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China’s Army posts “Preparing for war!”

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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,616 ✭✭✭maninasia


    Maybe in Ireland they dont care but Taiwan does have useful allies and is likely to be supported by US, UK, Australia and Japan if any war kicks off.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,384 ✭✭✭nigeldaniel


    Given Chinese Covid disaster and public unrest against the Communist party due to a faltering economy, I suspect they are just trying to act tough and scare their own people into keeping quiet. Chairman Jin himself is not exactly the most popular leader within the part there and would not have as much support as people might think. 300,000 thumbs up in a country of one billion is not exactly great. That's not even the entire army combined. or even the commie party for the matter.

    Dan.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,274 ✭✭✭EOQRTL


    I don't understand the point you are attempting to make. Any explanation?



  • Posts: 5,917 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The Ukraine would disagree with you, not only on this but your calls for them to roll over to the Russians



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    Xi is welcome to try. Any invasion with the current military reality would see tens of thousands of PRC sailors at the bottom of the ocean - and American, Japanese and Australian navies sitting in wait with their thumb up their ar*e having a good chuckle not having to get involved in any meaningful way.

    Still waiting on evidence of these magical hypersonic missiles that sound like a plotline in a Playstation game as well.

    The PRC ability to project power is completely untested and knowing what we know about the PLA, it's as corrupted as the Russian military. Officers are more interested in running side-hustles and property scams than they are an efficient military. They won't be able to keep their airforce in the sky for any meaningful length of time to seriously threaten Taiwanese sovereignty.

    Edgelord losers in the West have their cough softened with Putin's embarrassment in Ukraine, and appear now to be moving on to Xi to fulfill their gormless fantasies.

    Pax Americana in the Pacific is extremely important to global stability, and Taiwan is a lynchpin of that. That's even apart from the fact that Taiwan is the most vibrant democracy in the region (even moreso than Japan and South Korea), and there is a moral imperative to defend it.

    Tankies will have to place their sh*tcoin bets on another autocrat sometime at an indeterminate point in the future. Reality doesn't favour them this time either.

    As for Pelosi, Gingrich visited Taiwan back in '97 as House Speaker. The Chinese sucked it up then, and if Pelosi lands, they'll have to suck it up now. Launching a military offensive off the back of that will impress precisely zero leaders in the international community, apart from countries bought by Beijing and Moscow. Even sh*ttier pretext for war than Putin cobbled together.



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    It’s a nice history lesson but what has that got to do with where we are now? For starters, most Chinese probably don’t know the half of their rich history because their god like leader has decided what they should learn instead. So to them all that matters is now.

    Except, they do know their own history. It's only the more recent debacles by the CCP that are heavily censored.. but their ancient culture/history is heavily pushed in schools, and universities. There are nuanced differences with western history for the region, but it's pretty much the same except where it intersects with modern politics such as Tibet.

    Besides which, the internet has never been completely blocked, and anyone with a wee bit of patience can get whatever info they want sourced from western sites. Also, there's a busy business of importing books from Taiwan, and Korea, which tends to bypass many of the government censorship checks.

    As for why history matters, well.. the Chinese understand the difficulties of ruling over a huge territory containing many different ethnic/cultural groups.. so they're not going to be going on any rampage to acquire territory. That's an important lesson from history to consider. They'll take opportunities to nibble at their neighbours borders for any area that already has a Chinese population, but it's unlikely that they would expand beyond that. Modern history has shown the cost of occupying territory of a hostile population, and China has enough problems as it is.

    If only we could depend on “cultural understanding” - but the culture and mindset of these countries today, bears absolutely no resemblance to that of even 50 years ago no less 500 years ago

    You can appreciate the Chinese mindset by taking into account the historical cultural conditioning that has been going on for centuries, and continues to this day. Confucius is a great example of that, as he's taught in every aspect of Chinese society.. and it's reinforced in how most people behave, or interact with each other. There are heaps of traditional perspectives going back as far as the Ming Dynasty that are still acted out today.. because the CCP saw the advantage in reinforcing the conditioning that already existed, and built upon it. Chinese people are generally very predictable.. until they become emotional. That's when they become dangerous.. and worth stepping lightly around.

