Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie
Help Keep Boards Alive. Support us by going ad free today. See here: https://subscriptions.boards.ie/

COVID-19: Vaccine and testing procedures Megathread Part 3 - Read OP

1107108110112113328

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 247 ✭✭User142


    What excess doses?? They've to do dose 2 for millions dose 1 for millions more.

    When they have surplus that is.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,471 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    User142 wrote: »
    When they have surplus that is.

    That's not going to be any time soon and by then we probably wouldn't need them


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,589 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    User142 wrote: »
    I wonder will we reach out now to the Brits and look for their excess doses now. I hope so. Free travel within the CTA this Summer would be lovely.

    What excess doses? They are getting AZ supplies from India. They also need to start second doses from April onwards. They had a massive delivery of ~5mil doses of Pfizer at the end of last year, which helped them get off fast, but since that time they are relying on weekly deliveries. They don't have hundreds of millions of doses sitting in a warehouse.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 218 ✭✭Tippbhoy1


    hynesie08 wrote: »
    We need a guarantee of vaccines actually arriving, but if we had enough to mop up the remaining over 85s I'd be all for it.

    I’d agree with this, seemingly any home bound people over 85, getting an mRNA vaccine to them is proving very very difficult. Better off give them AZ and hold back a few vials for the second dose. I’d be against changing tact with the general rollout unless there was more certainty of supply. If a 60 year old was left short a second dose I’d be a lot less concerned than on an 80 year old.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,589 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Tippbhoy1 wrote: »
    I’d agree with this, seemingly any home bound people over 85, getting an mRNA vaccine to them is proving very very difficult. Better off give them AZ and hold back a few vials for the second dose. I’d be against changing tact with the general rollout unless there was more certainty of supply. If a 60 year old was left short a second dose I’d be a lot less concerned than on an 80 year old.

    That's already the policy. If they cannot get an mRNA vaccine within 3 weeks, they will be offered an AZ.


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 884 ✭✭✭eoinbn


    jackryan34 wrote: »
    Not sure I'd blame EU

    If Oxford hadn't sold out to a shaddy pharmaceutical company like AZ we could be swimming in that vaccine.Back in April 20 when Oxford announced the vaccine, they promised it would be open source and any company could manufacturer it, they then sold out to AZ and no other company produces the vaccine

    Could have been so different if they didn't partner up with AZ exclusively and we had independent manufacturing all over the world with that formula

    1 vaccine and a global effort to produce it by all nations would have got us out of this a long time ago

    Instead we have this mess, which is pure greed

    AZ are doing this at cost - or so we are told. It wasn't about greed.
    Astrazeneca approach might actually re-enforce the idea that open source would have been an a bad idea. AZ are using a regional model and are using lots partners with small factories compared to Pfizer which has a small number of larger facilities. AZ are having to face the same issues in plant after plant. It is more like a hybrid - AZ aren't doing all the work but they do need to provide technical know how in a lot of different locations. They also need approval for all those locations. It seems they are struggling to meet those demands.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,589 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    eoinbn wrote: »
    AZ are doing this at cost - or so we are told. It wasn't about greed.
    Astrazeneca approach might actually re-enforce the idea that open source would have been an a bad idea. AZ are using a regional model and are using lots partners with small factories compared to Pfizer which has a small number of larger facilities. AZ are having to face the same issues in plant after plant. It is more like a hybrid - AZ aren't doing all the work but they do need to provide technical know how in a lot of different locations. They also need approval for all those locations. It seems they are struggling to meet those demands.

    Pfizer and J&J have brought on other major players to help, Sanofi & Merck. Pfizer seem to be bringing new plants online in various countries. AZ just seem to be.... well not doing much tbh. If the likes of Oxford went with an open source, you would have multiple plants all over the world producing it. From China & Russia etc...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,495 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Wolf359f wrote: »
    Pfizer and J&J have brought on other major players to help, Sanofi & Merck. Pfizer seem to be bringing new plants online in various countries. AZ just seem to be.... well not doing much tbh. If the likes of Oxford went with an open source, you would have multiple plants all over the world producing it. From China & Russia etc...

