Winter 2022-23 - General Discussion

On the 18z still looks like the high will drift off up towards Greenland but a few days later.

First snow in Moscow yesterday.

Only a matter of time till it reaches us 🙃

Those charts in about a weeks time do look like they could change alot and go from just wet and windy into potential full blown storms..we'll see sure only a matter of time anyway

About all we could suggest is that the very mild spell will gradually transition to near average temperatures after mid-month. GFS temperature projections are generally in the range of 8-12 C daytime hours by then, and near frosts returning at night. Personally I don't think there is much hope for truly winter synoptics until some time in early to mid December (if even then), there likely won't be any 2010 style pattern reversals on that same time scale. However, this is supposed to be autumn not winter so might as well keep any wintry potential for the coldest months, right?

By the way, I have full-on winter here, we were running very warm to 20 Oct then the pattern flipped to cool, followed by this snowstorm we just had yesterday (25 cm on ground), now it's below freezing at noon here, and partly cloudy. We went from being a month later than normal to a month earlier, in just three weeks.

That weather chart makes me want to punch the computer screen

People that lived in ireland a long time ago actually only had 2 seasons for the whole year...and they are right because thats what its like...it was probably 9 months of the year winter and 3 months of so called summer if youre lucky

I thought these islands were considered to be among the easiest countries in the world to do manual work in.

This seems likely to be accentuated in the coming years as global warming increases further.

We should pity our fellow Europeans (and other countries) who may have to suffer heat , drought , hurricanes earthquakes ,pollution and wildfires over the coming years (as well as periodic floods)

We are surely lucky overall even if the present month plus long spell of weather is indeed of no use to man nor beast

Would be great to hear from some of the knowledgeable members on here what they think of this ⬆️

May not be a popular opinion but I would love a guarantee of some colder and more seasonable weather in the horizon

Do you take us for thickos?

Of course there are natural events that influence the climate as well as anthropogenic warming.Get up the yard with your "climate-change agenda"

We are the agenda that climate change has on its agenda.

If only climate deniers were the first species to become extinct.

A very interesting and detailed article (but too hard for me to follow-even the graphs are not easy to follow) but I note the conclusion is "watch this space " and not "hey,we got a new theory"

I'm certainly not denying that climate change is not a thing. Climate naturally changes over time, we know that. What I meant is that the theory suggested in the article suggests that a lot the highly unusual weather across the globe during 2022 can be attributed to the water vapour release into the atmosphere as a direct result of the volcanic eruption of Hunga Tonga. If the article is to be believed (and it seems rather plausible), then it would mean that a lot of media reports of unusual/extreme weather events during 2022 that were reported as being directly caused due to human kinds interference, were in fact false information. I'm not saying the media outlets were knowingly spreading false information (if this article proves to be correct at some point) but it would be a significant contribution to the general awareness of climate change.