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Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

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  • #2372
    darkman2
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 8,632 ✭✭✭darkman2


    I was going to quote and correct your post for Friday to "This Portmarnock's preferred forecast...".;) Very optimistic. I rate the chances less then you do on a significant snow event risk at the weekend. However it is possible and it would be wrong not to point it out. My own thinking is temporary snowfall for a few hours max. But we'll see.

    I agree that we could see a few light snow showers in the East (maybe even the South) through the week. Remember too a dusting is actually not that unlikely given the projected temperature range. Anything that falls is going to hang around either in the form of ice or snow.


  • #2373
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 1 February, 2012
    ______________________________________

    TODAY ... Mostly dry and cold with moderate southeast to south winds, occasionally 20-30 mph, adding chill to daytime highs of only 3-6 C. Skies will range from mostly overcast to partly cloudy with some good spells of sunshine in places mostly well inland. There will be a slight risk of hail or snow showers from streamers that could briefly form near the Wexford and Wicklow coasts and also further north towards Down. The risk is very slight for Dublin. Watch for updates or discussions on threads.

    TONIGHT ... Clear intervals, very cold with the continuing slight risk of flurries or hail showers near the south and east coasts. Ice fog may develop in some low-lying central and northeast inland locations. Lows -3 to -7 C except closer to zero C near exposed coasts and in far west.

    THURSDAY ... Sunny intervals, very cold, scattered snow or hail showers near south and east coasts (potential for 5-10 cms in a few locations). Most places should remain dry, however, except for ice or freezing fog issues. Highs for the day could fail to reach 2 C in shaded locations especially, and 4 to 6 C at best. Winds moderate SE to S at times. Wind chills around -5 C.

    THURSDAY NIGHT and FRIDAY ... Increasing cloud, very cold, outbreaks of light snow or freezing drizzle, turning gradually to rain in west, possibly staying icy or snowy in parts of east and north, winds generally S but backing to SE at times in colder air (rather light surface flows). Foggy over hills and more generally towards west coast. Overnight lows -3 to -7 C except close to 1-2 C west coast, then highs 0-4 C east to 4-8 C west.

    FRIDAY NIGHT and SATURDAY ... With overnight readings close to the freezing point or just below in some eastern sections, mixed wet snow and rain, possibly rather drizzly, will continue to edge east but western regions will turn considerably milder (8-11 C) with moderate WSW winds while further east it could stay cold with sleet or drizzle and highs near 4 C.

    SUNDAY ... Milder in general, moderate W winds, lows near 3 C and highs about 7 C east to 11 C west.

    OUTLOOK ... The following week is likely to be quite mild and generally dry with some sunshine at times, also some drizzle or light showers mainly in Connacht. Highs will be generally in the range of 9-12 C, overnight lows not frosty for most although slight ground frost possible at times.

    UNCERTAINTY RANGE should be mentioned for Friday-Saturday; the breakdown of cold air to milder conditions could be either faster or slower than mentioned, and snowfall could range from slight or negligible to several centimetres, depending on how much of a resistance the cold air mounts, and how strong the push of Atlantic moisture (as opposed to mildness) actually affects Ireland. I'm expecting something along the lines of 5 mms of liquid equivalent on average with 2-4 cm snowfall potential in some places.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... Fortunately for my fingers, the basic idea in North America remains mild or very mild, and the temperatures could be well into the 12-15 C range in many places across the north-central U.S. and 15 to 20 C further south. As mentioned yesterday, a fairly significant system is developing slowly around Texas. West is also mild and southwest getting quite warm.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Tuesday was cloudy with occasional light rain. The high was about 8 C.


  • #2374
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 2 February, 2012
    __________________________________

    ALERT for poor road conditions in a few places this morning due to black ice or freezing fog, and then by tonight into Friday, due to local freezing drizzle or snow and sleet making for very slippery conditions.

    TODAY ... Sunshine through increasing amounts of high cloud, watch for solar halo effect mid-day, very cold ... some ice fog could linger well into the late morning in shaded locations inland ... winds rather light but keen from SSE at about 15-25 mph ... always the slight chance of snow showers near south and southeast coasts, east Ulster (5-10 cms could fall from them, although I think the chances are probably slight) ... highs today -2 to +3 C except 4-7 near southwest coastal promontories.

    TONIGHT ... Likely staying dry if cloudy in the east, except where any onshore snow develops, but becoming misty with freezing drizzle possible at first, mixing with sleet and wet snow as it moves slowly east, mainly west of about Athlone to Waterford. Temperatures will rise very slowly with this diffuse front to reach 2-4 C in parts of the west, but it will stay around -7 to -4 C in the east.

    FRIDAY ... Mixed sleet, freezing drizzle, snow for most eastern and northern counties at times, although amounts may be slight ... icy roads can be expected with this coating ... drizzle, light rain and fog in the west at times, milder there. Highs in east about -1 to +3 C, in the west 4-8 C. Some heavier snow could develop in east Ulster, potential 5-10 cms.

    FRIDAY NIGHT into SATURDAY ... Continued messy mix of all sorts in the east, very foggy in places, slowly turning more to rain as temperatures edge above freezing to about 4 C ... becoming partly cloudy with isolated showers and milder west, highs 8-10 C. Some northern areas could see a late return to wet snow with winds veering more to northwest behind an occluded front.

    SUNDAY ... Partly to mostly cloudy, milder in general although some cold air could remain trapped over east Ulster, lows 2-4 C and highs 7-10 C. Winds generally westerly 20-30 mph.

    OUTLOOK ... Some models suggest that cold air will never leave southern England during this coming week and that some ridging may allow a creeping return of some of this colder air to southeast Ireland. Others say that the Atlantic will gain the upper hand over Ireland and the northern two-thirds of the U.K., leading to a fairly mild week although some nights could be clear and rather cold. The best compromise is to suggest a lot of partly cloudy, dry and reasonably mild weather with some locally colder spots, the mildest influence no doubt being around the west and north coasts where it could reach 10-12 C almost each day, but potential for some highs 4-7 C in the southeast, and overnight lows -2 to +3 C there, generally frost-free in west Munster, Connacht and Ulster. Longer-term, there could be returns of cold wintry conditions from a northerly direction next time (mid-month?)

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... After an outrageously warm first day of February, parts of the northeast U.S. will cool slightly to 8-10 C in a cloudy northerly, while further south it stays very warm. The PA groundhog may or may not see his shadow depending on what Accuweather wants. Further west in the central plains, mild in southeast winds, rain spreading north from Texas, highs mostly 10-14 C. Severe storms may develop in eastern TX into Louisiana. Western Canada very mild, even around Great Slave Lake it will be above freezing today, as a deep Pacific low brings snow and blowing snow to Alaska and Yukon. Very warm also in the western U.S. except local cold inversions in the Great Basin states of Utah and Nevada.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Wednesday was delightfully sunny for a change, despite a lot of dark clouds from the zenith north to the mountains (lucky we're in the northern hemisphere). High was 7 C but it felt mild in the sun. Clear and rather chilly this evening.


  • #2375
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 3 February, 2012
    _____________________________

    ALERT for slippery or icy roads in many parts of Ireland away from the milder west coast. Although amounts are likely to be small, freezing drizzle or wet snow could be falling ahead of cold rain, and this might tempt some to drive at full speed on roads that become more slippery than they appear -- exercise extreme caution until temperatures are well above 3 or 4 C. Roads sometimes retain colder surface temperatures than your car thermometer or the radio station are reporting.

    TODAY ... Cloudy and very cold, with slightly milder air edging into western counties accompanied by sleet then rain. Later, some freezing drizzle or wet snow could start falling ahead of the rain into the colder air, making some roads very icy although they may be slippery from black ice before this ... temperatures will tend to rise slowly and could stay below freezing to mid-day in the east, while reaching 4-8 C on the west coast, eventually perhaps 2-4 C east.

    TONIGHT ... Further rain, drizzle or freezing drizzle mixed with sleet or snow in parts of north and east, brief clear intervals which will tend to produce dense fog patches, chilly with lows -1 to +3 C.

    SATURDAY ... Mostly cloudy with bands of light rain or sleet, possibly mixing with snow at times in Ulster and over higher ground elsewhere, then a band of heavier rain marking the final stage of warming, as temperatures continue to edge up towards 5-8 C (10 C west coast). Not too windy near surface due to inversions, hills could see strong gusts from west.

    SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, a cold start for some but milder again by mid-day and afternoon, lows 2-5 C and highs 8-12 C, isolated showers but some sunny intervals.

