Golf Betting MegaThread *** See Mod warning in post #2 & 214***

With all the talk of Bryson, is there odds on him missing the cut??

eagle eye wrote: »

Tiger wasn't the gold standard in iron play. Tigers all around game was what made him, huge drives, great irons, great scrambling, great putting. He was ultra consistent which made him the greatest but I'm not sure he was the best in any category just top five/ten in them all. Garcia was better off the tee, Furyk was a better iron player, Mickelson a better scrambler, Zach Johnson a better putter.

Of topic here but WHAT??

His iron game is what set him apart. His distance control was and still is ridiculous. The way he controlled his trajectory, shape the ball both ways, high and low was just so much better than anybody else in the game. Then add in his initial power advantage with his putting he was unstoppable

LuckyGent88 wrote:

Of topic here but WHAT??

His iron game is what set him apart. His distance control was and still is ridiculous. The way he controlled his trajectory, shape the ball both ways, high and low was just so much better than anybody else in the game. Then add in his initial power advantage with his putting he was unstoppable

His consistent high level is what set him apart. His ability on the clutch too.
His high level in all facets of the games was unreal.
No one area was remarkable compared to his level in the other areas.

You put him in the middle of the fairway hitting 100 shots from the same distance as Furyk and Stenson he isn't walking away with the closest to the pin very often. He'll walk away with the lowest average score though.

Anyone have any interesting first round leaders to go with? Thinking DeChambeau might start strong tomorrow but is he worth it at 14/1

Fred couples normally starts well

1st round leader McIlroy 22/1
Outright winner
matsyuama 25/1
Finau 25/1
E/W
Molinari 100/1
Van Rooyen 140/1

I suppose I better put up my bets with all the chatting I've done on the thread over the last day.

So statisically from both a course form and current form point of view the outstanding favourite has to be Dustin Johnson. Statisicially over the last four years at the Masters DJ's average finish is 3.0 and over the past ten weeks on tour he's played three times with an average finish again of 3.0 so nobody is coming here hotter and he owns the best average finish.
Problem for me is I question his ability in the clutch in majors. For all his talent and how often he has dominated over the last 7 or so years he still has only one major to show for it and some pretty poor finishes.

Xander Schauffele has the game for sure for this but I have him in a category with Hideki Matsuyama and Tony Finau who just struggle to win. I'm giving Finau a chance here by the way but I'll explain that later.

Justin Thomas just keeps disappointing at Augusta. Rory seems to be in a situation that although he's improving of late he still puts in one bad round to ruin everything. He has to show me he's not going to do that before I can back him.

Bryson could run away with this or he could be at the other end of the field. The rain is there today and it'll be wet tomorrow on the fairways but there'll be two dry days on Friday and Saturday. I'll tell you that in my opinion Bryson should be shorter for the first round lead than he is to win the tournament. I think those prices being switched around would be about right. I'd recommend him for the first round lead but not for the win. He's shown too often that he struggles on bendy, pacy greens and he isn't great with the chip and run either which is something you need to be great with at Augusta.

Jon Rahm too has the game for it but I've yet to see him perform to the level required to win a major. He's gotten close but has fallen away at the death and I don't like that.

My big bet is on Brooks Koepka. This is his first major since the British Open without an injury. He finished strongly on Saturday and Sunday in the Houston Open and I want him on my team with his majors record.

I'm going Tony Finau as well. The reason for this is because he finished tied 10th in his Masters debut two years ago and then tied 5th last year but the bigger reason is an interview I watched on tv where he discussed his difficulties with Covid and his aims. He seemed a lot more focused than I've ever seen him. He had a real tough time with covid symptoms and he was away from his family for the whole of that. He came across like the world owes him after that, something I've never seen in him before so I'm willing to give him a shot this week.

Next up is Matthew Wolff, a big hitter and very straight of late and in great form too. This guy is a future world no.1 I think and I want him on my team.

Now to the outsiders. I've a lot backed this week.

First up is Jason Kokrak attempting to do what no man has done since Fuzzy Zoeller and win on his debut. The reason I'm on him is recent form which is very good and how high he hits the ball which is a huge advantage at Augusta.

Ian Poulter tries hard here, tied 12th last year, tied 6th in 2015 and two top 50 finsihes in between in his four starts. He is on very good form heading to Augusta so worth a small wager at a nice price.

Justin Rose seems to be just finding his feet and has a very good record here with two runner-up finishes to go with a 10th and 12th and a missed cut last year.

Si Woo Kim finsihed 24th on his debut in '18 followed by 21st last year. He is playing much better golf this year so I am adding him to my team.

I watched Francesco Molinari in Houston last week and he put in a good performance. I remember what happened last year and how his game went to pot after it. Houston was the first time he looked like his old self and I'd imagine he is going in to Augusta with a bit of confidence after that. He's just too big of a price to ignore at 90/1.

Finally at 300/1 I just couldn't leave out Justin Harding who finished tied 12th on his debut last year. He is an excellent putter on tricky greens and a great scrambler. He needs to score on the par fives though to make it happen. That's the key for him.

My bets:

Brooks Koepka 25 ew @ 18/1
Tony Finau 10 ew @ 25/1
Matthew Wolff 10 ew @ 30/1
Juston Rose 5 ew @ 55/1
Jason Kokrak 5 ew @ 55/1
Francesco Molinari 2.50 ew @ 90/1
Ian Poulter 2.50 ew @ 100/1
Si Woo Kim 2.50 ew @ 100/1
Justin Harding 2.50 ew @ 300/1

Best of luck everybody and I hope like me that you'll enjoy this early Christmas present.

eagle eye wrote: »

Proximity to hole on PGA tour from when it started in 2001 to 2008.

2001: Furyk 3'11" Tiger 22'11"
2002: Furyk 30'8" Tiger 34'1"
2003: Furyk 31'7" Tiger. 34'4"
2004: Furyk no stats Tiger 35'2"
2005: Furyk 32'6" Tiger 35'8"
2006: Furyk 31'8" Tiger 31'7"
2007: Furyk 32'4" Tiger 32' 2"
2008: Furyk 34'4" Tiger no stats

It's easy enough find stats to suit, this was the first one that came up for me.

Didn't spend too much time studying the form from previous years and unusually for me went for lads towards the top of the market.

Rahm, Matsuyama, Webb Simpson and Patrick Reed all e/w

Brooks Koepka 100 at 19s
Corey Connors 50 at 250

eagle eye wrote: »

Looking at the 1st round 3balls.

Like Poulter playing with Spieth and Woodland who are completely out of form.
Si Woo Kim playing with McDowell and Lashley.
Very short price but Jason Day playing with Schwartzel and Gallegos looks good.
Lanto Griffin playing with Tyler Duncan and Vijay Singh.

Last one, don't fancy it as much but still looks good is Matt Wallace playing with Cabrero-Bello and Mike Weir.

Did three of these (left out Day) in a treble and wrote it off when I saw Poulter struggling. Just noticed my balance increased and saw this came in! Good man EE

eagle eye wrote: »

Delighted for anybody that followed me.

I thought I was done too with Lanto and Poulter struggling.
Did doubles on Day/Griffin and Poulter/Si Woo.
Then did a multiple four folds and five fold with Wallace added to them. Nice day. .

Well done I like doing a few 3 balls too , I did Tiger , Day , Woolf and Weisberger 2 up waiting on other 2 but they have a chance ..