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Longshot Value, 100 bets

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Comments

  • #302
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    96 Star Rover , New 3:40, good to firm 5furlongs might just suit him, has half decent place chance at the weights. Betfair 70w 15pl

    .5 win 1 Point Place


  • #303
    Vurnon San Benito
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,979 ✭✭✭Vurnon San Benito


    Backed all three with small bets, cheers Aidan. No harm if they come close. I think I speak for all here when we say we appreciate your tips man :)


  • #304
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    icon1.gif
    97 Halicarnassus, price looks to big to come back to form with a lot of questions about the other runners Betfair 16.0

    1 Point win
    __________________
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  • #305
    Nulty
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,838 ✭✭✭Nulty


    aidankkk wrote: »
    94 Viscount Nelson, 2000 g, Have to go with the ususal back the outsider of AOB, that has had a run. He is just way to big a price, has fallon up, and should be much better than first run this year.. Betfair 80 12.5

    1 Point win 2 Points Place

    Over on the HR forum theres good talk bout this horse. EW W/O is the bet a few of us are taking.

    Your effectively getting four places with this bet. (Aren't you?)


  • #306
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Nulty wrote: »
    Over on the HR forum theres good talk bout this horse. EW W/O is the bet a few of us are taking.

    Your effectively getting four places with this bet. (Aren't you?)



    still 13.5 to place on betfair which looks reasonable value....


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  • #307
    Nulty
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,838 ✭✭✭Nulty


    aidankkk wrote: »
    still 13.5 to place on betfair which looks reasonable value....

    Didn't work out v. well :rolleyes:


  • #308
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Nulty wrote: »
    Didn't work out v. well :rolleyes:


    no, but thats the way with longshots, long barren spells with occasional wins..


  • #309
    Nulty
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,838 ✭✭✭Nulty


    aidankkk wrote: »
    no, but thats the way with longshots, long barren spells with occasional wins..

    Well yeah. I wasn't having a pop...I backed it too. You dont need to explain yourself:)


  • #310
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    98 Misheer, 1000, looks well overpriced after a poorish run this year, second to special duty staying on last year looks like very decent form and the place price seems well overpriced.. Betfair 50w 10.5 pl

    1 Point Win 2 Points Place


  • #311
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    99 Reve De Nuit . 2:05 new, might be worth a min bet here, some signs of improvement last time and step up in trip may suit. Betfair 90 14.5

    .5 Point win .5 point Place.


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  • #312
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    100 .. LAST BET biggrin.gif, have to sign of with Barizan 2011, champion hurdle 50/1 EW, looks excellent value, improved every run at the end of year, and may have more to come next year, super tough with course form. Time of punchestown race was epic, really should be in the top 5-6 in the betting..

    1 Point EW 50/1 Bet365


  • #313
    POINTBREAK
    Registered Users Posts: 2,135 ✭✭✭POINTBREAK


    Well done Aiden.


  • #314
    eclectichoney
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,291 ✭✭✭eclectichoney


    aidankkk wrote: »
    100 .. LAST BET biggrin.gif, have to sign of with Barizan 2011, champion hurdle 50/1 EW, looks excellent value, improved every run at the end of year, and may have more to come next year, super tough with course form. Time of punchestown race was epic, really should be in the top 5-6 in the betting..

    1 Point EW 50/1 Bet365

    Aw you can't close the thread - make it 1000 instead :)

    What race is Barizan in? Can't see it listed???


  • #315
    winslow
    Registered Users Posts: 127 ✭✭winslow


    eclectichoney wrote: »
    Aw you can't close the thread - make it 1000 instead :)

    What race is Barizan in? Can't see it listed???

    2011, champion hurdle


  • #316
    eclectichoney
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,291 ✭✭✭eclectichoney


    winslow wrote: »
    2011, champion hurdle

    Sorry - I'm half asleep today! :o:o


  • #317
    winslow
    Registered Users Posts: 127 ✭✭winslow


    eclectichoney wrote: »
    Sorry - I'm half asleep today! :o:o


    Just make sure the half that is sleeping isn't doing the bets today!! :)


  • #318
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Finishing Story

    100 Bets

    BSP 129.68 less Commission 13.96 = 115.72

    Advised 166.95 less Commission 15.82 = 151.13


    Went about 100 points better than expectedsmile.gif

    Lessons Learned

    1 Avoid FLAT
    2 All race wins were in Bigger Races, so stick to these.
    3 Very little profit in the place side of the Betting.:mad:


  • #319
    Verance
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 951 ✭✭✭Verance


    Well don Aidan, great results.
    aidankkk wrote: »
    1 Avoid FLAT

    Perhaps this might have been because you hit the start of the flat season and you might do better when the form settles down?


  • #320
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Verance wrote: »
    Well don Aidan, great results.



    Perhaps this might have been because you hit the start of the flat season and you might do better when the form settles down?


    No thats true, im usually able to pick up a few decent priced winners in so called Heritage Handicaps as the season progresses..

    Actually I think ill start a tread called 2010 Flat Heritage Handicaps later on ..


  • #321
    awhir
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,227 ✭✭✭awhir


    Thanks for sharing the selcetions aidan , hopefully there will be a new thread soon :)


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