    MONDAY to WEDNESDAY ... Mild air seems likely to set up camp over Ireland but could be held out of some parts of the southeast by persistent morning inversions linked to lingering cold air in southern Britain and northern France. Otherwise, most of the country is likely to see highs 9-12 C after morning lows that may fall to near freezing in some spots but 3-6 C west coast. Skies will be quite variable although the general theme is settled with some low cloud and drizzle near northwest coast.

    OUTLOOK ... Models are once again at cross-purposes, with the GFS quite bullish on returning cold from swelling high pressure over Scotland, while most other guidance is more subdued with various shades of cooling influence within the generally Atlantic dominated aftermath of the cold spell (which still hangs on in southeast England on most guidance). The most likely outcome is just a slight cooling from earlier in the week to about 7-9 C daytime and slight frosts at night, perhaps heavier frosts in the inland southeast.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... The very mild spell has been suppressed well south now and the next low in the series, emerging from Texas, is having more trouble lifting the warmer air north than in recent weeks, so that sleet and freezing rain are appearing in the Midwest. Heavy rain and some severe weather will continue to move slowly east through the deep South. A colder high is dropping south from Quebec to New England, highs there near freezing or below. Rather mild in the northern plains and very mild from there west, in a balmy southerly flow up the inland west coast from California to British Columbia -- this feeds a strong chinook warming into Alberta and sends mild air as far north as the shores of the Arctic Ocean in north central Canada, but it's much colder to the west across Yukon and Alaska.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Thursday was a very pleasant mild and sunny day with a very colourful orange and pink sunset, highs were near 10 C.

    Moon tonight (visible here) is at its "northern maximum" crossing the Milky Way north of Orion at a declination of 24 degrees. It is just above the position of the late June sun at mid-day. I've noticed the past few evenings that Venus is gaining rapidly in brightness as it gains altitude in the southwest, and the separation from Jupiter in the sky is noticeably decreasing towards the 13th of March close conjunction. Will mention this again towards end of February with some viewing hints.


  • #2376
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 4 February, 2012
    _________________________________

    TODAY ... Periods of rain gradually ending with drizzle then clearing from west, rainfalls 7-15 mms, winds SW 20-30 mph veering to WNW 20-30 mph, some higher gusts in north ... high temperatures about 9-10 C in most places but could remain 5-8 C in Ulster.

    TONIGHT ... Clear intervals, isolated frost may develop, but then dissipate, as more cloud arrives later ... isolated showers or brief hail showers, lows of about 2-4 C on average, winds moderate west to northwest.

    SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, a few more light showers, relatively mild with highs 8-10 C.

    MONDAY and TUESDAY ... Not much change, milder than recent days but only very mild in west, with partly cloudy to overcast skies, little if any rain, slight frosts in southeast but not elsewhere ... typical highs near 9 C and lows near 3 C.

    WEDNESDAY to ??? ... Some models want to re-introduce very cold air that pushes back strongly from the London region where it may never be totally removed by these weak fronts over the weekend ... other models say more of a subtle cooling trend as higher pressure develops but some Atlantic influence remains. The compromise, then, is to predict dry and seasonable conditions with highs generally 6-9 C and lows -2 to +3 C but it could be as much as 5-8 degrees colder than that or 2-4 milder depending on how the European cold wave decides to continue its activities. There really is quite a wide range of possible outcomes longer term, it may turn out to be almost a spring-like February with lots of dry and rather mild weather, or it could be a return to the wintry conditions of the past three days only with a bit of snow in the mix.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... The western regions will be very mild and sunny, with above normal temperatures ranging from 18-22 C in the south, to 10-13 C near the Canadian border. Also very mild to warm in the prairies and Montana. Meanwhile, a storm moving east through Kansas will spread sleet and snow across the Midwest and central plains, with rain and some severe storms heading east from OK-TX towards AR-LA. The southeast will be mild and dry, but the Mid-Atlantic and northeast states, Great Lakes will be cloudy to partly cloudy and relatively cool under high pressure in northern Ontario. Newfoundland will have a day-long snowstorm giving eastern sections about 30 cms of snow and very strong northerly winds. That low is heading for west Greenland.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Friday was a stunning day which may be why I feel stunned at the moment, and the high was about 10 C. Even better temperatures lie ahead.


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  • #2377
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 5 February, 2012
    ________________________________

    Overview: The severe European cold spell will not break down this week and its outer edges will continue to push back west towards Britain, which means that Ireland will be in a transitional air mass with the coldest influences in the southeast and the mildest in the west and north. There is also some uncertainty about how strong a westward push back of cold air may develop, so it could turn out a bit or even a lot colder than my forecast which tends to follow the less aggressive guidance on that potential.

    TODAY ... Mostly cloudy with occasional light rain but only 1-3 mms for most, perhaps 3-5 mms in some parts of the southwest. Rather mild especially western half, highs 9-12 C west but 7-10 C east. Moderate west to northwest breezes 15-25 mph, some higher gusts.

    TONIGHT ... Variable cloud west, isolated showers, lows 3-6 C. Clearing with some fog or low cloud developing later east, lows -1 to +3 C. Some frost and icy patches towards sunrise.

    MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, continuing mild west, but somewhat chilly east, highs about 11 C on the west coast, 9 C Roscommon south to Cork and Waterford, 6 C east coast and inland including most of Leinster and Ulster. Winds mostly light west to northwest, a few isolated showers in the north.

    TUESDAY ... Sunny intervals, rather cold in east, near normal in west where some low cloud and drizzle may develop at times, central regions likely cloudy but dry with raw southeast breezes in many parts, morning lows in the range of -3 to +3 C and highs in the range 6 to 10 C.

    WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY ... Dry and cool, some very cold nights possible southeast inland, lows in the range -5 to +2 C and highs in the range 4 to 9. Light southeast to south winds. Persistent fog or freezing fog could develop in some southeast and central inland valleys.

    OUTLOOK ... Increasing cloud and unsettled for northwest but the dry, cool influence may continue longer elsewhere. There would always be a risk of a colder turn with snow in east.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... The western half of North America is enjoying a sunny, very mild weekend and highs are several degrees above normal, near 14 C in parts of western Canada and 20-25 C southwest U.S., although there's some snow left in Colorado from an earlier storm that is holding temperatures down there. An active storm system continues to weaken over the central plains with a few outbreaks of sleet or snow left, rain further south, but this may be almost broken apart by later today. The big Super Bowl football game is played indoors at Indianapolis but the weather outside in most of the region is cloudy and chilly although not too cold for time of year, near freezing. A snowstorm is moving away from eastern Newfoundland leaving behind 10-30 cms of snow and blowing snow in strong northwest winds.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Saturday was sunny with a high near 12 C, almost mild enough to go without a jacket. Today looks even milder. :)

    Travel plans for London? Conditions should gradually improve there later today. Expect delays or cancellations until mid-afternoon. There is a widespread snow cover of 10-20 cms in southeast England now. Some major highways are closed or very slow going. That may extend as far north as Manchester and Sheffield.


  • #2378
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 6 February, 2012
    _________________________________

    TODAY ... Mostly cloudy with a few brighter intervals east and south, some outbreaks of drizzle or light rain later, but little accumulation ... light winds from a southwesterly direction mostly, and highs 7-11 C milder in west.

    TONIGHT ... Variable cloud, drizzle at times, fog or mist developing, lows in western counties 4-7 C, east 2-5 C.

    TUESDAY ... Cloudy with some sunny intervals, light rain more likely near west and north coasts, highs 7-9 C.

    WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY ... Mostly dry weather with a lot of cloud but some clear intervals, rather chilly especially inland southeast, lows -2 to +3 C and highs 6-9 C (could be as mild as 10-11 C outer west coast).

    OUTLOOK ... Indications remain a bit mixed but it should turn slightly more unsettled late in the week and there could be some rain in the north especially, but the colder influence will continue to seep into the southeast as winds are generally from that direction albeit very light. Some guidance is suggesting a period of milder and windy weather to follow the weekend.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... Western regions remain warm and dry (trending to mild in British Columbia) with highs continuing 20-25 C south and 8-12 C north, but a much colder arctic high is settling south into the prairies and will move gradually across the border into the northern plains by tonight and tomorrow. Temperatures with this will fall into the minus teens or even minus twenties, with sunshine. Cloud and near normal temperatures are the rule in the eastern states with very weak frontal waves rippling east ahead of the arctic outbreak.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunday was mild with considerable high cloudiness but with the sun getting through at times, and the highs were near 10 C.


