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Longshot Value, 100 bets

2456711

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 7,839 ✭✭✭ thesandeman


    Think I better start following this one. Fair play. Hopefully you will find a 66/1 during Chelt.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,463 ✭✭✭ longshotvalue


    Think I better start following this one. Fair play. Hopefully you will find a 66/1 during Chelt.


    Would ya believe im looking right now..


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,463 ✭✭✭ longshotvalue


    14. Cornish SET , Cross Country Cheltenham, Should improve witht eh better ground, and may have been trained with this in mind, Nicholls does not tend to keep them with no reason.. Betfair 75 Win No Place Market Yet, 33/1 Bookies


    .5 Point Win .5 Point Place

    15. A New Story, Cross Country Cheltenham, Proven course form, and with paying 4 places, seems value to place, has 2 decent runs this year. Betfair 75 Win No Place Market Yet. 40/1 Bookies

    .5 Point Win .5 Point Place


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,503 ✭✭✭ smelltheglove


    Nice one stuck a fiver e/w on him at 12/1 good stuff mate!!


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,135 POINTBREAK


    Nice one!


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  • Registered Users Posts: 7,839 ✭✭✭ thesandeman


    Looks like we have a new forum hero.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,463 ✭✭✭ longshotvalue


    aidankkk wrote: »
    13. Ballytrim Naas 4:00, of his weight today, he is better than the 9.8 currently available on Betfair. Trip may be slightly short..

    1 Point Win


    :D:D Happy with that ended up 11.74,


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,135 POINTBREAK


    aidankkk wrote: »
    :D:D Happy with that ended up 11.74,

    Townend is a brilliant jockey. I backed Bella Man Mou at 30 and it traded at 3.8 coming to the 2nd last going well, but it seemed to just blow out and was pulled up again about a furlong out.


  • Registered Users Posts: 152 ✭✭✭ Knobs


    Some nice winners there, keep it up


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,853 Kod-box


    will be following these from now on too, good work so far man.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,463 ✭✭✭ longshotvalue


    Story So Far after 15 bets

    BSP + 35.83
    Advised + 44.7

    Still Running Bets 5 pts.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,463 ✭✭✭ longshotvalue


    16. Cannon Fire FFos Las, 4:35.. Needs the better ground and appears to me to have dropped to far in ratings on poor ground.. Has run well of higher marks.. Jockey is on poor run (not completed for trainer last 4 runs) and trip is plenty short enough are negatives, but seems overpiced. Betfair win 27.0 Place 6.6

    1 Point win 1 Point Place.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,503 ✭✭✭ smelltheglove


    nice one already had a few bob on him this morning always stick a euro or 2 on any big priced evan williams horses got him at 22's


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,463 ✭✭✭ longshotvalue


    17 Punjabi Cheltenham Champion hurdle.. Betfair 9.8 Win, almost 9/1 about a repeat with the race cutting up as we speak, clearly should be priced lower than Zaynar.. Looks like the Value

    2 Points Win


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,463 ✭✭✭ longshotvalue


    18 Macmar. Exeter 3:30, Has dropped down weights on unsuitable soft going, is a bit of a course specialist, and has won here of higher marks.. Negative is the trip is further than his wins here, looks value in an open race...Betfair win 19 Place 5


    1 Point win 1 Point Place


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,463 ✭✭✭ longshotvalue


    Story So Far after 18 bets

    BSP + 28.83
    Advised + 37.7

    Bet down Tatantiano Arkle 1w2pl.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,463 ✭✭✭ longshotvalue


    19 POCKET TOO Sandown 4:05, Back over the right trip ground, signs of some return to form last time, won of a lot higher, 7lbs Passanger on this time no weight.. Betfair 32w 8.8pl

    1 Point win 1 Point Place


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,463 ✭✭✭ longshotvalue


    20 MOKUM, 3:30 Sandown, may be set out for this, ran well 2 years ago, has had one run this year Betfair 12.5w

    1 Point Win


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,463 ✭✭✭ longshotvalue


    aidankkk wrote: »
    19 POCKET TOO Sandown 4:05, Back over the right trip ground, signs of some return to form last time, won of a lot higher, 7lbs Passanger on this time no weight.. Betfair 32w 8.8pl

    1 Point win 1 Point Place




    :(:(:(:(:(:(:( lost by an inch, poor last jump...