    Why don't Pfizer or Moderna go non profit like AZ and J&J ? Why don't they license to India so other poorer countries can get some benefit ?

    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,589 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Why don't Pfizer or Moderna go non profit like AZ and J&J ? Why don't they license to India so other poorer countries can get some benefit ?

    I don't know. Why does AZ being 'non profit' have a different price per dose depending on the country who purchased it?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,495 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Wolf359f wrote: »
    I don't know. Why does AZ being 'non profit' have a different price per dose depending on the country who purchased it?

    It depends who purchases it. Some countries buy it and some are donated and delivered for free.

    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,589 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    It depends who purchases it. Some countries buy it and some are donated and delivered for free.

    I'm not talking about COVAX. I'm talking about the difference in price the UK, EU, Canada (excluding them taking their COVAX allowance), USA & Australia pay for a non profit vaccine.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 884 ✭✭✭eoinbn


    Wolf359f wrote: »
    Pfizer and J&J have brought on other major players to help, Sanofi & Merck. Pfizer seem to be bringing new plants online in various countries. AZ just seem to be.... well not doing much tbh. If the likes of Oxford went with an open source, you would have multiple plants all over the world producing it. From China & Russia etc...

    Sanofi are partnering with BioNtech, not Pfizer.
    My point is that AZ were/are bringing online a lot of sites at the same time. They had two plants in the UK, 2 plants in the EU, plants in the US, Australia and Pune. They also have partner's in Russia, China, South America but I am less sure on those timelines.

    A partner with access to bigger plants might have been a better fit. However most of the big players had their own candidate - AZ weren't a vaccine producer so they jumped at the opportunity.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,495 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Wolf359f wrote: »
    I'm not talking about COVAX. I'm talking about the difference in price the UK, EU, Canada (excluding them taking their COVAX allowance), USA & Australia pay for a non profit vaccine.

    Well EU paid less than the UK. But EU had to pay 350 million to increase capacity in EU plants. Plus they have to pay those companies to finish the product which will not of been free and also the cost to distribute them. So it may seem that the EU paid 1.7 euro each but when you add all the extra costs on per unit it will be more than 1.7 euro.

    Australia are making it's own under license so they won't be making a profit, USA will be doing the same. Canada will of purchased at the set price but who knows who they are being supplied by.

    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,589 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Well EU paid less than the UK. But EU had to pay 350 million to increase capacity in EU plants. Plus they have to pay those companies to finish the product which will not of been free and also the cost to distribute them. So it may seem that the EU paid 1.7 euro each but when you add all the extra costs on per unit it will be more than 1.7 euro.

    Australia are making it's own under license so they won't be making a profit, USA will be doing the same. Canada will of purchased at the set price.

    If they are making it under licence, that sounds like AZ are not involved and of course that licence would be free, otherwise if the licence was even $1 it would not be non profit.

    If it was truly non profit, it would have been given to any and all manufacturers, like you alluded to with Australia and the US.
    It seems more like Oxford which received millions to develop the vaccine, then licenced it to AZ to manufacturer, of which AZ didn't pay a fee, that seems as far as the non profit went.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,589 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    eoinbn wrote: »
    Sanofi are partnering with BioNtech, not Pfizer.
    My point is that AZ were/are bringing online a lot of sites at the same time. They had two plants in the UK, 2 plants in the EU, plants in the US, Australia and Pune. They also have partner's in Russia, China, South America but I am less sure on those timelines.

    A partner with access to bigger plants might have been a better fit. However most of the big players had their own candidate - AZ weren't a vaccine producer so they jumped at the opportunity.

