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Horse Racing Bets (win...e/w....place

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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    Bank 28.7pts


    12.50 Mister Watson 2pts e/w 9/1 skybet 4 places



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    12.50 Mister Watson 2pts e/w 9/1 skybet 4 places 3rd a little unlucky after landing on his nose at the last 1.6pts profit on the race


    Bank 34.3pts



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    Cheltenham 4.00 Galahad Threepwood 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet/powers 6 places



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    Cheltenham 4.00 Galahad Threepwood 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet/powers 6 places

    Trainer Ben Pauling has his string in fine form with 3 winners from his last 12 runners and 10 of them being in the first three places plus it is napped over on the other site



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    2022 Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends

    10 November 2022//by Andy Newton

    Run over 2m 4 ½ furlongs the Paddy Power Gold Cup is the feature contest at the three-day Cheltenham Open Meeting, held each year in the middle of November (11th-13th Nov 2022).

    The ‘Pond House’ Pipe stable are the leading yard with nine wins in the race, with Celestial Gold, Our Vic and Great Endeavour, who won the contest in 2011, their most-recent winners.

    In 2017, the Paddy Power Gold Cup was won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies-trained Splash Of Ginge – a win that gave the yard their third success in the race since 2008 and their four overall.

    In 2020, we saw the Evan Williams-trained Coole Cody and could be back for more in 2022, while 12 months ago it was the Sue Smith-trained Midnight Shadow that won the race.

    We take a look at the 2022 Paddy Power Gold Cup renewal from a stats angle – this year run on Saturday 12th November.

    Recent Paddy Power Gold Cup Winners

    2021 – Midnight Shadow (9/1)

    2020 - Coole Cody (10/1)

    2019 - Happy Diva (14/1)

    2018 - Baron Alco (8/1)

    2017 - Splash Of Ginge (25/1)

    2016 - Taquin Du Seuill (8/1)

    2015 – Annacotty (12/1)

    2014 – Caid Du Berlais (10/1)

    2013 – Johns Spirit (7/1)

    2012 – Al Ferof (8/1)

    2011 – Great Endeavour (8/1)

    2010 – Little Josh (20/1)

    2009 – Tranquil Sea (11/2 fav)

    2008 – Imperial Commander (13/2)

    2007 – L’Antartique (13/2)

    2006 – Exotic Dancer (16/1)

    2005 – Our Vic (9/2 fav)

    2004 – Celestial Gold (12/1)

    2003 – Fondmort (3/1 fav)

    2002 – Cyfor Malta (16/1)

    Paddy Power Gold Cup Betting Trends

    20/20 – Had run at Cheltenham before

    19/20 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before

    19/20 – Won by a UK-based trainer

    16/20 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting

    14/20 – Carried 11st or less

    14/20 – Had won at Cheltenham before

    14/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out

    12/20 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old

    12/20 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before

    11/20 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (2) or Twiston-Davies (3)

    10/20 – Placed favourites

    9/20 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting

    9/20 – Aged 7 years-old

    8/20 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance

    5/20 – Won their last race

    5/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out

    4/20 – Trained by the Pipe stable

    3/20 – Winning favourites

    3/20 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies

    3/20 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill

    3/20 – Ran at Carlisle last time out

    2/20 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies

    1/20 – Irish-trained winners

    The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975

    Paul Nicholls has saddled 11 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 43 runners

    The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 10.5/1

    Above from GEEGEEZ.CO.UK


    so the Irish are 1/20, not really getting excited about any at the front of the betting so I will take a chance on the Alan King horse

    DEYRANN DE CARJAC 2pts e/w 22/1 powers 5 places



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,165 ✭✭✭ Sweet Talkin Romeo


    looked at that Galahad Threepwood myself last night (one of the very few i looked at), but couldn't make a case for him 'on the clock' hahahah 😃 (not always the best way of finding a winner tbs)

    think he has a few lengths to find myself, but what do i know 😋

    beyond that, race looked too hard to solve

    he seems to be gone into single figures with most the books anyhow ,, good luck with him del 🙂 ☺️



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    Cheltenham 4.00 Galahad Threepwood 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet/powers 6 places 5th 2.8pts profit on race


    Bank +37.1pts


    Saturday 2.20 DEYRANN DE CARJAC 2pts e/w 22/1 powers 5 places



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    Saturday 2.20 DEYRANN DE CARJAC 2pts e/w 22/1 powers 5 places 5TH LOST

    as there were two non runners in this race the place terms changed to 4 places only so losing bet


    Bank +33.1pts


    Sunday Cheltenham 2.55 A DIFFERENT KIND 3pts e/w 16/1 6 places skybet



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,165 ✭✭✭ Sweet Talkin Romeo


    that's disappointing tbs del :(

    didn't back meself (me pick Simply The Betts unplaced) but figured you had collected place money on yours 😪



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    Would have got paid if I did it with skybet at 18/1

    wasc



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    8.30 Inchbrae 3pts win 9/2 win Skybet



    Bank +27.1pts



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    8.30 Inchbrae 3pts win 9/2 win Skybet 2nd 2/1f


    Bank +24.1pts


    Sorry I have been tied up with work stuff so back with a few weeks to take this on daily, probably -50pts by Christmas the way its going anyway onto today.


