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Covid 19 Part XXXV-956,720 ROI (5,952 deaths) 452,946 NI (3,002 deaths) (08/01) Read OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,065 ✭✭✭funnydoggy


    Stop off in lidl for a bbq on your way home 🤣🤣🤣



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,334 ✭✭✭bloopy


    Go over to Reddit Ireland and look at some of the comments there.

    Calling people degenerates, plague rats etc.

    There is a certain cohort who are getting extremely wound up in this thing. They are getting a little scary.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,065 ✭✭✭funnydoggy


    I'd love to know the majority demographic of the users in that sub. The attitude has changed slightly in the last few weeks but generally, you need to follow the status quo or you're downvoted to hell and called every name under the sun.

    Downvotes are grand as a concept but if your score gets low enough your comment is hidden from view. NO room for discussion.

    There must be some serious bot / paid accounts there.



  • Posts: 513 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    There is a strong motif being promoted in the media about the unvaccinated harbouring harm for the vaccinated. I think this is illogical, aside from being dangerous.

    Here I explain why.


    Back when I was in the process of getting myself banned from the vaccination thread for mentioning things people do not want to hear, like the very many Adverse Reactions, I also mentioned Geert Vanden Bossche, a comment which has not migrated unfortunately.

    Geert, an experienced virologist, has held for many months now that -

    Mass vaccination at the height of a pandemic is a very bad idea as it puts immune escape pressure on the virus (in the same way as serial passaging of viruses in laboratories is done with some immune pressure to promote evolution of variants). This has been a long held and widely known basic tenet of immunology. You do not mass vaccinate mid pandemic.


    No one wants to hear that. And I understand why.

    But I saw something interesting lately.

    SAGE - the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies in the UK - recently gave the UK government an update and among the points made is the following -

    https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/sage-93-minutes-coronavirus-covid-19-response-7-july-2021/sage-93-minutes-coronavirus-covid-19-response-7-july-2021

    9. There are four major risks associated with high numbers of infections. These are an increase in hospitalisations and deaths, more ‘Long-COVID’; workforce absences (including in the NHS); and the increased risk of new variants emerging. The combination of high prevalence and high levels of vaccination creates the conditions in which an immune escape variant is most likely to emerge. The likelihood of this happening is unknown, but such a variant would present a significant risk both in the UK and internationally.


    Now I believe, although thankfully I have not been closely following the politics, that people sneer at SAGE, but nonetheless they are scientists, and should at least have some brains among them. Note especially ''the combination of high prevalence and high levels of vaccination'' is how immune escape variant(s are) ''MOST likely to emerge''.

    This is a statement based on the fundamental immunological tenet repeatedly expressed by Bossche that one does not mass vaccinate mid pandemic because it creates variants.


    It is quite a complicated thing to fully explain, but basically vaccine immune escape pressure is to do with sub optimal antibodies mounted by vaccinees, especially between doses 1 and 2, after second dose before full antibodies have matured, when vaccine-induced immunity begins to wane over time, and in people who will never mount a robust defense even in the presence of vaccination as they are immuno-compromised in some way. Non-sterilising vaccines are an issue also of course.

    While vaccines - if one does not get an adverse reaction, which is a repeating risk, when boosters are factored in - seem to have a helpful effect on an individual level in terms of lessening disease, on the broader demographic level problems arise as the virus is always working away trying to select to compete with specifically the vaccine.

    Yes, high prevalence within an unvaccinated population also causes some variants, because where you have lots of something you have more mutations. In that case however the variants are not selectively evolving to specifically evade vaccines. Which is what happens when you have both high prevalence and high vaccination rates. As acknowledged now by SAGE.


    And, to touch on a different but related issue, vaccine inequality whereby the rich world gets fully vaccinated is creating a situation whereby even if vaccines maintained efficacy (which they are not doing -refer to https://www.google.ie/amp/s/m.jpost.com/breaking-news/for-first-time-since-march-855-new-coronavirus-cases-in-israel-674084/amp ) there will be huge swathes of the global population who will not get a sniff of any vaccine before a very long time. (Although I do often see rich countries making virtuous and very public announcements about how they are going to donate vaccines - usually vaccines whose safety profile the developed world is turning its collective nose up at, or worse still short-dated vaccines. I mean WTF? Sending short dated vaccines into areas where they do not even have rudimentary refrigeration or facilities. What could possibly go wrong? ) But my point is, one fraction of the world is rapidly chasing boosters already, while the majority rest of the world have hardly any first doses and this is like keeping your head looking good while your foot rots off with gangrene.



    Anyways, just saying this, to keep a record of it for posterity. I know most people completely and even violently disagree with these POV. I would literally love to be a believer. It would be great for my head space. There is huge emotional investment in a way out. But for some reason I am not a believer and it is maddening that these ideas are generally unknown and not discussed.

    It is something to see basic immunological principles being at least somewhat acknowledged now by scientific advisory bodies in other countries.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 706 ✭✭✭TefalBrain



    Tbh i knew those people where out there but yeah covid has really brought them out to the fore. We are done with it here in our house tbh. We've done everything asked of us but we've run out of road now in regards patience and the naff NPHET keep coming out with.

    There's always going to be "two more weeks" and "concern" from them and tbh i just don't care anymore. If that makes me a bad person then so be it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,316 ✭✭✭Banana Republic 1




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 689 ✭✭✭rm212


    It’s really frustrating to see them make such a big song and dance with these rising COVID cases, “shock horror as 2000 cases per day expected by end of July”. Right… but who cares? The hospitalisations are increasing at a very slow crawl, deaths basically aren’t happening anymore, and by the end of July, a lot of the 25-29s will be done and they’ll be opening up for the 18-24 category.

