Horse Racing Bets (win...e/w....place

Saturday Newmarket 3.40 Inchicore 3pts e/w 18/1 skybet 7 places

Earlier this year in April INCHICORE tried 2m plus for the first time, she finished 3rd of 7 runners beaten 4L by AHORSEWITHNONAME. INCHICORE gave AHORSEWITNONAME 12LB and tomorrow gives that horse 1LB so will be 11LB better off for a 4L beating.

That Newbury race was run 10 seconds slower than average and INCHICORE was gaining on the two leaders so I am hoping the extra 1 and 1/2f, the mare seems to like running past beaten horses, 7 places at 18/1 looks generous enough to me.

INCHICORE has actually finished in the first 4 in eight of her 13 races, races over 2m2f for the first time which I am hoping will suit her, the trainer has had two winners in the last two weeks.

3.40 – Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

19/20 – Aged 4 or older

16/20 – Carried 9-2 or less

15/20 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before

15/20 – Had run within the last 2 months

14/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting

14/20 – Finished 4th or better last time out

14/20 – Aged 5 or older

12/20 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before

11/20 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season

11/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less

11/20 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower

11/20 – Had run at the track before

11/20 – Won by a NH trainer

9/20 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before

9/20 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price

9/20 – Placed favourites

8/20 – Ran at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out

5/20 – Winning mares

4/20 – Winning favourites

3/20 – Winners from stall 1

3/20 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 4 winners)

3/20 – Won last time out

3/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

2/20 – Trained by Mark Johnston

2/20 - Trained by Brian Meehan

2/20 – Trained by Philip Hobbs

The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 21/1

Just 4 winning favourites since 1993

Thanks to GEEGEEZ.CO.UK

Dragons call has raced 31 times however from the 31 races he has only raced twice over 6f at the curragh resulting in a last and 2nd beaten a hd. When he finished last he was rated 75 and when he was beaten a hd he was rated 64. He is rated 64 tomorrow with the claimer who in my opinion is very good actually taking a further 7LB off.

He is drawn 20 of 30 runners, I think the high numbers should be an advantage tomorrow.

Well INCHICORE was ground dependent and never went a yard on that good ground so 6pts wasted.

Tomorrow Ffos las 3.45 ROBBIE DAZZLER 2pts e/w 16/1 Hills 4 places

Ffos las 3.45 ROBBIE DAZZLER 2pts e/w 16/1 Hills 4 places 2nd 17/2

4.4pts profit on race

Bank +28.6pts

Monday, Windsor

1.15 makingitup 20/1....2pts e/w Skybet/Hills 4 places

First time cheek pieces, the drop back to 6f, and this kid taking 5LB off makes this interesting add the fact there is rain expected to hit the course overnight so I am willing to play at 20/1.

The kid riding has has 13 rides in the last fourth night and been in the first four 6 times, I know you say what's that got to do with anything however just pointing out he is decent enough plus the fact Andrew Balding uses him a lot so that's good enough for me.

Makingitup finished 6th beaten 4L in a 0-75 handicap at Newcastle last month with 77 and three 75 rated horses in front of him so same rated horses tomorrow hopefully some rain arrives

I hope Bourbali needed the race, Joe Tizzards runner at Chepstow on Saturday, led and stopped as if shot three out, no money for it 9/1 out to 11/1 hope its not a sign of things to come.

8.05 Captain Vallo 2pts e/w 15/2 powers 4 places

Captain Vallo has not done much lately, he is a consistent enough horse with a record of 7 places from 18 races on the turf and 3/5 on the all weather with his Newcastle form reading 8212 all at 6f tonight's distance, seems to have a perfect draw in 12

Sire MEHMAS has had 28 runners at Newcastle over 6f winning 5 and placing in 9.

Trainer P.Makin is 134/10/34......10 winners and 34 places last five years

Jockey Harry Burns is 13/3/5...3 winners and 5 places last 12 months

Some decent stats and 15/2 fair enough price.

Bet put on 21 years ago 🤣

IJF benefits as Ian Balding’s bet on William Buick comes to fruition

11 October 2022//by Geegeez News

The Injured Jockeys Fund is to receive £5,000 owing to a 21-year-old bet placed by former trainer Ian Balding on William Buick to be crowned champion jockey.

Balding, trainer of numerous equine stars such as Mill Reef and Lochsong, placed a verbal bet of £50 in 2001 with then Tote chairman Peter Jones that Buick would one day be champion at odds of 100-1.

The Oslo-born jockey, who began riding out at Kingsclere in the school holidays aged 14, rode his first winner for Balding’s son Andrew in 2006 and was joint-champion apprentice, along with David Probert, two years later.

Having lost out by just two winners to Oisin Murphy last season, Buick will officially be crowned champion jockey for the first time on Qipco Champions Day at Ascot on Saturday – and Ian Balding is delighted the Tote has honoured his bet, with the winnings going to the IJF.

He said: “I am absolutely thrilled he has fulfilled the potential I always knew he had, and I have finally had a successful bet!

“My late brother Toby (Grand National-winning trainer) would be proud.”

Nottingham 5.15 High Opinion 2pts e/w 14/1 Skybet 4 places

High Opinion's last race at Catterick where he finished 4th reads well for tomorrows race. With Captain Corcoran drawn 10 he should take them along the nearside rails and give some pace for HIGH OPINION (drawn 9) to chase.

That race at Catterick nearly five weeks ago, the 2nd 3rd and 5th have won since.

