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Covid 19 Part XXXV-956,720 ROI (5,952 deaths) 452,946 NI (3,002 deaths) (08/01) Read OP

1900901903905906952

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,573 ✭✭✭Micky 32


    BA.5 is now like having viral meningitis according to the die hard Loonies 😆. Do we think we could get a vaccine to cure these clowns anytime soon ? 🤡




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,141 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    More disinformation from the poster.

    You quote the information out of context.

    Where is the list of co-morbidities?

    What is a co-morbidity?

    What is an underlying cause of death?

    And then it becomes misinformation when you attach words like 'healthy' or 'deadly' and include them in your editorial on snippets of out of context information.

    You can have a 'comorbidity' and live for decades. You can have a comorbidity and still be in relatively good health for your age, the condition well managed with prescription medication.

    Comorbidities, while they may raise the risk of severe disease, are not necessarily the cause of death. The virus itself can be the cause of otherwise preventable death among those who had manageable health conditions.

    Throughly debunked disinformation resposted again and again on this thread.


    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,573 ✭✭✭Micky 32


    Some positive news this morning. Hospitals dropped from 885 to 849. Lots of discharges. I’d say we aren’t too far away from the peak.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    I will state yet again, that according to the CSO, 153 people died of Covid who had no other co-morbidities listed on their death certificates, during the two years 2020 and 2021.

    It could be an unknown comorbidity or very likely a genetic issue. Recent work in that area has identified over 1,000 genes that may be part or the puzzle.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,091 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,044 ✭✭✭✭Johnboy1951


    Sure we can all speculate on lots of things.

    But speculation is all it is.

    I could speculate that something else killed all those who are classified as Covid deaths too .... maybe it was some other respiratory disease ... but that would be just speculation and nothing else regardless what I based it on.

    Heck, I might speculate that those 153 might have had undiagnosed co-morbidities and that is what killed them. More speculation and just pointless.

    The numbers I have consistently quoted are factual. Do we trust those who are responsible for filling out death certificates accurately?

    I will take their numbers before any speculation. They are the facts.

    153 people in two years were certified that they died from Covid alone, all others had contributory factors/co-morbidities/etc..

    I have no idea why these facts are abhorrent to anyone.



  • Posts: 4,727 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    If you look at all of the information we have available.

    1) 153 deaths in 2 years with ONLY COVID as the cause.

    2) The age of the deaths

    3) The lack of excess deaths

    Those 3 pieces of information would lead me to believe that most of the people that died with COVID likely would have died very soon without COVID also.

    That doesn't mean their deaths are not sad.


    But if we ever intend to bring back any measures, we really need to understand exactly what the value of those measures would be.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,141 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    The measures were brought in also to protect health service capability to treat those who would not have died very soon - unless they got covid. The median age for ICU admission was 60.

    That's why there was ICU capacity and hospital available to treat them.

    This is why country after country brought in measures, they weren't just looking at covid deaths, but hospital capacity.

    You know this, yet pretend not to.

    So unless you also look at the lives saved in the covid pandemic, you are deliberately presenting a deceptive and incomplete picture by ignoring that aspect.

    So it's completely without merit or foundation to simply presume that we could have had no excess mortality without measures to contain covid.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Another China headline: Zero-Covid strategy shuts down north-central city of 13 million following 18 reported cases of Omicron!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,573 ✭✭✭Micky 32


    I think if I lived in China I’d start thinking about emigration.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,573 ✭✭✭Micky 32


    It does now seem BA.5 can cause more serious disease. It’s now believed to infect the lungs more easily like before with the Delta variants etc.

    However thankfully because of the mass infections of BA.1 and BA.2 ( more importantly) along with vaccinations it has created a lot of immunity against serious illness in our population hence why our hospitals aren’t rising like they did with BA.2 and people are not getting as sick.



  • Registered Users Posts: 594 ✭✭✭Fr0g


    Countries that didn't enforce stringent interventions fared no differently to those that did. If anything they had better outcomes. The intervention strategy was a failure.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,141 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Statement without foundation.

    If you look at Sweden, which did not lockdown, it has a noticeably higher excess death than its peer neighbours (which did have restrictions and therefore to some extent buttressed Sweden) while still having same economic contraction.

    England tried to follow the Swedish strategy - do you remember the parties at Cheltenham - and had to abandon it as hospitals filled up. Going into lockdown a week earlier could have saved thousands of lives.

