I Love Punting , Providing Selections & Chatting Gibberish ; & I Intend To Do So On Hyah

Still on Tuesday (nowt much on TV atm) and have had a look at the second at Brighton,,

few thoughts:

Golden Whisper is looking like, out of a few possibles, to be, or at least try to be, the likely leader here, over this, the as near as dammit 7furlongs trip.,, can see him fade late on... Pl-lay perhaps,,, has a massive weight too, which is likely to be unhelpful,,,

Sir Duke ran well at the extended 5 at Bath lto, on similar going (gd to firm - firm in places) as what's promised/expected on the day,, was staying on at the end, eventually finishing third,, there's little on form to suggest he can stay the trip here,, potential place-lay as well.. Will hope both his and GW's price are favourable (ie short) towards that end,,

Storm Asset looks good atm as an e/w poke here,,, A replication of some of his best AW form, esp on polytrack (namely Chelmsford over 6f two runs back & Lingfield over 7f in Jan of last year) should see the Wigham horse be bang there,,, little turf form to speak of really - first three of his 13 in total runs were on turf - but those were early in his career, and there was soft in all the going descriptions,,, first-time blinkers sparks optimism also

The Charmer's 2nd place finishing lto over seven at lowly Southwell don't impress me much,, deffo hope he's short based on that run,, a faster pace on proper ground on turf gives him a good squeak for finishing in last three here 🤣 another one what's meritorious as far as laying for a place goes,,,

2moros fair hasn't peaked me interest at all

good bitta study did there 😂 An artist, like me, is subject to the ephemeral divulgences of the, alas, sadly transient muse,,, hard to get the creativity going when she's gone for a burton - much as i'd like to put up 20+ picks in a dozen or so races, in advance of proceedings, it aint that easy...

I'll rest and try to get my inspiration reinvigorated,,

over and out ,, roger Roger - what's your vector Victor? 😄

Cheers for that Konny, and besta luck mate 🤣

If a top three poster can put up a pick for the day that's in it, then ole leff surely can too 😃

Was watching the babexs on the '900' channels, and had the boards on on me dog, so when i saw your post i says : "go on leff, find summit - anything for today,, " So, being as i weren't up to much, a race caught me eye - couldn't find an angle, until, well, i did; but, alas it were for tomorrow 😪 (Tuesday) at Hexham, so not much good for Monday punting... getting on now, and like i said earlier - no race has piqued me interest (for)today..

Anyhoo:

Tuesday 17th May

8.03 Hexham

hard not to see the likely (looks about 4/7 with the one or two that has it priced) odds on jolly Sputnik (no interest at that sorta price at all at all) prevail here... Like Morten Harket, I hunted high and low, but could not find a 'viable' (of sorts) until I did,,, that 'viable' comes in the shape of the 6yr old ~ 14/1 shot STRIKE OF LIGHTNING as an e/w possibility,, First run over the larger obstacles, but did win his PtP when in Ireland,, Since then he had one NHF run before going to England,, has had 5 hurdles' runs there, with most moderate (at worst) and a few poor (pulled up twice) , but those were over a variety of trips and ground conditions, so has experience [but also possibly unexposed one might say] as pertains his chances in the chasing sphere.

Am thinking if he jumps okay, then he has a reasonable chance at a good price,, looks like Dis Donc ~ 15/2 will set the fractions, and maybe my ew pick will be held up,,, if he jumps okay and aint too far back, then he might arrive late on.. will likely know fate early on, as in he might not be very fluent, and be detached (by too far) early doors,,,

couldn't make a viable case for anything else (outside fav) and i might not have considered the Bewley horse at much shorter of a price,, trainer and jock have a good strike rate here,,, SOL ran okay at the course lto, when hurdling, for a fair while, until being pulled up, over a further trip.. pace is likely to be not as hectic in a race over fences, so 'green shoots' there - although he chased the pace then... perhaps he mightn't, but who knows?

Sired by Jet Away and I can't find a lot of recent chase form for his progeny, and only two places with just seven declared, but he looks a sporting ew bet for small money..

Could be a hard luck story or three here, as a lot of these frequently make mistakes both hurdling and chasing, so that's neither here nor there, but if Dis Donc gets to the front early, then he's only really got to mind his own work, and not worry about how the others are faring; at least not til relatively late on in the race,, Maybe do DIS DONC e/w also in case a few of them behind find themselves out of contention for reasons various. Likely the fav will follow the leader, so he probably needn't be too concerned about any poor jumpers here...

Might try find one before then for today, but am just not 'feeling it' atm,,,

😊

3.05 Carlisle 7-horse race looks a lottery here - can't pick the winner. Plenty that go well at the course on both good and soft ground; with some of them not doing much elsewhere. Take a chance on a 3-place lay of Detective @ ~ 1.87... better grade than he normally contests, and may want further.

