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Relaxation of Restrictions, Part XII *Read OP For Mod Warnings*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,991 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Only around 6% or 7% of the adult population over here are unvaccinated, however they are taking up an estimated two-thirds of ICU beds for Covid patients. That's a relatively small group putting a disproportionate drain on hospital resources.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,991 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe



    I have an acquaintance who's recently gone down the anti-vaxxer rabbit hole. Nice person, but they are wondering why no one is talking to them anymore, it's like talking to someone in a cult, the change is unreal.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,422 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    You seem to be projecting your own emotions onto others, this is the second time I've seen you do this, will be interesting if this is a pattern of argument from you to distract from the facts of the situation.

    Or you're just an angry person.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,542 ✭✭✭Widdensushi




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 975 ✭✭✭Parachutes


    The real cult is the people obsessed with vaccinations, masks, social distancing, lockdowns etc.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,584 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    I imagine your local could do that if it wished, but I don`t see many if any doing it. It would be a business model designed to fail.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,991 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    These are straightforward measures to reduce the spread of an infectious airborne virus. Vaccines have been around for hundreds of years, e.g. we used to die in our hundreds of millions to Smallpox, it's now eradicated thanks to global vaccination.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,752 ✭✭✭✭lawred2


    sure thing astro - you read what you want to read



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,249 ✭✭✭joeguevara


    yeah hopefully they will stop relying on pure lies from paeudo science websites and maybe realise that vaccinations work.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,584 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    But you`re not really a fan of vaccines or anything connected to them are you ?

    Posting your believe that 4 variants of concern were caused by vaccine clinical trials in 4 specific countries would make you very much someone firmly in the anti-vaccine camp.

    That is unless you have an actual point. Which is easy to prove if you can list the 54 other variants that were created by clinical trials in the other 54 countries worldwide where they were carried out.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,752 ✭✭✭✭lawred2


    sure - that would be great

    But how realistic do you think that is at this stage? Or do you think more and more legal means of marginalization are needed? How far do you think the state should go with this? What makes you think someone who has waited out this long is suddenly going to start listening now?

    I'm all for vaccination programs. Myself and my wife are vaccinated. And all those related to us (bar one whose gone down the Great Reset 2030 road).. So this isn't an anti vax thing. I did see the vaccination as the way out (not really proving to be the case given the still prevalent obsession about case numbers amongst otherwise healthy people)

    Are we not at the point of diminishing returns? But with a whole lot of division sown?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,752 ✭✭✭✭lawred2


    And to be honest I don't get the logic of the pass anyway - what does it matter to me if the person beside me is unvaccinated?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,492 ✭✭✭floorpie


    The paper this articles cites in essence says that vaccinated infected people are more likely to spread infection to vaccinated people, than to unvaccinated people:

    Effectiveness of full vaccination of the index against transmission to fully vaccinated household contacts was 40% (95% confidence interval (CI) 20-54%), which is in addition to the direct protection of vaccination of contacts against infection. Effectiveness of full vaccination of the index against transmission to unvaccinated household contacts was 63% (95%CI 46-75%).

    Vaccine effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2 transmission to household contacts during dominance of Delta variant (B.1.617.2), August-September 2021, the Netherlands | medRxiv

    They're furthermore revising down their estimates with each subsequent analysis, which they discuss in the paper. 40% effectiveness in reducing transmission isn't sufficient to prevent spread in a population with 100% vaccination.

    Our results indicate that vaccination confers protection against onward transmission from vaccinated index cases, albeit somewhat less for Delta than for Alpha. Vaccine effectiveness against transmission to unvaccinated household contacts is stronger than to vaccinated household contacts, with the latter already largely protected from infection, and especially from severe disease, by their own vaccine-induced immunity, but differences in risk behavior may also play a role. Possible waning of vaccine effectiveness against infection and against onward transmission could result in increases in SARS-CoV-2 circulation among populations with high vaccine coverage.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,991 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Even if the entire adult population were vaccinated, I wouldn't be surprised to see cases still rising for a period given the current level of social interaction (pubs, social venues, etc filling up). This particular virus is showing itself to be notoriously infectious and tenacious despite our best efforts. We are reacting to a dynamic situation, some countries have v low levels of the virus and as such can reduce measures to nothing, other countries are experiencing surges after relaxing restrictions - its all about our risk appetite with the virus. It's a pretty delicate balancing act.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 975 ✭✭✭Parachutes


    Imagine being obsessed with 9% of people who, for whatever reason decline to take the super duper vaccine that is so great it fails to work if said 9% don’t take it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,584 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    I was on there when he was more or less ran out of the place on not being able to back up even the milder claims. One of which was the claim on variants.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,627 ✭✭✭Micky 32


    I completely understand the logic. Just say you had the virus. You passed it to the unvaccinated beside you. You will more than likely be fine but he/she has a higher chance of spreading it and ending up in hospital and ICU. Of course he /she might not end up in there but if you have large groups of people unvaccinated and outbreaks happen between them they are more likely to overwhelm hospitals vs a pub load of vaccinated people who will spread it more slowly and less likely end up in hospital after their night out. So it makes sense to prevent unvaccinated having groups in enclosed areas.


