COVID-19: Vaccine and testing procedures Megathread Part 3 - Read OP

05-03-2021 05:12PM

Deleted User wrote: »

I doubt they'll notice vaccine news from a twitter account about foreign exchange.

Does anyone have a link to the data they are referring to?

Bit more info from Reuters:

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-brazil-variant-exc-idUSKBN2AX1NS

xboxseries · 05-03-2021 05:16PM

Deleted User wrote: »

I doubt they'll notice vaccine news from a twitter account about foreign exchange.

Does anyone have a link to the data they are referring to?

Headline reads like 1 variant, but Brazil have 2, P1 & P2

Works against both or just the one?

05-03-2021 05:19PM

xboxseries wrote: »

Headline reads like 1 variant, but Brazil have 2, P1 & P2

Works against both or just the one?

It's an anonymous source, no data actually published yet. Hopefully will get some more clarity when actual info is available.

ACitizenErased · 05-03-2021 05:21PM

The Brits have found the elusive Brazilian variant person

Call me Al · 05-03-2021 05:30PM

Amirani wrote: »

This has some similarities to how the Smallpox vaccine was rolled out. Target those most likely to get infected in order to break chains of transmission. Sort of a form of ring vaccination on a district scale: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ring_vaccination

I saw a really fascinating documentary about vaccines and diseases on bbc4 that discussed this very case.
How the vaccination team just went and vaccinated communities surrounding a confirmed case in an attempt to interrupt spread. And it worked.

xboxseries · 05-03-2021 05:33PM

ACitizenErased wrote: »

The Brits have found the elusive Brazilian variant person

Still don't get why the crazy man hunt for him? Most data says no variant escapes any vaccine, as long as he isolated why the concern?

Call me Al · 05-03-2021 05:40PM

xboxseries wrote: »

Still don't get why the crazy man hunt for him? Most data says no variant escapes any vaccine, as long as he isolated why the concern?

I think you've answered your own question there...

"AS LONG AS HE ISOLATED why the concern?"

They don't know if he has or not..

timsey tiger · 05-03-2021 05:47PM

xboxseries wrote: »

Still don't get why the crazy man hunt for him? Most data says no variant escapes any vaccine, as long as he isolated why the concern?

Has AZ been confirmed against SA variant. It would be a relief if SA variant is not an issue, I haven't heard anything since SA survey on young people with the large confidence interval.

Chawosfski · 05-03-2021 06:01PM

xboxseries wrote: »

Still don't get why the crazy man hunt for him? Most data says no variant escapes any vaccine, as long as he isolated why the concern?

Window Dressing

brickster69 · 05-03-2021 06:06PM

Germany urging people to take whatever potential protection they’re offered.

https://apnews.com/article/europe-emmanuel-macron-coronavirus-pandemic-france-berlin-cd9bc5d52877ef6d1a9b2dc427ac5a17

ACitizenErased · 05-03-2021 06:08PM

brickster69 wrote: »

Germany urging people to take whatever potential protection they’re offered.

https://apnews.com/article/europe-emmanuel-macron-coronavirus-pandemic-france-berlin-cd9bc5d52877ef6d1a9b2dc427ac5a17

Anyone who refuses a specific brand of vaccine is a complete idiot

Frank Bullitt · 05-03-2021 06:32PM

J&J given the green light here in Canada, nice bit of news to end the week.

xboxseries · 05-03-2021 06:39PM

Call me Al wrote: »

I think you've answered your own question there...

"AS LONG AS HE ISOLATED why the concern?"

They don't know if he has or not..

We know the vaccine's are effective so why the concern?

It's only one person.

xboxseries · 05-03-2021 06:45PM

timsey tiger wrote: »

Has AZ been confirmed against SA variant. It would be a relief if SA variant is not an issue, I haven't heard anything since SA survey on young people with the large confidence interval.

I wouldn't know Timsey, most of my reading is daily mail

From protecting against severe infection I read it has, but I just read that, agree would be good to know

is_that_so · 05-03-2021 07:26PM

Frank Bullitt wrote: »

J&J given the green light here in Canada, nice bit of news to end the week.

Should be next Thursday for the EMA.

CIARAN_BOYLE · 05-03-2021 07:43PM

timsey tiger wrote: »

Has AZ been confirmed against SA variant. It would be a relief if SA variant is not an issue, I haven't heard anything since SA survey on young people with the large confidence interval.

Someone from the WHO spoke to Philipino news sources yesterday saying that reduced efficacy isn't a disaster and that reduced efficacy is the worst the az vaccine would ahe and that that isn't a problem.

No new studies.

pc7 · 05-03-2021 09:20PM

is_that_so wrote: »

Should be next Thursday for the EMA.

Do we know how soon and much we will get for April?

afatbollix · 05-03-2021 09:37PM

ACitizenErased wrote: »

The Brits have found the elusive Brazilian variant person

Found this gas, The person never filled out the right info when get they got the test and seemingly had it down to 350 houses in an area and went knocking on doors. :pac:

Just noticed that UK is testing close to a million a day. (0.5% are positive)

afatbollix · 05-03-2021 09:41PM

To go back to testing:

I had my first at home antibody test yesterday,

(I had it done via blood test 2 months ago and had no antibodies)

I had to use one of those things they use to test for diabetes to get a bit of blood out of my finger and fill a vial. Took about 20 minutes and 2 fingers but they have the blood and it was sent overnight to the lab. I await the results. Wife took one look at the kit and said feck off so need to convince her its worth it for science :pac:

Stark · 05-03-2021 09:56PM

pc7 wrote: »

Do we know how soon and much we will get for April?