  • #2379
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 7 February, 2012
    __________________________________

    Full moon occurs later today at 2055h and if you can see the Moon, the star nearby is Regulus, while off to the left you'll find Mars (that won't be visible until about 10 p.m.).

    TODAY ... Cloudy with sunny intervals, more frequent in the south and east ... rather chilly in the southeast, but mild elsewhere, light winds ... some fog persisting for a while then reforming late afternoon ... highs 6-9 C southeast to 10-12 C west and north coasts.

    TONIGHT ... Clear intervals, cold with some fog and frost in east, but cloudy and becoming rather wet across western counties as rain moves in, lows around -2 to +3 C east, to 4-7 C west.

    WEDNESDAY ... Cloudy, mild, periods of rain (5-10 mms likely), foggy over hills, moderate southerly winds developing, highs 9-12 C.

    THURSDAY ... Gradual clearing, lows 2-4 C and highs 8-10 C.

    FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, isolated showers, lows -1 to +3 C with highs about 9 to 11 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Somewhat unsettled, with a slightly colder trend as winds become more northerly.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... Mild and dry across the west again, as a cold arctic high sinks further south to cover large parts of the north central U.S. and western Great Lakes. Slightly milder further south and east although not far from normal. In most places, a very quiet and dry pattern for this time of year.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Monday was sunny and mild, but there was fog near the airport close to the coast, and this created a sharp temperature contrast, from near 6 C there, to 14 C well inland. Would say it was about 9 or 10 here. Clear and chilly now with a bright full moon.


  • #2380
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 8 February, 2012
    ___________________________________

    TODAY ... Mild with periods of rain, except for a rather chilly start in eastern counties. The rain will spread east together with moderate SE'ly winds at 20-35 mph. Highs 10-12 C in west, 6-9 C by evening in east. Rainfalls 10-15 mms on average.

    TONIGHT ... Light rain continuing, foggy, lows 4-7 C. Winds not as strong but veering more to southerly.

    THURSDAY ... Mild with showers or outbreaks of light rain, southerly winds about 15-25 mph and highs 9-12 C.

    FRIDAY ... Cloudy, slightly cooler again with lows 3-5 C and highs 8-10 C, just a few isolated showers mainly northern counties.

    WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... The colder influence will return to southeast with slight frosts once again possible where clearing sets in, but otherwise there won't be much change with winds relatively light and skies cloudy, temperatures mostly near normal (highs 8-10 C).

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... There are still quite a few different outcomes suggested as substantial amounts of the high pressure currently over Europe end up to the west of Ireland by next week ... this could lead to more of a northerly flow and colder weather, but some indications recently point more to a milder WNW flow from the Atlantic with somewhat higher than normal temperatures returning.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... For this time of year, the weather pattern is extremely quiet over North America. The western third is generally milder than normal and dry. Central regions are generally slightly colder due to sprawling arctic high pressure but temperatures are only a degree or two below average despite that. Eastern regions are in a cloudy, near normal weather pattern, with light snow or sleet breaking out in the Ohio valley, this precip spreading east towards Washington and Philadelphia later today.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Tuesday was another sunny, mild day with a high near 10 C. Cloudier tonight although some breaks revealing the full moon at times.


  • #2381
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 9 February, 2012
    _________________________________

    TODAY ... Periods of rain heavier in the north, 5-10 mms additional there, amounts of trace to 3 mms in the south, relatively mild with some fog, brighter intervals developing in the south coastal districts later ... highs about 10-12 C.

    TONIGHT ... Foggy, light rain or drizzle at times, lows 6-8 C but colder air could seep back into the southeast giving a raw feel to the early morning there, lows possibly 3-5 C.

    FRIDAY ... If you recall yesterday, Friday could be a re-play with the colder air back into the southeast, raw southeast winds and chilly rain there, highs only 4-7 C, but the rest of the country still in milder moist air with rain or drizzle and highs 8-11 C.

    SATURDAY ... Foggy, drizzle, turning colder, temperatures steady 4-6 C. Some brighter intervals could develop by afternoon.

    SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, rather chilly, isolated outbreaks of rain or sleet on hills, lows near 3 C and highs near 7 C.

    MONDAY ... Moderate to strong northerly winds developing, cold, mixed showers but mainly rain, lows near 2 C and highs near 7 C. Winds may reach 35-55 mph at times especially in Ulster.

    TUESDAY ... Partly cloudy, somewhat milder again, highs near 10 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The set-up appears to be generally northwest to north winds with some milder sectors but colder days in between, temperatures probably staying fairly close to 7 C daytime and 2 C overnight on average. There remains the slight chance of a more wintry outcome.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... One arctic high has dropped south into the central U.S. where it will bring partly cloudy skies and near-freezing temperatures, but this is quite modified compared to the next one dropping south from north-central Canada with -25 C temperatures ... southern prairies will see a sharp drop this morning levelling off near -20 C then down around -30 C tonight. West coast unaffected by this in cloud and rain, trending to mild, dry in the southwest states. Eastern states will see the last of a weak system with wet snow or sleet in places mainly south of NYC, then clearing and near 4 C.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... The nice spell of weather ended on Wednesday with rain and highs of 9 C.


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  • #2382
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 10 February, 2012
    _______________________________

    This early forecast may be edited later, depending on how some computer issues turn out back at home base -- I am posting from a link that will expire at 0500h.

    TODAY ... Mostly overcast and foggy with further light rain or drizzle, although a few heavier bursts possible ... 5-10 mms potential on average ... highs 8-11 C with light southeast winds.

    TONIGHT ... Dense fog becoming widespread, drizzle or light rain, lows 4-7 C.

    SATURDAY ... Turning slightly colder with fog, drizzle, some late afternoon clearing ... highs 7-9 C.

    SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, with possible frost or fog in parts of inland southeast to start, lows -2 to +3 C, highs 6-9 C.

    OUTLOOK ... The most likely outcome seems to be a rather bland and near-normal temperature regime in moderate northwesterly flow around nearby Atlantic high pressure, with highs generally 8-10 C, and either light frosts in a few places or no frost, but there's always a chance of a more northerly turn in this kind of pattern, leading to colder weather.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... Turning much colder in the northern states as very cold air spills south from central Canada, forming a weak cold front across parts of the northeast U.S. which will have near normal temperatures in a more modified arctic air mass. Cloudy and mild in parts of the west with rain near the coast, but trending to warm and dry with some sunshine in the southwest.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy, some rain at times, high near 10 C on Thursday, expecting similar today.


  • #2383
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 11 February, 2012
    ___________________________________

    TODAY ... Foggy or misty, some further rain especially near east and southeast coasts, 5-10 mm potential there, but more of a drizzle for most other districts ... somewhat colder than recent days with highs 7-9 C.

    TONIGHT ... Fog, drizzle, mist gradually clearing with some isolated frost and icy sections on rural roads in central and southeast counties, light winds ... lows around 2-4 C on average, possibly as low as -2 C in a few spots.

    SUNDAY ... Brighter intervals developing with mist or fog starting to lift or forming restricted areas of low cloud ... highs 7-9 C.

    MONDAY ... Frosty to start in some inland locations, some sunshine during the day with northwest winds 20-30 mph, lows near 2 C and highs near 10 C.

    TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY ... Milder again in moderate west to northwest winds of about 20-35 mph ... lows 2-5 C and highs 10-13 C (milder southwest). Some low cloud and drizzle may impact northwest and north coasts.

    OUTLOOK ... Mild, breezy, showers or periods of rain becoming more frequent again later in the week ... highs generally 9-12 C.

    If travelling to Britain, be aware that most of England remains in the deep freeze for a day or two longer, the frontal zone has stalled in western Wales and eastern Cornwall, and temperatures are as low as -14 C in parts of England this morning.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... Finally some more active weather, areas of snow (3-7 cms in most cases) will develop across the northeast states and lower Great Lakes as complex but rather weak systems slowly develop into a powerful storm for Nova Scotia on Sunday. Much colder air will flood south later today dropping temperatures from near 4 C this morning to near -10 C in the northeast states by tonight. Severe cold in the central states especially north of about Oklahoma and Arkansas, into west-central Canada; some overnight lows near -25 C in the northern plains and -35 C in the prairies. Daytime readings well below -15 C. However, mild and drizzly on the west coast, with some hazy sunshine at times in California. A warm air mass is pushing north out of Arizona to form a well organized snowstorm for later Sunday over higher parts of Nevada and Utah.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Friday was very mild with occasional light rain and highs of 12-14 C around this region.


