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Thursday/Friday Snow Potential

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12467…14

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    #92
    John.Icy
    Registered Users Posts: 2,013 ✭✭✭John.Icy


    NickDrake wrote: »
    Can Met Eireann get it wrong again? Wouldn't be the first time.

    I remember they messed up big time by missing the snow that hit the East one night last winter when it came in off the Irish sea

    Yeah. How dare ME not control the convection rates for the Irish sea!!!! Bunch of fools!

    :pac:


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    #93
    Redsunset
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,693 ✭✭✭Redsunset


    Latest NAE, however im with Su on this one,i think only nthe highest hills seeing some accumulation .

    11121600_1418.gif


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    #94
    Su Campu
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    smallwonder wrote: »
    What do you reckon the probability is of this happening in the North West? I've a bit of driving to do tomorrow evening.

    Should be snow showers above around 100 m in the northwest tomorrow night.


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    #95
    Mountainsandh
    Registered Users Posts: 6,700 ✭✭✭Mountainsandh


    Redsunset, would that pink blob be likely to move any way ... like... just a little South ? ... any chance at all ? ... please and thank you ?


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    #96
    Redsunset
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,693 ✭✭✭Redsunset


    Oh she'll move any way it wants in next runs and even become a magician and disappear.:D


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    #97
    Redsunset
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,693 ✭✭✭Redsunset


    From Ian Fergusson,

    Just finished long conference with UKMO colleagues. Please keep tuned to f'casts for Thurs night/Fri AM. Glos/M4 Wilts snow issue Fri AM: not good...


    So it looks like parts of southern England are in for a wintry belt,Feckers

    Edit,yeah must be worried bout this from the NAE. EDIT UKMO WARNING Outbreaks of heavy rain will turn readily to snow during the early hours of Friday. The snow is likely to accumulate over time with a risk of up to 10 cm over higher ground. At low levels sleet is more likely but even here some lying snow cannot be ruled out.
    11121612_1418.gif


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    #98
    Trotter
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,362 ✭✭✭Trotter


    Im amazed how the charts changed so much in the space of the afternoon/evening. I shouldnt be I suppose!


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    #99
    Su Campu
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    redsunset wrote: »
    From Ian Fergusson,

    Just finished long conference with UKMO colleagues. Please keep tuned to f'casts for Thurs night/Fri AM. Glos/M4 Wilts snow issue Fri AM: not good...


    So it looks like parts of southern England are in for a wintry belt,Feckers

    Edit,yeah must be worried bout this from the NAE

    But again it will be on the moors, above around 150 metres. Should be some very high snowfall rates there on the northwest sector of the low tomorrow night.


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    #100
    dbyrne
    Registered Users Posts: 251 ✭✭dbyrne


    just checked bbc and sky weather (red button) and there could be a good snow event on Thursday night between 11 and 1 am for the southeast and east. dont know how much but hope it goes as predicted as it would be nice to see some snow.


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    #101
    jo06555
    Registered Users Posts: 1,118 ✭✭✭jo06555


    dbyrne wrote: »
    just checked bbc and sky weather (red button) and there could be a good snow event on Thursday night between 11 and 1 am for the southeast and east. dont know how much but hope it goes as predicted as it would be nice to see some snow.

    But surely that's based on the 3.30 run today as the 9.30 run has just wiped all snow from south east IMO no? ?????


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    #102
    Mountainsandh
    Registered Users Posts: 6,700 ✭✭✭Mountainsandh


    redsunset wrote: »
    Oh she'll move any way it wants in next runs and even become a magician and disappear.:D


    Well I'm not thanking THAT ! :mad:;)


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    #103
    weathermaiden
    Registered Users Posts: 60 ✭✭weathermaiden


    Musicman2000 wrote: »
    Can be very hard to forecast snow, especially in this situation but I don’t even think she mentioned tomorrow night and the same after the six o clock news.

    And here is the Gfs 18z run snow gone.

    prectypeuktopo.png

    2vb29eu.jpg


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    #104
    closeline
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,256 ✭✭✭closeline


    Will there be any snow around Cork, near the town of Mallow??