Last forecast I saw was for 200,000 doses in April (and same for May, June).

Water John · 05-03-2021 10:20PM

Stark wrote: »

Last forecast I saw was for 200,000 doses in April (and same for May, June).

You mean per week? Sorry I se you meant J & J.

Melanchthon · 05-03-2021 11:00PM

Here's a question that I don't think has been asked in the thread so far, I've forgotten an awful lot of my Biology though so maybe its simple enough

Also not trying to be one of the "varients are going to kill us all" people RTE type people.

Ok
So we know some of the variants seem to evade the antibody response to a varying degree. Call it Varient X

Its very very likely that the T cell response for vaccinated people will be more effective so severe illness will be avoid, however T cell response is laggy isn't it, so your going to end up with a transmission window?

If there is a vaccinated population that where the varient X is introduced, could a situation occur where the varient spreads like a "normal" cold e.g the vast majority of the population with a normal immune response just gets very mildly sick.
However those that are immune compromised end up severely sick?

I fully expect that even if that occurs we would unlock as the flu kills a bunch every few years anyway but curious if my reasoning is off in someway?

Klonker · 05-03-2021 11:47PM

Just the next time restrictions may change is early April which will be looked at in late late March. So say by end of March how many doses and how many people could we expect vaccinated?

astrofool · 06-03-2021 12:02AM

There's a study done on similar coronavirus (i.e. colds) that the reason they're so non-lethal (and they do kill, just in very low numbers) is their endemic nature, so our immune response is built up throughout life (think how diseases we brought to other countries killed so many at first).

Now, with SARS-COV2, a significant portion of the world is being vaccinated, it doesn't mutate as often as the flu, and it's mutations are limited to a few key areas (so far anyway, but other mutations look less beneficial), meaning, if it has a low level of mutation, but fast enough to keep spreading, it could become endemic, but we get a sniffle and move on, or it could go like smallpox/polio etc. and be eliminated entirely.

From a human perspective, attacking the virus and limiting it's effects on people is a function of a relatively short period of time (months to years), rather than an impossibility, it might be over after the first vaccine has been deployed effectively, or it might take a few updated vaccines to finish it off (all just speculation right now).

astrofool · 06-03-2021 12:05AM

Klonker wrote: »

Just the next time restrictions may change is early April which will be looked at in late late March. So say by end of March how many doses and how many people could we expect vaccinated?

We're looking at 650,000-ish, supplies permitting, probably about 250k fully dosed.

Leftwaffe · 06-03-2021 12:08AM

Klonker wrote: »

Just the next time restrictions may change is early April which will be looked at in late late March. So say by end of March how many doses and how many people could we expect vaccinated?

I’m gonna go with not enough and not as many as projected.

astrofool · 06-03-2021 12:14AM

Leftwaffe wrote: »

I’m gonna go with not enough and not as many as projected.

Shortfall of 75,000 by AZ in the last 2 weeks (on their already reduced supply), they promise they'll have it made back up by the end of March, everyone sceptical.

Wolf359f · 06-03-2021 12:23AM

Stark wrote: »

Last forecast I saw was for 200,000 doses in April (and same for May, June).

It will be interesting to know where Canada is getting their J&J supply from, as they approved before the EMA, if it's shipping from the EU and it's no stopped, it could mean J&J have a decent supply ready for us.
Then again, they could pull an AZ and say they will deliver and then ship it all to Canada and then say opps, I did it again!

Melanchthon · 06-03-2021 12:38AM

astrofool wrote: »

There's a study done on similar coronavirus (i.e. colds) that the reason they're so non-lethal (and they do kill, just in very low numbers) is their endemic nature, so our immune response is built up throughout life (think how diseases we brought to other countries killed so many at first).

Now, with SARS-COV2, a significant portion of the world is being vaccinated, it doesn't mutate as often as the flu, and it's mutations are limited to a few key areas (so far anyway, but other mutations look less beneficial), meaning, if it has a low level of mutation, but fast enough to keep spreading, it could become endemic, but we get a sniffle and move on, or it could go like smallpox/polio etc. and be eliminated entirely.

From a human perspective, attacking the virus and limiting it's effects on people is a function of a relatively short period of time (months to years), rather than an impossibility, it might be over after the first vaccine has been deployed effectively, or it might take a few updated vaccines to finish it off (all just speculation right now).

True but wouldn't the fact it wouldnt that not be a factor for the next day year or two.
Secondly if the virus is only seriously dangerous to a small minority it won't impact the selection pressure, basically like the way scarlet fever or similar became less dangerous.

UDAWINNER · 06-03-2021 05:32AM

Why was there a shortage of supplies for the Over 85s as they all say it was AZ fault, but this cohort would be getting Pfizer or Moderna. Am I missing something?

COVID-19: Vaccine and testing procedures Megathread Part 3 - Read OP

Comments