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Acceptable Covid death rates

  • 27-10-2021 9:38pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,956 ✭✭✭


    Mark Paul wrote an article in last Friday's Irish Times that should not have been published. Mark wrote an article titled "Let’s talk about acceptable Covid death rates before restrictions kick in". As a person with a compromised immune system, I find this disgusting. There should be no acceptable Covid deaths.

    I have been in lockdown since March 2020 and I have no idea when I will be able to go out again. I took the vaccine but it did not work on me, so until a solutions found for people like me, I am going nowhere. Why should people in my situation become a statistic on a government chart? Would you like it if one of your family or friends was an acceptable death?

    Post edited by Beasty on


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Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 9,841 ✭✭✭buried


    When did you get your vaccine S? And how do you mean it didn't work on you? Genuinely interested

    "You have disgraced yourselves again" - W. B. Yeats



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,956 ✭✭✭skimpydoo


    I got my vaccine last June. I have an underlying health condition and the treatment I underwent shot my B cells. Without any B cells the vaccine won't work on me. I also had a Covid antibody test which checked if I had spike proteins from my Pfizer vaccine and if spike proteins were present, the vaccine was working. Sadly I had no spike proteins.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,841 ✭✭✭buried


    I'm sorry to hear that S.

    "You have disgraced yourselves again" - W. B. Yeats



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,956 ✭✭✭skimpydoo




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,563 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    Sorry to hear that.


    So do you propose restrictions forever so no covid deaths happen?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,847 ✭✭✭✭Beechwoodspark


    I have vulnerable family and friends and I know exactly what your situation is like. There is no “acceptable death rate”.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,956 ✭✭✭skimpydoo


    No I propose mandatory masks and not opening up fully when we have a high rate of daily covid cases and a high rate of hospitalisations.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,563 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    But vulnerable people have been dying of the flu for years.


    Did you call for restrictions when this was happening all those years?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I'm sorry, but yes there is.

    Society is willing to accept a certain level of flu-related deaths each year in transaction for freedoms - freedoms that transmit the virus to the most vulnerable in society.

    5,000+ people have died from COVID; this isn't the Black Death of the 14th century where up to 40% of the European population perished.

    At some point, we must ask ourselves the question - as we have done with flu each year - what level of risk is society willing to accept in transaction for our daily freedoms.

    5,000 deaths is so miniscule compared to the 5,000,000 people who live here. In other words, restrictions are disproportionate at a time when the vast majority of adults are fully vaccinated. Those who refuse vaccination have volunteered to take that risk on. If there are those still vulnerable in society, they should continue to protect themselves if they so wish. We were promised our freedoms back when the population was fully vaccinated. We have now reached that stage.

    But the 99.5% of the population who want their freedoms back should not otherwise be held in psychological hostage.

    Whilst I am sympathetic to your situation, COVID-19 is going to be here forever - literally forever.

    We cannot close society down forever.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 47,335 CMod ✭✭✭✭Black Swan


    Perhaps consider consulting with a medical specialist in immunization, if you have not already? Your GP may refer you. An additional source may be at universities that have medical faculties with immunization research departments both in Ireland, the UK, on the continent, and across the pond?

    Lots of medical research is done at the case study level of analysis. Someone with unusual immunization conditions may be of interest to medical scientists and doctors doing research. If contacted at university they may reply.

    As to the OP question, personally I reject an acceptable Covid death rate.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,563 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    But that won't stop covid deaths altogether???


    So you're basically saying there is an acceptable covid death rate???



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,609 ✭✭✭dubrov


    There are already widespread acceptable death rates in operation although most don't like to think about it.

    Cars cause deaths but the benefit outweighs the death rate for almost all.

    Economic values are placed on lives when deciding what drugs to purchase or quality of roads to build.

    Even the flu causes a lot of deaths that could be prevented with lifestyle changes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,956 ✭✭✭skimpydoo


    No, I did not call for restrictions then because if you restricted your movements and contacts you are less likely to catch the flu. It is also worth noting that the flu (not counting the Spanish flu) has never been as rampant as Covid is.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    But the argument is the same.

    Fewer restrictions = greater spread of a virus that kills.

    Let's not forget that influenza is fatal for young people, too - especially those with compromised immune systems.

    On an individual level, I can sympathise. But we have to zoom out and see the bigger picture and, unless we seek to literally save every single life from every virus imaginable, society could never function. And when society stops, it leads to ancillary deaths from other social, economic or health-related issues.