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,839 ✭✭✭ thesandeman


    Hard luck on Pocket. Great ew price still though.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 721 ✭✭✭ jkelly85


    poor over the last cost it, but great call again so unlucky


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,463 ✭✭✭ longshotvalue


    Story So Far after 20 bets

    BSP + 32.63
    Advised + 42.5


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,463 ✭✭✭ longshotvalue


    21 Or Jaune Sand 2:30, Ground Trip Handicap Mark all coming together. Betfair 7.0

    1 Point Win


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,463 ✭✭✭ longshotvalue


    22 Pistolet Noir Sand 3:05, Get the allowences here trip should suit and recapturing his win over barizan would make him value Betfair 32win 6.4 Place

    1 Point Win 1 Point Place


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,463 ✭✭✭ longshotvalue


    23. STONEY´S TREASURE Sand 2:00, bottom weight, last run poor, but decent previously.. Seems Overpriced Betfair 18.5 w 4.5 Pl


    1 Point win 1 point Place [URL="javascript:void(0)"][/URL]


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,135 POINTBREAK


    aidankkk wrote: »
    14. Cornish SET , Cross Country Cheltenham, Should improve witht eh better ground, and may have been trained with this in mind, Nicholls does not tend to keep them with no reason.. Betfair 75 Win No Place Market Yet, 33/1 Bookies


    .5 Point Win .5 Point Place

    15. A New Story, Cross Country Cheltenham, Proven course form, and with paying 4 places, seems value to place, has 2 decent runs this year. Betfair 75 Win No Place Market Yet. 40/1 Bookies

    .5 Point Win .5 Point Place

    Not really a race for big priced winners though, but decent value bets I spose. You like anything else at Cheltenham?


  • Registered Users Posts: 127 ✭✭ winslow


    aidankkk wrote: »
    14. Cornish SET , Cross Country Cheltenham, Should improve witht eh better ground, and may have been trained with this in mind, Nicholls does not tend to keep them with no reason.. Betfair 75 Win No Place Market Yet, 33/1 Bookies


    .5 Point Win .5 Point Place

    15. A New Story, Cross Country Cheltenham, Proven course form, and with paying 4 places, seems value to place, has 2 decent runs this year. Betfair 75 Win No Place Market Yet. 40/1 Bookies

    .5 Point Win .5 Point Place

    I noticed you had put in a few names over the past week or so. Would you be able to make a list of the horses you fancy over the festival and share it before the festival starts?

    I think a few of your long odds horses, mixed in with some favourites, make a few doubles and trebles, and you never know what might happen.

    Stirred, not shaken!


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,463 ✭✭✭ longshotvalue


    aidankkk wrote: »
    17 Punjabi Cheltenham Champion hurdle.. Betfair 9.8 Win, almost 9/1 about a repeat with the race cutting up as we speak, clearly should be priced lower than Zaynar.. Looks like the Value

    2 Points Win


    Still value i think at 8.0


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,463 ✭✭✭ longshotvalue


    24 KICKS FOR FREE , Chel 2:40, looked to be staying on last time and should be better on good ground, has course form, and is on a decent mark. Betfair 37win 6.2pl

    1Point win 1Point Place


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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,463 ✭✭✭ longshotvalue


    25 FIULIN , 1:30 Chelt, Shot in the dark here, very decent flat horse, whose first and only run over hurdles was eyecatching (even tough he was last) over to far and on poor ground, good ground might help.
    .5 Points EW Betfred 200/1
    26 Fosters Cross 2:05 Chelt, just looks to big to place, may not be that far behind other contenders to place. Betfair Place 18.5. Looked decent until fall last time at course, has won on decent ground.
    .5 points Place


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