Last five years the trainer is 28 runners...5 winners and 12 placers

Jockey/trainer combo last 5 years at Nottingham 3 runners 1 placer

Last nine years sire HELLVEYLN has had 38 runners in 5f sprints resulting in 4 wins and 13 placers

on soft going only over 5f (tomorrows conditions) that reads 8 races 2 wins and 5 places

Brighton 2.05 Otago 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet 4 places

3.15 Regulator 2pts e/w 14/1 skybet 4 places

Brighton 2.05 Otago 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet 4 places

3.15 Regulator 2pts e/w 14/1 skybet 4 places

Thanks for that Mike

Brighton 2.05 Otago 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet 4 places 4th 2.8pts profit

3.15 Regulator 2pts e/w 14/1 skybet 4 places non runner

Bank +35pts

Tonight Chelmsford 7.30 STATU OF LIBERTY 2pts e/w 10/1 skybet 4 places

Tonight Chelmsford 7.30 STATU OF LIBERTY 2pts e/w 10/1 skybet 4 places 3rd 14/1

Bank +37pts

Haydock 4.00 DANDY MAESTRO 2pts e/w 18/1 skybet 5 places (big drifter this morning)

A little snippet for you

MIDNIGHT GLANCE (A King)

2nd of 7, 2m6.5f Novice Handicap Chase, Uttoxeter, 7th Sept

This was the 7yo’s second chasing start, his first coming at Hexham at the beginning of May, which I personally thought was a strange piece of placement, given he was thrown straight into open chase handicap company against a bunch of hardened chase handicappers, over the demanding 3-mile Hexham undulations. To be fair to the horse he made good headway to find himself disputing the lead at two-out but when he hit the uber-stiff Hexham finish he though ‘nah, bugger this, not today!’ and ended up a well-beaten 32L 6th.

This run at Uttoxeter was his first run since that Hexham debut but he bumped into the Peter Bowen trained JUDGE EARL on this occasion and he was a horse in bouncing form at the time, rounding out his third win in the space of two weeks, and Midnight Glance’s 6L 2nd was more than respectable.

I actually first noted this lad after that Hexham effort as his breeding caught my eye, being by Passing Glance out of a Midnight legend mare, and that is a cross that has provided winners over fences, with the six that have gone chasing picking off 6 wins and 5 placed efforts between them, for overall stats of 6/24, 5p… improving plenty when you look at their chase starts on Good to Soft or softer, for stats of 6/17, 3p… which would tie in with MIDNIGHT GLANCE’S own form as he is 0/5 on Good ground, all 3 of his wins coming on Good to Soft or softer… this Uttoxeter effort was on Good ground so again no disgrace in coming a 6L 2nd against a red-hot rival AND on ground that he won’t have enjoyed.

Once the ground begins to soften up I’d fully expect this one to be opening his chase account and based on what we’ve seen from him to date I’d have his Prime Conditions as the following…

Good to Soft or softer | Handicaps with single figure fields = 12311 (3/5, 2p – all 3 career wins)

His trainer Alan King is expert at getting chase wins into his lightly raced chasers (0-5 previous chase starts) especially at one of the following tracks… Bangor – Exeter – Hereford – Plumpton – Warwick – Wincanton… with combined stats at those tracks with his lightly raced chasers of… 114/343 | 33% S/R | +£91.56 – W&P 174/343 | 51% S/R – 23% above exp… MIDNIGHT GLANCE is 2 from 2 at Plumpton over hurdles so it would be no surprise to see him score over fences there also.

taken from www.narrowingthefield.co.uk

Runs today in the Uttoxeter 2.59....5/1

Saturday Leopardstown 5.30 LAELAPS 2pts e/w 16/1 skybet 6 places

Laelaps has only tried the 1m4f trip once but he gave a very good try finishing a flying 4th up the hill at Galway. Race comments below

Dwelt start, held up in rear, pushed along 2f out, still plenty to do 1f out, kept on strongly inside final furlong, went fourth final strides, nearest finish (tchd 16/1)

Ok he is racing against classier types tomorrow but the way he stormed up that hill at Galway bodes well for tomorrow in my view. He has a dosage of 0.64 Has run well on left handed tracks, cheek pieces first time tomorrow plus now back down to

He has raced 20 times and has finished in the first four no less that 11 times, only one of the 20 races were at Leopardstown when he was a 2yr old on heavy going he finished 6th btn 5 and 3/4L. Although the trainer has two horses in the race I am not too keen on 3yr olds in this race so will leave her other horse alone.....watch it p!ss up on the bridle now

Wolverhamton 8.30 BIRD FOR LIFE 2pts e/w 20/1 skybet 4 places

Flat Lifetime Form: 466895410/36321263206286/6245515213048/91152365845/733360133563909-72782293340

Wolverhampton Lifetime Form: 2365131566

Wolverhamtom Lifetime Form Over Class 6……. 2m 1/2f (Tomorrows Distance) 235115

2nd btn sh hd….OR 51….13 runners

3rd btn 4L….OR 59…..12 runners

5th btn 4L….OR 60…..10 runners

1st by 1.5L…OR 63…..12 runners

1st by 6L….OR 61…..11 runners

5th btn 6L…OR 60….12 runners

Bird for life runs off 49 tomorrow with the kid taking a further 3LB off, I think the stall one will also be a help as when he comes out he will not have to head for the rail as he usually does.

Trainer ran 216 horse at Wolverhampton over the last five years…16 winners and 53 placers

Jockey has ridden 111 races resulting in 7 winners and 21 placers

Over the last 9 years DELEGATOR off spring have run 10 times from 2m to 2m1f resulting in

3 wins and 6 placers

Now there is a caveat emptor and that is …………………..the horses style of running however 20/1 is just too big for this horse in this race tomorrow

Looks like I picked the wrong one today, Jessies other horse YASHIN backed from 12s into 9/2 😯

Favourite backers beware, it is end of season, horses are only animals and anyone backing odds on shots in October, based on firm ground form from mid June/July needs to give it up.

Badeed 1/4 unpl