  • #2384
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 12 February, 2012
    __________________________________

    TODAY ... Cloudy with some brighter intervals developing, patchy light drizzle may spread into parts of Ulster from north before dissipating ... staying relatively mild at about 8-10 C with light northerly to easterly winds.

    TONIGHT ... Mostly cloudy, some fog or mist patches, lows 3-5 C.

    MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, moderate west to northwest breezes, some coastal low cloud or fog in northwest at times, highs 9-11 C.

    TUESDAY to THURSDAY ... A pleasant spell of dry and possibly sunny weather with low cloud spreading into parts of the west and north at times with some drizzle, lows generally 2-5 C and highs 9-12 C (milder southwest).

    FRIDAY to SUNDAY ... More unsettled with showers or periods of rain, staying rather mild with highs generally 9-11 C, although some guidance suggests a slightly colder turn (but these six-day colder outlooks seem to fade out on a regular basis) ... in a more general sense we can say that the blocking episode is ending with a more zonal look to the maps by the end of this week.

    The severe cold is also due to end gradually today and with any last gasp tomorrow in England but it will stay rather cold in central Europe for another week and the snow-plagued areas of the Balkans could see more snow.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... Northeast states will be cold but mainly dry except for some local lake-effect snows in upstate NY, PA and OH. A storm has intensified near Nova Scotia overnight and is sending very mild air north into Newfoundland (12-14 C highs there) but very cold with blowing snow just a bit further west in NS, NB and PEI. Central regions are due to slowly turn milder as arctic high crests over Iowa and Illinois. Snow is spreading across Utah and parts of Colorado, otherwise the weather picture in western regions is quiet and seasonable to mild.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Saturday was cloudy but dry with highs around 9 or 10 C.


  • #2385
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 13 February, 2012
    _________________________________

    TODAY ... Cloudy with some sunny intervals more frequent in the south, with some patchy drizzle at times and moderate NW winds 15-30 mph ... highs for most in the range of 8-10 C, possibly a bit higher in the southwest.

    TONIGHT ... Some clear intervals, but the low cloud and drizzle will probably remain in place over at least coastal parts of the north and west, lows generally 4-7 C but could fall to 1-3 C in clear intervals inland south and east. Patchy ground frost and valley fog.

    TUESDAY ... Sunny with cloudy intervals, still the risk of low cloud and drizzle in some coastal areas of Connacht and Ulster, moderate NW winds and highs in the range 9-12 C.

    WEDNESDAY & THURSDAY ... Little change with dry, pleasant weather, some cloudy intervals, some sunshine, lows 3-5 C and highs 9-12 C. Winds backing from NW to SW during the period, mainly light to moderate.

    FRIDAY ... Increasing cloud and showers turning to periods of rain, lows 3-5 C and highs 10-12 C. Winds SW 20-40 mph.

    SATURDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, turning slightly cooler in moderate westerly winds, lows 3-5 C and highs 7-9 C.

    SUNDAY ... Some sunshine after a cold and frosty start, lows -1 to +3 C and highs 6-9 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Turning milder again with temperatures likely to reach the 12-14 C range next week.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... Cold and dry in most parts of the east as high pressure crests, some local lake-effect snow, mainly light ... areas of snow or sleet spreading north into the central plains ahead of a mild rainy air mass over Texas, which will extend further east during the day. Highs about 15-20 C in Texas, 5-10 C in Oklahoma and 0-3 C further north. Western Canada rather mild with cloud and light scattered snow or freezing drizzle in a few spots. West coast continuing rather mild and cloudy with light rain.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunday was cloudy with some light rain at times, and highs near 9 C.


  • #2386
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 14 February, 2012
    ______________________________________

    TODAY ... Cloudy with sunny intervals developing mainly for southern counties, with a continuing risk of low cloud and drizzle in some coastal areas of Connacht and Ulster, moderate NW winds and highs in the range 9-12 C, mildest near south coast.

    TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy to overcast, drizzle in a few northern locations, and lows 3-6 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... A mixture of sunny and cloudy intervals, more sunshine away from the west and north coasts, and highs 9-12 C. Winds backing from NW to WSW during the day, 15-30 mph.

    THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, mild, lows 2-5 C and highs 8-11 C with moderate southwest winds at times, also some coastal fog or drizzle near Atlantic.

    FRIDAY ... Increasing cloud and showers turning to periods of rain, lows 3-5 C and highs 10-12 C. Winds SW 20-40 mph.

    SATURDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, turning slightly cooler in moderate westerly winds, lows 3-5 C and highs 7-9 C. Risk of hail or sleet showers in parts of northwest by afternoon and evening.

    SUNDAY ... Some sunshine after a cold and frosty start, lows -1 to +3 C and highs 6-9 C. Cloudy by afternoon in west, with rain following.

    MONDAY ... Rain clearing east, partly cloudy and mild. Lows 4-7 C and highs 9-12 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Relatively mild for most of next week, a few more showery intervals but some sunshine also, highs mainly in the 10-13 C range.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... Dry if cloudy and near normal temperatures east coast, but rain or sleet moving through Ohio valley, extensive areas of light snow further north and west in the western Great Lakes and central plains states, showers and some thunderstorms moving across the deep South into the southeast by tonight. While not overly warm, highs 12-15 C in these regions to 20s near Gulf coast. The west remains rather bland in a mainly dry northwesterly flow (similar pattern to Ireland's current weather) and the Canadian prairies are in the milder sector of a rather weak low well north of populated areas, but temperatures just slightly above freezing rather than a full-scale chinook.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Monday cleared during the morning and it was rather pleasant in the sunshine at 9-10 C. Cloud has moved back in since sunset.


  • #2387
    Villain
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,959 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    I'll post mine from iwo.ie to fill the gap

    Weather Forecast 15/2/12

    WEDNESDAY:
    Mainly dry but cloudy and breezy for the rest of the day with temps of 8c to 11c. Tonight will dry but cool with temps of 2c to 6c and a risk of some patches of FOG.

    THURSDAY:
    A band of rain will move into the Northwest about 7am and showers will then push in throughout the day from the West with some light rain in most areas with the South the only area that looks to remain dry. Temps will be 7c to 11c. Thursday will see more light rain this time in the Southern half of the country, temps will be 3c to 5c in Northern areas but 5c to 9c elsewhere.

    FRIDAY:
    A damp day with light rain in most areas with temps of 5c to 10c coldest in the North.

    FRIDAY NIGHT:
    A band of heavy rain will approach the West about 10pm and push across the country giving some heavy falls of rain especially in South Kerry with up to 20mm possible. Temps will start off 6c to 10c but fall as the front clears to about 1c to 5c

    SATURDAY:
    Feeling much colder everywhere as the rain clears the Southeast by about 9am, temps will start off 1c to 4c but slowly rise to 4c to 7c. Another band of rain will arrive in the North during the morning falling as sleet and snow on hills and even at lower levels for a while. The showers will make it further south but will be mainly rain and sleet with some snow on higher ground. More details as we get closer to the time.

    SATURDAY NIGHT:
    Rain and sleet will clear and temps will fall again after sunset with Frost in many places as temps get down to -2c away from coasts causing some icy conditions for a while.

    SUNDAY:
    A cold and icy start with temps of 0c to 3c before climbing to 5c to 8c in the afternoon, a mainly dry day with some sunny spells. A risk of some frost again early on Sunday night before temps rise later in the night as a band of rain arrives from the Southwest.

    OUTLOOK:
    Next weeks looks fairly wet but unsettled with Monday and Tuesday looking quite wet at this stage.

    From http://www.iwo.ie/2012/02/15/weather-forecast-15212/


  • #2388
    Joe Public
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,795 ✭✭✭Joe Public


    I suppose there is no harm in dropping MTC's forecast following his over romantic evening/night

    Wednesday, 15 February, 2012
    ____________________________________


    TODAY ... Partly cloudy to overcast with northwest winds backing to westerly at 15-30 mph ... some light rain or drizzle near northwest coasts, otherwise mainly dry ... highs 9-12 C.

    TONIGHT ... Some clear intervals, some cloud in north and west with patchy light rain outer coasts, lows in range 2-5 C southeast, to 5-7 C northwest.

    THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, mild, highs 8-11 C with moderate southwest winds at times, also some coastal fog or drizzle near Atlantic.