Think there will be plenty of these 'on the premises' possibly, so not gonna try pick a winner/ew selection in this.

3.20 Redcar Legend Of Xanadu will chance a 2-place lay @ 1.41.. Not so sure about the ~6f trip for him,, has solid form over 5f, and the opposition are new to t'game, or not up to much,, ah well, we teks oour chances 😂

more rubbish! jolly hacks up at Redcar

If I've learnt nowt from the movies; amongst other things ''dying aint much of a living'' [am sure the hairdressers etc get a good laugh outta that one any time their bloke is watching The Outlaw Josey Wales] is usually pretty apt, but as far as one what's germane to proceedings, this one fits t'bill: "after all, tomorrow's another day" 😊

Anyroad, no joy today; so dusting me blinds, or crying into me coffee are two things what aint exactly hovering at north of high single figures atm,,

but to keep on track, hehe on "track" , I've decided to try solve another one,, yay 😃 !!

Tuesday 17th May

2.00 Brighton

Don't know why Thunder Lily ~ 5/1 is up towards top o' bettin - looks like a place-lay prospect to yours truly,, I think the ~ 7f trip will be too sharp for Seamus Durack's 4yr old filly,,

The out of form De Vegas Kid ~ 7/2 can't be ruled out; he's down in the ratings and down into a class 6 for the first time for a long long time,, has win only claims, one would surmise..

Split Elevens ~ 9/4 aint one for massive faith going here on the turf at the trip, i'd imagine,, has some very good recent AW form, but looks vulnerable to me.. looks a place lay job to me; that's based on his (albeit few) previous efforts over 6 and 7 furlongs, on grass,, is trained by Butler too, so who knows

Bounty Pursuit ~ 10/3 could well hack up if he replicates his lto CD winning run over pretty much the exact same conditions (same class/ground) ,,, worth a win bet mebbe,, is a ten yr old and his run last time came out of the blue as regards previous form,, couldn't have absolute faith that he'll follow that run up.

Alba Del Sole ~ 50/1 is a speculative one,, a former CD winner from last Oct (poor enough time/race) ,, looks like it's only the jockey Taylor Fisher's third ever ride,, ew for pennies

Breckland ~ 11/1 looks a place lay if he shortens on his 2nd run for his latest, and third trainer, Mrs A Dunn.. Apart from a win over 7 on the Standard/Slow going at Kempton, he looks to have little form to make him be involved here.

Rainbow Sign ~ 5/1 looks another to avoid,, place-lay for me,, no real turf form,, likely to find the pace on the good turf ground too hot here to lie up with - a tactic which saw him win lto at Lingfield, but Brighton aint the Lingfield AW track. 😃

Apache Jewel ~ 50s likely won't be out with the washing, but is likely to be out the places by a couple or more lengths - doesn't look good enough, does this 17 race maiden; at least not over 7 furlongs on good ground.

Queen Sarabi ~ 11/1 is fairly priced.. she can at least possibly thwart one of me potential place-lays,,, can go well perhaps on 'good' , but overall doesn't appeal as any kind of bet.. If she shortened massive, and the going was better than good (good-good to firm in places atm) then she'd be a potential place-lay.

Will leave Sparkling Diamond ~ 80/1 out of it, though she might pop up at a massive price some day,,

g'luck :)

Tuesday 17th May

6.10 Sligo Gradulations ~ 6/4 heads the market here,, has two good seconds from the last two runs of hers, with both those at Gowran Park,, they were on yielding and yielding to soft ground, and both races were over similar trips,, slightly better ground expected tomorrow, and the extra ~ furlong should help,, Some good stables represented here, and I would say Andy Oliver's filly is a vulnerable fav,, them last two races of hers were against solely her own sex,, Going by her sire Mukhadram, I'm guessing a race of this sort over 10fs aint entirely suitable, but should still be there or thereabouts, but at her current odds it's a place-lay recommendation from me.

Wednesday 18th May

6.30 Kempton

A novice stakes race, with almost half the 14 declared unraced,, two I like each w at fair prices:

SPELLS AT DAWN (11) 10/1 is poorly drawn, as is the other pick,, is having his third race,, a replication of his lto run, which was a massive improvement on his first run, would put him on t'premises here.. that said, his decent 4th over C&D was from a low draw in two,, fair price, and can't rule him out..

