speaker in the EP on Thursday in relation to what the speaker criticised as the aforementioned's objectionable racism towards the newer accession states.
    Any link to a clip or report? Could be interesting.

    Farage has form with disparaging behaviour. Like Belgium not being a proper country back in Rompuy's early days: http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/feb/25/nigel-farage-herman-van-rompuy-damp-rag

    What a weasel Farage is.


  • Posts: 1,654 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Farage says some things that need to be said. He's a good orator too but, typical for a leader of a 'protest party', finds it easy to criticise but useless at being constructive.

    He has identified problems correctly in the UK but his diagnosis is incorrect and his solutions, no imigration and exiting the EU are not the right ones.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭McDave


    Farage says some things that need to be said. He's a good orator too but, typical for a leader of a 'protest party', finds it easy to criticise but useless at being constructive.

    He has identified problems correctly in the UK but his diagnosis is incorrect and his solutions, no imigration and exiting the EU are not the right ones.
    I personally have no objection to keeping 'the establishment' honest. And representative politics at EU level is crushingly boring.

    But AFAIC there's no call for personal insults and making fun of countries or cultures as gratuitously as Farage does. It really is a measure of the man. And to me he doesn't measure up to much.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,283 ✭✭✭✭Scofflaw


    Saw Farage slated to sustained applause by a speaker in the EP on Thursday in relation to what the speaker criticised as the aforementioned's objectionable racism towards the newer accession states.

    The more I see of the man, the more I am reminded of Enoch Powell. Of course in those days, it was immigration from the Commonwealth that was the rallying issue.

    cordially,
    Scofflaw


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 85 ✭✭NAP123


    McDave wrote: »
    The sovereignty we lost was down to our own poor domestic politics. Our government wasn't obliged by anybody else to pursue pro-cyclical policies, or to turn a complete blind eye to the chicanery of the financial sector.

    No. Running a successful economy means taking the right decisions, including hard ones. Not pleasing a credulous electorate as Ahern & Co did.

    There's a reason we're in hock. It's because we goofed up, and we're now borrowing money from entities who have got their act together. Maybe in de course we can learn the lessons and get ourselves into the position that our economy is in the black, and that we are one of the countries which is in a position to lend to others. And reap concomitant rewards.

    You can convince yourself of the lack of responsibility of the ECB and individual countries and private banks within those EU countries, for our banking crisis, all you want.

    You can also refuse to acknowledge their part in the stoking of our property bubble, but you will never convince me, that if we were not forced into a private bank reparations deal by the ECB/EU and Germany, we would not have had the capacity to correct our budget deficit with cuts and investments.

    As for where the investment would have come from, it would have come from the 24 billion worth of investment we could have borrowed from the pension reserve fund, if we were not forced to repay 64 billion of private bank debt.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,060 ✭✭✭✭biko


    Must say I like him. Here he is doing what he does best, showing how EU is using taxpayer's money to sustain itself.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 551 ✭✭✭Coyler


    Meanwhile in Russia, journalists often die by falling down a flight of bullets.:eek:

    Any chance you could link to something that verifies what he is saying? Is it by any chance the similar process that saw the "EU" "correct" this very forum through TalktoEU? Also, putting up just videos is against the charter which I thought a Mod should read/know.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,283 ✭✭✭✭Scofflaw


    Coyler wrote: »
    Meanwhile in Russia, journalists often die by falling down a flight of bullets.:eek:

    Any chance you could link to something that verifies what he is saying? Is it by any chance the similar process that saw the "EU" "correct" this very forum through TalktoEU? Also, putting up just videos is against the charter which I thought a Mod should read/know.

    [MOD]We're not as strict about it when it's not an OP, but yes, the video in question should come with a text summary for those who won't or can't watch the video. Usually we would just delete it, but since you've replied that option is no longer available.[/MOD]

    In this case, Farage is talking about a couple of million the Parliament are proposing to set aside for correcting misrepresentations and explaining their role in the run-up to the Euro elections in 2014. The sums involved are mostly being taken from other budgets, with something like €750k being fresh funding. On a per country basis, that works out as €75k per country, which will buy not very much, but there's a suggestion that they may concentrate on the more eurosceptical countries, because that's where most of the misrepresentations happen. I can't see that that's particularly arguable.

    As to how this compares with spending by other parliaments on similar social media initiatives, I couldn't say - where it happens, I suspect it's a little more than €75k per country.

    The origin is likely to be this Telegraph exclusive: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/eu/9845442/EU-to-set-up-euro-election-troll-patrol-to-tackle-Eurosceptic-surge.html
    The European Parliament is to spend almost £2 million on press monitoring and trawling Eurosceptic debates on the internet for "trolls" with whom to debate in the run-up and during euro-elections next year amid fears that hostility to the EU is growing.