    FRIDAY ... Increasing cloud and showers turning to periods of rain, lows 3-5 C and highs 10-12 C. Winds SW 20-40 mph. Rain becoming heavy at times by evening, potential for 10-20 mms.

    SATURDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, turning slightly cooler in moderate westerly winds, lows 3-5 C and highs 7-9 C. Risk of hail or sleet showers in parts of northwest by afternoon and evening.

    SUNDAY ... Some sunshine after a cold and frosty start, lows -1 to +3 C and highs 6-9 C. Cloudy by afternoon in west, with rain following.

    MONDAY ... Rain clearing east, partly cloudy and mild. Lows 4-7 C and highs 9-12 C.

    TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, breezy, lows 3-6 C and highs 8-11 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Relatively mild for most of next week, a few more showery intervals but some sunshine also, highs mainly in the 10-13 C range. Indications of a colder turn as the month ends.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... A rather weak but sprawling disturbance in the central states is spreading outbreaks of rain and a few thunderstorms to the Ohio valley and this will edge closer to the northeast states by evening; highs generally 8-12 C. The southeast will be warm and humid with some outbreaks of heavy if not severe thunderstorms, highs 18-22 C. .... The upper Midwest continues rather chilly with sleet or wet snow in places, temperatures near 1-3 C. Western regions mainly clear to partly cloudy and near normal, rather warm in the southwest.

    MY LOCAL WEATHER (Vancouver, B.C.) ... Morning showers cleared, then sunshine returned by afternoon. Somewhat cooler on Tuesday with highs near 8 C.


  • #2389
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    My apologies, today's forecast did not appear here for reasons unknown. I would not have noticed this except that I spotted posts on the thread as I came in this evening (your time). Earlier today at the usual time, the forecast was typed up, on my screen and copied for later use elsewhere, and I was sure it had been posted to boards before I went off to a few other web destinations, but I guess what happened was that I pressed the wrong option from my reply or perhaps no option (I've done this so many times now that it is more or less sub-conscious activity) and it went into cyber-oblivion rather than into the thread. :o I don't think I have done that here before, but I'm sure we all do this once in a while especially when you have more than one window open on your taskbar.

    As Joe Public has demonstrated, one of the destinations of the forecast is the "IWO forum" which continues to exist on-line despite the termination of activity on the former IWO website (that was discussed here when it happened last autumn). Recently, we began building up the dormant IWO forum that had been running as a part of that larger website. My forecasts now appear there each day shortly after they appear here. As to the existence of a second, independent IWO website, that is not really an issue for me at this distance, but I would ask that boards weather forum members address any questions about it to the parties at their respective websites and not here, especially not in this thread. Thanks. I would advise moderators to direct such chat or inquiries directly to source as well, it just isn't an issue that needs to involve boards.ie or its weather forum beyond the simple announcement of available services or features FYI.


  • #2390
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 16 February, 2012
    ___________________________________

    My apologies to any readers who dropped in yesterday and found no forecast. There was a forecast but somehow it didn't arrive here. Check the more detailed discussion in previous post(s) if you want to read more about this. I will make sure this forecast gets to the boards thread and away from my screen.

    TODAY ... Mostly cloudy, any brief sunny intervals would be most likely near the south coast this morning ... some light rain or drizzle moving south but possibly not holding together after passing the halfway point, so rainfalls likely 1-3 mms north and trace to 2 mms south. Highs today 10-12 C in moderate westerly backing to southwesterly winds 20-35 mph.

    TONIGHT ... Cloudy with some clear intervals, a little leftover drizzle in places near the northwest coast and mild with lows 5-8 C.

    FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, becoming rather windy with periods of rain heavier by evening into the overnight in the north, highs 10-12 C and winds SW 25-45 mph. Rainfalls by Saturday morning about 5-15 mms.

    SATURDAY ... Breezy to windy, turning colder in stages, hail showers rather frequent at first, then mixed wintry showers developing later and persisting overnight in some parts of the north. Temperatures steady 5-7 C then falling off to about 2-4 C late afternoon. Winds veering to NW 30-50 mph adding a chill.

    SUNDAY ... Mixed wintry showers over some parts of the north early morning but otherwise clear intervals and quite cold despite a steady northwest wind in most places ... a few sheltered places well inland could see frost and lows of -2 C but otherwise lows 1-3 C ... sunny intervals mid-day, still quite cold as temperatures struggle up towards 5-7 C. Cloudy with rain or sleet arriving late, temperatures steady 4-6 C.

    MONDAY ... Rain ending during the morning, turning considerably milder in strong southwest winds. Highs 10-13 C.

    TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, mild, windy, showers ... lows 3-5 C and highs about 11-13 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Some very mild weather appears to be heading in later next week and it could reach 15 C in some places well inland in a southwesterly flow.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... Cloudy with rain in many eastern states, not particularly heavy in most cases, a little milder than average (8-13 C). This rain will start as sleet or freezing rain in Michigan and southern Ontario. The western and central regions continue to have cloudy, rather bland weather that is near normal in most cases for daytime temperatures although milder than average at night. A more active pattern seems likely to develop over the weekend.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy and about 8 C, light rain at times this evening.


  • #2391
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 17 February, 2012
    ________________________________

    ALERT for wintry showers or local snowfalls in higher parts of northwest on Saturday, and also for widespread frost and icy roads overnight into Sunday morning.

    TODAY ... Continued rather mild and breezy with outbreaks of light rain or drizzle, strengthening southwest winds, highs 10-12 C. By this evening, winds SW 30-50 mph, some squally showers developing.

    TONIGHT ... Showers or periods of rain, some squally showers with hail and (by sunrise in north) thunder ... temperatures generally 5-8 C but falling to about 2-4 C around sunrise in north. Winds veering SW to W 30-50 mph.

    SATURDAY ... Windy and cold, some brighter intervals following a squally cold front with hail showers, but this clearing very brief in the north as persistent wintry showers develop with some potential for 3-5 cm snowfalls mostly on higher terrain ... hail showers with thunder may redevelop widely and become rather severe in places, otherwise winds WNW 30-50 mph. Temperatures will stay in the range of 3-6 C for most of the day but could be lower at times across the north.

    SATURDAY NIGHT ... Windy near coasts with frequent wintry showers or snow flurries across parts of the north, but less windy inland with more of a clearing trend and some scattered frost leading to icy roads, lows inland in the range -4 to -1 C, in coastal north and west -1 to +2 C.

    SUNDAY ... There could still be some wintry showers in parts of the north but variable cloud further south with some sunny intervals, winds backing to westerly 20-40 mph, and slightly milder in the south at least (highs 5-8 C) ... sleet may develop ahead of a warm front late in the day.

    MONDAY ... Overnight sleet turning to rain, windy and milder ... morning temperatures about 4-6 C following a midnight frost, but then milder during the day, highs 10-12 C. Winds becoming SSW 30-50 mph.

    TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, milder, showers ... lows 3-5 C and highs 11-13 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... This may be a very mild day especially away from the west coast which could stay overcast and foggy in places (10-12 C there, but as high as 13-15 C further east). Rain may be intermittent in the north but some sun could break through in the south and east.

    OUTLOOK ... Staying quite mild despite a weak cold front later in the week, and some settled intervals with just light showers if any further rain.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... Eastern states will see scattered light rain and some fog at times, highs about 10-12 C. Near normal and cloudy further west, periods of rain near the west coast with inland snowfalls, generally a rather non-descript pattern, but attention is mainly shifting to potential snowstorm in the Washington DC region late Sunday, evolving from an area of cloud and scattered showers now in south Texas. Watch for updates, potentially 15-25 cms of snow in some parts of the region although it looks set to miss New England to the south.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Thursday was a cloudy and showery day with highs around 8 C.


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  • #2392
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 18 February, 2012
    __________________________________

    ALERTS for wintry showers including some accumulating snows mostly on higher parts of Ulster and inland Connacht, potential for 3-7 cms locally, more widespread hail showers, and generally slippery or at times icy roads, setting in before mid-day but peaking this afternoon and evening ... also for more general frost and icy roads in many regions overnight.

    Notes on developing situation: Much colder air is poised to rush south across Ireland later this morning but the front now largely through southern counties is well ahead of the coldest air, and a reinforcing secondary front or series of troughs will likely develop and follow rapidly south. These might become a focus for locally intense hail showers by later this morning. The coldest air will sweep across Ulster and may only give a glancing blow further west and especially south. Meanwhile, the approach of warmer air later Sunday will also be in stages and early portions of this transition could be briefly wintry before it warms sufficiently to turn all precipitation back to rain. Meanwhile, the air mass coming in by mid-week looks particularly mild and should easily boost temperatures into the mid-teens.