    Don't disregard history when it comes to Asian societies. We've mostly put our traditional conformity/behaviours/perspectives behind us, but they haven't.

    For centuries China tried to isolate itself from the world (apart from some honest trading), the great wall was built to keep the world out.They also once built a great ocean going fleet to explore...and promptly burned it when they found out what was out there!.

    China was happy with controlling the Asia region through influence, and the performance of Tribute from their neighbours. They didn't need to expand outwards because they had everything they needed within their own territories, or handed to them from others. It wasn't due to any fear of foreigners.. although the fear of foreign culture was related to the effect on the peasant population, which is mirrored in most Asian nations, including those who were more expansionist.

    Modern China wants a return to the old days when they're the Asian superpower, able to bully their neighbours into bowing their heads, and ultimately bask in the praise of being so wonderful. Expanding much beyond their own borders would weaken them too much.. however, they will seek to create allies that are subservient to them, through whatever means available to them.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,609 ✭✭✭Tonesjones


    Unlikely they would.

    Boris was the unofficial representative of the Western countries.

    Biden is nowhere to be seen on this occasion



  • Posts: 5,917 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]




  • Registered Users Posts: 1,609 ✭✭✭Tonesjones


    Very informative

    It was Boris who walked the streets with Zelinsky not Biden . They have named a street near Odessa after Boris.

    Facts.

    "A residential street near the southern city of Odessa has already been renamed in Johnson's honor. Ukrainian politicians and former officials told Newsweek the British leader will be celebrated despite the political travails that prompt derision at home.

    "We are grateful to Boris Johnson for what he has done for Ukraine," explained Oleksandr Merezhko, a representative of President Volodymyr Zelensky's Servant of the People party in the Ukrainian parliament and the chair of the body's foreign affairs committee"


    As for Biden.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,354 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    Looks like Pelosi will land in Taiwan.


    Expect some angry Chinese comments.

    All Eyes On Rafah



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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,198 ✭✭✭Ubbquittious


    It will be gas to see the 50c party getting all bent out of shape over it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,222 ✭✭✭✭markodaly




  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I read on Twitter that Pelosi is allegedly due in Taiwan tomorrow evening



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,721 ✭✭✭Shoog


    I would be far more concerned about this:

    "China mobilizes along Indian Border"

    https://www.archyde.com/china-mobilizes-military-to-border-indian-pm-we-know-how-to-respond/

    I am surprised that this has gone virtually unnoticed.





  • Neoliberals went out with Dubya

    If. F*cking. Only.

    They're alive and well and have helped rehabilitate that warmongering c*nt. "Isn't he such a cute OAP painter?"



  • Registered Users Posts: 346 ✭✭Shank Williams


    PAX Americana is on the way out-please keep up- only the European client states dancing to their tune over Ukraine- that might change with the cold and grim winter ahead.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    Lol. The US are all over East Asia and the Pacific like a rash, and with the assent of democracies like Japan and South Korea who have full knowledge that the US secures their economies and societies.

    You're placing an edgelord bet that the PRC can take Taiwan (they can't) and in the attempt, not send their country into a tailspin (the attempt certainly would).

    Anything else is Tankie fantasising.

    An attempt on Taiwan will see an immediate revision of the Japanese pacifist constitution. Even leaving the US out of the equation, South Korea, Japan, Australia, and a raft of South East Asian states like Vietnam, the Philippines, probably Indonesia will turn their ire on China.

    Zero country's in the region will tolerate Beijing turning the Pacific into a Chinese lake.

    Pax Americana in the Pacific is overwhelmingly popular. Everyone in the region who matters in the region distrusts China and let the US police the sea lanes and skies to that end.