    And that in turn has generated a certain amount of push-back from the Parliament:
    One can argue the EU, and the EP within it, should not exist at all. One might begrudgingly accept its existence and still berate it for being ‘out of touch’ with ordinary people in the member states.

    What a serious broadsheet should not do with a straight face, is berate that same institution for trying to get a sense of what people want, need and feel, for offering people a way to stay in touch and keep an eye on its workings, and for communicating what it has to say through means that ensure the message is received by the widest possible number of people.

    In any case the European Parliament is emphatically not setting up euro-election ‘troll patrol’ to “tackle Eurosceptic surge” and it is dishonest to imply so. The somewhat sinister sounding “public opinion monitoring tools” to “identify at an early stage whether debates of political nature among followers in social media and blogs have the potential to attract media and citizens’ interest” are commonly used modern tools of communication, as the reporter knows very well.

    The traditional "damned if you do, damned if you don't" option, basically - fail to listen/engage, and you're out of touch and remote, try to engage, and you're Big Brother. But it plays well for Farage's audience, and that's what counts. And it's certainly true that - from experience - money spent tracking down eurosceptic trolls and debating with them would be money completely wasted.

    cordially,
    Scofflaw


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭McDave


    NAP123 wrote: »
    You can convince yourself of the lack of responsibility of the ECB and individual countries and private banks within those EU countries, for our banking crisis, all you want.

    You can also refuse to acknowledge their part in the stoking of our property bubble
    The ECB had zero responsibility for our property bubble. Our property bubble, and its subsequent collapse, was down to FF's dire procyclical and 'light-touch' regulation policies, the unethical behaviour of our banks, and to an extent the credulousness of our electorate who never sought to put the brakes on Ahern-McCreevy's self-serving profligate ways.

    No matter how much the likes of Farage sneer at EU institutions, our fate as a *sovereign* state was in our own hands all the way through the Ahern-McCreevy-Cowen-Lenihan years until the bank guarantee and the promissory notes. We blew it. Ourselves alone.

    The proof? Plenty of other EZ and non-EZ countries behaved quite prudently in the face of the availability of cheap money, and didn't allow bubbles to dictate their economies.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭McDave


    NAP123 wrote: »
    but you will never convince me, that if we were not forced into a private bank reparations deal by the ECB/EU and Germany, we would not have had the capacity to correct our budget deficit with cuts and investments.
    If you, or anyone else, can demonstrate we were formally forced in such a scenario, believe me there'll be no problem in legally transferring the full net costs of the collapse of our pirate banks onto the EZ at some point in the future.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭McDave


    NAP123 wrote: »
    As for where the investment would have come from, it would have come from the 24 billion worth of investment we could have borrowed from the pension reserve fund, if we were not forced to repay 64 billion of private bank debt.
    That sounds suspiciously to me like classic government borrowing.

    I, for one, would prefer to see the NPRF dedicated to its original purpose, not gambled on investments.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 85 ✭✭NAP123


    Scofflaw wrote: »
    [MOD]We're not as strict about it when it's not an OP, but yes, the video in question should come with a text summary for those who won't or can't watch the video. Usually we would just delete it, but since you've replied that option is no longer available.[/MOD]

    In this case, Farage is talking about a couple of million the Parliament are proposing to set aside for correcting misrepresentations and explaining their role in the run-up to the Euro elections in 2014. The sums involved are mostly being taken from other budgets, with something like €750k being fresh funding. On a per country basis, that works out as €75k per country, which will buy not very much, but there's a suggestion that they may concentrate on the more eurosceptical countries, because that's where most of the misrepresentations happen. I can't see that that's particularly arguable.

    As to how this compares with spending by other parliaments on similar social media initiatives, I couldn't say - where it happens, I suspect it's a little more than €75k per country.

    The origin is likely to be this Telegraph exclusive: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/eu/9845442/EU-to-set-up-euro-election-troll-patrol-to-tackle-Eurosceptic-surge.html



    And that in turn has generated a certain amount of push-back from the Parliament:



    The traditional "damned if you do, damned if you don't" option, basically - fail to listen/engage, and you're out of touch and remote, try to engage, and you're Big Brother. But it plays well for Farage's audience, and that's what counts. And it's certainly true that - from experience - money spent tracking down eurosceptic trolls and debating with them would be money completely wasted.

    cordially,
    Scofflaw

    Of course it would. Sure we are just against everything Europe.

    Would that experience come from the failure to force your opinion on others?

    Why would you spend money tracking down Eurosceptics?

    Why would you label eurosceptics, trolls?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,283 ✭✭✭✭Scofflaw


    NAP123 wrote: »
    Of course it would. Sure we are just against everything Europe.

    Would that experience come from the failure to force your opinion on others?

    Why would you spend money tracking down Eurosceptics?

    Why would you label eurosceptics, trolls?

    Sadly, I don't think any of that really requires an answer.

    regards,
    Scofflaw


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