    I find it amazing how people fail to understand this.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,991 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Anti-vaccination people are morons. The public have little appetite for their nonsense at the best of times, and much less so during a pandemic, especially when they are disproportionally using up valuable hospital resources and putting others at increased risk



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,752 ✭✭✭✭lawred2


    That's fair enough. I'll take that on its merits.

    Ultimately though, that's their choice. Not mine. Their personal choices don't matter to me. And I don't really care if they share the same space as me. Especially as the vast majority of them aren't likely to be in the at risk demographic.

    Ireland's real problem is how a small number of unvaccinated people can seemingly bring its junk hospital system to its knees.

    But yet every day brings another well paid HSE and Dept of Health apparatchik to the fore informing us how it's everyone else's fault that decades of mismanagement has left us with a pig in a poke.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,985 ✭✭✭growleaves


    For country pubs it may not be a goer but walk around Dublin city centre to see what is happening and go into a few places.

    Pubs that make it easy for groups to be flexible by providing quasi-outdoor heated areas *are* scooping up money right now. Other places that don't have space for a beer garden must wish they did.

    We've had posters on this thread saying that pubs would scrap their outdoor sections this winter (hasn't happened and it won't) and that people will have to drink in the rain or not at all. No because if one person is blocked from a place, their friends aren't going either.

    Think of it from the p.o.v. of someone under 40 who finds politics boring, they just want to go out with their friends - they might not even know who Tony Holohan is (one of my friends had never heard of him before) and they are not shunning the unvax'd except in the imagination of older people.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,422 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    The capacity of the health system won't be fixed over the course of a pandemic and no parties are offering a change on what's there that will ultimately "fix" the system, which means relying on restrictions until the worst of the pandemic is over.

    This means the vaccinated get more freedoms than the unvaccinated till it's over (i.e. the burden on the health system is manageable without restrictions in place).

    We're unlikely to get too much of a higher % until the 5-11 year olds get approved so for the unvaccinated it's going to be continued exclusions.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    "Even if the entire adult population we're vaccinated, I wouldn't be surprised to see cases still rising given the current level of social interaction.."

    "Current level of social interaction"? It's called "living". Which people haven't been doing much of the last 18 months due to protecting the elderly and vulnerable. Can't expect to them to just keep going, and going. Median age of Covid deaths is 83 (the same as that for all deaths); the vast majority of which also had underlying conditions (CSO data).

    Vaccination rate is at 90%+. They're not going to get higher. The vaccines either work, or they don't. Continued/prolonged restrictions are unsustainable. Risk is a part of life, my friend; we'll have to move on and accept that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,920 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    With all due respects seemingly better hospital systems than ours are having issues as well .

    We are having a totally unnecessary doubling of hospitalisations and ICU admissions because of the choice of tiny proprtion of the population.

    While I said that everyone is treated in hospital , it's not lost on most people that while an alcoholic or drug user is an addict and cannot quickly change his or her behaviour which is impacting on their health ...

    Patients who self harm are usually not responsible for their actions but it is a cry for help and part of deeper psychological mental health problems.

    Some of the antivaxxers may fall into this latter category, but it is entirely different when the patient is harming themself knowingly , despite all advice and science to the contrary .

    It really can't be excused or minimised anymore .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,920 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    Or some people just prefer staying outdoors if they can because of rising cases and don't like being indoors, and the pub caters to all groups .



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    "Despite all advice and science to the contrary".

    This is simply not true. There are many doctors and scientists who say otherwise and have expressed concern with current procedures. One example would be Luc Montagnier, Nobel Prize winner in Medicine. He said it's the vaccinated who are creating the variants and the route we're going down is "unthinkable".

    Not to get into that discussion here, just pointing out that your statement is factually incorrect.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,627 ✭✭✭Micky 32


    Absolutely no evidence of what you just posted. I tell you what’s causing the “ variants”. The virus. 6.7 billion vaccinated worlwide, so where are all these variants? We only have the normal expected few roaming around.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Just passing on the statement of a mere Nobel Prize winner in Medicine. Says vaccinations are driving the mutations. Don't shoot the messenger.

    This is obviously a restrictions thread, so we won't get into it here. I only said it to counter the above posters statement re: "all science and advice is to the contrary". Not true.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,627 ✭✭✭Micky 32


    Pure conspiracy theory with no evidence to back up his claims.


    i know lots of smart intelligent people but some of the shyte they still can spout.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The person you're referring to is one of the world's leading virologists and won a Nobel Prize in Medicine for his work with HIV...

    Micky32 calls him a "conspiracy theorist" 😄

    Anyway, enough, back on topic.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,422 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    I think you'll find that far more (i.e. virtually all other) nobel prize winning doctors are in favour of the vaccines.

    Luc has not helped himself by being associated with homeopathy (pre-COVID) among other craziness, the work he jointly did on HIV almost 40 years ago was ground breaking but he seems to be doing his best to sully his name since then.



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