    Coronavirus: enforcing UK lockdown one week earlier 'could have saved 20,000 lives' | Coronavirus | The Guardian

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 594 ✭✭✭Fr0g


    The go to is always to compare with Swedens direct neighbours even though it makes more sense to compare with Europe as a whole. Of course if you do that then Sweden doesn't stand out and fares quite well overall.

    The comment about England is pure speculation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,141 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    The go to is always to compare Sweden with its peer Scandinavian countries, which most resemble it in density and culture. If we were discussing any topic (not just covid), they would be the first countries any intellectually honest person assessing Sweden's performance at X would compare them to.

    One of lowest population density countries in Europe, surrounded by other lower end population density countries which did lockdown, compares well with high population density countries and countries with mega cities? When considering the spread of an infectious disease?

    Country after country imposed measures for the same reason. They saw the deaths rising and they saw the hospitals filling up. This is not pure speculation, this is the declared and evidential reason documented for that decision. Anything else is "pure speculation" without foundation.

    Therefore to suggest measures should be judged only on the profile of those that died is an incomplete if not disingenuous basis.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 594 ✭✭✭Fr0g


    And Florida and north Vs south Dakota etc. It seems that those places that didn't lockdown just coincidentally had average or better outcomes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,141 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Untrue. Florida did lockdown, and had regional lockdowns on Miami region.

    The Dakotas? Let me guess, low population density state surrounded by states which did impose lockdowns or measures?

    Yeah, you might get away with that to an extent when you are a Dakota or a Sweden, it simply doesn't scale. Try it in London, New York, Paris or region wide and see what happens.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,044 ✭✭✭✭Johnboy1951


    While reading an article today by Laura Dodsworth, I came across a reference to Covid only deaths in UK which were also a small percentage of the whole, so the numbers I posted earlier, would seem to be not so strange as at first appeared to me.

    Now I have no idea how reliable this writer is, and am not concerned with how she views the situation, so I am making no claims about what is written, but I thought to copy the relevant part here for discussion ...

    But there is an urgent health situation that too few people are talking about. Non-Covid excess deaths are worryingly high. In the last week’s reported ONS data, there were 10,836 deaths in England and Wales in total. Covid was the cause of 166 of them and involved (mentioned but not main cause) in a further 119. The concerning part is that this total is a staggering 1,432 deaths above the five year 2015-2019 average.

    Deaths registered in May 2022 were 5,873 above the average seen pre-pandemic in 2015-2019. Of those 4,357 were not due to Covid. Of the main causes of death, heart disease had the largest number of deaths above average.

    The article is dated 5th July 2022 and is at the bottom of this page.

    So in UK in the last week Covid deaths plus Covid related deaths amounted to approx 2.5% of the total deaths (285 from 10,836).

    My only reason for posting this is to make a comparison with our neighbours and their recently reported Covid deaths.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭Don't Chute!


    Yesterday Sweden DID lockdown today they DID’NT. Which one is it? It can’t be both just to satisfy whichever little argument you’re having with your own head on a given day.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,676 ✭✭✭DebDynamite


    Glad to hear he has no symptoms. Must be a relief that it’s not affected him.

    How was the virus detected if he contracted it after admission to hospital and has no symptoms? Are they testing people even after they’ve been admitted?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,141 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,272 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    Yes they are.

    The sudden surge of covid recently is due to Summer travel. The people who have travelled through the airports and mixed with others on holiday are driving the increase. Some deny deny this evident fact how do they explain how this moved across the world so quickly in the first place?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,141 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    I'll repost what I wrote yesterday and other posters can judge for themselves whether you just have a poor recollection or are deliberately trying to be deceptive. So perhaps you should have that argument with yourself.

    This is what I wrote:

    There was a massive shift in behaviours e.g. working from home, economic activity dropped as much versus countries which did lockdown, detectable reductions in people's radius of travel. To a large extent they locked themselves down.

    It was clear from my posts today it was in relation to government measures.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,573 ✭✭✭Micky 32


    So the last surge a couple months back was caused by summer travel? . What rubbish. It’s being driven by BA.4/BA.5. Variants will always find their way in regardless of summer travel. I have travelled long haul multiple times ( and will continue to do so) in the last 6 months and didn’t catch it yet. However in a house in the Arsehole of Leitrim I nearly caught it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,091 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,412 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    Thats half right , the first bit yes .