    FORECASTS:

    TODAY ... Windy and cold (very cold Ulster), some brighter intervals following a squally cold front with hail showers, but this clearing very brief in the north as persistent wintry showers develop with some potential for 3-7 cm snowfalls mostly on higher terrain ... hail showers with thunder may redevelop widely and become rather severe in places, otherwise winds WNW 30-50 mph. Temperatures will stay in the range of 4-7 C for most of the day but could be lower at times (1-4 C) across the north by afternoon.

    TONIGHT ... Windy near coasts with frequent wintry showers or snow flurries across parts of the north, some additional snow accumulation in higher parts of Ulster, traces likely elsewhere, but also less windy inland with more of a clearing trend and some scattered frost leading to icy roads, lows inland in the range -4 to -1 C, while in coastal north and west -1 to +2 C.

    SUNDAY ... There could still be some wintry showers in parts of the north but variable cloud further south with some sunny intervals, winds backing to westerly 20-40 mph, and slightly milder in the south at least (highs 5-8 C) ... sleet may develop ahead of a warm front late in the day.

    MONDAY ... Overnight sleet turning to rain, windy and milder ... morning temperatures about 4-6 C following a midnight frost, but then milder during the day, highs 10-12 C. Winds becoming SSW 30-50 mph.

    TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, milder, showers ... lows 3-5 C and highs 11-13 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... This may be a very mild day especially away from the west coast which could stay overcast and foggy in places (10-12 C there, but as high as 13-15 C further east). Rain may be intermittent in the north but some sun could break through in the south and east. Parts of the Wicklow and south Dublin coasts could see even milder temperatures due to a downsloping effect. Moderate WSW winds 20-35 mph.

    THURSDAY ... Continuing very mild, showers heavier in north, Winds SW veering to W 20-40 mph. Lows near 8 C and highs near 13 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Staying quite mild despite a weak cold front early Friday, with some settled intervals with just light showers if any further rain into the following weekend. This could then be followed by waves of somewhat colder air from more of a west-northwest source as March begins.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... Variable cloud and mild in most of the east, ahead of a developing storm in the south-central states. This will be almost all rain at first, but as it sucks in some colder air from the Great Lakes region on Sunday, its rain shield could mix with sleet then snow especially in higher parts of the mid-Atlantic states. Meanwhile, on the west coast, another storm has moved inland with bursts of heavy rain, and now it is turning quite a bit colder, dropping the snow line well down the coastal ranges so that the Saturday daytime weather might become sleety or feature mixed showers in gusty west winds. Further inland the fronts weaken rapidly but some scattered outbreaks of snow are likely in western Canada and the northwest states.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Friday was cloudy with afternoon and evening rain, heavy at times, with gusty SE to S winds at 30-50 mph. Expecting this rain to become more of a sleety mix by morning. The high earlier was about 7 deg C but will be closer to 3-4 C on Saturday.


  • #2393
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 19 February, 2012
    _______________________________

    TODAY ... Some sunny intervals, a few widely scattered showers of hail or rain (snow remains possible in higher parts of Ulster) ... moderate westerly winds backing to southwest later, with increasing cloud especially for Connacht and west Ulster ... highs 6-9 C.

    TONIGHT ... Clear intervals across the south, cloudy north with light rain after midnight, possibly beginning as sleet. Rather cold where clear, lows -1 to +3 C although milder towards dawn, but temperatures in the range of 2 to 5 C where cloudy.

    MONDAY ... Intervals of light rain, heavier at times in the northwest later, turning milder in stages, winds SW 20-40 mph, highs 9-11 C.

    TUESDAY ... Cloudy, occasional rain, mild, moderate SW winds, lows of 3-6 C and highs 10-12 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Some heavier rain may affect west and north, variable cloud elsewhere and turning even milder, lows 7-10 C and highs 12-15 C. Winds generally SSW 20-40 mph.

    THURSDAY ... Very mild, less frequent showers and remaining dry and possibly sunny at times in parts of south and east ... lows 7-10 C and highs generally 12-15 C potentially 16 C around Dublin, Wicklow.

    FRIDAY ... Continued very mild, increasing cloud, some light rain later. Lows of 6-9 C and highs 11-14 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Weekend should remain milder than average even if temperatures drop a couple of degrees from the very mild spell, and some sunshine may redevelop after a rather weak front passes some time early Saturday. Extended forecast calls for mild and breezy conditions to transition slowly to more seasonable conditions.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... A rather extensive rainstorm in the southeast is about to interact with somewhat colder air sitting over the northeast U.S. ... this may turn rain to sleet, ice pellets or even snow depending on elevation mostly, in the Virginias, Maryland, North Carolina and possibly southern PA. Delaware and New Jersey likely to remain in rain, and just cloud further north with highs 2-5 C. The warm sector of this storm will be over Florida briefly this morning with severe storms and a much colder trend by afternoon. The central states are in a weak ridge of high pressure and near normal temperatures with mostly cloudy skies, then another weak storm is developing today in west Texas and southeast Colorado, with some outbreaks of rain or sleet. Southwest remains warm and dry, with chilly unsettled conditions further north in western regions.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Periods of rain, sleet and even snow at times on Saturday, clearing late afternoon, chilly. High of about 4 C.


  • #2394
    Villain
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,959 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    Weather Forecast 20/2/12

    MONDAY:
    The cold weather is quickly been replaced by mild weather with temps rising to 10c in most places by midday, there will also be rain in the Northern half of the country but elsewhere should escape with cloud and just some light drizzle. Monday night will be mild with temps of 5c to 8c with rain persisting in northern areas.

    TUESDAY:
    A mild day with temps of 10c to 13c, a dry start to the day but rain will arrive in the West by midday and cross the country through the evening.

    WEDNESDAY:
    A wet day with heavy rain arriving in the West and becoming widespread it will be even milder with temps of 10c to 14c.

    THURSDAY:
    A great day with sunny spells in many places and temps up to an amazing 16c!

    FRIDAY:
    A cloudy damp day but still pretty mild with temps of 10c to 13c.

    WEEKEND:
    Currently looks a little cooler Saturday but mainly dry with Sunday milder but a risk of rain.
    Warmest temps for February:

    The warmest temperature ever recorded in Ireland in February was 18.1c in 1891 on the 23rd at the Phoenix Park Dublin. The second highest was 16.8c on the 28th in 1960 at Valentia Kerry.

    The warmest temperature recorded at the Kilkenny station (closed 2008) was 15.9c on the 13th in 2008, this station was replaced by Oak Park Carlow and this record could be matched on Thursday.

    The record for Birr which closed in 2009 was 15.6c on the 29th in 1920, this station was replaced by Gurteen Co. Tipperary and this record could certainly also be matched Thursday.

    From http://www.iwo.ie/2012/02/19/weather-forecast-20212/


  • #2395
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 20 February, 2012
    _________________________________

    TODAY ... Breezy and milder with outbreaks of rain mostly in northern two-thirds of the country, amounts 3-7 mms there and trace to 3 mms south ... some brighter intervals mainly south coast, highs 9-12 C and winds becoming SW 25-40 mph.

    TONIGHT ... A few lingering showers, mild, fog developing especially higher terrain north and west ... lows 5-8 C.

    TUESDAY ... Variable cloud at first, breezy, winds SW 20-35 mph, then periods of rain developing, a further 5-10 mms for many places, mild and humid with highs 10-13 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Early morning heavy rain or showers, becoming more confined to north by mid-day, brighter intervals developing inland south and east, very mild. Lows 8-11 C and highs 12-15 C. Winds generally SW 20-35 mph.

    THURSDAY ... Possibly even milder with more sun breaking through, not as breezy either, lows 8-11 C and highs 13-16 C (probably warmest near east coast partly because of a downsloping effect there).

    FRIDAY ... Continued very mild, some sunshine at times, increasing cloud later, showers developing ... lows 8-10 C and highs 11-14 C.

    WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Early showers Saturday should clear to some sunshine, slightly cooler especially at night ... lows generally 3-6 C and highs in the 9-13 C range .... further outlook involves a renewed "battle of the model runs" with some suggestions from GFS of a much colder turn including a return to easterly winds, but ECM staying quite mild through the following week.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... Some sleet and snow developed as expected around Virginia and this will leave a covering on higher terrain overnight before clearing Monday. The air mass is not very chilly to the north and with sunshine could easily melt this snow rapidly with highs 7-10 C in many parts of the northeast, trending to 3-6 C in the Great Lakes. Weak disturbances further west are spreading cloud into the plains states so any clearing around Chicago and south will be brief before more sleet or rain arrives later and into tomorrow. Fairly cool but benign weather on the west coast.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunday was mostly cloudy with just a little drizzle at times, rather chilly at about 6-7 C.


  • #2396
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 21 February, 2012
    __________________________________

    TODAY ... Cloudy with a few brighter intervals in the south, occasional showers but steady rain later in west and north, 5-10 mms amounts expected, winds SW 20-35 mph and highs 10-13 C.

    TONIGHT ... Overcast, periods of rain, very mild, foggy over higher terrain in north ... winds steady SW 15-30 mph, lows 8-11 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... The overnight and early morning heavy rain or showers will become more confined to north by mid-day, brighter intervals developing inland south and east, very mild with highs 12-15 C. Winds generally SW 20-35 mph.

    THURSDAY ... Continued very mild with more sun breaking through, not as breezy either, lows 8-11 C and highs 13-16 C (probably warmest near east coast partly because of a downsloping effect there, any showers likely to be mainly in far north and northwest, and brief).

    FRIDAY ... Continued very mild, some sunshine at times during the morning and mid-day, but with increasing cloud later, showers developing ... lows 8-10 C and highs 11-14 C.

    SATURDAY ... Morning showers, clearing and somewhat cooler, morning lows around 3-6 C and highs 9-12 C.

    SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy, a somewhat frosty start in a few inland locations, lows -1 to +5 C, and highs 7-11 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Rain may spread in overnight into Monday, then next week is looking rather similar to this week with milder weather mid to late week (the GFS dalliance with a colder easterly has been largely suppressed).

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... In general, a rather bland and mild pattern for this time of year ... one weak disturbance is drifting east across the western Great Lakes and Ohio valley towards the northeast states, bringing a lot of cloud and sporadic drizzly rain (sleet higher elevations), highs for the larger cities around 10-12 C. Large areas of cloud cover most central regions with light winds and near normal temperatures, while another weak storm is coming ashore on the west coast with light rain and moderate SW'ly winds.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Monday was yet another forgettable somewhat mild and showery day with a high of about 8 C. Heavy snow has fallen recently in the mountains although we get very few views of that in the low overcast.


  • #2397
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 22 February, 2012
    ___________________________________

    TODAY ... Rain easing soon, with showery remnants continuing but also a partial clearance to brighter and in some places sunny intervals, although sea fog is likely to stream inland near the west and south coasts in a steady southwest wind of 20-35 mph. Highs 12-14 C west and near south coast, to 14-16 C inland and east, so feeling very warm especially if any sunshine develops. Fog could be dense near outer coasts and over western, southern marine regions (the air mass dew point of 12 C is actually higher than the sea's surface temperature, which is rare for February).

    TONIGHT ... Fog or mist with some drizzle, more prevalent near south and west coasts, but some clear intervals further inland and east, very mild with a southwest breeze of 15-25 mph ... lows 9-12 C.

    THURSDSAY ... Except for some onshore low cloud, fog and drizzle most places should have a bright and at times sunny and warm day with highs reaching 14-17 C, warmest likely inland southeast and parts of east coast from Dublin south. Some dense fog possible near west, south coasts.

    FRIDAY ... Early morning drizzle or light rain, followed by variable cloud, some sunny breaks, continued very mild although not quite as warm, lows 7-10 C and highs 12-14 C. Not as breezy in a westerly flow 15-25 mph falling off to light by evening.

    SATURDAY ... Some patchy fog, drizzle may continue overnight in north, but otherwise somewhat cooler with clear intervals developing, lows 3-6 C, then a reasonably dry and mild day with highs 8-11 C, possibly some good sunny intervals in east and inland southeast. Winds falling off to light.

    SUNDAY ... Increasing cloud but some sunshine at first, then outbreaks of rain by late afternoon west, evening east, mild after a rather chilly start. Lows 2-5 C with slight risk of isolated frost, then highs 10-13 C.

    MONDAY ... Similar to today, morning rain and mild with fog, then partial clearing and warmer again, lows 7-10 C and highs 12-16 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Very mild weather seems likely to persist for about a week and with more of a southerly flow than the current southwesterly, which could produce a somewhat different pattern for the warmth inland (centered further inland and including parts of the west). However in general all the weather changes from now to end of next week could seem rather slight and a generally mild to warm theme will prevail (some of the cooler nights will only briefly touch lower temperatures well before most people begin their day).

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... The patterns remain bland and weak for this time of year. Scattered showers in the northeast U.S. and sleet or wet snow a little further north into eastern Canada, with this system heading for the Maritimes later, followed by partial clearing, highs around 8-11 C coast to 2-5 C further inland. Southeast generally warm and partly cloudy, highs well into 18-21 C range. A more active system is developing over the plains states but will take most of today to produce much more than cloud, as it spreads slowly east, with a southerly flow and highs of 12-15 C. West remains rather chilly with outbreaks of light rain or mountain snow.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Tuesday was a cloudy day again with some rain at times, high near 8 C.


  • #2398
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 23 February, 2012
    ___________________________________

    TODAY ... Except for some onshore low cloud, fog and drizzle near Atlantic coasts, most places should have a bright and at times sunny and warm day with highs reaching 14-17 C, warmest likely inland southeast and parts of east coast from Dublin south. Some dense fog possible near west, south coasts. Winds WSW 15-25 mph but relatively light inland by afternoon. There is an outside chance of a new record high for the month of February (which is now 18.3 C).

    TONIGHT ... Becoming overcast with some fog or mist, followed by early morning drizzle or light rain, lows 7-10 C except 4-7 C inland north.

    FRIDAY ... Gradual clearing of low cloud, fog and mist with some light rain lingering in south to mid-day, mild but not quite as warm as today, highs of 12-14 C. Not as breezy in a westerly flow 15-25 mph falling off to light by evening. Foggy again by evening in many places.

    SATURDAY ... Some patchy fog, drizzle may continue overnight in north, but otherwise somewhat cooler with clear intervals developing, lows 3-6 C, then a reasonably dry and mild day with highs 8-11 C, possibly some good sunny intervals in east and inland southeast. Winds falling off to light.

    SUNDAY ... Increasing cloud but some sunshine at first, then outbreaks of rain by late afternoon west, evening east, mild after a rather chilly period well before dawn (Saturday evening to around midnight). Lows 2-5 C with slight risk of isolated frost, then highs 10-13 C.

    MONDAY ... Overnight and early morning rain and mild with fog, then partial clearing and warmer again, lows 7-10 C and highs 12-16 C.

    TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, some showers, very mild, lows 5-8 C and highs of 12-15 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Very mild but becoming more unsettled late in the week, also quite breezy around Friday ... highs continuing to push well into the mid-teens until about Saturday 3rd, then a gradual change to more seasonable Atlantic flow from the west.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... A weak disturbance moving through the northeast will bring mild conditions, cloud and some light rain (wet snow near Canadian border) ... very mild to warm across a large part of the southeast and central states in the developing southerly flow of a storm taking shape in Nebraska, which will spread some rain and (to north of Iowa to Wisconsin) snow towards the Great Lakes. Highs will range from 22 C near Gulf coast to 15 C central plains to 3 C northern plains. Somewhat colder air is seeping south across the Canadian prairies, temperatures near -4 C with outbreaks of light snow. Another weak disturbance has moved inland near Vancouver and will bring a few snow showers to the Rockies, but otherwise there is a clearing trend for most of the far west with seasonable temperatures.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Long sunny intervals on Wednesday but also a few sharp localized showers with hail, highs around 7 C. Clear again by evening with a nice view of rapidly converging Venus and Jupiter. Check this out if you have clear skies on Thursday evening, the crescent new moon should be fairly close to Venus.


  • #2399
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 24 February, 2012
    _______________________________

    Astronomy note -- with any clear skies over the next few days, watch for conjunctions of the crescent new moon with Venus (Saturday evening) and Jupiter (Sunday evening). This sight will be visible in the southwest for about two or three hours after sunset.