    There is no situation that leads to zero deaths.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,841 ✭✭✭buried


    I think the likes of yourself S and a lot of people in a similar situation, your families and friends are going to have to band together in a widescale political movement in order for you all to get the proper supports from government agencies to get you through this terrible pox. You will have to because this thing is not going away, and you are right to be careful, this thing is now everywhere, and for the vast majority of people they view this unleashed pox as nothing but a mere hindrance, because it won't affect them to the same extent as it would definitely affect you. So they are not in the same zone as you or people like you. You need to create a movement similar to the mica house families to demand extra support from government. Demand it until a proper treatment for this pox is developed. And one will, but it will probably take years. Get everybody you can in your situation to band together until this is done. That's all the little advice I can offer but it's worth doing it.

    "You have disgraced yourselves again" - W. B. Yeats



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,563 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    But people still caught and died of the flu even by restricting their movements.


    But that was accepted, hence you never calling for restrictions.


    The only way to stop people dying of the flu or covid is for everyone to remain in their house forever and ever.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,532 ✭✭✭crossman47


    While I sympathise with the OP, I very much hope our government is having that very discussion. Its like the usual "you cannot put a price on a life". You can and you must if you want a functioning policy as regards drugs. People say this if a government is unwilling to sanction a new drug costing say a million per annum per patient. Arguable but what if the cost is ten million or multiples of that?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,956 ✭✭✭skimpydoo


    People need to take some personal responsibility and what fuucking idiot queues for 2 hours to get into Coppers. If you go to a venue, be it a restaurant, pub, nightclub etc and you are not asked for your Covid passport don't give them your custom.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Or every other bacterial, fungal, and viral infection - all of which can be fatal to the immunocompromised / elderly.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,956 ✭✭✭skimpydoo


    It is also worth noting that people who survive Covid might end up with long covid and that ain't pretty.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,956 ✭✭✭skimpydoo


    Another point worth making is why has the government stopped contact tracing? Surely we should know where cases are coming from? and why are schools treated appallingly?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    What are acceptable flu death rates?

    I mean the deaths that have been accepted every winter for many years.

    Are they no longer acceptable?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Because it's not possible to contact trace to that degree given the widespread level of community transmission; the resources aren't there.

    Once you accept that widespread community transmission has taken place, it becomes only relevant to test symptomatic cases.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,203 ✭✭✭✭One eyed Jack



    The article doesn’t refer to acceptable deaths though, it refers to an acceptable death rate - what level of risk is a society prepared to take in order to regain some sense of normality. I didn’t read the rest of it because it’s behind a paywall, but that’s the general gist of any of the articles which are posing the question. There’s nobody referring to specific individuals, which I grant you would be disgusting, and I probably wouldn’t have any interest in reading said articles, but articles questioning what level of risk are societies willing to accept in order to live and go about their business?

    Those kinds of questions are asked every day, and everyone finds themselves in situations where they are at risk from something or other on an almost daily basis and ask themselves whether or not the risk is worth it, and whether the level of risk is too great that it outweighs the benefits or not. The articles don’t mean that any death is acceptable, they’re questioning the costs vs the benefits - stay locked down with all the negatives that entails for a society, or risk opening society with all the negatives that entails, and whether one outcome outweighs the other.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,956 ✭✭✭skimpydoo




  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    ...precisely because it's unsustainable.

    Contact tracing is only effective at low levels of transmission; to contain the spread of the virus. You find everyone close to contacts, and quarantine them all down.

    Once you permit community transmission, you simply cannot effectively contact trace. It's not about limiting the spread of the virus; it's about finding symptomatic cases and dealing with them appropriately. Up to a third of cases are asymptomatic, too. At this level, contact tracing is ridiculous.

    NPHET understand this and have clearly stated the same.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,474 ✭✭✭TheChizler




  • Registered Users Posts: 6,412 ✭✭✭Jequ0n


    FFS OP, people die. Get over it or move over into the conspiracy forum. If you underlying conditions then focus on those and manage them, because that’s all you can do.

    It doesn’t mean the rest of the country has to pander to your perceived extra needs.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    They've altered the criteria for contact tracing, to be exact.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 83,416 ✭✭✭✭Atlantic Dawn
    M


    Where does it end though, should healthy people under 40 park up their cars as road deaths have killed multiple times more of them in the last year than Covid has?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,956 ✭✭✭skimpydoo




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 83,416 ✭✭✭✭Atlantic Dawn
    M


    51 dead on the roads aged under 45 in 2020.

    Page 10 of this document...

    https://rsa.ie/Documents/Fatal%20Collision%20Stats/Provisional_Reviews_of_Fatal_Collisions/RRD_Res_20201216_RSAProvisionalReviewFatalities31December2020%20(148)%20full_report_updated_FINAL1.pdf


    Covid deaths 0-44, 62 deaths but that includes those with underlying health issues, reality is a fraction of those were healthy...

    Cases up to and including 8th January 2021

    https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/br/b-cdc/covid-19deathsandcasesseries19/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,956 ✭✭✭skimpydoo


    Those who had underlying health conditions would still be alive if not for Covid. I know if I catch Covid I will be 6 feet under but if Covid was not here I would live at least 20-30 more years minimum.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 92,471 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    Wouldn't it be nice if by persuading everyone to leave their cars at home for one month we could prevent any future road deaths.