    P.S, Russia are f*cked in the Ukraine. They've exposed themselves as a third rate 'power' and they've copperfastend American presence in Europe for another century (and with the support of Europe in case it needs to be said).



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,245 ✭✭✭Cheerful S


    Is Pelosi going to start a war between China and the US? In contrast to Ukraine, if China reacts in some way that involves an invasion or military blockade of the island, there will be almost immediate engagement. It's definitely worth watching what the Chinese do. I'd be amazed if they backed down after issuing warnings. What kind of action they take is unknown. My guess is that the US military has its satellites watching the Chinese alerts on the mainland and the same Chinese are watching US battleships moving towards Taiwan. 





  • Administrators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 76,093 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭Beasty


    It's pretty absurd to suggest it would be Pelosi starting any war



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  • Registered Users Posts: 12,354 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    China will do a North Korea. AKA, rant and rave, do some propaganda videos, maybe throw stones at the American embassy again.

    But China has its own economic and banking problems. This would be a nice distraction for them, dial the temp up a little bit, pinch of nationalism, let it simmer for few days, then dial it back again.

    All Eyes On Rafah



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,245 ✭✭✭Cheerful S


    There's no doubt that her visit is complicated and could backfire. It won't matter to me or you want we think on this. China will do what it thinks it has to. The Chinese threat has been issued.  

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/aug/01/china-military-nancy-pelosi-visit-taiwan

    This moderator Manach understands history. 



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    What will China do? Fire off a few missiles, make snarky comments, send out a an increased naval presence, continue harassing Taiwanese airspace, appear to inflict some economic measures against the island and sweet **** all else.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,387 ✭✭✭jmreire


    And if she does not go, do you honestly think that China will not go to war over Taiwan at some stage???



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,309 ✭✭✭✭wotzgoingon


    Edgelord losers in the West have their cough softened with Putin's embarrassment in Ukraine,

    The truth is America and allies are actually surprised at how well Russia is doing considering Ukraine have gotten the best of western military equipment and training on how to use them. This is the first proper warfare in a long time. America and England were in Afgan and Iraq against ak47's and RPG's. And the old heavy machine gun. They would be humiliated also if the so called terrorists were giving modern western military equipment.

    The last proper war America were in was Vietnam and they done terrible there.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    Quite the opposite is the reality of the situation. Militaries are taken aback at how sh*t Russia is.

    Nobody is scared of Russia's conventional war capacity any more. I don't know what war you're following but they're making a joke of themselves. If nukes weren't on the table, Poland alone could join the fray and send Russia as far back as they would wish to push them.



  • Registered Users Posts: 545 ✭✭✭Crocodile Booze


    Lots of posturing and flexing from the Chinese, but at the end of the day they need to keep selling their plastics and electronics to the rest of the world to keep their head above water. War would be economic suicide for an already troubled economy.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


     I'd be amazed if they backed down after issuing warnings.

    Why? They've backed down heaps of times already. While I lived in China, there were often reports and news releases by the PLA about responding to US/Australian naval vessels in the South China sea, going so far as to mobilise their reserves, issuing bitchy rhetoric, and... then they backed down. Again. And again.

    The Chinese leadership love to posture. The risk is that people will continue to think they're posturing when they actually commit, but as Yurt has said, any military commitment by China would set the whole of Asia against them. While individually none of the Asian nations are a threat to China, combined they provide a wide range of specialisms, and opens China up to warfare on just about all their borders.



  • Registered Users Posts: 346 ✭✭Shank Williams


    But nukes are on the table. And yet we are all going to have a very cold and potentially dark winter thanks to western impotence



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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,630 ✭✭✭✭thebaz


    Does Pelosi really need to go to Taiwan ?

    Is ther not eneogh conflict in Eastern Europe , and ther was me naivly thinking the Democratic party was the party of peace, and when Trump was ousted we would all live all happily in peace - we're just pawns in the game as Bob Dylan said , never trust a politician.



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