    TODAY ... Gradual clearing of low cloud, fog and mist with some light rain lingering in south to mid-day or longer, mild but not quite as warm as yesterday, highs of 12-14 C for most, 9-11 C northwest counties. Some lingering fog and low cloud in northern coastal districts as well, the best chance for brighter or clearing intervals would be central and eastern counties. Not as breezy in a westerly flow 15-25 mph falling off to light by evening. Foggy again by evening in many places.

    TONIGHT ... Some widespread fog developing and rather chilly in comparison to recent nights, some clear intervals east and central counties, isolated risk of frost in rural areas there, lows generally 3-7 C but could reach -1 C in a few frost hollows. Frost likely to dissipate rather quickly around 0800h.

    SATURDAY ... Fog gradually clearing away except near some outer coasts west and south, for most a reasonably dry and mild day with highs 8-11 C, possibly some good sunny intervals in east and inland southeast. Winds falling off to light.

    SATURDAY NIGHT ... A clear night at first with increasing cloud, lowest temperatures in the evening or around midnight when lows 2-5 C then rising towards dawn 5-8 C.

    SUNDAY ... Increasing cloud but some sunshine at first, then outbreaks of rain by late afternoon west, evening east, milder with highs 10-13 C.

    MONDAY ... Overnight and early morning rain and mild with fog, then partial clearing and warmer again, lows 7-10 C and highs 12-16 C.

    TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, some showers, very mild, lows 5-8 C and highs of 12-16 C.

    WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY ... Continued rather mild, cloudy with outbreaks of light rain more frequent in west towards end of the week, highs generally in the 9-12 C range, lows in the range of 3-7 C colder in northeast.

    OUTLOOK ... March in general may turn out "backward" in that the temperature may show a flat or downward trrend in opposition to the normal gradual rise through the month. Eventually a colder blocking pattern may develop and we may see a snowfall event later in the month, with the same pattern likely in April, warm to start and cooler mid to late month.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... Snow is developing from the western Great Lakes towards southern Ontario and will spread into Quebec and northern New York state, northern and central New England, with 5-15 cms for most in this zone (highs 0-2 C). Mixing with freezing rain near the southern boundary of the zone and a mild showery day further south, highs to 15 C in New York City and Boston, and partly cloudy and warm for Philadelphia and Washington DC, highs 20-25 C, colder by evening in all cases. Saturday in all these regions will become windy and much colder (highs or mid-day temperatures in the -5 to +2 C range, strong west to northwest winds). ... This colder air is beginning to push south across the Midwest but will intensify rapidly tonight, so these regions will be cloudy with flurries and highs near 2 C today, sharply colder tonight and tomorrow. Cool and dry for Texas and Oklahoma, trending to warm and dry in the southwest states, highs 10-15 C east to 20-25 C west in that region, similar on Saturday but warming up in Texas. Meanwhile, another storm is developing today over British Columbia, spreading to Alberta later and overnight, and to the Canadian prairies and U.S. northern plains states on Saturday. While today's precip will be mixed rain and snow by elevation, by tomorrow this storm becomes a blizzard-like snowstorm for the prairies and plains states with steadily falling temperatures and 15-25 cms of snow on strong east winds. Highs today 2-6 C in this zone, tomorrow similar in B.C. but falling to -7 C or lower further east of the Rockies.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Thursday was a mostly dry but cloudy day, but sleety rain has arrived since sunset. Highs were around 7 C, currently 3 C, snow falling at slightly higher elevations.


  • #2400
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 25 February, 2012
    __________________________________

    TODAY ... Fog and some isolated frost (central counties) gradually clearing away except near some outer coasts west and south, for most a reasonably dry and mild day with highs 8-11 C, possibly some good sunny intervals in east and inland southeast. Winds falling off to light.

    SATURDAY NIGHT ... A clear night at first (check out Venus near crescent moon) with increasing cloud after midnight, lowest temperatures in the evening or around midnight when lows 2-5 C then rising towards dawn 5-8 C.

    SUNDAY ... Increasing cloud but some sunshine at first in southeast, then outbreaks of rain by mid-day or afternoon west, afternoon or evening east, milder with highs 10-13 C.

    MONDAY ... Overnight and early morning rain and mild with fog, then partial clearing and warmer again, lows 7-10 C and highs 12-16 C.

    TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, some showers, very mild, lows 5-8 C and highs of 12-16 C.

    WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY ... Continued rather mild, cloudy with outbreaks of light rain more frequent in west towards end of the week, highs generally in the 9-12 C range, lows in the range of 3-7 C colder in northeast.

    OUTLOOK ... Somewhat cooler in a westerly flow by about the weekend of 3-4 March into the first days of the following week, showery, temperatures near normal. March in general may turn out "backward" in that the temperature may show a flat or downward trrend in opposition to the normal gradual rise through the month. Eventually a colder blocking pattern may develop and we may see a snowfall event later in the month, with the same pattern likely in April, warm to start and cooler mid to late month.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... Snow across northern New England and Quebec early today will move into the Maritime provinces of eastern Canada although Nova Scotia and southeast Newfoundland will stay on the milder side of this storm with light rain. Snowfalls of 20-35 cms are likely ... the northeast U.S. and Great Lakes will be in a cold, windy regime with locally heavy snow squalls but some sunshine elsewhere, highs below freezing. Sunshine in the western Great Lakes and parts of the Midwest, but meanwhile, another storm is developing this morning over the British Columbia Rockies, spreading to Alberta and northern Idaho, Montana later and overnight, and to the Canadian prairies and U.S. northern plains states on Saturday. This storm eventually becomes a blizzard-like snowstorm for the prairies and plains states with steadily falling temperatures and 15-25 cms of snow on strong east winds. Highs today 2-6 C in this zone, tomorrow similar in B.C. but falling to -7 C or lower further east of the Rockies. Another heavy snowfall is likely in the northern plains on Tuesday from a storm that will form late today in Utah along the cold front of the current storm. South of that, as golf viewers will notice from the World Match Play event, it's rather warm in the desert southwest region.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Friday was a cold and wet day with rain turning to sleet and heavy wet snow at times during the morning, with a slushy 2-3 cms accumulation, and temperatures steady around 2-3 C. It is still drizzly and cold at this late hour with snow falling on nearby hills.


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  • #2401
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 26 February, 2012
    _________________________________

    TODAY ... Hazy and mild with some sunshine at times in eastern, central counties ... drizzle or light rain edging onto the Atlantic coasts and some further distance east but may remain dry in east ... highs 11-13 C.

    TONIGHT ... Overcast, light rain, 2-5 mms on average ... fog and mist developing ... lows 7-10 C.

    MONDAY ... Drizzle or light rain clearing for most, but persistent in parts of Connacht and west Ulster ... becoming very mild where sunshine develops in east, south ... highs 10-13 C for most, but 14-16 C possible.

    TUESDAY ... Hazy sunshine at times, very mild, except for outer west coast and south coast, where low cloud fog and drizzle may be persistent ... lows of 7-10 C and highs 11-14 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Little change, mild with some sunshine, widespread morning fog may be persistent in some coastal districts, lows 5-8 C and highs 11-14 C.

    THURSDAY-FRIDAY ... Increasing cloud, mild, becoming windy by Friday with periods of rain, strong southerly winds affecting west coast, south and central counties. Highs both days around 11 C. Lows near 4 C Thursday and near 7 C on Friday. About 20-30 mms rain possible.

    OUTLOOK ... The weekend may become somewhat cooler in a showery west to northwest flow. Highs will be around 9 C.

    NORTH AMERICAN FORECASTS ... Snow and blowing snow (10-20 cms) will move across the northern plains states and out of much of western Canada, which will then become clear and cold, highs generally -7 to -12 C. Further south, very mild in the warm sector of this storm for the central plains states, highs 15-18 C to near 25 C in Texas and west into the desert southwest. Showery in Nevada as a new storm develops along the cold front. Cloudy with sunny intervals west coast, chilly, mountain snow showers.

    Meanwhile, the eastern third of the U.S. and most of Ontario and Quebec will be dry and rather chilly to start, becoming milder by afternoon, in a developing milder southwest flow. Highs eventually 5-10 C for most, trending to about 15-18 C in Florida. Yesterday's New Brunswick storm is now crossing Newfoundland and will bring 10-20 cms snow to north, rain to southeast there. Highs in the southeast near 5 C.

    MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Saturday was very windy and cold, with gradually clearing skies. The high was about 5 C but it felt much colder in NW winds gusting at times to near 50 mph. We had a nice view of the Moon near Venus about 7 p.m. before cloud rolled in again. You could look for the Moon near Jupiter this evening if skies are clear.


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