Fancies For Today III

lThe 2,000 gns tomorrow at Newmarket has been won 10 times by A Obrien but i dont think he has ever had a fav like Wembly run in the gns.

Wembly has had 6 runs (thats more than usual) and has been beaten 5 times and his only win has been a maiden in Roscommon!.

It will be remarkable if Obrien can win with the horse with a most unusual profile for the race.

My idea of the winner is Joseph Obrien's THUNDER MOON who has had 3 runs,winning two and running 3rd in the Dewhurst behind Wembly and St Marks Basilica on ground that was too soft for him.

On his previous run THUNDER MOON had beaten both of them over 7 furlongs after getting into trouble and having to switch on more than one occasion.

That was very good form and gives the horse every chance of coming out on top in the years first classic.

I had my biggest bet on the flat this year at 5/1 ew with PP and Joseph will have the horse primed for this and there is no better man to get one ready as he has proved so often in his short training career.

realdanbreen wrote: »

She's out tomorrow in Thirsk, we'll have to give her a bit of support.

whats her name ?.

realdanbreen wrote: »

She's out tomorrow in Thirsk, we'll have to give her a bit of support.

Well spotted,I have a feeling Ellen is going down the handicap route and if I am right she will not be a bet tomorrow so I will wait and back her when she goes handicapping off a good mark.

Some turn up in the Guineas,the "lads" will have to do a bit of head scratching as some big money bets go astray,Thunder Moon ran no sort of race and the only consolation is that Jim Bolger and his jockey struck a blow for the geriatrics as they got up in the last stride.

AQAMAN 2.45 Chester can go well tomorrow and ARION FOX should win the 5.20 at Chelmsford.

A mixed bag saturday with plenty racing going on.

There is a group 3 in Naas at 2.40 where all the usual suspects have runners but i am going for a very lightly raced outsider the lightly raced 4 year old filly INSINUENDO who has only had two runs and who ran very well a couple of weeks ago over a trip that was way too short for her in Tipp.

She ran on well that day and despite giving a lot of weight to the 3 year olds from the top yards can repay ew support at 10/1.

At Haydock the 3.10 is a very competitive handicap hurdle usually run on much better ground.

The ground wont bother BALLINESKER who despite being well beaten on last two runs is worth backing.
Trained by Evan Williams the horse is sure to be tuned up for this given his trainers record in the race.

Williams has trained 4 winners of this in the last 7 years and has had 2 horses placed,a repeat of the form shown in a big handicap at Cheltenham last november would be enough to put the horse in contention and with 5 places is a good ew bet at 8/1.

LIGHT REFRAIN from the Haggas yard can win the listed race at2.55 Nottingham,not best drawn but that may not matter too much for the hold up horse who can come late and is another ew bet at 11/2.

ShamoBuc wrote: »

Double Kodiac Naas 5.00 8/1 with 5 places

Good tip. Beaten by a nose for the last place. Info was good, keep them coming.

Backing 2 at killarney today for interest

Ben dundee 6.10 11/1

Darasso 8/1

I dont think samcro will win either. Hoping its a gentle comeback run

zimmermania wrote: »

The 5.20 at Aintree is a 3 horse race over 3 miles and a furlong,Mister Sweets is the outsider of the 3 and on all known form should have little chance,the fav is Onagatheringstorm trained by Fergal Obrien at 8/11 and the horse that i think should be fav is COPPER COIN who has been impressive over hurdles and fences and is strongly fancied by me to win this novice hurdle,can be backed at between 6/4 and 7/4 and looks a really good bet with just one to beat.

He sets off in front to make it a true stamina test which was fine and then falls in a race where the fav looked no great shakes,thats racing hard to take at times but luck evens out in the end.

BALLINSKER is now looking well handicapped,a front runner trained by Evan Williams an well in a big Haydock handicap before fading to finish 8th.

That was after a a couple of months break and the horse could now be ready to come home in front in the 3.20 Ludlow.

Kirby mounts in Yarmouth ...

E/W Yankee ....
Mr Alan 14:00 6/1
Prospect 13:25 10/1
Immelmann 15:05 7/1
Noble Peace 16:10 16/1
Stake: €2.86
€1.43 E/W
Potential Returns: €2,043.80


E/W Double; Prospect & Noble Peace
Stake: €20.00
€10.00 E/W
Potential Returns: €1,996.00


E/W Double; Immelmann & Mr Alan
Stake: €27.14
€13.57 E/W
Potential Returns: €831.57

Good luck, n enjoy

zimmermania wrote: »

Plenty racing on friday but the meeting i am looking forward to is Stratford,a long standing hunter chase card.

I will not see it live but will record it and watch it later.

I am backing 4 hoses in 4 trebles and an accum.

VIRAK 5.45,FUMET DUDAIRIES 6.20 BOB AND CO 6.55 and ALCALA 7.30.

Paul Nicholls runs two in the 6.55 and i rate BOB AND CO the banker of the meeting at 5/6,Adrien Du Pont is his other runner and has won two hunter chases by very big margins and will have a big future at this level.