    Personally, I think we can endure high cases without a lot of serious hospitalisations for a few weeks while the last groups (the lowest risk ones) are vaccinated.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,334 ✭✭✭bloopy


    Ok. I deserved that.

    Have heard the word so often that I couldn't think of an alternative.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,225 ✭✭✭✭klose


    Genuinely think they are trolling at times, that or they're so deluded it begs belief.


    I'll never forget there was an article or news snippet when Tony said its now OK for grandparents to hug their grandchildren or soemthing to that degree, I mean come on like.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,677 ✭✭✭Happydays2020


    Some amount of testing and positive tests. Although strangely if you are 18 and some friends get the virus (and you are asymptomatic) you may as well get tested as if positive you will be in a position to travel ahead of getting a vaccine.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,187 ✭✭✭GeorgeBailey




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,065 ✭✭✭funnydoggy


    Could very easily be a reason for increased cases too. Of course not all but some perhaps?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,279 ✭✭✭Lollipop95


    Could be there another lockdown or definitely not? Can’t really see the justification given the vaccine roll out



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,628 ✭✭✭Micky 32


    I suppose anything is possible but i think if we do go into another lockdown despite all the vaccinations and not to mention 300k vaccines a week being administered we’ll be forever going into lockdowns and restrictions going forward. Thankfully i’ll be gone from this country after xmas if they even try to attempt this to the fully vaccinated. I’m in a great position to do so.


    However i don’t think that will happen. Yea the numbers are rising but it will eventually hit that vaccine wall. It will soon peak and start stabilizing and dropping again. We could possibly see 2k or even 4k a day before it might plateau. I thnk that is what is happening in Scotland. It peaked high and then started dropping again and they are still on course for easing restrictions.



  • Posts: 543 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Of Long Covid? Maybe

    Possibly a controversial statement but I think there's also a psychological element. We hear stories everyday of people suffering with long term effects. That surely has got to have an effect on people's psyche. It certainly doesn't help when it's amplified by alarmists like Feigl-Ding and Deepti Gurdasani.

    The so called Nocebo effect can be very real. For instance on the Pfizer trial over a third of the placebo arm reported similar side effects to the vaccine arm despite only receiving saline.

    That is definitely not saying there isn't a physical element (there clearly is) or that a psychological element can be any less debilitating (it certainly can be).

    Post viral syndromes aren't very well understood in general and far too often dismissed out of hand. I would hope this finally leads to proper study and possible treatments.

    Post edited by [Deleted User] on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,065 ✭✭✭funnydoggy


    Oops I actually quoted the wrong comment. I definitely have to get used to this new forum software especially on mobile. I meant to quote Happydays2020 above you 😂


    For what it's worth though I agree with you.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,316 ✭✭✭Banana Republic 1




  • Posts: 543 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,500 ✭✭✭Deeper Blue


    I've no major issue with Campbell really, he does a good job of summarizing stats and graphs etc. My issue is that some see him as a full blown epidemiology expert, and I think using the Dr title is slightly disingenuous on his part.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,135 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    Anyone know the ages of the people admitted into hospital with covid?

    also if the people admitted have been vaccinated fully or half vaccinated or not vaccinated.

    thanks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,500 ✭✭✭Deeper Blue


    Why aren't deaths being reported every day anymore? Are they still using the hack as an excuse or are the death numbers not scary enough anymore?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,934 ✭✭✭✭bodhrandude


    No one seems to be answering your query tomlie, could be still down to this hack nonsense since May, maybe these results are deliberately being kept from us.

    If you want to get into it, you got to get out of it. (Hawkwind 1982)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,222 ✭✭✭prunudo


    A bit of column A and a bit from column B.


    Given the deaths numbers are so low, I'm not sure why its so hard to be giving even an approximation of numbers. Similar to when they did it with case numbers with the caveat that numbers are subject to review.



  • Posts: 4,806 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    We don’t report on deaths anymore because it doesn’t suit the narrative. People wouldn’t be in fear if they knew there was practically nobody dying.

    So instead they just throw it in to a random conference now once a week or so and it doesn’t generate headlines.

    If the deaths increase, you can be sure they’ll be reported on daily again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,135 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    It’s interesting isn’t it. Are any of the journalists asking this question?

    ronan Glynn was on rte yesterday and all he was asked about was cases going up and the implications.

    not one question on the breakdown of age regarding hospitalisations and if these people had any vaccine in their system.

    I 100% believed in lockdowns to take pressure off the health systems, but why is the most important information being kept from us now and more importantly, why is the state broadcaster not asking this question?



  • Posts: 6,775 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I'm starting to think there should be a campaign where the population simply stops getting tests. They can assume they are positive re: symptoms if they choose to do so, but enough of this daily national case collection activity.

    At this stage, let the virus rip through society.

    Vaccinations have saved the day.

    Remember, the health service is there to protect us and not the other way around. Let them do what they are paid and qualified to handle.



  • Posts: 6,246 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    What about those who havnt been fully vaccinated yet?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,677 ✭✭✭Happydays2020




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  • Posts: 6,775 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    They can choose to do what they wish, and accept the level of risk they want.

    But the rest of us should not be held hostage in the meantime.



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