    Yeah sorry Sanofi are partnering with BioNtech (the one who developed the vaccine) to produce more vaccines. My point is, Oxford in what ever deal they done, AZ seem to have exclusive rights to do as they wish. If Oxford followed BioNtech's lead they would be looking to partner with other manufacturers.
    It's just looking like AZ are in way over their head.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,714 ✭✭✭✭josip


    By June, very few 'Western' countries will be focusing on supplies of vaccines, but will instead be focusing on how to maximise the uptake percentage in order to achieve herd immunity.
    Some vaccine-skeptical countries, such as France were always going to struggle to achieve this.
    Germany may also have to work hard, after the confusing messaging about AZ.
    Countries that have used a higher percentage of the MRNA vaccines, will be able to reach herd immunity with a slightly lower uptake than those relying on AZ or J&J.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,495 ✭✭✭brickster69


    No idea. But i know a lot of those countries put a hell of a lot of cash into the R&D of the vaccine and ordered very early on, and if the vaccine went tits up they lost their cash. The US production is from AZ plants in the USA, Australia is like a sub contractor and no idea about Canada.

    So in effect they are making at cost but had substantial costs and risks before it was even developed. Same as the EU in a away but without the R&D costs and risk.

    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,642 ✭✭✭Charles Babbage


    jackryan34 wrote: »
    Not sure I'd blame EU

    If Oxford hadn't sold out to a shaddy pharmaceutical company like AZ we could be swimming in that vaccine.Back in April 20 when Oxford announced the vaccine, they promised it would be open source and any company could manufacturer it, they then sold out to AZ and no other company produces the vaccine

    Could have been so different if they didn't partner up with AZ exclusively and we had independent manufacturing all over the world with that formula

    1 vaccine and a global effort to produce it by all nations would have got us out of this a long time ago

    Instead we have this mess, which is pure greed


    Oxford made a mess of things, but pure greed doesn't quite describe it.

    As I understand it, and am happy to be corrected, Oxford wanted the vaccine distributed at cost and only AZ would do this. Where Oxifrd made a mistake was in not getting production going at higher prices in the developed countries and then selling to everyone else at cost.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,495 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Oxford made a mess of things, but pure greed doesn't quite describe it.

    As I understand it, and am happy to be corrected, Oxford wanted the vaccine distributed at cost and only AZ would do this. Where Oxifrd made a mistake was in not getting production going at higher prices in the developed countries and then selling to everyone else at cost.


    Yeah i get your point. It does sound a bit like an ethical thing that sort of went wrong. It was a bit of a rush job like from the sound of things. No doubt we will look back in a few months and think everything was a little blown out of proportion.

    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,589 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    No idea. But i know a lot of those countries put a hell of a lot of cash into the R&D of the vaccine and ordered very early on, and if the vaccine went tits up they lost their cash. The US production is from AZ plants in the USA, Australia is like a sub contractor and no idea about Canada.

    So in effect they are making at cost but had substantial costs and risks before it was even developed. Same as the EU in a away but without the R&D costs and risk.

    Just break that down for me.... countries put a lot of cash into R&D (obviously not the EU, despite funding Oxford, but that was UK EU contributions, so that doesn't count) and if the vaccine went tits up the countries involved would have lost their money?

    So.... if AZ were paid vast sums up front and the vaccine failed, they were off the hook. So where does the substantial costs and risks come into play?
    Neither Oxford or AZ would be out of pocket, the only ones out of pocket would be the countries funding it.


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,495 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Also i think this exclusivity thing was a big concern, in that would another partner commit to supplying poorer countries. So on that point joining up with India looks a good move.

    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,495 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Wolf359f wrote: »
    Just break that down for me.... countries put a lot of cash into R&D (obviously not the EU, despite funding Oxford, but that was UK EU contributions, so that doesn't count) and if the vaccine went tits up the countries involved would have lost their money?

    So.... if AZ were paid vast sums up front and the vaccine failed, they were off the hook. So where does the substantial costs and risks come into play?
    Neither Oxford or AZ would be out of pocket, the only ones out of pocket would be the countries funding it.

    Yes basically. Well if these countries never invested in R&D there would be no vaccines. So when countries are moaning about deliveries and things they should thank God that certain countries actually did that or they would have nothing.

    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,589 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Oxford made a mess of things, but pure greed doesn't quite describe it.