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    #105
    kingshankly
    Registered Users Posts: 7,544 ✭✭✭kingshankly


    closeline wrote: »
    Will there be any snow around Cork, near the town of Mallow??

    that chart above should answer your question


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    #106
    mickger844posts
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,466 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    NAE 0Z keeping slim hopes alive.

    185283.png

    Dew Points not looking too bad.

    185285.png


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    #107
    bassy
    Registered Users Posts: 6,544 ✭✭✭bassy


    mickger when will that hit the southeast?


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    #108
    mickger844posts
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,466 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    bassy wrote: »
    mickger when will that hit the southeast?

    There are no guarantees it will hit anywhere. If by some miracle that it happens and the NAE charts are right it would be after Midnight tonight. Thats a mighty big IF though ;)


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    #109
    blackius
    Closed Accounts Posts: 469 ✭✭blackius


    ah the nae snow map...see how it turns snow to rain as it heads inland...
    Indicative but wildly inaccurate.

    This will be a high ground mostly event folks :)


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    #110
    irish1967
    Registered Users Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭irish1967


    Latest sat. pic. :(
    0afd80f1.jpg


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    #111
    Cionád
    Registered Users Posts: 2,000 ✭✭✭Cionád


    Any update on this? I guess the threat of snow is limited to ulster at this stage?


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    #112
    irish1967
    Registered Users Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭irish1967


    Well if heavy continuous rain was snow we would be in drifts at this stage :(


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    #113
    arctictree
    Registered Users Posts: 4,291 ✭✭✭arctictree


    Looks like the front is hitting the south west at the moment. Will be interesting to see its exact track.


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    #114
    DarkJager
    Closed Accounts Posts: 7,960 ✭✭✭DarkJager


    arctictree wrote: »
    Looks like the front is hitting the south west at the moment. Will be interesting to see its exact track.

    I'm in Limerick and there isn't a cloud around, lovely day out. Temp is at 6c.


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    #115
    davidsr20
    Registered Users Posts: 768 ✭✭✭davidsr20


    It was 0-1 degrees last nite but yet was pissing rain,I don't get it , does it not snow from 0-3 degrees or what other factors is needed?


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    #116
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    davidsr20 wrote: »
    It was 0-1 degrees last nite but yet was pissing rain,I don't get it , does it not snow from 0-3 degrees or what other factors is needed?

    Snowdance is essential..


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    #117
    blackius
    Closed Accounts Posts: 469 ✭✭blackius


    davidsr20 wrote: »
    It was 0-1 degrees last nite but yet was pissing rain,I don't get it , does it not snow from 0-3 degrees or what other factors is needed?
    negative dewpoints and probably thickness ,the latter needs to be sub 525 or so to be sure if in off the atlantic in my experience.
    Unfortunately a thing that goes awry when the polar air over you is mixed with too much atlantic muck sourced from the gulf of mexico.

    Thats where northeasterlies sourced up above norway somewhere have the advantage.
    No North atlantic gulf sourced air mixing in them.

    Ditto for Easterlies and direct northerlies.


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    #118
    WolfeIRE
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    Just had a wet snow shower a half hour ago with graupel mixed in.

    Dew point was about 1.5 at the time while the air temp was at 5.8c. Both the air temp and dew point have dropped considerably in the last hr. Hopefully some more showers push in this evening and tonight, I might just get lucky with some snow.

    Reading from my weatHer station for the past 24 hours below.

    185310.jpg

    Snow in Antrim
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ACEG89_7U-4


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    #119
    Tactical
    Registered Users Posts: 1,542 ✭✭✭Tactical


    Can you send some a little further to your South?

    Been a reasonably bright and dry day so far here in West Limerick.


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    #120
    Tactical
    Registered Users Posts: 1,542 ✭✭✭Tactical


    The reporter is wearing a wooly hat!!

    Who was the TV presenter last year who wore the hat a lot of people were talking about? The name escapes me at the moment :(


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    #121
    homolumo
    Registered Users Posts: 1,080 ✭✭✭homolumo


    Tactical wrote: »
    The reporter is wearing a wooly hat!!

    Who was the TV presenter last year who wore the hat a lot of people were talking about? The name escapes me at the moment :(

    Paul Cunningham I think?


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