However his presence here will help to make the price for BOB AND CO who is banker material for me and may touch evens.

Three beaten into 2nd,so no joy.

Alcala backed in the recovery mission so hoping he gets me out.

Summer Valley 2.45 Brighton

It's not a great race and I always thought she would win when she got a handicap,a big field alright but I backed her to win.

Would have pissed it with any luck in running.

zimmermania wrote: »

A couple worth a few quid in Epsom.

PATENT DREAM won well at the course last time and has a good chance in the 2.oc.

BELL ROCK ran a career best last time out when winning a good handicap off 103 and is well worth a try at group 3 level in the 3.10.

His owners love runners (and winners) in Goodwood and the fact that Andrew Balding runs him here suggests he has a decent chance and he can win this before being prepared for Goodwood.

It is unusual for AOB to run just one horse in the Derby or indeed in any big race nowdays so he must think a lot of Bolshoi Ballet and the horse may well bolt up.

However there have been some big priced winners of the Derby in recent years and i am going take a chance on ONE RULER in the hope that he will stay the trip,the second string of Appleby's three.

ONE RULER has good form over a mile and got close to Mac Swiney in his last race last year.The mile in the 2000 gns appeared to be too short for him and at 18 or 20/1 it is worth taking a chance he stays the mile and a half and a few quid ew 4 places might be the way to go.

Sky bet doing money back ad cash (up to £10) if your horse is 2nd or 3rd in this race so I have whacked £20 on patent dream myself.

GIVE 'EM THE SLIP 7.oc Goodwood looked to have a very bright future when runner up to a smart filly when a good second first time out last year as a 2 year old, the filly that beat her that day was 5th in a group 3 at Royal Ascot next time to strengthen the form.

Her next 2 runs were at Lingield on the AW over 7 furlongs and each time she looked like winning when leading in the final furlong before fading each time to finish 2nd and 3rd.

She then ran in a nice maiden at Ayr over 6 furlongs and was well backed at evens before fading again in the final furlong when looking like a winner.

Now qualified for handicaps she could have got a lenient mark of 69 in my opinion and Gooodwood could be the perfect track for her,she also has the very good 5 lb claimer Stefano Cherchi on board.

I expect her to be given a patient ride today, she seems to be well handicapped on a track and distance that should suit and a 5lb claimer on board making her the days best bet ew at 4/1 or 9/2.

I did a totally fun bet or Ascot on tue online a few minutes ago in case i forgot or changed my mind,the bet is a life changing lucky 31 ew for a cost of 15.50

I shall probaby back a couple of these in ew singles and probably oppose others on the day but i could not resist the small bet at the fancy prices quoted.
2.30 Prince Eiji 40/1
3.40 Kings Lynn 20/1
4.20 Maximal 25/1
5.oc Coeur De-Lion 12/1
6.35 Felixd 6/1

Some races are extra places with PP and in the 5.oc which is pretty difficult two others worth consideration are Royal Illusion and Postileo both 16/1.

Gavlar 3.50 Ling has not won for a long time but has come down the handicap to 57,an all time low and might be worth a fiver ew at 28/1,is 2 lbs better off with the horse that beat him a length and a quarter last time and might still be able to get his head in front.

Six strings 15/8 at Carlisle 5.20
Just got word for it,not a great price,but if it wins that will do.

Rectory Road 8.20 Windsor gets another chance tonight.

zimmermania wrote: »

I did a totally fun bet or Ascot on tue online a few minutes ago in case i forgot or changed my mind,the bet is a life changing lucky 31 ew for a cost of 15.50

I shall probaby back a couple of these in ew singles and probably oppose others on the day but i could not resist the small bet at the fancy prices quoted.
2.30 Prince Eiji 40/1
3.40 Kings Lynn 20/1
4.20 Maximal 25/1
5.oc Coeur De-Lion 12/1
6.35 Felixd 6/1

Some races are extra places with PP and in the 5.oc which is pretty difficult two others worth consideration are Royal Illusion and Postileo both 16/1.

4th 2 6th a 7th and a 10th,just goes to how tough it is at Ascot,most went of a lot shorter than the prices i took,but no joy or small money.

I fancy PEROTTO in the 5.oc at Ascot who can be backed at 22/1.

This is a thirty runner handicap and there are likely to be more hard luck stories than one would hear at a liars conference.

PEROTTO has never run over a mile but given his style of running looks like he may stay the trip today.He ran fourth in a very hot race in Newmarket over 6 furlongs on may 1st with recent winner First Folio behind in 5th.

Needed every yard of the 7 furlongs at Goodwood when running on strongly next time getting up close home.Not guaranteed to get the extra furlong today but is worth betting he will at the price.

However for online punters a warning,all bookmakers are offering just 4 places!!! in the toughest handicap of the year with 30 runners to boot and punters would be well advised to swerve this race online as there can be NO value whatsoever in having a bet on it.

I am heading to town shortly and i feel sure some of the shops will be going 6 if not 7 places,if this is not the case i will keep my money in my pocket