    As I understand it, and am happy to be corrected, Oxford wanted the vaccine distributed at cost and only AZ would do this. Where Oxifrd made a mistake was in not getting production going at higher prices in the developed countries and then selling to everyone else at cost.

    I think it was a lot more political than that. Oxford had agreed in principle to use Merck to manufacturer the vaccine, but the UK government wanted iron clad guarantees the UK would get all their doses first so they choose AZ. I don't remember BionTech being told who they can licence the production to.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,495 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Wolf359f wrote: »
    I think it was a lot more political than that. Oxford had agreed in principle to use Merck to manufacturer the vaccine, but the UK government wanted iron clad guarantees the UK would get all their doses first so they choose AZ. I don't remember BionTech being told who they can licence the production to.

    It was not political. Why should a countries taxpayers fund and develop a vaccine and not get a guaranteed supply ? UK never gave exclusivity to AZ that is why India are making it now as well as others. Bion Tech gave exclusivity to Pfizer so it is in Pfizers control now to produce.

    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,589 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    It was not political. Why should a countries taxpayers fund and develop a vaccine and not get a guaranteed supply ? UK never gave exclusivity to AZ that is why India are making it now as well as others. Bion Tech gave exclusivity to Pfizer so it is in Pfizers control now to produce.
    Plenty of countries have funded the Oxford vaccine and they do not have a guaranteed supply. The UK government choose AZ over Merck to guarantee supply (regardless of what countries helped finance it), that's political.

    I'm not up wiht the AZ - India arrangement, so I wont comment. It could be to do with COVAX.

    BionTech did not give it Pfizer exclusivity, Sanofi are now going to produce it.
    It's almost like Pfizer saw AZ as the **** show it is and told BionTech they will not be able to produce as much as is needed and Biontech looked to other manufacturers to help out.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,581 ✭✭✭JTMan


    Sunday Independent reports here that the Irish government is considering Russia's Sputnik vaccine.

    Although there are doubts about Russia's ability to manufacture large numbers of doses ... a German company, IDT Biologika, is in talks about producing the Sputnik V vaccine.

    Small additional supply from Sputnik on the way?

    Separately, the Sunday Independent reports that the government has been unable to secure extra vaccine doses from elsewhere, despite approaches over recent days to a number of countries and pharma companies who have a presence in Ireland.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 884 ✭✭✭eoinbn


    JTMan wrote: »
    Although there are doubts about Russia's ability to manufacture large numbers of doses ... a German company, IDT Biologika, is in talks about producing the Sputnik V vaccine.

    Small additional supply from Sputnik on the way?

    If you mean from IDT, then not any time soon. It takes at least 3 months for a batch. There would also be setup time which would add months.
    If you mean from an existing supply line then maybe. However there are countries that need it much more than we do - Brazil for example.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    JTMan wrote: »
    Sunday Independent reports here that the Irish government is considering Russia's Sputnik vaccine.

    Although there are doubts about Russia's ability to manufacture large numbers of doses ... a German company, IDT Biologika, is in talks about producing the Sputnik V vaccine.

    Small additional supply from Sputnik on the way?

    Separately, the Sunday Independent reports that the government has been unable to secure extra vaccine doses from elsewhere, despite approaches over recent days to a number of countries and pharma companies who have a presence in Ireland.
    It is most likely in the context of an EMA approval, which will probably not happen for a month or so. NIAC will make the recommendation anyway, not the government. The very frustrating AZ supply issue is fraying nerves everywhere.


  • Posts: 12,836 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Is Sputnik not a bit of a red herring? I don't see Russia at the top of these vaccination tables so where are the excess doses they're going to sell us?


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    AdamD wrote: »
    Is Sputnik not a bit of a red herring? I don't see Russia at the top of these vaccination tables so where are the excess doses they're going to sell us?
    It's the Sindo, on a bit of a wild goose chase. It could well have been a we're looking at all options comment from somebody, i.e. sources close to X type of thing.


This discussion has been closed.
Advertisement