    The second part..Nope. Omicron has been shown not to confer any immunity against any Omicron variant or indeed from repeated infection at all , serious disease or otherwise. That would be infection from the original strains only .

    It does confer some t cell immunity which would protect against Alpha, Beta or Delta strains it has been found , but not Omicron spike itself which is different .

    So it has evolved to get rid of the competition .

    That's ok as long as it doesn't evolve into a more pathological strain causing serious disease.

    Then its trouble because you have a variant that has evolved to avoid the vaccines , to reinfect again and again .

    At present what is protecting the population from serious disease is t cells and other immunity from vaccinations .


    And that's not my view by the way , it's the view of the scientists who did the research ..summary here ..

    https://www.bmj.com/content/377/bmj.o1474



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,573 ✭✭✭Micky 32


    Do you ever actually read posts? I said against serious illness. I’ll repeat serious illness. The much less hospitalisations in this wave proves my point or do you have a better explanation? Look especially at the SA data.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,412 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    Comparing Sweden to the rest of Europe instead of it's own neighbours who are both culturally and demographically more alike , is like comparing Florida and North Dakota with California, Apples and Oranges ...

    If anybody wants data comparing Sweden ( unfavourably as it happens ) to its neighbours or many other countries including Ireland , it has been reproduced time and again on the dedicated Swedish thread .

    It's a bit strange that some posters are trying to resurrect that old chestnut here .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,272 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    All surges have been caused by travelin the first place. A new virus is one plane ride away from here. Anyway how can you 'nearly' catch it?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,573 ✭✭✭Micky 32


    Yes in the first place. But it’s not fueling the current surge. Shut the airports right? Lol 2020 is long gone I’m afraid.

    I was in a room with 3 other people. One had covid unknowingly to herself. The other 2 got it but I escaped.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,412 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    No that would be down to vaccinations , not getting infected again and again with Omicron .

    Made that distinction in my post ...if you read my post properly !

    And by the way you never mentioned SA , but if you want to ...their age demographic is very different to ours .

    " It seems the vaccines are still preventing serious disease "



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,573 ✭✭✭Micky 32


    Ah right so SA their age demographic changed with each wave? Right .

    it’s a known fact BA.2 is giving protections against serious illness for BA.5. The hospitalizations prove it in Ireland anyway. Ireland had just as high vaccination rates couple months back when we had twice the amount in hospitals. We have been vaccinated a longtime now. In fact much less waning months ago. So no, it’s not down to just vaccination.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,412 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    How is it a well known fact ?

    Produce evidence to back that up .

    All I have seen ...data and evidence, that is ... including the link to the very large study in my post above , that you obviously did not read , Mickey, says the opposite .

    And it is waning , that is why their are more elderly back in hospital now . And that is why they are trying to encourage more if that age group to get their second booster .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,573 ✭✭✭Micky 32


    I’ll ask you once more before I put you on ignore . Why have we 50% less in hospitals in the middle of this wave vs the last wave especially when BA.5 is more pathogenic? It’s not just down to vaccinations. We were all vaccinated months ago when there was 1679 in hospitals with twice the amount in ICU’s.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,412 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    It's not PROVEN to be more pathogenic , just that it MIGHT be affecting lungs more .

    We were all infected quickly because we never had Omicron before and I'll give you that , but it's not PROVEN that it gives any immunity at all to the other Omicron variants .

    If it is then I promise you I will come back here and say your hunch was right , ok ?

    But up to then it's just a hunch / opinion.

    Night .



  • Registered Users Posts: 594 ✭✭✭Fr0g


    So not a lockdown then. If every country had done the same they would have had similar outcomes. The fact is fit and healthy people were in no danger from COVID and didn't need to quarantine. As per WHO guidelines for previous decades.

    There is little to be gained from locking down young fit and healthy people.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,141 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    "If every country had done the same they would have had similar outcomes"

    Statement without foundation. Already dealt with earlier with reference to their low population density disproven by comparison with their neighbours - but ignored by you.

    "Fit and healthy people in no danger from COVID"

    Statement without foundation. 15% of Covid deaths in the US were under 80 \ without other conditions. The ICU and hospitalisation admissions here also disprove your statement. If it can put you into ICU then yes it is a danger to you.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 594 ✭✭✭Fr0g


    So what you're saying is Ireland with it's low population density and surrounded by water didn't need to lockdown? We would have had a similar outcome as those other countries who didn't lock down?