PROPHET'S DREAM (12) 11/2 The former showjumper with a title (they love their 'eventing' and that kinda rubbish, them what come up with 'honours lists' 😉) has his grey colt drawn third widest of all out of the 14 declared... Not too great of a concern, based on the case I'm putting forward 😋 He ran poor lto at Yarmouth on his comeback run (his second),, was close to the pace then tho,,

It was his first run at Chelmsford, over 7furlongs, last December, that can give him a squeak here,, he started slow, was out the back, and finished 4th that day,, a replication of that run - namely racing from the back, but minus the 'starting slow' bit - at albeit a different course, and with the (hopefully) overall improvement from having had two runs, does inspire in this degenerate some confidence..

Others to note: Beauen Arrows (4) 9/1 (likely inspired/named after Beau Greaves - the current female darts champion and a cut above the usual rubbish we see in that discipline - been struggling with the auld 'dartitis' I think, so will hope she gets over that) Anyroad, I don't think Beauen Arrows willst fare so well here on his third ever run, as i feel he'll not stay the seven,, has a good draw tho..

Tickets (5) 5/6 this jolly looks underpriced and i feel summit beats him,, is having his third run,, a decent second lto over track and trip on KR's birthday when he tried to mek all,, ran a bit keen, which prolly didn't help, but I feel something beats him anyway - will likely try make all later on today i'd imagine,,

It's likely one or both of the two most recent mentioned will set t'fractions in this - will hope this does for t'chances of Tickets, if he's 'duelling it out' with the similarly lowly drawn BA, who's likely more of a 6furlong horse.. I reckon other punters will notice this too, and can see Tickets going out to 13/8 overall fav at some stage, but shorten before the off.

😊

3.30 Warwick JOHN BETJEMAN 7/1 e/w is capable of giving a very good account here,, A few in this like to lead, including the selection, and will hope he races sensibly,, looks like it's gonna be frenetic here, so a lot of emphasis on jumping.. Normally I'd make some sort of remark re the horse's name, and i could cheat and look him up, but I know nowt about the horse's famous namesake, so i'll leave off on looking up any of his poems 😂

will hope all eight go to post for them three places 😎

educational this racing craic too - if someone were minded tae look up horsey names

4.17 Yarmouth

The top three above him in the betting (No's 1,3,5) can all go well over 7f on good going,, Verreaux Eagle is the 15/8 fav, and can go close without winning.. Will take a chance (a chance that the rain will stay away) and hope the going remains good to firm - good in places, as I feel my pick, David O'Meara's TAMASKA 6/1 (who looks a v good price as things stand) will not want it any worse than good, but has an excellent winning chance otherwise, at the prices.

If the going is the same when racing comes around, will consider Bethell's Tashkeer 10/3 for the win (3 places on machines) for a place lay; just the four runs he's had, and improved lto when finishing 2nd over the 7f trip at Ayr, when was a bit unlucky. Ayr prob a stiffer test than sunny Yarmouth, and Tashkeer may be caught for toe here, as there's plenty of these capable of doing the seven in a quick time, whereas the jury is out on Andrea Atzeni's mount. Will hang fire til I know more about going (will be one of the later races there, so likely will have a right good handle [unless - rain, or more rain] on conditions) , and hope his current price has remained static, or better still, shortened.

enuf for now

night all 😊

Looks like hard work tricky that 3.55 and will be hard to solve - best of luck finding a pick or two in it j@u :D ya've narrowed it down to four; a good start that 🙂🙂

get some fresh air meself - them thar vittles won't be teleporting 😋 dunno will i have any more involvements in punting 2day,,

besta luck everyone :)

Mucho admirarationo for going for a shorty there j@u 😲👌

but, there's a but here from urs truely:

"Ee luv - I aint so sure abaht your Lullaby Baby there at Ayr" - She'll no be carrying any leff coin anyro@d 😂 am basing that on logic here - something ye females (with an odd exception !) are somewhat [allegedly] lacking in at times 😃 All joking and #'ist' comments aside, t'thinking here is her soft ground form - don't think it's quite as good as what GUEST LIST 7/2 has shown in a previous race - namely her second over the 5 at Thirsk last August; long layoff to overcome tho - mebbe you'll have the last laugh there; 'less nd ya changes your mind 🤣

liking KATS BOB at 3.55 Ayr; looks rock solid e/w at favourable odds,,

Will check out Kemmers later - ta for your input!