    Mussleburgh 3.35 LASTOFTHECOSMICS 2pts e/w 20/1 powers 4 places

    Ok the negatives first

    1. I couldn't pick me nose at the moment
    2. only one win from 15 over hurdles but has placed 6 times
    3. 194 DSL

    Now some pluses

    1 form at the course over hurdles 4463 when rated 93 to 96 runs off 87 today

    2 todays jockey seems to be his regular rider these days

    3 trainer has a 33% place strike rate at course in class 5 handicap hurdle with a poor win ratio 2/39 however horse seems to like the hurdle course here 20/1 seems fair for 4 places.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    Mussleburgh 3.35 LASTOFTHECOSMICS 2pts e/w 20/1 powers 4 places...3rd 12/1 profit on race 6pts

    Bank 30.1pts

    Tuesday Southwell 2.35 higher ground 16/1 2pts e/w skybet 4 places



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    Tuesday Southwell 2.35 higher ground 16/1 2pts e/w skybet 4 places......non runner

    Bank 30.1pts


    Taunton 2.50 Love Actually 2pts e/w 7/1 skybet 4 places

    LOVE ACTUALLY has run twice at Taunton resulting in two wins albeit in class 5 and 4 handicaps however sneaks into this class 3 with 10st-2LB and the jockey who rode it at this course to win its last race taking 5lb off.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    Taunton 2.50 Love Actually 2pts e/w 7/1 skybet 4 places


    into 3/1 lets hope it at least places



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    Taunton 2.50 Love Actually 2pts e/w 7/1 skybet 4 places 5th

    Bank 26pts

    Dundalk 6.30 STEPSINTHESAND 3pts e/w 10/1 skybet 5 places



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    Dundalk 6.30 STEPSINTHESAND 3pts e/w 10/1 skybet 5 places 8th

    Bank 20pts

    Really struggling for a place never mind a winner but I will press on and keep the faith.


    5.50 lordsbridge girl 13/2 2pts e/w skybet 4 places.



  • Registered Users Posts: 81 ✭✭ hammerdub


    Del Roy. Did you miss Steps in the Sand In Dundalk today, wins at 14/1.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    Yes hammer I missed it. Wasc



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    5.50 lordsbridge girl 13/2 2pts e/w skybet 4 places. 2nd

    Bank 20pts


    Wolverhampton 8.30 POSITIVE FORCE 1pt e/w 50/1 skybet 4 places



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    Wolverhampton 8.30 POSITIVE FORCE 1pt e/w 50/1 skybet 4 places

    50s looks generous considering 4 places up for grabs obviously something a miss with the horse being dumped out of Kevin Ryans yard after only 7 races however some of the winners he raced against when trained by Ryan are rated a few pound higher than this field.

    the sires stats are terrible however the trainer books Tom Eaves who has form figures 245 the only time he has ridden the horse.

    As I say 50s might be a little too big considering 4 places avaiable



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    Wolverhampton 8.30 POSITIVE FORCE 1pt e/w 50/1 skybet 4 places last

    That went well didn't it.....ffs

    Bank 18pts


    3.00 Tommy Cullen 3pts e/w skybet 6 places 8/1



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    3.00 Tommy Cullen 3pts e/w skybet 6 places 8/1....7th

    Thats the problem when you think your picking up an easy 3pts finishes 7th...ffs


    2.15 blow your horn 2pts e/w 9/1 skybet 4 places

    over the last 9 years there have been 17 off spring from GOLDEN HORN run over 1m3f to 1m4f

    4 have won and 8 have placed with an a/e of 1.08 which is decent enough

    Trainer record at Lingfield over last five years....127 runners.....15 winners.... 38 placed



    Bank 12pts



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    2.15 blow your horn 2pts e/w 9/1 skybet 4 places 3rd...1.6pts profit

    Bank 13.6pts


    Saturday Warwick

    3.00 WOULDUBEWELL 2pts e/w 20/1 skybet 5 places

    lifetime form...P62/11/142/1321-66

    form on heavy or soft to heavy....1142

    lightly raced for a 9yr old and anything could win this



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    3.00 WOULDUBEWELL 2pts e/w 20/1 skybet 5 places p/u

    Bank 11.6pts

    1.20 Mr Rascal 2pts e/w 7/1



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    1.20 Mr Rascal 2pts e/w 7/1 unpl

    Bank 7.6pts

    Right lads I am back to give this a serious go.


    Kempton 7.00 Via Serendipity 3pts e/w 7/1 skybet 4 places

    19 runs on the all weather producing 3 wins and 11 places including the wins, only 4 of the them were at Kempton 1358 are the form figures trainer states he is very hopeful for tonight.

    Also my first bet for Cheltenham

    2.50 Cheltenham 17th March Albert Barlett Corbetts Cross 3pts ew 10-1 4 Places



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,155 ✭✭✭ realdanbreen




  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy


    Dan thats the last bet I put up a few weeks ago I hear 3.27 Dundalk . Arcanears . is goin well at home



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,155 ✭✭✭ realdanbreen


    Sound del, in fairness you put up some good ones in the past although you appear to be going full tonto with the tips recently!



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,227 ✭✭✭ del roy



    Kempton 7.00 Via Serendipity 3pts e/w 7/1 skybet 4 places unpl

    Bank 1.6pts


    Dundalk 7.00 Magi gal 16/1 2pts e/w 5places skybet



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