    If you settle for an acceptable Covid death rate then you have to settle in for the long term. One in 500 becomes one in 500 every year and your lifetime risk shoots up. And if there's a new worse variant all bets are off.

    Measles is still a global killer and should have been eradicated by now, but there's 2.6 million deaths a year. Is that acceptable ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,567 ✭✭✭Risteard81


    It is my position - and if people are honest the only correct position - that there is no level of deaths at which restrictions on fundamental freedoms become acceptable or legal. (And yes, I maintain that they are entirely unlawful.) My human rights are absolute. Otherwise we don't actually have any rights.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,567 ✭✭✭Risteard81


    I disagree. People should only give their custom to those who refuse to ask for unlawful, totalitarian and Treasonous vaccine passports.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,567 ✭✭✭Risteard81


    You don't know that you will die if you catch COVID. In fact, the vast overwhelming majority don't. In fact, you may well have had COVID and not known.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,084 ✭✭✭✭Mrs OBumble


    I tend to agree - except that personally I don't think its safe for anyone, vaccinated or not, to be dining or drinking indoors at the moment. Disease incidence is too high. So ironically I'm only giving my business to outlets offeting outdoor or takeaway.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,216 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    You should look up the meaning of those words. They aren't even big words. I'm surprised you don't understand them



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,203 ✭✭✭✭One eyed Jack



    You’re not being honest, you’re just being silly. Just because you imagine a law restricting your freedom of movement is unlawful, doesn’t mean in reality it actually is unlawful, and any imposition it places upon you personally isn’t unlawful either, it’s perfectly reasonable in circumstances where it is intended to protect you and other people from your stupidity. You still have rights, such as an absolute right to life, everyone has that right, and one of the means by which they are protected is by imposing restrictions on anyone’s ability to compromise other peoples rights. In reality there IS a level of deaths at which it becomes both acceptable and legal to impose restrictions upon peoples fundamental freedoms to protect society as a whole. That’s being honest.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,492 ✭✭✭kowloonkev


    The OP is just upset over how an article was worded. It has little to do with the actions being taken.

    I'd like to ask the OP what Ireland should have done in the past and what they should do going forward in order to ensure zero COVID deaths, as you are basically saying that any death from COVID is unacceptable. And as it is unacceptable OP, what should the punishments be for those who have made the policies, those found to have passed on the virus causing death etc?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 349 ✭✭reniwren


    I love when people use things like cars to compare against the restrictions. There is literally a book of rules for the road. If there are too many accidents on a stretch of road they reduce the speed limit for that road. Dangerous junctions are changed all the time. Literary to try save one or 2 more people.


    Mark said it best (skip to 1:30)

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=5D1gJ_GygAI 



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,617 ✭✭✭lawrencesummers


    If covid disappeared in the morning would you change your lifestyle and still be able to avoid all the other respiratory illnesses that exist? Rhinovirus, RSV, adenovirus, all the influenzas?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,617 ✭✭✭lawrencesummers




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,609 ✭✭✭dubrov


    I think you are confusing risk of death with actual deaths.

    The fact remains, many will due in the next year on the roads due to driving. The overwhelming majority accept this as a trade 9ff for the convenience of driving



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 349 ✭✭reniwren


    not confusing anything, just pointing out the fact that there are restrictions there too otherwise there would be a free for all. Also pointing out that laws change every day.

    Head shops were there now their gone, lead for privately held firearms is to be banned. Petrol and diesel to be taxed out of existence.

    Life has always had ristrictions and are being increased/decreased every day.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,155 ✭✭✭✭Sleeper12


    Everything has an acceptable death rate. We could eliminate all road deaths by banning all traffic from car, bikes, buses, trams etc. We have to weigh up risk of death & the good that transport has for the country. We had an acceptable death rate from the flue each year. We could have saved lives each year if we locked down during flue season

    I've been in favor of lockdowns & I don't believe night clubs should be open yet. I believe everyone who can get a vaccine should get a vaccine. I believe people with a vaccine should be more careful than they are at the moment. Having said all of that I do realize that Covid may never go away & we have to try go back to some sort of normal life. Unfortunately OP that means people like yourself may be housebound for years to come

    There is always an acceptable death rate for everything. A rate where the benefits far outweigh the negatives



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,699 ✭✭✭Montage of Feck


    Those who put they're own selfish delusions before the common good are the real traitors.

    Post edited by Montage of Feck on

    🙈🙉🙊



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,495 ✭✭✭✭bucketybuck




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,699 ✭✭✭Montage of Feck


    No, just dissing the quote referenced in my post.

    🙈🙉🙊



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