    So it was all completely unnecessary. You should have shared your wisdom with NPHET.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,141 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    No I didn't say that at all. Not unless we wanted to have at least the same excess deaths Sweden did and have thousands more dead Irish citizens. Plus we share an open border with the UK. Perhaps read the entirety of the posts you are responding to instead of just the bits you want to quote out of context.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Posts: 4,727 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Sweden locked themselves down according to you though so it's strange that you are complaining about their excess deaths when they followed the method that you support....



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,141 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Another dishonest attempt at deliberate misrepresentation of what another poster has written.

    This is what I wrote:

    There was a massive shift in behaviours e.g. working from home, economic activity dropped as much versus countries which did lockdown, detectable reductions in people's radius of travel. To a large extent they locked themselves down.

    Did the Sweden implement government mandated lockdown or restriction measures in wave 1? Nope. You know this, and I know this.

    In the sentence I clearly drew the distinction between countries which did lockdown, and Sweden's voluntary action.

    So either you are dishonestly misrepresenting what I posted OR if you genuinely think Ireland and Sweden had the same lockdown measures then you have ended your own internal debate.

    I think this conversation is done if this is the route you're going down.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 594 ✭✭✭Fr0g




  • Registered Users Posts: 594 ✭✭✭Fr0g


    You were making the claim that low population density was a factor. The same would apply to Ireland having one the lowest in Europe if that was the case. You know perfectly well what I'm saying.

    Either low density is a factor or it isn't. You can't have it both ways.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,141 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Where did I make the claim it was the only factor?

    Low population density was a factor. Government measures was a factor. Voluntary shifts in behaviour was a factor.

    All of the above in relation to your neighbours were factors too.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,141 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Are only people under 44 allowed to be 'fit and healthy'?

    I wasn't aware the entire older working age population & active retired were not fit and healthy.

    How many people in Ireland fall into your definition of 'not fit' / 'not healthy'?

    And are you just prepared to write them off?

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 594 ✭✭✭Fr0g


    That makes no sense. What point are you making? You are desperately trying to find an argument where there isn't one. I am disputing your figure of 15%

    Go ahead. Count the numbers up to retirement age. Explain why it was necessary to shutdown the entire economy. While your thinking about that maybe you can tell me where they hid the bodies of the supermarket check out workers who were exposed to hundreds of people every day.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,141 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    In the first instance, the claim we shut down the entire economy is strawman nonsense. If the entire economy was shutdown, how were these supermarket workers going to work? You're tripping over your own nonsense.

    The measures were to slow the spread of the virus. It is an infectious disease. It spread from your 'fit and healthy' to the rest. Some of them were getting sick from covid and ending up in hospital - but the main reason was to stop the infections spreading. Medical staff, care home staff, carers, the vulnerable, all of them still had to interact with the rest of the country to access essential services. We couldn't quarantine them away unless you think you could conscript them in barracks for the duration.

    And further asked and answered below:

    In the US 50% of Covid deaths were under 80, and 15% of deaths were in under 80s without underlying conditions.

    Look at the ICU and hospitalisation admissions for covid. The ones who pulled through weren't people who were going to die without covid. They were people, in many cases 'active retired' age groups or with conditions with reasonable expectation of many years of life, who needed medical treatment. Medical treatment that would not have been there, or would have been severely curtailed \ limited \ triaged in the event of the cases overwhelming medical capacity.

    And not only people with covid, everyone in need of medical attention would have been facing the same difficulties in accessing hospital care.

    And there you have the reasons why country after country reacted as they did.

    Post edited by odyssey06 on

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,412 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    You are agreeing therefore that Irelands approach saved lives , very true .

    Odyssey mentioned US I think as an example of how a less stringent approach across the board resulted in deaths especially in states where less were vaccinated .

    You yourself brought the US up as regards Florida and California and bizarrely dropped it when challenged .



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    You won’t read them but here you go anyway

    https://www.factcheck.org/2020/09/cdc-did-not-admit-only-6-of-recorded-deaths-from-covid-19/


    The memes you are working off as your data sources are 2 years old at this stage and were flagrant misrepresentation at the time, having now aged to blatant lies



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,412 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    Think you are reflecting your own issues there tbh. If you had read my reply and understood it , you would see how it flatly dispoves the facile rubbish you are posting .



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