'#In case i get hit with t'hammer, it's been fun 😆

Poor Kats Bob - looks like the draw didn't help him today 😓

BOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMM!!!!!!! 😁 😁 Half the flamin track !! 😂

4th the below come, so BOOM 😁

Call an odd one right me 🙂 😃

Ta v much j@u :)

WD on your winner an all j@u 😊 fool i was for disparaging it 😋

just in meself now,, raining a lot,, anyhoo - hope ya have a good evening :D

No joy as far as 'winning' goes there in t'last at Kempton; some Irish/(ex-Irish?) horse saw plenty of coin and won.. had a look and horse is I Doubt That - hard to find on first English run, based on his exploits over here on turf 😏

that's Ray Singh for ya - wonder if there's any chaps what go by that name in these parts ? 😁

Thursday 19th May

early thoughts on one here

4.55 Chelmsford

can't rule out the fav Monsieur Fantaisie 2/1 (thought he'd be bigger) here. Is unexposed at the track and trip, and has been running well over 6fs as of late; including a win and a couple of places at the course at that 6f trip, and some good placed efforts elsewhere,, all them good runs came at 6, or close to 6furlongs,, can't be having him at the prices.. 7f a more specialist trip - glad he's so short as makes him easy to discount

A lot of pace on, and it looks as if the race will be ran to suit the former C&D winner DORS TOYBOY , who has a good draw in the 5 box. nowt wrong with the 13/2 on offer,, has only the one win from all his 26 runs, but usually gives a fair account here, but hasn't always had the best of draws,, he came 2nd in Jan at CD from out the two box, so is capable, and his kind draw, along with price, gives him NB claims.. Is the only 'grey' in the race, so should be eezee 2 spot, but there's a few 'bays' innit as well, and apparently they're similar. Which brings about an 'off topic' thought - "If you're average Joe/josephine cannae tell the difference between horses/cattle etc, do it make them 'speciesist' " don't right lee know so i don't, meself, but i'll know be flaggelating meself in front a woke mob on account o me ignorance on that topic 😫

Dark Design merits a mention, with two of his 5, in total, wins, coming at the course over 1m, and 6furlongs,,, has also won three times at a mile when in Ireland,, Looks unexposed over in blighty, but did have two goes over 7f at Wolves, and on both those times he finished third,, has enough ??'s against him regards this specialist trip, so easy enough to draw a line thru him @ 11/4.

ELLIE PIPER 33s gen is one of two Robyn Brisland has here, and Newmarket trainer's charge certainly jumps off t'page based on her name 😋 not exactly enough to go on, so had to find a reason of sorts to justify putting her down as a pick,,, reason is: she wasn't too far away at Lingfield over 7 in January, when was slow away,, she has a tendency to race keen, and 'pulled hard' lto at Kempton, which couldn't of helped,, Is only her third run in a hcap - not much to go on as regards her sire, but Acclamation did have a 2nd placed finisher over CD about 2 weeks ago,,, I've convinced meself to do a lil ew on her here.

Axel Jacklin has a poor draw to overcome, and Street Poet likely wants a mile here, or else over the trip but at Wolves.. just to give those two towards top of market a mention.. unlikely either of them two will be involved, but don't take my word for it.. To paraphrase Alex Jones (the Texan bloke, not the BBC homer 😊) :"Do your own research" 😂 Well dat's not really 'paraphrasing' is it, as that's pretty much verbatim what he used to say, before he gt kicked off YT,,,, yep, don't go against t' ''narrative'' Royal Heart's another what don't get blood pumping - even with plum draw, I'm unable to make any sort of a case for 'im

flukk it, I'll do another 'pagejumper' here as well, each way. VIVENCY 9/1,, tis a combo of her name/form figures(granted, they're poor enough)/position in hcap(towards top of) that makes her eyecatching here, in t'pagejumping regard; she's plummeting down weights since winning at 7 on the Standard/Slow at Kempton in January of last year. Has ran okayish at times recently w/o troubling t'judge, but if she's there or thereabouts at the end, then if anyone can haul her across t'line, it's (the very much in form) Connor Beasley - very strong in t'finish - reminds me of a young Callan - perhaps Vivency can better go well on the Tapeta surface, but her price is not ungenerous I feel.

Should Dors Toyboy win, and I posit he might, imma gonna try to predict what them folks on Racing TV (don't have it, but anyroad) might will say after the race; especially the chap what speaks strange (youngish bloke - think Dixon is his name) and that is: "Has had a very poor return/strike rate with the ability he has [at this sort of level], but conditions haven't always suited - he's had plenty of pace on to chase, so didn't need to mek his ooohnn running, a good draw in five, so was able to 'stride out' from just off t'pace"

Yeah, well 'Dixon' or whomsoever of yous is gonnar be at Essex venue, I'm saying it now! Alroight?? 😂

Good Night and Good Luck Comrades

😊

❤️ ❤️

Congratulations Konny Rool !! You have received 2 'likes' from leffesem 🙆

One for the 100th post 🎂

Another ❤️ for your post is given as the panel considered it of both comedic and informative merit 😁

WD